Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

2012 Fantasy Football Start 'Em Sit 'Em for Week 14

2012 Fantasy Football Start 'Em Sit 'Em for Week 14

Posted by Dawgmaticå on 12/06/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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2012 fantasy football start'em sit'em Week 14

 

 

 

Start ‘Em Sit ‘Em – Week 14

 

 

No More Byes!!!

 

 

 

 

Every week, there are certain fantasy studs who you simply have to start no matter what. Tom Brady, Adrian Peterson and A.J. Green fall into that category, to name a few. There are also a good number of players you should probably sit each week as well. But then, there are those players whom you have no idea whether to start or sit. Here are a few not-so-obvious guys at each major fantasy position who you might not know what to do with, but for whom the stats and other information dictates one way or the other.

 

 


START 'EM

 

 

QUARTERBACKS

 

Andrew Luck - Pyro Character

Andrew Luck (vs. Ten) – I’m a little surprised by the insane numbers Luck threw up against the Lions last week simply because his worst performances of the season had all come on the road. However, gaudy numbers are becoming more the norm with the youngster than anything else, so it really wasn’t THAT surprising. This week Luck returns to Indy to take on an improving Titans defense, but not good enough yet to stop Mr. Luck. In six games at home in the dome, Luck has averaged 293 yards while throwing for nine TDs compared to just three INTs. With the Colts secondary receivers (Donnie Avery, T.Y. Hilton, LaVon Brazill) getting better and Coby Fleener returning to the lineup, Luck should be a nice QB1 this weekend.

 

Eli Manning - Pyro Character

Eli Manning (vs. NO) – It’ll be hard to trust Eli Manning after he was only able to muster up 280 yards and one touchdown against the one of the league’s three worst pass defenses this past week (Washington), but he’ll get another chance to silence his critics this Sunday with the New Orleans Saints coming to town. The Saints have allowed seven 300-yard games this season (two of them with 400-yards) and the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, so if Eli can’t put up QB1 numbers in this one, I’m waving the white flag on him this year. However, when he faced them in Week 12 last season, he threw for 406 yards and two TDs, so I expect Manning to at least show me a little something here.

 

Josh Freeman - Pyro Character

Josh Freeman (vs. Phi) – Freeman had a big few weeks there in the earlier part of the season, but has put up just middle-of-the-road fantasy stats over his last five games. In fact, if not for the garbage-time points he put up last week against the Broncos, he wouldn’t have even been playable as a QB2! His downward trend aside, Week 14 is a whole different story as the Buccaneers will be facing the league’s worst defense over the last five weeks, the reeling Philadelphia Eagles. If you want to get out of a rut, I’d normally suggest playing the Saints but at this point, Big Josh should be just fine against the apathetic Eagles this Sunday. Get him in there.

 

Cam Newton - Pyro Character

Cam Newton (vs. Atl) – Who has the most fantasy points in the league over the last five weeks? Yep, it’s Cam Newton. It’s truly amazing how much of a difference it makes in fantasy football when you’re a quarterback who can run the ball. Newton’s overall passing stats are downright dreadful compared to the rest of the league, but those rushing numbers make up for it in spades. This week he’ll take on an inner-division Atlanta Falcons team that he put up over 30 fantasy points against back in Week 4. I don’t think he’ll be able to do quite that well again, but it’s certainly possible with the way he’s been playing lately.

 

 

Others with QB1 Potential:

 

Russell Wilson (vs. Ari)

 

Matthew Stafford (at GB, Sunday night)

 

Matt Schaub (at NE, Monday night)

 

 

SLEEPERS

 

Colin Kaepernick (vs. Mia)

Joe Flacco (at Was)

Ben Roethlisberger (vs. SD)

Sam Bradford (at Buf)

 

 

RUNNING BACKS

 

 

Doug Martin - Pyro Character

Doug Martin (vs. Phi) – The “Muscle Hamster” has been slowed of late rushing for just 106 yards on 2.7 yards-per-carry over his last two games, but if there’s a team you’d like to face when things aren’t going too well at this point, it’s the Philadelphia Eagles. Granted, the Eagles have allowed more through the air than on the ground during their recent downward spiral, but Martin is involved enough in the passing game to make a difference there as well, so I’m not too worried about that. I’ll be very surprised if the rookie doesn’t put up 125-plus total yards and at least one touchdown this Sunday.

