June 21, 2018


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Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron Could Use Some Luck

Colts signed TE Eric Ebron, formerly of the Lions, to a two-year contract. Coach Frank Reich called Ebron an "elite tight end."

The last time we saw Andrew Luck healthy (2016), the Colts used 2+ TE sets at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL and had the 6th-highest target share to TEs.

04/01/18, 11:32 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

Hyde and Seek

Browns agreed to terms with RB Carlos Hyde, formerly of the 49ers, on a three-year, $15 million contract.

Obtaining Hyde has several trickle-down effects; first it replaces Crowell who signed with the Jets, it probably diminishes Duke Johnson’s value a bit. Hyde is a better all-around back than Crowell was and will certainly take over the goal-line work seeing that he’s got 20+ pounds on Duke. It also reduces the likelihood that Cleveland takes Saquon Barkley with the 4th pick in the draft. They will most likely look to draft a defensive player (Chubb) or trade down again.

04/01/18, 11:28 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jerick McKinnon

Minnesota Vikings

McKinnon Goes West For Gold-Rush

49ers agreed to terms with RB Jerick McKinnon, formerly of the Vikings, on a four-year, $30 million contract.

McKinnon averaged a ho-hum 3.8 yards a carry for the Vikings and scored three rushing touchdowns. By contrast, San Francisco's former lead runner, Carlos Hyde, averaged 3.9 yards an attempt in 2017 and had eight rushing touchdowns.

It appears as though Shanahan is enamored with McKinnon's athletic metrics, but I'm not so sure he was "pounding the table" to get him. This move could push the Niner's to cut Joe Williams.

04/01/18, 11:12 AM CDT by Wheeler


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Eagles Keep Improving

Eagles signed WR Mike Wallace to a one-year contract.
Mike Wallace can still move posting a top five max speed among wide receivers last season. He will fill the void left by Torrey Smith as a speed vertical threat.

04/01/18, 11:08 AM CDT by Wheeler


Terrelle Pryor

Washington Redskins

Jets Searching For Weapons

Jets agreed to terms with WR Terrelle Pryor, formerly of Washington and Cleveland.

Second year in a row on a new team doesn’t really help Pryor's cause, but I like the idea of him on the field with Teddy Bridgewater at some point. I would imagine, with some creativity, the Jets could really design some innovative gadget plays.
The Jets receiving corps really looks like a bunch of question marks at this point though, no telling what the week-to-week outcome will be with these guys.
Jermaine Kearse: 65 catches, 810 yards, 5 touchdowns (2017)
Robby Anderson: 63 catches, 941 yards, 7 touchdowns (2017)
Quincy Enunwa: 58 catches, 857 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)
Terrelle Pryor: 77 catches, 1007 yards, 4 touchdowns (2016)

04/01/18, 11:04 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Henderson

Denver Broncos

Sleeper Watch

Broncos coach Vance Joseph said the team is "counting on" Carlos Henderson making an impact in 2018.

If you are paying attention to Staggs projections there is plenty of opportunity for Henderson to step into a solid number of targets in the slot. Henderson was hindered by injury and awful QB play last year. Being drafted in the 18th round or later in best-ball leagues, Henderson is the late round flyer that should be on your radar.

04/01/18, 11:00 AM CDT by Wheeler


Ben Watson

Baltimore Ravens

Watson Returns To Big Easy

Saints signed TE Ben Watson, formerly of the Ravens, to a one-year contract.

Watson had 74 catches on 110 targets for 825 yards and 6 TD’s when he was with the Saints in 2015. After missing 2016 he had a pretty good year with Baltimore last year despite an anemic offense, with 61 catches on 79 targets for 522 yards and 4 TD’s. He’s not a bad late round flyer TE. He’s basically free right now, but I expect by the time the season starts he’ll be being drafted within the top 20 at the position.

04/01/18, 10:54 AM CDT by Wheeler


Jeff Janis

Green Bay Packers

Janis Truthers Challenged

Browns officially signed former Packers’ WR Jeff Janis.
The combine superstar never amounted to anything in Green Bay, I highly doubt Cleveland is the place for him to finally break-out.

04/01/18, 10:50 AM CDT by Wheeler


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Jets Sign Rawls

Rawls had five RB1 games in 2015, one in 2016, and has been a disappointment since. He’s not worth your time in fantasy, but he could cause enough disruption in the Jets backfield to cut any upside we might have hoped for from Isaiah Crowell.

04/01/18, 10:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Allen Robinson

Jacksonville Jaguars

Coo coo ca choo Mr. Robinson

Bears signed WR Allen Robinson, formerly of the Jaguars, to a three-year, $42 million contract.

This is a great move for Robinson and Chicago. Nagy’s offense and the young QB, Trubiski, should benefit Robinson at least as much as Bortles did, and Chicago gets the top WR in free agency.
Everyone on the team will be in a new scheme so there will be an adjustment, but as they start to gel we should see a big second half. Robinson’s recovery from a torn ACL doesn’t scare me away from drafting him in the late third/early fourth, his current MFL10 ADP is 43 overall while his Draft app ADP is 59.9. I expect Robinson to be somewhere in the range of 75 receptions, for 1100 yards and 8 TD’s.

03/24/18, 08:25 PM CDT by Wheeler


Sammy Watkins

Los Angeles Rams

KC Building Strong Air Attack

Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins, formerly of the Rams, to a three-year, $48 million contract.

