May 23, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Derek Carr is on a roll, not even a busted up finger can slow him down in fantasy football for Week 14

Fantasy Football Weekly Matchups - Week 14

Posted by d-Rx on 12/08/16

by   The Archer


More Articals


All Scoring and Rankings Reflect Standard Scoring



Thursday, December 8, 2016


Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs; Over/Under: 47.5


Weekly Matchups - Week 14 - Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs

The Oakland Raiders had another big comeback victory in which they got going on the offensive side of the ball later in the game. Derek Carr led the late game charge and even with his broken pinky and is the eighth QB in fantasy. Carr will have a tough matchup however as the Chiefs were one of two teams to hold him under double-digit fantasy points this season. Latavius Murray had another two-touchdown game and has reestablished himself as the lead back in this offense making him a weekly RB2 and the Chiefs are middle of the road against RBs having avoided Murray earlier in the season. Amari Cooper and Michael Crabtree are both locked in as starters and each possess high weekly upside and Seth Roberts seems to be an every week threat to score. Mychal Rivera had a top-12 week and Clive Walford has also emerged as of late, but they eat into each others value making them fantasy irrelevant at this time. When you look back at how the Raiders faired against the Chiefs earlier in the season it looks bleak as they scored just 10 points but remember it was in awful weather.


The Kansas City Chiefs got a big win on the road in Atlanta and look primed for another playoff berth. Alex Smith may be the king of check down Charlie’s but is expected to get Jeremy Maclin back giving him a full complement of weapons for the first time in a long time. The Raiders have started to play better on defense as of late, so this isn’t the tasty matchup he had earlier in the season making Alex Smith a backend QB2 seemingly like always. Spencer Ware gets the best matchup of the bunch and already torched the Raiders for 22 fantasy points earlier this season, fire him up. Maclin is a hard sell to start in the first round of your playoffs, and looks more like a WR4 this week because of the unknown, his return also knocks down Tyreek Hill to a similar range with the other guys remaining in fantasy wasteland. Travis Kelce is coming in on a three game stretch of 100-yarders and the matchup is tough, but he posted just 24 receiving yards in their previous matchup. Kelce has been one of the most consistent tight ends on the season, so start him and Ware but I’d be weary of the wide receivers in this game.

by Stagg Party


Sunday, December 11, 2016


Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills; Over/Under: 47.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Steelers @ Bills

The Pittsburgh Steelers were able to roll over the Giants in what was supposed to be a matchup of two outstanding quarterbacks from the same draft class, but only one really showed up. Big Ben gets a Buffalo team that is more middle of the road on defense than anything and you get the home/road splits argument, but I find him tough to sit in any given week. Le’Veon Bell is a monster and should be in your lineups, same with Antonio Brown who is back to being the number one receiver in fantasy. Eli Rogers plays the most snaps of their secondary receivers but hasn’t been highly involved with the emergence of Ladarius Green who has assumed the role of deep threat down the middle and has been adding some redzone help as well. Green is a guy to pick up as there are few better offenses to be tied to and can make an impact with his speed at the position. Outside of the Killer B’s consider green a back-end tight end one with huge boom bust potential, but that isn’t much different than any of the tight ends in the league.


The Buffalo Bills blew a sizable lead last week against the Raiders and took a big shot to their playoff hopes as well. Tyrod Taylor got off to a great start in that game but ended up with a below average stat line when all is said and done. Against the Steelers who are allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks, he looks more like a QB2 this week. LeSean McCoy is locked and loaded as a top-five running back this week, and your only real concerns are that Mike Gillislee was used as the goalline back last week and it is something that could continue especially as the Steelers allow fantasy points to running backs at a high rate. Sammy Watkins was involved early, played a good amount of snaps, and got open on some deep routes, making him a low end wide receiver two, but the Steelers have been tough against opposing wide receivers as of late. I refuse to write up Charles Clay and he shouldn’t be in your lineup let along in your starting lineup during the fantasy playoffs.

by Stagg Party


Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans; Over/Under: 43.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Broncos @ Titans

Denver is coming off a victory while missing their starting quarterback as their defense took care of most of the heavy lifting. Trevor Siemian is expected to be back this week and that means good things for this entire offense, especially in a plus matchup. The Titans allow the fifth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks making Siemian an interesting streaming or DFS option. Devontae Booker is locked in at running back with Kapri Bibbs being placed on IR, but the Titans are a lot worse against the pass then the run. Justin Forsett joined the team this week and should be immediately mixed back in, as he is familiar with the Kubiak system from multiple stops from earlier in his career. You can consider him an interesting pick up if you are desperate for an RB down the line. Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders are both high end WR2’s in a plus matchup against the Titans that have allowed eight top-14 weeks to receivers over their last six games. Even after cutting Perrish Cox recently who many in the DFS target as an awful corner, there is still a reason he was starting over the guys behind him, remember that. At tight end, here is a tip from years of believing in Virgil Green, just look elsewhere.


