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Awesome Pyro graphic for Mock Draft that pyromaniac.com writers did last week

12-Team PPR Mock Draft #1 (Pre-NFL Draft - April 20th, 2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 04/27/17

Mock Draft #1 - PPR - 12-man from April (Pre-NFL Draft)


Click here to view full-size version of mock draft chart




Archer vs PyroLytics & winner vs StiffKitties

Meatbone vs PK & winner vs d-Rx

Staggs vs Whisperer & winner vs Houdini

OC vs Waz & winner vs Hartbeat

 

 

 


Round 1: Archer vs Pyro Lytics


 

QB Matchup: Archer gets a significant edge at QB, Wentz had some really nice games with Lane Johnson and the Eagles significantly upgraded their OL, but Carr also added a quality TE in Cook and can rely on Coop and Crabtree, with some big plays from Cordarrelle (Oakland loves C’s).

Advantage: The Archer


RB Matchup: At RB I believe Miller and Anderson will significantly outperform Woodhead and Prosise (too dependent on 3rd down and game script. Lytics RB bench is loaded though primarily with Mixon, he could win a couple games on his own for Lytics.

Advantage: The Archer


WR Matchup: Allen as a WR3 has huge potential. I gave bonus points to Hopkins over Thomas as he is a proven entity and I’m not completely sure he can match his performance from last year without Cooks taking away the defenses primary cover guy. Lytics takes the cake on WR’s but Archer gets a little bump for nice depth in Martavis and Maclin.

Advantage: Pyro Lytics


TE Matchup: Reed definitely gives a commanding advantage over Henry despite surprisingly nice rookie numbers, but he will see less looks with Gates still playing and Keenan Allen returning. Not much debate on this one Reed is a star when healthy.

Advantage: Pyro Lytics


K/DST Matchup: The kickers are a push and the Seahawks get a small advantage over the Panthers.

Advantage: The Archer


Full team matchup: Overall, Carr has a pretty significant advantage over the second year Wentz despite his new toys. The discrepancy in starting RB’s is too significant for Pyro Lytics to make up ground with his strong bench, but makes up a lot of that ground with 3 starting WRs who could all potentially end the year as WR1s. Jordan Reed reigns supreme at the TE position but his unavailability will cause serious harm with no backup TE. The strong RB core and probably top 5 QB put The Archer in a nice position and he wills out the victory in Round 1.

Winner: The Archer



 

Round 2: StiffKitties vs Archer


After giving Archer the W in round one he has another competitive team in the next round in Stiffkitties who went heavy on RB early 4 of the first 6 rounds.


 

QB Matchup: Despite the fantasy football community having a widespread agreement that in order to optimize your team’s output, wait on QB rather than taking a top guy. That being said, it’s hard to argue against what Aaron Rodgers has done the last few years. Carr definitely is one of the QB’s that can contest the firepower of a Rodgers. Rodgers will be consistently atop the QB rankings for the next few years until the cliff is in view.

Advantage: StiffKitties


RB Matchup: Zeke is a stud and wins the matchup against almost anyone. Archer has significantly better depth with more proven players. Leo Fournette is a rookie and has consistent issues with his ankles, Marshawn isn’t in the league as of late and at 30 he will certainly be a part of an RBBC in Oakland, and Dion Lewis has 4 other guys who will lineup in the backfield in NE. 

Advantage: The Archer (barely)


WR Matchup: The WR cores here are fundamentally different with StiffKitties going high variance high upside players and The Archer for a high target high floor collection of Nuk, Edelman, Moncrief and Martavis. Cooks should see success in NE but there are only so many targets to go around, Tyreek Hill is a polarizing player but he is more of a flex than an WR 2, then the rookies Williams and Davis are also question marks as we have to look at disappointing seasons from Treadwell and Doctson last year. 