 

Bryce Brown - Pyro Character

Bryce Brown (at TB) – What a maniac this kid is! With LeSean McCoy out of the lineup for the last two weeks, Bryce Brown has run for 347 yards and four touchdowns on just 43 carries, which comes out to a whopping 8.1 YPC. The rookie is really something special to watch as he not only has a ton of power in his legs, but also more speed than you’d think for a 223-pound back. He runs with a rare ferocity that can sometimes get him into trouble considering his three fumbles in the last two games, but Andy Reid wouldn’t dare tell him to slow down at this point. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have been pretty good against the run this season, but Brown is on too much of a roll right now to think he’ll do anything but put up RB1 numbers.

 

Trent Richardson - Pyro Character

Trent Richardson (vs. KC) – So Richardson was held to less than four yards a carry again last week against the lowly Oakland Raiders, but as usual, he found a way to put up nice fantasy numbers on the day running in a late three-yard touchdown. It was the first time he failed to put up 100 total yards in a game since back in Week 7, but he’ll get it going again this Sunday against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs defense. I’m a bit nervous about the dreaded “rookie wall” coming up to meet him sometime soon, but it won’t be this week.

 

Chris Johnson - Pyro Character

Chris Johnson (at Ind) – CJ2K hasn’t been able to hit the 100-yard mark the last couple of games and was held to his lowest rushing total (51 yards) since Week 5 by the Texans last weekend. That being said, I believe his minor skid takes a turn for the better this Sunday playing in a dome against the Indianapolis Colts. Indy has allowed the sixth-most rushing touchdowns this season and the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing RBs, so Johnson should have a real good chance at RB1 numbers here.

 

Jamaal Charles - Pyro Character

Jamaal Charles (at Cle) – As has been the case throughout his career, Jamaal Charles is still having a bit of trouble finding the end zone. However, he also just ran for his fifth 100-yard game last weekend and third in his last four games, so the kid is obviously on a bit of a roll. Not that it makes much of a difference, but Charles is averaging 109 yards a game against the AFC North this season with just the Cleveland Browns left to play. The Browns are probably the worst of the four teams (Baltimore, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh), but have been pretty stout on the defensive side of the ball lately. They’ve had a bit of trouble with the speedier running backs, though, so I expect Jamaal to have a couple of big runs and a RB1 type of day because of them.

 

Alfred Morris - Pyro Character

Alfred Morris (vs. Bal) – Alfred Morris is a beast and continues to show it on a weekly basis. On Monday night, he was able to put up his fifth 100-yard game of the season, the most of any rookie RB in the league this year. This weekend he’ll be at home against a Baltimore Ravens defense that has been able to be beaten on the ground this season. They’ve actually done a lot better lately, but their best defensive player, Terrell Suggs, just went down to injury so they might not play up to their recent standards this Sunday.

 

 

Others with RB1 Potential:

 

Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. NO)

 

Matt Forte (at Min)

 

BenJarvus Green-Ellis (vs. Dal)

 

C.J. Spiller (vs. StL)

 

Steven Jackson (at Buf)

 

 

SLEEPERS

 

DeMarco Murray (at Cin)

Michael Turner (at Car) 

Knowshon Moreno (at Oak, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  32 rushes - 119 yards - 1 TD  //  4 catches - 48 yards - 0 TDs

Fred Jackson (vs. StL)

Shonn Greene (at Jax) 

Vick Ballard (vs. Ten)

Montell Owens (vs. NYJ)

Peyton Hillis (at Cle)

 

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

 

Vincent Jackson - Pyro Character

Vincent Jackson (vs. Phi) – I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again—if there’s one thing Vincent Jackson does really well for his fantasy owners, it’s that he takes full advantage of poor pass defenses. The Philadelphia Eagles defense, though not bad on paper, have already mailed in the season and look about as lethargic as I’ve ever seen a defense in this league. They’ve allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers in the last three weeks alone and 28 or more points in all six games since their Week 7 bye. V-Jax has already reached the 1,000-yard mark for the season on a career-high 20.3 yards per catch and could actually improve on that number with as many big plays as the Eagles have surrendered of late. 