Tennessee is coming off a bye week and their most interesting story early in the week is if their players could wear specialized cleats to support their cause this week. Marcus Mariota will have his toughest matchup of the season, and could struggle, but he is coming off the bye and at home, giving him some upside as the team competes for a playoff spot.  If I have better options I can see playing them over Mariota, but if it isn’t a proven guy I may stick with the guy who got me to the playoffs. DeMarco Murray is locked in as he has had a week to rest his foot, and gets a Denver defense that can be run on as we have seemingly said on repeat. If I can afford to sit any of these receivers, I do it as Denver continues to shut down opposing perimeter threats; this includes the hot Rishard Matthews. Delaine Walker is still in play even though the Broncos are allowing the sixth fewest fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Walker has just been one of the best tight ends this season, and is a tough sit. This seems like a game to play Murray and pull the plug on everyone else if possible as we know the damage the Broncos can do on defense.

by Stagg Party


Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns; Over/Under: 43.5


Weekly Matchups - Week 14 - Bengals @ Browns

Cincinnati got their groove back for the first time without AJ Green. Andy Dalton quite possibly had the best game of his career and did it without two of his main pass catchers. Dalton could repeat that great performance with the powder puff Browns next on the slate. Jeremy Hill got a ton of volume and scored on a short touchdown but was otherwise ineffective, but should be in line for a huge game as they take on the Browns who allow the second most fantasy points to opposing running backs. Tyler Boyd and Brandon LaFell have nearly identical stats since Green went down, and both are in the wide receiver three consideration against the lowly Browns. Cody Core got involved on some plays last week and his speed could be a useful tool against the Browns making him an interesting “free” square in DFS this week. Tyler Eifert against the Browns? Don’t overthink this man just slot him into your lineup and reap the rewards. As always, it’s the Browns, play anyone you want against them.


The Browns are coming off a bye week and will have a chance at a victory with one of their smallest opening lines of the season. Robert Griffin is expected to get the start and could provide a spark but counting on him in the fantasy playoffs seems unwise, but he could provide a boost to their passing game weapons, in theory. Isaiah Crowell put up 13 fantasy points against the Bengals last time around, and should be in line for a similar workload with a chance for a touchdown. Duke Johnson is a wildcard but shouldn’t be starting in the fantasy playoffs, lets face facts here, he has just two games this season with double-digit fantasy points. Terrelle Pryor showed a great rapport with RG3 in training camp and is seeing consistent targets on a weekly basis putting him into your wide receiver three on a weekly basis is a good boom/bust proposition, that being said he did have his worst fantasy performance of the year against the Bengals earlier this season. Corey Coleman is averaging nearly 8 targets a game since returning from his injury, but he hasn’t put up consistent enough production to make him viable in your playoffs, but presents an upside play in DFS. What to say about Gary Barnidge? 5 for 50. There I said it. If RG3 can provide the spark they though he could upon signing him this offseason, then this game could be closer than the line suggests.

by Stagg Party



Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles; Over/Under: 47  


Weekly Matchups - Week 14 - Redskins @ Eagles

The Redskins have dropped their last two games and need a win this week against the Eagles to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Cardinals held Kirk Cousins in check last week, and the Eagles are only allowing 15.7 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks. In their last meeting Cousins threw for 263 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. The Eagles defense has been put in tough situations by their offense, so if Washington can put together some long early drives, it will pay dividends late. In their last meeting Matt Jones ran all over the Eagles for 135 yards, and Rob Kelly had five carries for 59 yards. That was one of the worst performances for Philadelphia, who is limiting opponents to 101 rushing yards per game. This will be a tougher matchup for Rob Kelly this week on the road. Jamison Crowder remains a solid start as a WR2 or Flex, and this is the week to get DeSean back in your lineup. He has 17 catches for 338 yards with a touchdown in four meetings against his former team. Pierre Garcon is also a low-end play this week. Jordan Reed is working to get back for this game, but the Eagles are 2nd best in the league, limiting tight ends to 4.8 fantasy points per game.


