March 21, 2018


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Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

The Search Is On

Former Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart is visiting the Seahawks today, source says. Seattle is looking at all options to get that ground game going.

This would be an interesting landing spot for Stewart, but no RB available in free agency is going to do spit behind this Swiss-cheese O-line.

03/09/18, 09:13 PM CST by Wheeler


New York Giants

Building Blocks

NFL draft insider Tony Pauline says "belief" around the league is free agent OG Andrew Norwell signing with the Giants is "a done deal."
The top guard on the market, Norwell was one of ex-Panthers GM Dave Gettleman's most-prized discoveries as an undrafted free agent. Gettleman now runs the Giants, who have needs all over the line.

I like anything the Giants can do to repair this disheveled O-line. Building a line through free-agency is almost always a better option than through the draft, but I would still like to see them trade back in the draft and grab Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame.

03/09/18, 09:11 PM CST by Wheeler


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11

The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.

02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left

New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.

02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz

Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.

02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids

The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.

02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs

The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.

02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back

Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.

01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?

Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.

01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again

Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.

01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand

Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.

01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler


Tips for fantasy football - advice - guys swimming after a football

Fantasy Football Tips To Stay Sharp This Offseason (Pyro Collaborative April 4th, 2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 04/04/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Offseason strategy by The Hartbeat:


There is no offseason for the NFL, immediately after their Super Bowl campaigns Bill Belichick turned straight to Free Agency and shook up the foundation of the team, spending $40 million on a new CB1 to replace the two starting Super Bowl Champion cornerbacks who departed the team (or is expected to in the coming days). Mike Shanahan flew out to the Bay Area and joined new GM, John Lynch, as Head Coach of the rebuilding 49ers that had a complete void at the quarterback position. Just like the NFL, your fantasy football rivals, otherwise known as friends, are also gearing up to kick your ass in the upcoming season too, as a wise man once said “Those who hesitate, masturbate”. You don’t want to be sitting around in December as your fantasy team actively shits the bed with your genitals in your hand waiting for something to happen.


This is the time of the year where you put in the research to figure out how you are going to put your team together in a way that will allow you to succeed. From the time you get your post Super Bowl hangover until the time that the NFL season kicks off with new fantasy action, this is the time to identify who are going to be your guys that you will roll with in the upcoming season. Figuring out who are going to be your guys, the core of your team is simple, who do you like routing for? Having players that you genuinely like on your fantasy team makes a huge difference, these are going to be the guys who you follow on twitter and Instagram to try to get a better idea if their minor foot injury is going to be inactive, play through the pain, or just go out there and be a decoy the whole game. Plus it makes fantasy a hell of a lot more fun when you are routing for the guys you like and they’re winning you money from your friends.


Once you know the guys that you are going to target then you have to figure out where you can grab them in the draft. Also, please be realistic. You’re not going to be able to draft Le’Veon, David Johnson and Zeke Elliot so it doesn’t make sense to entertain that idea. In order to figure out where you can grab these guys you have to mock drafts in order to get an idea as to how they will be valued. Go to and have the ability to see where guys will fall. If you are in a recurring league where you will know your draft position this is just an added bonus as you can select where you want to draft from and in what league format applies best to your league.



Offseason tips by Waz:


I consider the offseason to be the most important, and exciting, time of the Fantasy Football season. During this time, NFL teams are either negotiating their players’ contacts, letting their free agents walk, or engaging in trades. For my season-long leagues, the offseason presents a fresh canvas to be painted, whereas, in my dynasty leagues, I look forward to the rookies being divvied among myself and other owners via a draft. While NFL teams are busy either cutting or shuffling their decks, many owners are doing the same for their Fantasy Football teams.


After the Super Bowl, the first thing I begin to focus in on is the Combine. It’s not at the start of the Combine where the focus begins, but it is the weeks that lead up to it that I devote most of it. Every offseason, I devote hours watching the tape of Combine invitees on DraftBreakdown. I don’t take a lot of notes, but I take some. Often, I find a prospect that stands out among his peers. When I find one of those players, I find every scouting report that I can on them, study it, and cross-reference each one against the rest. I do not intend to align myself with the opinions or, at times, natural bias within the reports. Instead, I bounce my opinions off of them and question either why they align, or most importantly, are not aligned with theirs. Regardless, I put the work in and I strengthen my opinions by understanding the opinions of others.


After the Combine, my opinions are either slightly strengthened or weakened with each player’s measured metrics. Yet, I will not let a poor 40-yard dash time drop a player that I like off my radar. Trust what you have learned in the tape and don’t let the numbers be the say-all. At this stage, my rankings show signs of rigidity, although they continue to remain fluid. Additionally, Combine results may shine a light on players that I may not have focused enough time on yet.