 

Victor Cruz - Pyro Character

Victor Cruz (vs. NO) – It’s been a tale of two seasons for the Meadowlands Magician in 2012 as his hot start through the Giants first seven games was followed up by a less than stellar last five weeks. His rise back into the elite, however, starts this Sunday with the abysmal New Orleans Saints pass defense coming to town. Cruz has always played better at home, but particularly so this season with averages of 6.2 catches, 86.8 yards and one TD through the team’s first six games in New Jersey. Though the Saints defense has played better of late, they still allow the third-most fantasy points per game to wide receivers, so Cruz should be able to grab top-10 numbers this weekend. If you need a last bit of confidence here, I’ll also tell you that Victor had his best fantasy day of the season against the Saints last year when he grabbed nine balls for 157 yards and two TDs in their matchup.

 

Brandon Marshall - Pyro Character

Brandon Marshall (at Min) – Holy crap has Brandon Marshall been on fire this season! I figured on him being dominant at times considering his long-awaited return to play with Jay Cutler, but other than A.J. Green, Marshall might be the most consistent wide receiver in all of fantasy this season. He’s recorded double-digit targets in all but three games and has nine or more catches in six of them. Two weeks ago against this same Minnesota Vikings team, Brandon tied a season-high with 12 receptions on 17 targets, though he was unable to snag one for a touchdown. If he sees even close to that many looks again this time around, he should be able to get into the end zone and put up WR1 stats for the day.

 

Julio Jones - Pyro Character

Julio Jones (at Car) – Julio Jones’ averages on the road this season pretty much say it all. In six games away from home, Jones has a monstrous weekly output of six catches for 102.3 yards and one touchdown per game. He’s had either 100 yards and/or a TD in five of those six games and should be able to make it a sixth this Sunday against the Carolina Panthers. Last year in Carolina, Jones had 103 yards and two TDs, numbers that could very well be matched in this one as the Panthers have had a tough time covering taller wide receivers all season long.

 

Andre Johnson - Pyro Character

Andre Johnson (at NE, Monday night) – Andre came back down to Earth against the Titans last weekend catching just five passes for 56 yards in the game. However, he wasn’t really needed for a Texans victory with the game well in hand by the middle of the second quarter. This week, however, will be a completely different story with the 11-1 Texans (6-0 on the road) traveling to Foxborough to take on a Patriots team with a six-game winning streak and the best point-differential (plus-170, Houston is second with plus-130) in the league. If the Patriots come out firing as usual, then the Texans will have to turn to the pass to stay within reach so look for ‘Dre to see a whole lot of love from Matt Schaub this Monday night. Considering the Patriots have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game and seventh-most passing TDs this season, Johnson should be good for top-10 fantasy numbers here.

 

Reggie Wayne - Pyro Character

Reggie Wayne (vs. Ten) – Reggie Wayne has now dropped to third in the league in receptions (88) behind Wes Welker (92) and Brandon Marshall (91), but he still leads them all in targets with a whopping 152 on the season (12.7 per game). He’s also third in receiving yards with 1,156, but he’s coming off his lowest total of the season going for just 51 yards against the Lions last weekend. However, this Sunday should be a good one for the old-timer with the Titans bringing their sub-par pass defense into town. Tennessee has given up the second-most passing TDs and seventh-most passing yards per game this year, so Reggie should be just fine there. Wayne also tends to play much better at home, so combined with the way Andrew Luck has been tossing the ball out there lately, I expect to see some of Wayne’s better numbers of 2012 this Sunday.