Carson Wentz and the Eagles are playing for next year after a strong start to the season. Wentz had his third 300-yard passing game last week, but he only threw one touchdown and has yet to throw for more than two touchdowns in any game. Washington is allowing 272 passing yards per game, but has only given up 17 passing touchdowns. The Eagles will be welcoming back Ryan Mathews to the backfield, which makes starting him, Sproles or Smallwood a risk. Jordan Matthews is expected to return this week as well, but the Eagles have not shown enough consistency in their passing game to trust anyone else beyond Matthews. Zach Ertz is coming off his best game of the season with 79 yards on nine receptions and a touchdown. In his last meeting with the Redskins he was held to 22 yards on one catch. Washington is giving up 7.9 fantasy points per game to tight ends, so Ertz could be a nice play this week.

by Houdini


Arizona Cardinals at Miami Dolphins; Over/Under: 43.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Cardinals @ Dolphins

Carson Palmer threw for 300 yards and three touchdowns last week in their win over the Redskins. Palmer now has thrown four of his last six games. This week he gets a Dolphins defense that allows 18.1 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, but most of that is from yards, as they have only given up 17 passing touchdowns. David Johnson is a must start every week, but he should torch a Dolphins defense that allows 130 rushing yards per game. Larry Fitzgerald is also a must start for you this week, but the other receivers are not as strong of plays. Miami only gives up 257 passing yards per game, and Brown, Floyd and Nelson are all a crapshoot. Jermaine Gresham had 52 yards last week, but that was the first time he topped 50 yards on the season. He has become a redzone target, but there are much better options out there this week.


The Dolphins have been a terribly inconsistent team all season, and are coming off a dud of a game unless your name is Jarvis Landry. It is not going to get any better for these players this week against a Cardinals defense that is a top five defense overall. They are fourth best against quarterbacks, 2nd best against running backs, 11th best against wide receivers, and #1 against tight ends. Tannehill is bad start this week, and it will be a very similar game to last weeks performance against the Ravens. Patrick Peterson will mostly be on DeVante Parker, so Landry once again becomes the strong play at receiver. Jay Ajayi is going to have a hard time getting going this week, and will not get enough touches to be effective enough against this defense.

by Houdini


San Diego Chargers at Carolina Panthers; Over/Under: 49.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Chargers @ Panthers

The Chargers are limping into this game after losing a winnable game against the Buccaneers. Philip Rivers should be able to get back on track this week against the Panthers, who seem to have packed it in on the year. Quarterbacks are scoring 17.8 fantasy points per week against Carolina, and they are allowing a league high 294 passing yards per game. This game should be good for Tyrell Williams, Dontrell Inman and the tight ends. The Panthers have allowed 38 pass plays of 20 or more yards, and 10 of 40 or more yards. Rivers will take shots, and should connect a few times this week. Melvin Gordon is a must play this week, especially if Luke Kuechly does not play this week. The Chargers should be able to generate a lot of offense against a Panthers defense that is lacking the fire it had last season.


The Panthers were miserable last week, and Cam was front and center throwing for just 182 yards with one touchdown and 12 rushing yards. This week he faces a Chargers defense that allows 284 passing yards per game, but they have only given up 17 passing touchdowns and have 15 interceptions. Joey Bosa is going to be chasing Cam in this game, and it just has the feel of another underperformance from Cam. Jonathan Stewart is the best play this week against a Chargers defense that gives up 20.7 fantasy points per game to running backs, and that is from 16 rushing touchdowns they have surrendered. Look for JStew to get the rock in the redzone. Benjamin had a horrible game with two receptions for 18 yards on nine targets last week. He should see a good amount of targets again, but he is not going to give you a high-end production game. The Chargers are middle of the pack against tight ends, and Greg Olsen has been very pedestrian over his last six games with one touchdown and high yardage game of 52 yards, so don’t start him on name value.

by Houdini 



Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (-9); Over/Under: 44


Weekly matchups Week 14 - Bears @ Lions


Unbelievable as it may seem, Vegas actually thinks the Lions will win by a greater margin than the Patriots. This game opened with the highest spread of Week 14. The Lions have a 26.5 implied team total. That is a score they have only surpassed four times this season. While they are on a four game win streak, their average score during that time is a mere 23. Stafford put up north of 20 FF Points last week for the first time since Week 6. Staff might be hard pressed to do it again, the Bears have only allowed four QB performances of 20 FF Points or more on the season. In fact, that is a feat only achieved once in the last five games. Looking at PFF’s WR/CB matchup chart, neither Tate, Jones, nor Boldin really have exploitable matchups. Marvin Jones has been off Stafford’s radar. Honestly, the most exploitable matchup comes from Boldin. By the way, Anquan has 6 TDs this season, that’s more than either T.Y. Hilton or Julio Jones. That’s more TDs than Brandon Marshall and Stefon Diggs combined. Riddick is always a decent floor play, but do not expect much. If anything, Ebron is the angle, as positionally, the Bears are just middle of the road against TEs and are very banged up on defense.