After the Draft is where my offseason analysis, rankings, and projections become even more rigid. From here, you get an idea of which rookies will have an immediate impact, which will have an impact in one-to-three seasons, as well as how the situation looks for veterans. Some veterans will drop in value while others will rise. Offensive schemes will come to fruition and from projecting and understanding those, you will be able to develop analytical and methodical opinions that will act as the backbone for your own finalized tiers, rankings, and projections.


Furthermore, I join a dozen or more MFL10 best ball leagues that give me an understanding of average draft position (ADP) and similarly-related drafting trends. Getting a head start on consensus ADP and being able to monitor habits of drafters gives you an advantage when it’s time to draft for your season-long or dynasty leagues. Gaining insight of how the drafts fall, whether through the repletion of MFL10s or mock drafts, should pay off dividends.


In the end, if there’s one piece of advice that I can give to people during the offseason, it’s that while you are faced with a plethora of opinions, rankings, and bias, do not lean too heavily on them. There will be many fronts and paths that you will be faced with and could follow. It will become overwhelming and you could be left in a stressful situation come your league’s draft since everything you’ve read or heard is all over the place. If you want to avoid situations like these or have a platform that you can trust for continued success, put in the work and lead by example.



PK Ripper’s Offseason:

I approach the offseason the same way I always do during the fantasy football season because for me there is no offseason. I am a fanatic my wife thinks I'm nuts (until I bring home the $poil$) and my friends who are league mates are always scrambling late August into early September to catch up to speed.


So where to start? Well picture this super bowl is over so is the previous season, now is the time to look back at your fantasy teams and see what you did wrong and what you did right, then look at end of season tiers and stats and look for team tendencies and retain that knowledge and keep tabs on free agency, coaches movement and the NFL draft. You can never be too prepared you must have the foresight to know which players will be next man up if a situation occurs and make sure you are ready to take advantage. Run mock drafts, (A LOT OF MOCKS!) at least one a week, so you can be familiar with ADP and try to build your teams different every time go RB/WR in one draft then go WR/WR in another and so on. Keep switching it up the point is to find which types of teams you feel good about ex: balanced, RB heavy or zero RB or QB & TE strength based this also will help you to be able to adapt on the fly when you draft and certain players you hoped for come off the board without panic.

Remember failing to prepare is preparing to fail.....


Stagg Party’s Offseason Tip:


One thing I am focusing harder on this offseason than any other is the team stats, not only for selfish reasons like wanting to be an NFL coaching staffs stat resource, but also it is really the first layer of fantasy football rankings and projections. When I talk about team stats I am not just talking about last year, but typically a three-year window for a team, what does said team like to do? Where do they like to throw, when do they like to throw, how far do they like to throw, in which direction do they like to throw, who plays receiver in that direction, etc, until the end of days. Team stats are so deep and varying, from formation usage to play calling when trailing, it can teach us so much about the game and lead us to better decisions in fantasy football.


Here is an example we know a team can only run a certain number of plays in any given game, and they typically run a range of plays near their average number of plays over the course of time, we can use this to figure out the likely number of plays in a season. Hypothetically we can also know that when a team is in a competitive game they will run the ball nearly as much as they throw it (50% run 50% pass). We now know what is likely to be the quarterbacks passing attempts. Using ball distribution by the quarterbacks over the last three years, we can then get a pretty strong idea of how many targets will go to the running back, wide receiver, and tight end positions. This allows us to make much more informed projections and rankings based off of what the numbers say.


There are so many interesting numbers and tendencies to look at on the team level, and gathering and digesting as many as you can, makes your decision making even more accurate. The applications understanding the team at the highest level are constantly progressing, and I like to stay with those trends.



d-Rx is tippin' better than Pippen:


The NFL has done a remarkable job of never letting forget that it is the most popular league in America. It seems like they never sleep, they don’t want to give the NBA or NHL even a fighting chance at grabbing fans from the NFL during it’s offseason. There is no offseason for the NFL, and you have to take the same approach if you want to become a perennial champion in everything fantasy that you due in any given season.



