Week 7
October 19, 2017
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Newsfeeds

View all + 8271

Minnesota Vikings

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:38 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Davante Adams

Green Bay Packers

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:37 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jimmy Graham

Seattle Seahawks

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:34 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marlon Mack

Indianapolis Colts

Turbin Done for Season


Colts HC Chuck Pagano expects RB Robert Turbin to miss rest of season with arm injury he suffered Monday night. Turbin has averaged 6+ touches per game over the past four weeks.

Fantasy Goo: This might seem insignificant, but I expect Marlon Mack will pick-up all of those touches. An extra 6 touches from Mack could mean a major boost in production. Grab him if you can, he’ll be explosive when Luck comes back.


10/17/17, 07:49 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys

Two More Weeks of Zeke


Ezekiel Elliott has been granted another temporary restraining order by the Southern District of New York, and will be allowed to play Week 7. The restraining order, is for 14 days. So it appears Elliott will also be good for Week 8.

Fantasy Goo: Hold off on all the Morris/McFadden love for a couple more weeks. If you have them you’re probably holding if you’re a contender, but I’d sell high to the Zeke owner if you can. This is gearing up for Zeke to be out during the fantasy playoffs.


10/17/17, 07:47 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Golladay. Celebrate


If we picked up Golladay
Take some time to celebrate
Just one day out of life
It would be, it would be so nice
Everybody spread the word
We’re gonna have a celebration

Every season there is that player that propels a team to the fantasy promise land. Kenny Golladay possesses that high upside potential down the stretch that can be invaluable. Golladay last played in week 3 before suffering a hamstring injury, and Matthew Stafford has missed his 213lb 6’4 receiver. After throwing for 7TDs in the first 3 weeks; Stafford has only thrown for 2TDs before exploding in week 6 against the Saints with 3 tosses. This was a result of the game being out of hand and being forced to throw 52 times. Golden Tate was injured in this game and word is he will be out a few weeks. The Lions are on a bye in week 7, which gives Tate a free week to rest, but more importantly gives Golladay a free week to get ready to explode on the scene once again at home in week 8 against the Steelers. Tate and Marvin Jones Jr are what they are at this point. Golladay gives Stafford the kind of big threat target that he has lacked since the Decepticon leader himself MEGATRON retired. You can’t teach height and talent, and that is a gunslingers favorite type of weapon to use.


10/17/17, 07:24 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Target


Kittle had a very average game this week catching four passes for 46 yards, but there could be some good news that came out of this game for him. C.J. Beathard has been named the starter for the rest of the season, and that was Kittle’s college quarterback, so you know there is immediate chemistry there that could pay nice dividends in the coming weeks


10/16/17, 05:36 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


Collins got the majority of the carries for the Ravens this week with 15 of them for 74 yards. He looks like he will be in a time share with Javorious Allen, but this was the first time we saw him take the majority of the carries, making him more interesting going forward.


10/16/17, 05:35 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Austin Hooper

Atlanta Falcons

Waiver Wire Target


Without Sanu the Falcons leaned a lot more on Hooper, who finished with seven receptions for 48 yards. He is becoming a bigger part of the Falcons offense, and he has big play potential that makes him a worthy add.


10/16/17, 05:34 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Ted Ginn Jr

New Orleans Saints

Waiver Wire Target


Ginn is the deep threat receiver for Drew Brees and they connected on a 20-yard score this week. Ginn finished with four receptions for 66 yards including that score. The Saints offense is lacking the big play and Ginn can provide the pop in the passing game.


10/16/17, 05:26 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Samaje Perine

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Target


Perine finally found the endzone this week, but his final stat line was not that pretty with nine carries for just 23 yards and three receptions for 24 yards and a touchdown. Samaje has lacked the big play, which has limited him in fantasy.


10/16/17, 05:25 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

Waiver Wire Target


Foreman got his customary 12 carries and this week gained 59 yards, but was once again held without a touchdown. He is getting a consistent workload, but he is not busting the big play to make him a worthy fantasy start.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


After a stellar week Wallace came back down to earth, catching three passes for 30 yards. Wallace is a boom or bust.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Kendall Wright

Chicago Bears

Waiver Wire Target


Wright was basically invisible this game with two catches for 36 yards, and did not make a catch until the third quarter. There is too much inconsistency in the Bears passing offense.


10/16/17, 05:22 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Adam Humphries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiver Wire Target


Humphries continued to be a decent part of the passing game, catching six passes for 51 yards this week. He was able to do this with Ryan Fitzpatrick having to come in for Winston, so it shows that Humphries is a regular part of their offense.


10/16/17, 05:21 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


C.J. Beathard

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Target


Beathard came in relief of Brian Hoyer, who was horrible, and finished with 245 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception. Kyle Shanahan has named Beathard the starting quarterback the rest of the season. He is only worth adding in deeper leagues, but he should also give you some yards on the ground.