Barkley is the definition of volitility. He has played in three total games this season bringing owners an actual negative score in his Week 7 play, then miraculously, he put up just over 20 FF Points against the Titans with the world against him. Last week, he was in the single digits. Looking at Pyro’s Positional Points Against Chart, the Lions surrender the 10th most FF Points to opposing gun slingers, but there is no way you feel comfortable here. The Lions held Drew Brees to his first home game without a TD since 2009. The Bears will be without Alshon for one more week. In his absence, the performances have been all over the board without any sort of consistency, well unless you count dropped balls. The only viable option is Jordan Howard. However, the Lions are tied with the freaking Baltimore Ravens for fewest rushing TDs allowed (3). Since week 5, the most an opposing back has been able to scramble for is a meager 73 yards. Now, Jo-Ho has been one of the very few successful backs to face the Motown marauders this season. In fact, no back in 2016 has rushed for as many yards as he did against the Lions in Week 3 (111). Still, it is important to realize this is the second matchup for these two NFC North rivals. Statistically, divisional opponents put up substantially fewer fantasy points in the second meeting of the season. When you look at straight up football stats, the Lions are not an impressive D. Football Outsiders has them ranked 30th for defensive DVOA. But, that does not translate to fantasy. They just are not giving up FF Points to #1 RBs. Pyro’s Positional Points Against chart has them giving up the fewest FF Points to RB1s. As solid as Jo-Ho has been, at least 99 all-purpose yards and 4 rushing TDs in his last 5 games, your expectations have to be tempered against a mighty hot Detroit team. If indeed this game unfolds as Vegas expects, Howard just might not get the touches he needs if they are playing from behind.

by PyromaniacMo



Minnesota Vikings @ Jacksonville Jaguars (+3); Over/Under: 40


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Vikings @ Jaguars


This is expected to be the lowest scoring game of the week. That is not what fantasy owners want to hear. The Vikings will put up a fierce fight as they need to put up W’s in order to reach the post season. But Bradford is a desperate floor play at best. His season high is just over 19 FF Points, using Pyro’s PPR, and that was in Week 1. He has failed to reach double-digit FF Points in two of the last three. Without AP, this team virtually has no ground game what so ever. In fact, there is not a team in the NFL putting up fewer rushing yards per game, just 72.4. While both Jaguar corners Jalen Ramsey and Prince Amukamara are very tough, Devon House can be targeted.  He is graded out at 113 out of 122. Jalen will cover Diggs in the slot. While Patterson will see the majority of House, Thielen will get moved around. Adam Thielen has been the Vikings WR to own lately. He could be a sneaky pickup and play this week. Technically Diggs is listed as Questionable. Thielen leads the Vikings WRs in targets, catches, yards, and receiving TDs in the last 3 weeks. While he could take advantage of the matchup, he is a floor play as Bradford just does not put up the numbers. Of course, Rudolph leads all the Vikings in team target share. But, the Jags have only allowed three TE TDs all season, and only three TEs pulled down over 50 yards against them. Rudolph has been in a scoring draught as of late. With 21.5 net expected points to be scored by the Vikings, there will not be a lot to go around, but Thielen could be a flex option and Rudolph has a chance of cracking the top ten at his position. The Vikings D could very well be the best play this week. On the season they have been solid, and you can’t pick a better opponent then Bortles, who leads the NFL with 15 INTs.


Currently, Blake Bortles leads the league with INTS. That does not bode well for anyone on this offense obviously. The Vikings represent a mountain of an obstacle for the Jacksonville offense. The Vikings corners, particularly Captain Munnerlyn, Terrance Newman, and Xavier Rhodes, could collectively make up the best starting corners in the game. In fact, all three rank inside Pro Football Focus’s top 41 corners. Their talent level combined with Bortles brutal play means you need to look elsewhere for your WR plays in Week 14. Julius Thomas is still Questionable. He has not played in a game for three weeks. As far as the ground game, Ivory is Questionable and has not played since Week 12. Denard Robinson is also Questionable. But against this D, even if Yeldon does get an increase in touches, there is no way I am trotting out a Jaguar RB in the first round of the playoffs. Nor am I playing any of these guys in DFS. This game has the lowest over/under of the week. That means it is a nice Vikings play on D, but not necessarily a Jaguar play. In the last five weeks, the Jags are bottom third in defensive scoring.