 

 

Others with WR1 Potential:

 

Randall Cobb (vs. Det, Sunday night)

 

Wes Welker (vs. Hou, Monday night)

 

Torrey Smith (at Was)

 

Pierre Garcon (vs. Bal) 

 

Hakeem Nicks (vs. NO)

 

Marques Colston (at NYG)

 

 

SLEEPERS

 

Greg Jennings (vs. Det, Sunday night)

Chris Givens (at Buf) 

Michael Crabtree (vs. Mia)

Josh Gordon (vs. KC)

Danario Alexander (at Pit)

Kenny Britt (at Ind)

T.Y. Hilton (vs. Ten)

Mike Williams (vs. Phi)

Golden Tate (vs. Ari)

James Jones (vs. Det, Sunday night)

Anquan Boldin (at Was)

Brandon Lloyd (vs. Hou, Monday night)

 

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

 

Owen Daniels - Pyro Character

Owen Daniels (at NE, Monday night) – Despite a season-low 43 yards versus the Titans last weekend, you have to love what Owen Daniels has given his fantasy owners this season. He’s scored a touchdown in six of 11 games, drawn the sixth-most targets of all tight ends and put up the fourth-most fantasy points per game on the season. This week he’ll be running routes against a Patriots defense that has allowed the most receptions, most yards and fourth-most fantasy points to tight ends this year. Houston will likely have to pass the ball to win this game, so Daniels should have ample opportunity to put up TE1 stats in Week 14.

 

Brandon Myers - Pyro Character

Brandon Myers (vs. Den, Thursday night) – Myers broke onto the scene in a big way against the Browns last weekend and is becoming one of the leagues better tight ends right before our eyes. It was the first major impact of his career as he grabbed a gargantuan 14 of his 15 targets for 130 yards and a touchdown. He was a consistent PPR force throughout the early part of the season, but has recently added a scoring flair to his game putting up four touchdowns in his last five games. Its clear Myers has become Carson Palmer’s favorite target and should continue to be this Thursday against a Broncos team that has allowed the absolute most fantasy points to tight ends this season. Basically, he’s a must-start this week.  FINAL STATISTICS:  1 catch - 7 yards - 0 TDs

 

Kyle Rudolph - Pyro Character

Kyle Rudolph (vs. Chi) – Rudolph has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Vikings 12 games this season. He may not go for as many yards as other tight ends, but he sure can find the end zone pretty well. One of the main reasons he’s been able to score in each of the last three games is due to Percy Harvin being out of the lineup. Without a reliable receiver to throw to, Ponder has leaned on Rudolph as much as possible—evidenced by his 18 catches on 26 targets over the last three weeks. Two weeks ago against the Chicago Bears, Rudolph grabbed five of his nine targets for 55 yards and a touchdown. Without Brian Urlacher out there at linebacker this weekend, I can easily see Rudolph out-performing those numbers.

 

Martellus Bennett - Pyro Character

Martellus Bennett (vs. NO) – Martellus Bennett finally jumped back on board the G-Train last week grabbing five of his seven targets for 82 yards and a touchdown against the Redskins. It was his first double-digit scoring game since Week 3, but he’ll have a good chance to do it again this Sunday with the New Orleans Saints decrepit defense coming to town. In fact, the Saints have allowed the most receptions, yards, touchdowns, and obviously fantasy points to opposing tight ends over the past five weeks, so you have to believe the Black Unicorn is primed to get in on the fun.


Greg Olsen - Pyro Character

Greg Olsen (vs. Atl) – Olsen has been a bit up and down this season, but when he’s been on—like he was against Atlanta in their first matchup of the season—he can be a huge asset to your fantasy squad. Back in Week 4, Greg caught six passes against the Falcons and turned them into 89 yards and a score. I have no doubt these numbers could be duplicated on Sunday in Carolina, especially seeing how Atlanta has allowed the third-most fantasy points per game to tight ends over the last five weeks (ninth-most on the season). Olsen is definitely worth taking a chance on this weekend.