10/16/17, 05:20 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Waiver Wire Target


Agholor was scooped up in a lot of leagues last week, and he stayed hot this week catching four passes for 55 yards with another touchdown. Nelson has become a favorite target of Carson Wentz, and he is getting favorable matchups with Jeffery and Ertz drawing most of the defensive attention.


10/16/17, 05:19 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Darren McFadden

Dallas Cowboys

Waiver Wire Target


Morris may already be taken in your league, but he will be sharing time with McFadden while Zeke sits on the sidelines. If you are in a deep league and need a flier, here he is.


10/16/17, 05:18 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Orleans Darkwa

New York Giants

Waiver Wire Target


Darkwa is the Giant running back that has emerged as the lead back for the team. He torched the Broncos defense for 117 yards on 21 carries and caught one pass for 13 yards. He showed some nice burst and that will likely get him another big workload in their next game.


10/16/17, 05:14 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com

Pyro pioneered the Targets, Touches and Looks piece back in 2010

2016 Year End Targets, Touches & Looks

Posted by d-Rx on 03/02/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

Targets, Touches & Looks for QBs

 

If you took the Top 10 quarterbacks from 2016 and ranked them by their Fantasy Points per Look (FP/Look), it would look like this:

 

#

Player

FP/Look

1

Matt Ryan

0.61

2

Aaron Rodgers

0.56

2

Dak Prescott

0.56

4

Marcus Mariota

0.51

5

Andrew Luck

0.50

5

Tyrod Taylor

0.50

7

Drew Brees

0.48

8

Kirk Cousins

0.47

9

Matthew Stafford

0.44

10

Andy Dalton

0.43

 

Now if you consider a baseline of 500 snaps, 30 QBs would qualify, and only 8 of these QBs registered at least 40 Looks per Game (Looks/G):

 

#

Player

Snaps

Looks/G

FP/Look

1

 Drew Brees

1151

43.50

0.48

2

 Joe Flacco

1111

43.44

0.34

3

 Blake Bortles

1111

42.69

0.38

4

 Aaron Rodgers

1066

42.31

0.56

5

 Carson Wentz

1127

40.81

0.32

6

 Carson Palmer

1045

40.80

0.39

7

 Andrew Luck

1013

40.60

0.50 

8

 Kirk Cousins

1063

40.00

0.47 

 

The average FP/Look among those 8 QBs was 0.43. Carson Palmer’s 0.39 FP/Look, Blake Bortles’ 0.38 FP/Look, Joe Flacco’s 0.34 FP/Look, and Carson Wentz’s 0.32 FP/Looks ranked in the bottom third among the 30 “eligible” QBs. On the other end of the 40+ Looks/G spectrum, Drew Brees led with 43.50 Looks/G; with Joe Flacco’s 43.44 very close behind. 


While Brees’ and Flacco’s Looks/G were very similar, their FP/Look output was not. 16 of the 30 QBs separated Brees (0.48 FP/Look) and Flacco (0.34 FP/Look). Brees didn’t dominate in that department, though. He ranked only 9th in FP/Look among the 30 QBs. At the top stood Aaron Rodgers’, Dak Prescott’s, and Tom Brady’s 0.56 FP/Look; but most notably, Matt Ryan’s 0.61 FP/Look. Rodgers stands out because he managed to achieve 0.56 FP/Look after accumulating 677 Looks; 108 more than the next guy (Matt Ryan)! Although, do not overlook that each of these 4 QBs ranked among the Top 5 in Comp % among the 30 QBs; each behind Sam Bradford’s 71.56 % (and his 0.39 FP/Look).


The most efficient or highest scoring QBs won’t always be the ones with the most looks, pass attempts, completions, yards, or even touchdowns. What stands out is that the most efficient and highest scoring QBs are those who can A) take snaps on the football field, and B) not throw interceptions. 7 of the Top 10 scoring QBs ranked in the bottom half of the 30 QBs who logged at least 500 snaps. For those 3 QBs who went a little interception-heavy, maintaining a 2:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio kind of helped.


Neat facts are fun, therefore:

9 of the Top 10 scoring QBs ranked in the Top 15 in rushing touchdowns among all QBs. The only QB that failed to score a rushing touchdown was the 2016 NFL MVP himself, Matt Ryan.