by PyromaniacMo



Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts; Over/Under: 47


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Texans @ Colts


Have you ever rolled over in the morning, the pounding in your head from the hangover is not as bad as the impending sense of doom. When you roll over, the inevitable regret washes over you as you look at the face of the mistake you brought home last night. Well, I’m guessing that is the feeling Bill O’Brien has when he walks into the QB room and sees Brock “Ass-Wiper” sitting there with a $72 million dollar grin on his face. With 13 INTs on the season and just one more TD, he is not the franchise QB the Texans wanted nor is he the fantasy starter you need in the first round of the play-offs. Hopkins is one of only 11 WRs that have 105 targets or more on the season according to PFF. So, he has had the eye of a very bad QB. This week though, he could be a viable option however. Hopkins has a minimum of 9.8 FF Points in the last four games since their bye. With a solid floor, his ceiling is extended. He is coming off a nice game in which he scored and will face Vontae Davis. While you might remember the name, you won’t recognize the coverage. He flat out gave it up to Antonio Brown earlier this season. PFF grades Davis as their 106th best cover corner. While Fuller does have 12 catches for almost 120 yards in his last two, he has a far tougher matchup. Fiedorowicz has 30 targets in the last five weeks. Only six TEs have collected more in that time. He seems to be hit and miss lately. However, in their last meeting in Week 6, he put up a season best 85 yards, was tied for a season high six receptions, and caught one of his three TDs of the season. Using Pyro’s own Positional Points Against Chart, the Colts are giving up the 4th most FF Points to opposing TE1s. As far as the ground game, Lamar has fallen short of expectations. Miller has only topped 100 rushing yards three times. In Week 11, he scored his 4th overall TD of the year. However, if there is a game to gamble on Miller, the time is nigh. The Colts have given up the 2nd most FF Points to opposing RB1s.  Indy could very well be without a starting defensive lineman, Zach Kerr, and perhaps even starting outside backer, Robert Mathis. Miller has a good shot of making this his 3rd top positional performance so far this season. As far as defense is concerned, the Texans have fallen far short of expectations. They only have six INTs. There are only three teams with fewer sacks. Indy does allow their QB to be hit the second most in the league, chances are there are better streaming options in Week 14.


The Colts spread the fantasy goo around like it was guacamole on a Ritz cracker. He has put up a top positional week in 64% of his games so far this season. Luck has three #1 overall QB fantasy finishes, including just last week. While Moncrief has scored in every week since his return, he has only topped 50 yards once. He will see his fair share of Bouye, PFF’s #2 cover corner. However, Hilton has a very exploitable matchup. He will see Charles James in all likelihood because Jonathan Joseph is dealing with cracked ribs and a bruised lung. The squeaky wheel got the grease last week as Hilton went off for 146 yards. Only four teams are allowing fewer passing yards per game than the Texans, but I still like Hilton this week as a potential WR1. As far as the TE, Dwayne Allen went off last week with 3 TDs. It is too tough to tell which TE will step up for Indy in a given week. The guessing game can drive owners crazy. I would be cautious as only three defenses are allowing fewer FF Points to opposing TE1s. As far as the ground game, Gore only has four games where he has not totaled at least 100 all-purpose yards and/or scored a TD. The Texans rank pretty tough against the run, and are ranked as 2nd best against backs coming out of the backfield by Football Outsiders. Only seven teams are allowing fewer yards per carry to opposing backs. As always, he is a floor play, and should finish as an RB2.

by PyromaniacMo



New York Jets @ San Francisco 49ers; Over/Under: 45


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Jets @ 49ers


Bryce Petty will get the start in San Francisco this week in a match-up that favors the run. Plus he is an unproven rookie quarterback so he should remain on the WW. Matt Forte on the other hand has the opportunity to reach his 30 point mark much like he did in Weeks 2 and 7. However, Forte has yet to hit 100 yards since Week 7 and has seen a steady decline in rushing attempts over the last three weeks. Bilial Powell has had flashes of brilliance spread out through the season and this could be the game he reaches RB2 status with Forte. The Niners are god awful at defending the run as they have relinquished double digit fantasy points to EVERY running back who had at least six touches. Brandon Marshall and Quincy Enunwa are also top options as a WR1 and WR2 respectively. Receiving yards are infrequent, but San Francisco allows touchdowns in bunches.