 

 

Others with TE1 Potential:

 

Dennis Pitta (at Was)

 

Jacob Tamme (at Oak, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  2 catches - 24 yards - 0 TDs

 

Heath Miller (vs. SD)

 

Brandon Pettigrew (at GB, Sunday night)

 

Jermaine Gresham (vs. Dal)

 

 

SLEEPERS

 

Jermichael Finley (vs. Det, Sunday night)

Dallas Clark (vs. Phi)

Dwayne Allen (vs. Ten)

Brent Celek (at TB)

Lance Kendricks (at Buf)

Tony Scheffler (at GB, Sunday night)




SIT 'EM



QUARTERBACKS

 


Philip Rivers - Pyro Character

Philip Rivers (at Pit) – Rivers has been a mess this season, with his only good fantasy scoring games coming against Tennessee, New Orleans and Tampa Bay (all bottom-10 pass defenses). He’s been better on the road than at home this year, but it won’t matter against a Steelers team that has allowed the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks in 2012.

 

Tony Romo - Pyro Character

Tony Romo (at Cin) – The Bengals haven’t allowed a double-digit fantasy performance from a quarterback since Peyton Manning back in Week 9. They’re also pretty stellar at home, which doesn’t bode well for the road-fearing Romo. With DeMarco Murray back and playing well, I expect Dallas to run more anyway, so you might want to re-think Romo as your starting QB.

 

Carson Palmer - Pyro Character

Carson Palmer (vs. Den, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  19-for-30 - 273 yards - 2 TDs - 1 INT  //  1 rush - –1 yard - 0 TDs - 1 FUM

 

Chad Henne - Pyro Character

Chad Henne (vs. NYJ) – Without WR Cecil Shorts III in the lineup, I fully expect the old Chad Henne to come out flustered and turnover-prone like he used to be. With his next-best receiver, Justin Blackmon, being shadowed by CB Antonio Cromartie all game, Henne doesn’t stand a chance.

 

 

RUNNING BACKS

 

 

Ryan Mathews - Pyro Character

Ryan Mathews (at Pit) – Plain and simple, Ryan Mathews hasn’t been all he was cracked up to be this season. He has yet to rush for 100 yards in a game and has gone over 100 TOTAL yards just twice, with one of them coming against a league-worst New Orleans Saints defense. If you’re expecting him to suddenly break out against top-tier Pittsburgh Steelers D, you might as well go back to lion-taming because your chances of something like that working out are slightly better.

 

Reggie Bush - Pyro Character Daniel Thomas - Pyro Character

Reggie Bush / Daniel Thomas (at SF) – Being in a timeshare backfield obviously hurts your fantasy stock, which is exactly what Bush and Thomas are in right now as neither one has been given more than 16 touches in a game since Week 6. Just thought I’d give you a reason other than that they’re playing the vaunted 49ers defense to sit these two guys.

 

Darren McFadden - Pyro Character

Darren McFadden (vs. Den, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  11 rushes - 52 yards - 0 TDs  //  2 catches - 12 yards - 1 TD

 

Beanie Wells - Pyro Character

Beanie Wells (at Sea) – The Seahawks defense has been chewed up on the ground a bit lately, so there’s actually a tiny ray of hope for Mr. Wells this weekend. However, most of the damage has come on the road and other than Adrian Peterson’s outburst in Seattle five weeks ago, they’ve been dominant playing at home. Beanie doesn’t quite have his legs back under him since his return from injury, anyway (70 yards on 32 carries; 2.2 YPC), so there’s no need to go pinning your playoff hopes on a hope and a prayer.

 

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

 

 

Larry Fitzgerald - Pyro Character

Larry Fitzgerald (at Sea) – This one’s a bit iffy for me with the Cardinals turning back to John Skelton as their quarterback this week. Fitzgerald was awesome in 2011 with Skelton under center and put up fairly decent fantasy numbers in the few games they played together this season. However, Seattle’s defense has shut down the passing game this year allowing the second-fewest passing touchdowns and third-fewest fantasy points to opposing wide receivers. With his immense talent, Fitz could surprise with a nice game here, but I wouldn’t count on him as more than a flex this week.