Advantage: The Archer


TE Matchup: Rudolph has Bradford looking for him early and often. This is about as even of a matchup as you will find at TE. Rudolph was a target monster last year with 132. I expect regression from Rudolph as the last time he was targeted 90+ times he went on to experience injury issued and struggled to stay on the field for the next two seasons seeing action in only 15 of the possible 32 games. Hunter Henry is a bright young prospect as he had one of the better rookie TE seasons historically. Henry scored 8 TDs on only 36 catches, 22% of catches yielding touchdowns is not a sustainable rate, and he will likely see less than the 53 targets he got last year with Keenan Allen returning. 

Advantage: StiffKitties


K/DST Matchup: Kickers again don’t matter to me and I give the Patriots a slight edge over Seattle due to their offseason moves. The LOB struggled without Earl Thomas and the reports of Richard Sherman requesting to be traded don’t bode well for the 12’s in Seattle. The Patriots always seem to be a better fantasy defense than an actual defense and the addition of Stephon Gilmore and retaining Malcolm Butler give NE the clear advantage. 

Advantage: StiffKitties


Full team matchup: Stiffkitties has a definite advantage with Rodgers and Zeke, but the team is very dependent on those two. Second rounder, Brandin Cooks, should be able to find success with the Patriots, but will probably have the highest variance on week to week output of any WR in the NFL, there are just so many mouths Brady will have to feed incorporating Cooks and Gronkowski back into the offense. Fournette is similar in that we don’t know what his availability regarding injuries will be and Marshawn still is unemployed. The Archer has such a nice floor and I think he would win more head to head matchups over the course of the season although the end of season points could go either way, henceforth:

Winner: The Archer




Round 1: PK Ripper vs. Meatbone


 

Both of these teams are rostering two very capable quarterbacks. While I believe that PK Ripper has the best pair of the two, it’s going to be Meatbone having the best upside; leaning heavily on starting Russell Wilson to get the job done every week.

QB Advantage: Meatbone +


At the running back position, I took into consideration workhorse opportunity. On any given week, PK Ripper can expect around 40 touches a week from Gurley and Ajayi. While Meatbone is banking on around 20 touches a game from Howard, the situational presence from Coleman cannot always be guaranteed. Not only do the roles of Gurley and Ajayi appear to be the more reliable week in and week out, the depth that PK Ripper has on his bench at the RB position looks fancy as well. Rob Kelley and Bilal Powell are in a very short line for a large share of carries from their backfield. I like Doug Martin after he serves his suspension but the waters are looking murky for him and even more so for LeGarrette Blount.

RB Advantage: PK Ripper ++


For wide receivers, both teams are represented by a stud at the position and favorable support. In my opinion, I have to give the advantage to PK Ripper’s squad by the smallest of margins. I believe Antonio Brown will finish as the FF WR1 and also believe that Willie Snead will reap greater PPR rewards this season than Kelvin Benjamin, who I’ve always been admittedly low on. Although sloppy on both sides, I feel that Meatbone has a bit more favorable WR depth to make due during his bye weeks or injuries. My gut is telling me that this position is a push, but ties are stupid so I’m giving the edge to PK Ripper.

WR Advantage: PK Ripper +


Keeping it simple for the tight end position, each team has a solid WR1 but there little doubt in my mind that Travis Kelce will outscore Tyler Eifert this season. Additionally, I believe that OJ Howard will be a Day 1 starter in the NFL and should be at least a TE2. In my opinion, both teams are rostering okay-enough TE depth and it simply comes down to Kelce vs. Eifert.

TE Advantage: PK Ripper +


For kickers, this comes down to opportunities for me. Sure Janikowski has lost a step since his prime days, but Hauschka is coming off an inaccurate season in Seattle and moving to the unforgiving conditions in Buffalo. I believe that Oakland will provide more opportunities for Janikowski than Buffalo for Hauschka.

K Advantage: Meatbone +


Oakland has a good defense, but I’m a sucker for Arizona’s.