Colin Kaepernick looks to redeem his bench worthy performance on Sunday against the Jets and their 15th ranked defense against QBs. Andrew Luck just destroyed New York through the air and also had the most rushing yards all year against this defense at only 26. That doesn’t bode well for a QB you need to rush for at least 50yds to be fantasy relevant. Carlos Hyde has a tougher match up but reached double digit fantasy outputs in each of his last three weeks. He is a serviceable RB2 with no threat from back-up competition. Jeremy Kerley is a dart throw play per usual and hasn’t reached relevant fantasy numbers since Week 10 as the last three games have only yielded 12 targets in total for him. Vance McDonald is the only other receiving threat on the Niners and could easily put up relevant stats as the Jets allow the 12th most FF points to TEs, but he could just as easily record one reception for 10 yards and end your fantasy season. Not worth the risk.

by ØC


New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers; Over/Under: 51


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Saints @ Buccaneers


It’s not often Drew Brees passes 44 times to end up with zero touchdowns and three interceptions. Look for him to redeem this putrid performance against a team allowing the 16th most FF points to QBs. Fellow divisional rival Matt Ryan put up 27.7 FF points on the Bucs in Tampa back in Week 9. Mark Ingram has been limited with a toe ailment all week but shouldn’t be in danger of missing this week. Tampa is susceptible on the ground which makes both Ingram and Tim Hightower viable in all leagues as an RB1 and flex. Brandin Cooks got off the snide last week and will continue his normal production against a middling secondary that has allowed 16 receiving TDs. Same goes for Michael Thomas as he’s on pace for 1110 receiving yards and 93 receptions. You’re playing him. Willie Snead is a viable flex if you have no other options and this game should be a shoot-out. Coby Fleener is also a good option, collecting 11 receptions and 145 yards in the last two weeks.

Jameis Winston will face a Saints defense at home that allows the 12th most FF points to opposing QBs. I feel great about Winston this week in a game that could give them the lead in the NFC South. In the last two contests against the Saints, Jared Goff and Matt Stafford totaled five touchdowns and only one interception. Doug Martin has averaged less than three YPC in his return from injury and, you guessed it, is still injured! He still has a shot to play against the 7th worst defense against fantasy RBs but it looks like Jaquizz Rodgers will at least split carries as NFL insiders have heard "Jacquizz Rodgers could carry the ball earlier and far more often". This does not bode well for Martin this week, but the match-up is stellar. Mike Evans is straight money at home, and the injury to Cecil Shorts should give Adam Humphries additional targets if he is cleared from concussion. Freddie Martino and Josh Huff are next up in line if Humpries can’t go. The Saints are much better against the TE than any other position, so Cameron Brate’s expectations should be limited. The Saints haven’t allowed a 100 yard TE all season but have allowed a touchdown in Weeks 4, 6, 9, and 12.

by ØC


Atlanta Falcons @ Los Angeles Rams; Over/Under: 46


Weekly matchups Week 14 - Falcons @ Rams


Matt Ryan will face a Rams defense allowing the 12th fewest FF points to passers. For every 25 point fantasy performance this defense allows, there is an equally awesome shut-down performance against the likes of Eli Manning, Carson Palmer, and Russell Wilson. You never truly know what to expect. Ryan is still QB #3 this season and should be on your starting roster. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman are great options against a middling rush defense but I still worry about Coleman and his return from injury. Freeman has totaled 45.2 FF points over the last 2 weeks and I don’t see why the Falcons won’t ride the hot hand further. Coleman received a goal line carry last week but it was Freeman who broke through. Tevin averages 2.9 YPC since his return. You will need to monitor Julio Jones’s injury status this week and if he can’t go, Taylor Gabriel is an excellent WR2 option as the Rams allow the 5th most FF points to receivers. Mohammad Sanu isn’t expected to play which is even more of a reason to start Gabriel. All Atlanta tight ends should be benched.

Jared Goff is actually a borderline QB1 this week. Before you crucify me, Atlanta allows the most FF points to quarterbacks and this game could turn into a shoot-out. Goff has four touchdowns to only three interceptions. The yardage isn’t there yet, but the Atlanta pass defense can assist here. Todd Gurley is the biggest bust of the season and deserves the bench. But once again, the match-up is too good to pass by as the Falcons allow the 2nd most FF points to rushers. Just recently Spencer Ware and David Johnson put up 18.7 and 26.1 FF points respectively on the dirty birds and Gurley has the talent to do so as well, if he gets the work. Tavon Austin’s status will need to be checked throughout the week with his chest injury but again, Austin is a flex play at best in any match-up. Kenny Britt on the other hand is a borderline WR1 in Week 14 against a poor secondary. Britt has a TD in his last two games and could continue this hot streak on Sunday. Lance Kendricks is an absolute hail-mary but the Falcons are terrible against TEs as well, so for this week, I’ll allow it.

by ØC



Seattle Seahawks @ Green Bay Packers; Under/Over: 46.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Seahawks @ Packers