 

Dwayne Bowe - Pyro Character

Dwayne Bowe (at Cle) – Is Brady Quinn still the Chiefs starting quarterback? Yes? Well then there’s your reason to sit Dwayne Bowe in Week 14. If you need a little extra incentive to plop him on your bench this Sunday, consider that Bowe hasn’t had more than 79 yards in a game or caught a single touchdown pass since Week 4. Oh, and shutdown cornerback Joe Haden will be shadowing all game as well.

 

Denarius Moore - Pyro Character

Denarius Moore (vs. Den, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  4 catches - 43 yards - 0 TDs

 

Justin Blackmon - Pyro Character

Justin Blackmon (vs. NYJ) – With Cecil Shorts already declared out for the game, Blackmon will be out there on an island this weekend as the Jags’ only wide receiver with even a speck over mediocre-type talent. What that means is that the Jets will let one of the best cornerbacks in the game, Antonio Cromartie, shadow Blackmon all day long in order to eliminate him from the game. In fact, I’d almost start the 6’3”, undrafted Kevin Elliott (Cecil Shorts’ replacement) over Blackmon in this one.

 

Stevie Johnson - Pyro Character

Stevie Johnson (vs. StL) – Stevie J has played pretty well this season and scored a decent amount of fantasy points of late, but with a good chance of rain on Sunday and an already bummed out hamstring, I have a hard time believing he’ll put up any better than flex numbers this week. In case you didn’t know, Johnson isn’t much of a big-yardage guy, anyway, as he’s only had two 100-yard games in his last 34 contests. My guess is that CB Cortland Finnegan will be in his pocket all game long as well, so like I said—don’t expect much.

 

Brian Hartline - Pyro Character

Brian Hartline (at SF) – Here is how a normal passing play goes against the San Francisco 49ers:  Hike!  1.5 seconds later, the 49ers front seven are in the quarterback’s face and he’s either forced to throw the ball away; dump it off to a running back/tight end; toss it to a short-routed slot receiver; or take a sack. Basically, unless you’re either the slot receiver or named Calvin Johnson, you have no part in this game. Brian Hartline is neither, so you do the math.

 

 

TIGHT ENDS

 

 

Antonio Gates - Pyro Character

Antonio Gates (at Pit) – Is this really all you can give us Mr. Gates? Three games with double-digit fantasy points this season and a whopping EIGHT with fewer than six?! Simply unacceptable. So far, in the three games against the other AFC North teams this year (Baltimore, Cincinnati and Cleveland), Gates has put up a COMBINED 10 catches for 76 yards and zero touchdowns. Pittsburgh is the toughest of all three against opposing tight ends, so don’t expect too much from the future Hall-of-Famer in this one.

 

Jared Cook - Pyro Character

Jared Cook (at Ind) – Though he’s been targeted more often of late, this matchup with the Colts on Sunday doesn’t look like a winner for Mr. Jared Cook. He had three catches for 45 yards the first time these two teams hooked up back in Week 8, but Indianapolis has allowed the second-fewest receptions and sixth-fewest fantasy points to tight ends this season, so you can’t expect much more than that. Either way, you really can’t take a chance on a guy who has just one game with double-digit fantasy points on the year at this point.

 

Scott Chandler - Pyro Character

Scott Chandler (vs. StL) – Standing 6’7” with some pretty good hands, Scott Chandler is a threat to snag a touchdown any time the Bills get down into the red-zone. However, it’s really the only thing Chandler brings to the table as he’s caught two or fewer passes in seven of 12 games this season. If he was facing a different team, I’d say to go ahead and take your chances, but the Rams are one of only six teams to have allowed three or fewer touchdowns to tight ends this year.

 

 

 

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