Our Twitter bio reads: “Winning fantasy football championships is a year-round process. We cover the relationship between human beings & the NFL, year round.” – and it’s a way life for us here at I’d say using Twitter religiously and making sure you are following all the beat writers, players, team handles and figureheads in the fantasy football industry is a terrific starting place for you to stay on top of it all from a most recent news standpoint. But on top of that, there are amazing people that are posting great charts, fantasy concepts and thoughtful really deep fantasy mindshare on Twitter. Stagg Party (@PyroStag), The Hartbeat (@pyro_hartbeat) and Waz (@WazNFL) are a couple of them, and here is a list of some other folks and outlets on Twitter that you should follow and will certainly learn a ton from:

@Cianaf, @FantasyADHD, @CDCarter13, @friscojosh, @MikeTagliereNFL, @ProFootballTalk, @RapSheet, @AlbertBreer, @FO_ScottKacsmar, @FO_ScottKacsmar, @Pat_Thorman, @AdamSchefter, @FFesq, @MikeReiss@SharpFootball, @beerswater, @ScottBarrettDFB, @PFF_Fantasy


Anyway, you get the idea – follow us and those and our boy Waz is coming up with a terrific directory of people to follow on Twitter and sites to use to help bring your fantasy football prowess up to the next level.



Start ‘em early and refine ‘em often. Listen to our podcasts on the subject, watch our videos, read our Tiers pieces and see our updated version – but make them your own. Do your first version of tiers before or just after the NFL draft and then massage them throughout the offseason, preseason and training camps leading up to your draft – this exercise alone will have you prepared for your draft. We’ve all heard it many times before from people in our leagues – “I haven’t studied at all” – guess what dumbass, I’m about to tool on your like a Killer Whale does a seal - I created my first round of Tiers in April 5 months ago. Get it going early, be prepared - be ahead of the game, not a Picasso level cram job artist.


Monitor Offseason Moves by NFL Teams:

I like to look at offseason moves that each NFL team is making at a high level, and especially tend to pay attention to the offensive line. Who are teams signing, what void does that player fill, and how will it effect other players already on the team the upcoming season. Draft choices are important at many positions, it shows what a team thinks it needs thus who they have faith in and who they don't. Which players are returning from injury, will they be full-go in training camps, have they participated in OTAs - are they gonna bite you in the ass if you pick them in the third round (I'm looking at your Jamaal Charles). Coaching changes can be huge obvoously -it can change an offense so much, alter the confidence and timing of even the best players in a huge way, I mean look at Matt Ryan in year 1 under Shannon vs. what he did last year, in his second in that offense. Pay attention to all of these things - and use the intel to help you define your tiered rankings.




ØC's Offseason Tips and Trix



Create your Beat Writer list on Twitter to follow the most recent transactions throughout the off-season. Keep a few main stream guys like Ian Rapoport or Adam Schefter, but following specific writers on specific teams is the best way to get news straight from the source.

Off-Season League Involvement

Stay on top of your league. Not only does this keep everyone involved throughout the off-season (which makes it go quicker), but it will also nullify the drop-out rate. Fun ways to determine draft order can be incorporated in your “dawg days of summer” plan. For example:

My friends and family league (going on 6 years) has seen one person drop out. I believe this is due to the “extreme vetting” processes I put these people through as well as keeping them engaged throughout the year. For determining draft order, we utilize other fantasy platforms for the March Madness tournament, Masters, and NHL playoffs. A point system for how everyone performs in each determines the order in which someone gets to choose their draft position. So from early March to late June, all the league members are actively involved and working towards improving their draft position. There are hundreds of ways to choose draft order, but only a few keep you engaged year round.


NFL Draft

It goes without saying, everyone should watch the draft to determine current players that are getting pushed out or forced into a competition. Are you looking at a sleeper QB this year? Glennon for example? What if Chicago drafts a top quarterback? Immediately, Glennon is under pressure to perform with a popular rookie breathing down his neck. There are always consequences from each draft pick to consider.



Using the draft kit, anyone can create and update their own tiers. I like to start my tiers in July right before training camp due to the ridiculous amount of movement throughout the league. Then, I can begin to perfect my rankings based on camp battles, injuries, trades, releases, etc. Remember to keep on top of your tiers weekly and base said revisions on YOUR evaluations. Use the eye test and reports coming from each camp. Try to steer clear of the hive mind or trends that seem to inflate certain players for sometimes benign reasons. Stay true to what you believe and use the tools at hand.


Mock, Mock, Mock

Do at least one mock draft per week until August (with 4-5 mocks per week leading up to your draft) with the tiers you’ve created. Don’t believe a word of the “Post Mock Analysis” bull shit Yahoo or ESPN spits out. Those are based on their own projections that sometimes include Madden stats. Notice the trends and players who tend to shoot up the ADP list based on conjecture. Oh, Sam Bradford is having an “excellent” camp? Is he really worth the inflated 7th round draft price based on a coach’s opinion? Dont fall into the trap of drafting the way the other managers draft.



If you’re struggling between players to keep on your “love” or “watch” list, make sure you know what kind of scheme or offense the coach tends to favor. Also, a skill position player on a team with a stout defense will mean more offensive opportunities for them. It’s always great to know the parameters in which said player is limited to or working within.





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