This is the matchup that everyone has been looking forwards to from the schedule release date. Then the Dallas Cowboys stormed in and became the darlings of the NFL with their rookie tandem. But, if you want a bare knuckled brawl. This is your game. The Seahawks have finally gotten Russell right and the offense moving and put up a whopping 41 points on the Carolina Panthers. Now they travel to the frozen tundra to face off against a previous offensive juggernaut who are also trying to get their team right. The Packers are allowing 83.5 fantasy points to opponents per game which is about five points above the league average. After Thomas Rawls ($6,500 FD/ $5,700 DK) comeback party last week with over 100 yards and two scores on his 16 carries. When Rawls gets 15+ carries in a game the production has always been start worthy. The Packers are a funnel defense though, and will be stout against the run if healthy and allow the bulk of the points to be accrued in the air. Although the Seahawks are favored in the game it isn’t enough to predict the game script. Russell Wilson ($7,900 FD/ $6,600 DK) will get his in the air and on the ground as the Green Bay Packers are allowing the 12th most points to QB’s. The Packers are allowing the third most points to opposing Wide Receivers, which should increase the confidence owners have in Doug Baldwin ($7,000 FD/$6800 DK). Tyler Lockett turns into a good value play at $5,100 on FanDuel and $3,700 in DraftKings. Jimmy Graham ($6,600 FD/ $5,500 DK) remains one of if not the top tight end option week in and week out and is a must start regardless of who he is facing.

The Green Bay Packers have been a difficult team to predict this year, will we see the traditional Aaron Rodgers run and gun game or will we see the struggling offense with difficulties creating a run game relying on short passes. Despite the team struggles, Rodgers has sustained his fantasy production as the top passer through Week 13. His DFS pricing will remain as one of the higher priced QBs ($8,000 FD/ $6,400 DK) but has returned great results as he is averaging just a shade under 24 points in FanDuel and 25 in DraftKings. Rodgers is a safe play in DFS and a must-start in season long despite the difficult matchup against the Seahawks. The Green Bay running game continues to be a crapshoot and we would advise you to stay away from relying on any Packers RB’s as the timeshare continues. It didn’t even seem like the Packers knew who was in the backfield on each play as C-Mike led the wat with 9 rushes, followed by 6 for Montgomery, 4 for Starks, 3 for Ripkowski and even Jeff Janis got one. Just stay away. The Earl Campbell-less Legion of Boom should still prove to be a difficult matchup for Packer receivers. Don’t expect Sherman to shadow Jordy ($7,100 FD/$6,800 DK), and he should see more of Adams ($6,400 FD / $5,500 DK) split out to the right and Cobb ($6,000 / $5,000 DK) will be in his normal slot position. Rodgers will get his against the Seahawks but expect the targets to spread out include running backs and tight ends in the mix. It is very hard to sit Jordy or Adams, but temper your expectations for them as Seattle is a top ten defense against receivers and has allowed only 9 touchdowns to wide outs in the air. Expect minimal production from the Packers tight ends as Jared Cook has regressed back to being Jared Cook.

by The Hartbeat



Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants; Under/Over: 47.5


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Cowboys @ Giants

The New York Giants started off the season as one of the statically strong defenses as pertaining to fantasy. Now with the end of JPP’s season, they are no longer a team to avoid. Although they remain in the top five of defenses versus QB’s and Dak under 230 yards without a passing score, expect the new and improved Dak Prescott riding an 11 game winning streak to look to bolster those numbers. Having Dez fully back and health has shown quite valuable for the production of the young Bulldog. Prescott is an expensive $8,000 in FanDuel and $5,900 in DraftKings and is one to stay away from as divisional games are normally tighter matchups. Throw out any stats on the Giants defense, Ezekiel Elliot is a transcendent runner who can bust an 80 yard touchdown out of nowhere. Behind that great offensive line, if Elliot has two legs on Sunday you’re starting him. He will continue to be one of the more expensive DFS options at $8,000 in Fanduel and 8,500 in DraftKings, but is still a strong play because he has LaDainian Tomlinson type upside. Dez ($7,800 FD / $6,900 KK) should see a lot of Janoris Jenkins who was serviceable against Antonio Brown last week. Dez should be in line for his typical Dez game of 5-7 catches with the threat of getting in the endzone multiple times. A lot of damage will be done in the slot by Beasley and Witten as that is the soft spot of the Giants defense. Witten had his 500,000 consecutive games with a reception streak snapped so look for Dak to try to make things right and get back on track. Witten is a better play in Draft Kings which awards a full point per reception and is a super cheap play at only $3,100. Beasley as well is a stronger play in Draft Kings, with his $5,100 value he is a good floor player that will allow you to go out and spend on the top tier players.


