Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Designing the Perfect Fantasy QB

Designing the Perfect Fantasy QB

Posted by d-Rx on 11/09/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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designing the perfect fantasy QB

 

 

Designing the Perfect Fantasy QB

 

 

Have you ever wished you could be a mad scientist and create a football team of mutated supermen?  What if through some breakthrough in genetic engineering we were able to make the perfect player, for fantasy domination. This guy would be the unquestioned number one player at his position.  Every player in the league has strengths and weaknesses, and it is up to me to harness these strengths and put together a player, mutating the best features of each into the perfect Fantasy stud, albeit mutated.  The quarterback is the most important position on the football field so that is where our genetic experiment will begin.

 


The quarterback mutation will be built on 11 different criteria blended together to make the perfect player at the position.  These 11 genetic mutations are: Speed, Athleticism, Size, Arm Strength, Accuracy, Touch, Decision Making, Presence, Balls, Toughness, and Bravado.  He will also be surrounded with an offense that will make him impossible to stop. We must choose one player at his position to take an attribute from and each player can only be “harvested” once. Let us begin our experiment:

 


Speed – Like him or not Mike Vick is the fastest man to ever play the quarterback position. Mike Vick is one of those guys that are so fast he has two forty times, those that are rumored like a 4.25 and those that have been confirmed such as a 4.36 at a rookie minicamp for the Falcons or a 4.33 at his pro day. During his time in Atlanta Vick set records all the time with his running prowess including posting the most rushing yards ever by a quarterback in a season with 1,039 yards. There was also a game in 2002 where Vick was unreal against the Rams rushing 29 times for 289 yards and a score. Too bad Andy Reid refuses to run a few designed runs for Vick these days or we could get to see more of one of the most electric players in NFL history.

 


Athleticism – My quarterback will be given the athleticism of none other than the amazing Robert Griffin the Third. RG3 was a world class athlete not just in football but also in track and field. At the combine he was able to run a 4.4 forty, the fastest 40 of a quarterback in this years draft, put up a 10 foot broad jump, and post a 39” inch vertical.  This guy has receiver like athleticism as a quarterback and that is why he is the perfect specimen for our subject.  He not only has great peripheral numbers but he has been able to translate those into stats at the NFL level. In 7 games this year he has rushed 64 times for 478 yards, a tremendous 7.3 YPC number and also score 6 times. That means over the course of the season our quarterback will get you 100 extra points on his rushing yards and 72 more when he finds the end-zone at least 12 times.

 


Size – When talent evaluators talk about prototypical size for the quarterback position they are talking about Cam Newton.  He is massively big, the size of a tight end for most teams at 6’5” 250 pounds. At this size he is able to withstand those hits he is going to take through the course of the season. With just size and speed alone our quarterback might be the Billion Dollar Man. At this size, coupled with his speed he will be a wrecking ball through defenses into the end-zone, too big for defensive backs and too fast for anyone in the front seven.

 


Arm Strength – I am tempted to choose Jamarcus Russell as the candidate here, with the ability to launch a ball 80 yards from his knee, but it seems as if his blood has been laced with Nyquil.  My second choice would be Jay Cutler.  Cutler has a canon which allows him to make every NFL throw and launch it downfield when set in the pocket or on the run. He can throw from the opposite hash to the next sideline without even batting an eyelash. Our specimens ability to fit the ball into tight spaces will be a major force throughout the season, let’s hope those receivers have some strong hands.


 

Accuracy – This one might be the most obvious of all, there is no better choice than Drew Brees. Drew set the record for completion percentage in a season at 71.2% last season, making him the most accurate quarterback EVER. Our specimen will be able to find the open guy and have him catch it in the perfect spot all year long. He has innate ability to throw the ball where no one else can touch it and has great ball placement, it is a magical thing watching Drew put the ball on the back shoulder of a receiver whenever he wants to.