 

 

targets, touches & looks 2016 year end for QBs chart

Click here to enlarge chart

 

 

 

Targets, Touches & Looks for RBs

 

If you took the Top 10 running backs from standard scoring in 2016 and ranked them by their Fantasy Points per Look (FP/Look), it would look like this:

 

#

Player

FP/Look

1

LeSean McCoy

0.84

2

Ezekiel Elliott

0.81

3

David Johnson

0.79

3

Devonta Freeman

0.79

5

LeGarrette Blount

0.74

6

Mark Ingram

0.73

7

Le’Veon Bell

0.68

8

Jordan Howard

0.67

8

Melvin Gordon

0.67

10

DeMarco Murray

0.66

 

Now if you consider a baseline of 500 snaps, only 23 RBs would qualify, and just 8 of these RBs registered at least 20 looks per game (Looks/G):

 

#

Player

Snaps

Looks/G

FP/Look

1

LeVeon Bell

781

29.58

0.68

2

David Johnson

964

25.81

0.79

3

Ezekiel Elliott

716

24.13

0.81

4

Melvin Gordon

659

23.92

0.67

5

DeMarco Murray

861

22.50

0.66

6

Lamar Miller

623

21.93

0.52

7

Todd Gurley

742

21.00

0.46

8

Jordan Howard

654

20.13

0.67

 

The average FP/Look among those 8 RBs was 0.66, yet only 2 of them failed to meet the average. Lamar Miller’s 0.52 FP/Look and Todd Gurley’s 0.46 FP/Look ranked 20th and 22nd respectively among the 23 “qualified” RBs. On the other end of the 20+ Looks/G spectrum, Le’Veon Bell dominated with 29.58 Looks/G; 3.77 Looks more than David Johnson who finished second.


It was Johnson though who made the most use out of his looks; scoring 0.79 FP/Look to Bell’s 0.68. Johnson didn’t dominate in that department, though. He ranked 3rd in FP/Look among the 23 RBs, behind Ezekiel Elliott’s 0.81 and LeSean McCoy’s 0.84. McCoy stands out because he managed to lead in FP/Look after ranking only 13th in looks, 10th in looks per game, 9th in snaps, and 15th in looks per snap among the 23 RBs with over 500 snaps. Elliott, on the other hand, finished 2nd in FP/Look after finishing 2nd in looks, 3rd in looks per game, 5th in snaps, and 3rd in looks per snap among the same field.


One way or another, while a high volume of looks will generate attractive RB numbers, it’s not a sustainable approach. Picking out RBs, especially those receiving looks behind an above average offensive line, who will make the most use out of their looks to score points, will yield the greatest results.


Neat facts are fun, therefore:

36 RBs registered 150 or more looks in 2016, but only one these 36 managed to score at least 1 fantasy point per look. His name is Tevin Coleman.

 

targets, touches & looks 2016 year end for RBs chart

Click here to enlarge chart

 

 

 

Targets, Touches & Looks for WRs

 

If you took the Top 10 wide receivers from standard scoring in 2016 and ranked them by their Fantasy Points per Look (FP/Look), it would look like this:

 

#

Player

FP/Look

1

Davante Adams

1.40

2

Brandin Cooks

1.37

2

Jordy Nelson

1.37

2

Julio Jones

1.37

5

Michael Thomas

1.35

6

Antonio Brown

1.28

7

Doug Baldwin

1.21

8

Mike Evans

1.19

9

T.Y. Hilton

1.17

10

Odell Beckham Jr.

1.15

 

Now if you consider a baseline of 700 snaps, only 61 WRs would qualify, and nearly 25% of these WRs registered at least 9 looks per game (Looks/G):

 

#

Player

Snaps

Looks/G

FP/Look

1

 Julian Edelman

876

10.75

0.76

2

 Mike Evans

950

10.69

1.19

3

 Odell Beckham Jr.

1002

10.63

1.15

4

 Antonio Brown

975

10.47

1.28

5

 T.Y. Hilton

949

9.69

1.17

6

 Jordy Nelson

1015

9.50

1.37

7

 Larry Fitzgerald

1052

9.50

0.90

8

 DeAndre Hopkins

1085

9.44

0.79

9

 Allen Robinson

1047

9.38

0.83

10

 Terrelle Pryor

900

9.31

0.89

11

 Julio Jones

708

9.21

1.37

12

 Emmanuel Sanders

861

9.20

0.97

13

 Michael Crabtree

832

9.06

1.02

14

 Golden Tate

866

9.06

0.90

15

 Demaryius Thomas

882

9.00

0.93

 

The average FP/Look among those 15 WRs was 1.03, yet 60% of them failed to meet the average. Michael Crabtree’s 1.02 FP/Look, Emmanuel Sanders’ 0.97 FP/Look, Demaryius Thomas’ 0.93 FP/Look, Larry Fitzgerald’s 0.90 FP/Look, Golden Tate’s 0.90 FP/Look, Terrelle Pryor’s 0.89 FP/Look, Allen Robinson’s 0.82 FP/Look and DeAndre Hopkins’ 0.79 FP/Look were bottom 50% among the 61 “eligible” WRs. On the other end of the 9+ Look spectrum, Julian Edelman led with 10.75 looks per game; with Mike Evans’ 10.69, Odell Beckham Jr.’s 10.63 and Antonio Brown’s 10.47 close behind.