Is there anyone more frustrating to watch than Eli Manning? The answer is a resounding no. Manning has disappointed fantasy owners this season as bigger things were expected getting Victor Cruz back and his new toy Sterling Shepard. Over the past three weeks Eli has put together seven touchdowns to two interceptions, but has amassed only 616 yards. That is just not enough to sustain a fantasy team. Rashad Jennings has been a bright spot for the Giants as the fantasy world expected Perkins to have taken the starting job by this point. Jennings been decent on the ground but has 13 receptions in the last three games which accounts for a 82 of his 231 scrimmage yards in that period. At only $4,900 in Draft Kings, Jennings could be a very nice play for 50/50 options with a high floor and chance to find the end zone. Over the last three games the Cowboys secondary has clearly been impacted by injuries as it shows having given up 54 catches for 647 yards and a pair of scores. Odell Beckham should get his and remains to be one of the highest priced WR’s in DFS. Shepard and Cruz have been hit or miss and have been defined as touchdown dependent for fantasy value. The play of the week for DFS is going to be Will Tye though. Over the past three games the Cowboys have given up 248 yards and two scores which is good for fourth worst in the NFL over that span. At $4,500 on FanDuel and $2,800 on DraftKingss, get your Tye and ball out.

by The Hartbeat


Monday, December 12, 2016


Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots; Under/Over: 45


Weekly Matchups Week 14 - Ravens @ Patriots

Flacco told reporters this week that the Ravens are not intimidated by the Patriots after lighting up the Fins for 381 yards and four scores on 47 throws. Many were worried about the Pats D after giving up two main pieces in Chandler Jones and Jamie Collins, but the Patriots have staid stout allowing opposing QB’s to complete only 58% of their passes as the Patriots have been comfortably in the lead for the majority of these five games. Terrance West will be in for some tough sledding as the Patriots are giving up an average of only 56 rushing yards to opposing RB’s per game. However, they have been exposed against pass catching backs as they have allowed 20 catches for 200 yards in the same span. Bring in Kennith Dixon who is teasing fantasy owners with great highlights but not the touches to sustain starting numbers. When you add the Pats D against receiving backs and Dixon’s readiness to emerge as a fantasy weapon down the stretch this shapes out to be the Dixon coming out party. Dixon is an RB2 at best in season long, but has upside in PPR formats. Dixon is only $5,000 in FanDuel, but only $3,800 on DraftKings.  IF ONLY IT WASN’T THE MONDAY NIGHT GAME! Nonetheless, Dixon is the play of the Ravens as West starts to get phased out of the offense. Steve Smith and Mike Wallace have continued to be solid WR2 weapons, and we don’t expect either of them to go crazy against the Pats prevent D. One thing to watch for will be if Steve Smith Sr and Malcolm Butler get matched up it will be a trash talking parade. Expect emotions to push Smith into the end zone in an otherwise quit game for as the career likely winds down.  Dennis Pitta exploded last week for nine hauls, 90 yards and a pair of scores. He will come back down to earth in this one as the Patriots have been solid against Tight Ends allowing only one score in the last five. It is unnecessary to talk about kickers, but Justin Tucker has elevated to kickGod. Tucker is the only kicker in the league who is enjoyable to watch as he continues to ramp up the celebrations of 50+ yarders.

There is only one thing we know for sure on the Patriots side, Tom Brady fresh off his NFL record 201st win, will only be looking for more. Although Vegas see’s the Patriots winning this one handedly, these have been close matchups historically. Tom Brady is a must start in season long and a solid DFS play despite his high price and Ravens strong play against QB’s. Is this going to be a Blount game, a White game, or are we finally going to see the huge play ability of Dion Lewis. Because of the spread, the theory is the play Blount especially after he tore apart the Rams for 88 and a score on 18 runs. Dion and White seem to be interchangeable having nearly identical outputs. Play it safe this week and stay off of the New England receiving backs. Even with Gronk gone for the rest of the season, Brady is going to want to outsmart the Ravens in the air by disguising plays and utilizing a heavy dosage of Edelman and his new favorite go-to-guy Malcolm Mitchell. Hogan remains dependent on the deep ball for fantasy relevance on a weekly basis and Martellus Bennett is now widely droppable in fantasy. Bennett should see regression back to typical New England tight end 1 production. He has the potential for multiple scores in this one, but play him knowing that he could also give you a goose egg. Bennett is a good tournament play with his high upside, but don’t trust him to get you through a tough playoff matchup due to his inconsistency.

by The Hartbeat 




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By: Stagg Party, Houdini, PyromaniacMo, PyroLytics, The Hartbeat & ØC


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