Def Advantage: Meatbone +



In the end, it’s super close and there’s a lot to like about both of teams, but overall I am awarding the victory to PK Ripper.



 

Round 2: PK Ripper vs. d-Rx®


 

Once again, both teams are rostering very capable QB1 quarterbacks. Ultimately, it comes down who I feel is a lock for Top 5 QB numbers and that’s Tom freaking Brady. Both teams are looking at safe #2 options though. In a vacuum, I would prefer Dak over Tyrod but since they’re both second options, although maybe more than that for PK Ripper, it’s a wash.

QB Advantage: d-Rx® +


PK Ripper continues to rollout two starting running backs that are a lock for 20-some touches per game. I am a big fan of Devonta Freeman and his nose for the end zone but the timeshare and situational presence of Tevin Coleman will always be a bit worrisome. Christian McCaffrey is a well-deserved hyped rookie RB who should be capable of competing and succeeding at the NFL level, especially in PPR leagues but he doesn’t have a team yet and while I can consider an ideal scenario (Panthers? Broncos?), it’s not enough to shake the elevated floor of Gurley and Ajayi. Not to mention that, once again, PK Ripper’s RB depth of Kelley and Powell is favorable. Although this time, it’s closer to on par with d-Rx®’s Latavius Murray and, in a perfect world, Thomas Rawls.

RB Advantage: PK Ripper +


For wide receivers, both teams have a locked-in stud. While I would give the edge to PK Ripper’s Antonio Brown against d-Rx®’s Mike Evans, it’s too close to call. d-Rx® equipped PPR sweetheart Pierre Garcon and Marcus Mariota-favorite (not to mention one of my own) Rishard Matthews to round out his starting WRs. Not only do I think Washington’s Jamison Crowder will outperform San Francisco’s Garcon, I also feel that the Saints’ Willie Snead will outperform the Titans’ Rishard Matthews. Both team’s WR depth is kind of gross in my opinion and I don’t think it would sway PK Rippers starting WRs edge.

WR Advantage: PK Ripper +


Still keeping it simple for the tight ends, each team has a solid TE1. Hell, one of these should be this year’s TE1 and the other is likely to be the TE2. Head-to-head, until something happens, d-Rx®’s Rob Gronkowski prevails. For each team’s backup, both are unknowns. I like Jared Cook’s opportunity in Oakland, but OJ Howard is ridiculously more talented and athletic. Assuming Howard lands somewhere that he can catch a football, it’s even for me (even though secretly, I’d take Howard most times today).

TE Advantage: d-Rx® +


It’s as simple as this: the Atlanta Falcons will score a hell of a lot more, and enable many more FG opportunities than the Buffalo Bills. Argue this if you want, but is it really worth your time?

K Advantage: d-Rx® +


Oakland isn’t a bad defense at all, but the Chiefs could have the league’s best this year; a Top 3 lock.

Def Advantage: d-Rx® +


So based on positional advantage, it would appear that d-Rx® would win this matchup. Problem is this scoring system is full of holes, stupid, and not to mention a bit lazy. While d-Rx® had the better QB, TE, K and DEF, RBs and WRs win games and championships. Not to mention that the QB and TE positions were awarded to d-Rx® by a very small margin. Therefore, given his running back and wide receiver strengths, and balance across the other positions, PK Ripper wins this matchup and moves ahead in the bracket.



 

Stagg Party vs FF Whisperer

 

QB Battle

The immortal Drew Brees is almost never out of the top 5 fantasy QBs end of season in fantasy formats. Even with the loss of Brandin Cooks, Drew will pass the rock more than anyone in the league. Kirk Cousins has a strong upside; he’s just not as consistent as Brees. Washington’s receiving core lost deep threat DeSean Jacson in the offseason, but balanced the loss with the signing of Terrelle Pryor. This isn’t enough for Cousins to usurp Brees though, especially when Marcus Mariota is the backup.