 


Touch – Touch is one of the more underrated aspects of an NFL passer, it is usually used to talk about guys with a lack of arm strength and therefore is sort of a castoff in making a great NFL passer. Touch is something that is also said about a lot of the shorter quarterbacks in the league as they have to throw over bigger lineman and defenders on every play. Matt Ryan might not be the shortest quarterback in the league but he displays great touch. Whether it is lofting over linebackers in the middle of the field to hit Gonzo or throwing it over the corner and safety to a streaking Julio Jones.

 


Decision Making – Our quarterback will be able to process decisions like the best in the business, Aaron Rodgers. Rodger’s is the best decision maker in the NFL, every quarterback in the league is going to throw a few interceptions but Aaron Rodgers has one of the best rates EVER! The specimen would be able to assess the situation and attack in the best way possible, hitting an open receiver and rarely being picked off for those negative points. A TD to INT ratio of 45:6 last season for Rodgers is amazing and it helps that last season this guy put up the BEST QB rating in a season of all time while also having the best QB rating for a career by almost 8 full points!

 


Presence – Presence is one of those things I can’t justify to you with numbers except for winning percentage, but the guy we will sample for this has a career winning percentage of 67.3, while not the best it certainly is right up there. Peyton Manning just has a commanding presence and you can tell by simply watching any game he has played in over the last ten years, he can make accurate checks at the line of scrimmage, demand respect from his teammates, and get more out of each and every one of them when they are on the field with him. This guy is a field general and he makes his presence felt so strongly that you can feel it resonate through your TV screen. With a presence like this no one will question our specimen about his disposition or leadership skills.

 


Balls – This guy is currently on a start streak of 137 games in the regular and post season, Eli Manning. He always seems to play well on the biggest stage, winning 2 Superbowl rings already and as the centerpiece of the Giants it is hard not to imagine him getting a few more. With the brass in between this guy’s legs we will be able to count on him being in the lineup every time the team takes the field, and no matter the score this guy will be in the game. If the team is down our quarterback will have the resiliency to fight and bring his team back. Eli already has 23 4th quarter comebacks and I am sure that no team wants to be up less than a touchdown in the fourth quarter with this guy at the helm. If nothing else, if our quarterback ever suffers a concussion no one will ever know because of Eli’s facial expressions already look concussed.

 


ToughnessBen Roethlisberger is one of the toughest dudes in the league, constantly getting slammed to the ground and consistently getting back up and leading his team into the endzone. The Steelers have always been known as the smash-mouth team around NFL circles and Big Ben is about as smash-mouth as you get from the Quarterback position, when you picture a blue collar grinder that plays the quarterback position is there anyone else you can think of then Roesthlisberger. His toughness always stands out when you watch Steelers games and his team looks like they will battle with him through anything.

 


Bravado – Finally our quarterback will have the bravado of Tom Brady. He will have so much swagger it’s contagious, making those around him feel up to the cause. His Bravado will be a blend of balls, toughness, presence, leadership, and probably some sweet endorsement deals, sorry Dodge Dart BMW’s only for this guy, to make him the baddest man on the planet.

 


There you have it the makings of a perfect fantasy QB, the speed of Mike Vick, athleticism of RG3, the size of Cam Newton, the arm strength of Jay Cutler, the accuracy of Drew Brees, the touch of Matt Ryan, the decision making of Aaron Rodgers, the presence of Peyton Manning, the balls of Eli Manning, the toughness of Big Ben, and finally the bravado of Tom Brady.

 


A projected stat line for the man, the myth, the legend: 440 completions, 600 attempts, for 5,500 yards 52 Touchdowns to 8 Interceptions. 125 rushes 1,000 yards and 16 Touchdowns and 4 fumbles lost.Total Fantasy Points: 600 Fantasy Points. Fantasy Points per Game: 37.5

 


To make best use out of this guy we will have to put him in a talented offense, so why not the Atlanta Falcons, here is what they possess a solid offensive line, a run game boosted by our QB’s rushing prowess, two great receivers, a great tight end and an underrated slot guy, with our QB at the helm this would be amazing to watch.

 

 

by: Stagg Party