It was Brown though who made the most use out of his looks; scoring 1.28 FP/Look to Evans’ 1.19, Beckham Jr.’s 1.15, and Edelman’s 0.76. Brown didn’t dominate in that department, though. He ranked 6th in FP/Look among the 61 WRs; behind Michael Thomas’ 1.35, Jordy Nelson’s 1.37, Brandin Cooks’ 1.37, Julio Jones’ 1.37, and Davante Adams’ 1.40. Although Edelman led in Looks, Looks/G, Touches, and Looks/Snap, as well as finished Top 5 in Targets and Receptions among the 61 WRs, he finished only 55th among them in FP/Look. Adams, on the other hand, led in FP/Look after finishing only 24th in Looks, 25th in Looks/G, 21st in Targets, 21st in Receptions, 23rd in Touches, and 35th in Looks/Snap among the same field.


When deciphering looks from a wide receiver’s standpoint (most importantly in a standard scoring league), while a high volume of snaps, targets, and touches correlate to a talented fantasy WR, touchdowns are what carry them to the top. Seeking value from those WRs who acquire a high volume of snaps and looks with an above average number of targets in the red zone is going to provide you with weekly scoring consistency.


Neat facts are fun, therefore:

While DeAndre Hopkins and Allen Robinson finished 8th and 9th among all WRs in Looks, they finished 61st and 66th respectively in Catch % among WRs who accumulated 75 or more Looks. Moral of the story? If you want a high FP/Look, you must first catch the football.

 

targets, touches & looks 2016 year end for WRs chart

Click here to enlarge chart

 

 

Targets, Touches & Looks for TEs

 

If you took the Top 10 tight ends from standard scoring in 2016 and ranked them by their Fantasy Points per Target (FP/Tgt), it would look like this:

 

#

Player

FP/Tgt

1

Martellus Bennett

1.55

2

Cameron Brate

1.39

3

Jimmy Graham

1.31

4

Delanie Walker

1.21

5

Travis Kelce

1.16

6

Jordan Reed

1.15

7

Antonio Gates

1.02

8

Zach Ertz

1.00

9

Greg Olsen

0.97

10

Kyle Rudolph

0.95

 

Now if you consider a baseline of 700 snaps, only 19 TEs would qualify, and only 7 of these TEs registered at least 6 Targets per Game (Tgts/G):

 

#

Player

Snaps

Tgts/G

FP/Tgt

1

 Kyle Rudolph

969

8.25

0.95

2

 Greg Olsen

1033

8.06

0.97

3

 Zach Ertz

851

7.57

1.00

4

 Dennis Pitta

811

7.56

0.69

5

 Travis Kelce

888

7.31

1.16

6

 Delanie Walker

707

6.80

1.21

7

 Eric Ebron

708

6.54

0.98

 

The average FP/Tgt among those 6 TEs was 0.99. Dennis Pitta’s 0.69 FP/Tgt ranked dead last among the 19 “eligible” TEs. On the other end of the 6+ Tgts/G spectrum, Kyle Rudolph led with 8.25 Tgts/G; with Greg Olsen’s 8.06 and Zach Ertz’s 7.57 close behind.


The trio of Rudolph, Olsen, and Ertz made similar usage out of their targets; scoring 1.00 FP/Tgt, 0.97 FP/Tgt, and 0.95 FP/Tgt, respectively. It wasn’t any of these three TEs that dominated in the FP/Tgt department, though. Rudolph ranked 9th, Olsen ranked 11th, and Ertz ranked 12th among the 19 TEs. Travis Kelce’s 1.16 FP/Tgt, Delanie Walker’s 1.21 FP/Tgt, Jimmy Graham’s 1.31 FP/Tgt, Cameron Brate’s 1.39 FP/Tgt, and Martellus Bennett’s dominant 1.55 FP/Tgt were the cream of the crop.


Similar to wide receivers, when deciphering looks from a pass-catching tight end’s standpoint (most importantly in a standard scoring league), those tight ends who operate under a high volume of snaps and targets will obviously provide you with the most consistent weekly scoring output. Typically, though, if a TE posts a 1 reception for 1 yard and a touchdown line, he will provide you with a TE1 week.


Neat facts are fun, therefore:

While he was a Top 10 TE in scoring, Targets, and Tgts/G, Antonio Gates averaged only 39 snaps per game in his 15 games. In his 585 snaps, though, Gates finished 3rd among all TEs in Targets per Snap and led all TEs who registered at least 500 snaps. If anyone’s going to put up a fight against those writing him off and/or those asking him to step aside for a younger TE, it’s going to be Antonio Gates.

 

 

targets, touches & looks 2016 year end for TEs chart

Click here to enlarge chart

 

 

Charts by @PyroLytics & words by @WazNFL