 

Advantage: FF Whisperer

 

 

RB Battle

I usually have a strict no rookie policy when drafting (obvious occasional exceptions), especially before the draft. The best rookies tend to go to the worst teams, so a stand out combine talent could mean jack in-season. Dalvin Cook is Whisperer’s second RB and will most likely be switched in a rotating carousel of Abdullah, Ivory, and Gore. Staggs has two starters out of the gate along with major upside in Gillislee, Bernard, and Jamaal Charles (if he can find a gig).

 

Advantage: Staggs


 

WR Battle

If you know me at all, I think Dez Bryant and Davante Adams are two of the biggest jokers in the league. Inflated by touchdowns, hampered by injuries, handcuffed by drops and personality, there is just no way you can predict where they will finish. However, TY Hilton and depth of Eric Decker and Mike Wallace can sub nicely when either Adams and/or Bryant disappoints as they seem to do often. This packaged with the slight chance of big season performances from Bryant/Adams puts Staggs’ squad over Whisperer’s Julio Jones/Amari Cooper combo.

 

Advantage: Staggs

 

 

TE Battle

Greg Olsen on paper should easily defeat Delanie Walker, but last season they were separated by only two fantasy points. The blip on Olsen’s career seemed to be a direct effect from Cam’s overall shittiness, so hopefully they can get back on track which would improve Greg’s fantasy output, but the Titans have also vastly improved on offense, with direct positive consequences on Delanie.

 

Advantage: push

 

 

DST/Kicker

Dan Baily and the Denver Broncos defense easily outshines the Jaguars young but promising squad with the “on the bubble” kicker of Roberto Aguayo

 

Advantage: FF Whisperer

 

Winner: Stagg Party

Both rosters have clear strengths and weaknesses. Whisperer’s strengths at QB and cannot outlast Staggs’ much stronger combinations at receiver and running back, which is why he takes this very close this matchup. 



 

Houdini vs Stagg Party

 

QB Battle

Last year’s MVP in Matt Ryan will look to match the 2016 campaign and once again finish as a top 5 QB. Kirk Cousins has this ability as well, but the Washington offense and outside weapons don’t match that of Atlanta.

 

Advantage: Houdini

 

 

RB Battle

While the overall depth of Stagg Party’s running backs outweighs that of Houdini’s, there will be a lot more shuffling and indecision with who to start come game time. Carlos Hyde is on one of the worst teams in the league and the remainders are all in time shares. While Eddie Lacy will have to prove himself in a new offense, it would take two RB1s to overcome the power of LeVeon Bell.

 

Advantage: Houdini

 

 

WR Battle

We all know my distaste for Dez Bryant and Davante Adams. DT, Doug Baldwin, and Brandon Marshall all have WR1 upside and are much safer picks. Slight edge to Staggs with depth picks of Eric Decker and Mike Wallace, plus I’m in love with TY Hilton.

 

Advantage: Staggs

 

 

TE Battle

Graham finished with 3 more FF points than Olsen in 2016, but this was due to a horrendous year by Cam Newton. The question is, can he get back to Super Bowl form? If so, Olsen takes this match-up, but im not so sure the Panthers can.

 

Advantage: push

 

 

DST/Kicker Battle

Both team’s kicker and defense spots are a wash. The Vikings have a strong and attacking defense but the Jaguars are loaded with talent that hasn’t truly shown what kind of fantasy asset they can be. 

 

Advantage: push

 

 

Winner: Houdini

The first overall pick in LeVeon Bell is too much to overcome with a solid WR core and current MVP passing the rock. 


 

 

Round 1: Waz vs. ØC

 

QB Matchup: While late round QB may have made Waz’s roster deeper a matchup against Uber talented Andrew Luck is too much for Matthew Stafford. With Eli Manning also available as backup, ØC’s QB room just has more upside and a safer floor with two players to choose from if Luck has a bad matchup.

 

Advantage: ØC

 

RB Matchup: Waz going with the modified zero RB approach filled out his roster with capable pass catchers behind Melvin Gordon who had one of the heaviest workloads in the NFL when healthy. Those pass catchers give him a safe weekly floor for his RB2 and with an injury could prove even more fruitful. McCoy is a wash to Gordon in my opinion so comparing the RB2 spot and depth will make the decision for me. Mark Ingram was an easy choice as this was done before the Adrian Peterson signing, lucky for ØC he can see how that situation shakes out owning both, but Ingram’s upside is notably lower than before the signing. The upside on his squad is higher but the downside is also just as large.

 

Advantage: ØC by the skin of his balls

 

WR Matchup: WR’s are a bit easier to dissect as Waz is loaded with them, and all different types. AJ Green gives him huge weekly upside but with Sammy Watkins, Jarvis Landry, Stefon Diggs, and Emmanuel Sanders just to name a few, it is impossible not to side with him here. ØC has some serious high ceiling with field stretchers galore, but in a PPR league, catches reign supreme.

 

Advantage: Waz

 

TE Matchup: If tight end is a crapshoot anything like last season, having options at your disposal is a good thing, and Waz has more outs. Ebron has shown flashes and Marty has put up some good numbers with potential for even more with Rodgers. Brate was a great value for ØC late, but if there is any regression in the TD department his season doesn’t look nearly as good especially with more weapons at Jameis Winston’s disposal.

 

Advantage: Waz

 

K/DST Matchup: A healthy Texans defense with Watt and Clowney could be monstrous especially with a scheme change in LA. At kicker side with the better offense, and Green Bay offers one of the best.

 

Advantage: Waz

 

Full Team Matchup: Waz wins this one by the skin of his teeth. His depth at wide receiver and tight end do it over the course of the season as Waz has five receivers who could legitimately catch 80 passes apiece. Waiting on QB allowed him to build up depth and in a PPR league he can get by with those 3rd down running backs on a weekly basis. Overall this is a tight win.

 


Round 2: Waz vs. Hartbeat

 

QB Matchup: Philip Rivers vs Matthew Stafford is like the wash of washes, they are in the same tier. Rivers has turned it over much more over the last few seasons but has also thrown more touchdown passes Fuck it it’s a wash.

 

Advantage: None

 

RB Matchup: Hartbeat’s RB corps is one of the strongest at the top with David Johnson and DeMarco Murray, behing that he features Isaiah Crowell who is a solid third running back and has Kenneth Dixon and D’onta Foreman filling out the roster.  Waz just can’t keep up with the production of his top two backs, but would possess a nice trump card if anything were to happen to Demarco in the form of Derrick Henry.

 

Advantage: Hartbeat

 

WR Matchup: While Hartbeat features a deep and diverse receiving corps, it just can’t stack up to the top five of Waz. Allen Robinson, Michael Crabtree, and Golden Tate form one of the top-three trios in the league, unfortunately he goes up against the best wide receiving corps out there.  

 

Advantage: Waz

 

TE Matchup: Zach Ertz may be a tier above Martellus Bennett and Eric Ebron in terms of upside, there is also some downside with the team adding Alshon Jeffery and Torrey Smith to make for a more crowded passing game with a second year signal caller. Ertz has never been a touchdown machine, and Bennett has Rodgers throwing him the ball. Another tough call here, but Waz by a hair.  

 

Advantage: Waz

 

K/DST Matchup: A healthy Texans defense with Watt and Clowney easily takes the cake over the Tennessee Titans who struggled mightily last year. As for the kicker, Vinatieri gets a slight edge for consistency.

 

Advantage: Waz (bigger gap between defense and kicker)

 

Full Team Matchup: Waz pulls off the stunning upset. His pass catching depth at tight end and wide receiver help him narrow the gap. But if David Johnson scores anything like he did last season (one of the top-15 PPR seasons of all time) this matchup could easily swing the other way.

 

 

 

 

 

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