I’m a big Sammy truther so getting him in the 5th or 6th round is a pure power move. His current Draft app ADP of 87.1 is an absolute steal, his MFL10 ADP of 69.5 is still a great value in my opinion. There are quite a few options for high targets in KC so I don’t expect him to see the 128 targets he saw his rookie year, but he should definitely see more than the 70 he saw last year. He’ll have an entire offseason to work with the near-rookie QB, and at age 25 he should have enough burst left to have a 70 catch, 1050 yd, 8TD line. For his career he has 16 receptions on 30 targets for 12 TD’s in the Red Zone, and 9 receptions on 13 targets, for 8 TD’s inside the opponents 10. He should be the exact WR the Chiefs need to get over the hump. As a team the Chiefs were 34/75 for 13 TD’s in the Red-Zone last year and 12/24 for 10 TD inside the 10.

03/24/18, 08:19 PM CDT by Wheeler


Kirk Cousins

Washington Redskins

Vikings Like That

Kirk Cousins plans to sign a three-year, fully-guaranteed contract from the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday. The deal is believed to be for around $86 million, and reports are it will be fully-guaranteed, a landmark for an NFL free agent.

Should be a lateral move for Kirk as far as fantasy, better WR’s, but fewer passes thrown in this offense. A healthy Dalvin Cook should be able to run out the clock if they are up in the second half of games and take the ball out of Cousins hands near the end zone. It should also help the overall efficiency of the offense so all in all it increases his floor, but cuts any garbage-time production we’ve seen with Washington. Kyle Rudolph becomes a big benefactor here, Cousins loves his TE, especially near the end-zone.

03/24/18, 08:16 PM CDT by Wheeler


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Denver Makes Case

Broncos signed QB Case Keenum, formerly of the Vikings, to a two-year, $36 million contract.

Well, I was hoping for more than a bridge QB for my favorite WR (D. Thomas), but this is a definite upgrade from the three stooges Denver put behind center last year.

03/24/18, 08:13 PM CDT by Wheeler


LeGarrette Blount

Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Sparks Up Blount

The Lions signed free agent RB LeGarrette Blount to a 1-year deal worth $4.5M. He’s back with Matt Patricia, as the New England ties are strong.

The Lions have needed a true goal-line/power-back for years. I expect Blount to get between 150-200 touches and all the short-yardage carries. Detroit’s offense doesn’t really fit what Blount brings to the table, but I expect Patricia will have some influence over how the offense will operate from here-on-out.

03/24/18, 08:10 PM CDT by Wheeler


Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Houdini's Sleepers v02

Houdini's Sleepers v02

Posted by d-Rx on 08/26/12

by   The Archer


More Articals


houdini's fantasy football sleepers v02



Houdini's Sleepers v02



Sleepers…wow I really can’t impress how important it is to grab a sleeper.  When I speak of sleepers, I am looking for players that have a chance to produce major numbers for you, despite their perceived value in most national publications.  Sleepers can take many forms, from a player who underperformed the previous year to a player that is just never on people’s radar until it is too late because they are overpaying for the previous year’s statistics.  This is my list of sleepers for this season.




The quarterback position is one that has gotten stronger and stronger over the last 4 years, and with the return of Peyton Manning the field just got even better.  The quarterback position, in my opinion is one that you can and should wait to pick.  Last year, I and were all over Matthew Stafford and he was the 10th to 11th QB off the boards in most leagues and performed as the 4th best Fantasy QB on the season.  This season there will be no value with Stafford as he projects to go in the 2nd round in most drafts.  Think about the depth at this position: Rodgers, Brady, Brees, Stafford, E. Manning, Romo, P. Manning and Cam Newton.  The quarterback position has become what the running back position was 15 years ago when every team had a main back and there was no RBBC.  Even after those 8 quarterbacks I think there are 4 real good sleepers at the position this year, which is why I will wait to draft a quarterback with no need to overpay. 



Matt Ryan – Matt Ryan jumps off the page to me as a perfect sleeper for this season.  He is the example of the player who just gets overlooked.  Last season was dominated by huge performances at the quarterback position and Ryan posted some nice numbers with 4,177 yards passing, 29 TD’s and 12 INT’s, but compared to Brady, Rodgers and Brees, those numbers are under the radar.  Now consider that Julio Jones, an ultimate game-breaker, is entering his second season and is healthy and showing everyone in the preseason that he is going to make his mark this season.  Ryan also has the benefit of arguably the best hands in the game with Roddy White.  White and a healthy Jones will give Ryan weapons that will fit in well the more pass oriented offense of new OC Dirk Koetter.  Then you have to factor in that Michael Turner has another year on him and looks like a candidate to have a major drop off in production, which would mean that the Falcons may rely more on their passing attack and Ryan will be the benefactor.  I expect Ryan to improve on last year’s stats and I am projecting 4,500 yards, 35 TD and 15 INT.  He will be on the board late for you especially since he is not a running quarterback, but look at his weapons and look for a steal after the big names are gone.



Philip Rivers – Philip Rivers was the 5th quarterback taken in most drafts last year, and that was where the experts thought the tier ended.  Rivers had a tough year with the interceptions and threw 20 last year.  He did manager to throw 27 TD and threw for 4,624 yards, not too bad.  Everyone is going to say with Vincent Jackson gone his numbers will go down.  Really?  With Jackson in and out of the lineup Rivers has thrown for over 4,000 yards 4 years in a row and the last two over 4,500 yards.  Then you need to look at those interceptions and decide if that is going to happen again, or if it was an anomaly.  I believe the latter is more accurate when you look at Rivers’ history.  Rivers threw 33 INT over the previous 3 seasons total and I expect him to be in the 10-13 range this year.  Rivers is also going to get a lot more opportunities to throw at the beginning of the season with the injury to Ryan Matthews.  Rivers is a competitor and he is the happiest guy that he has a healthy Antonio Gates to throw the ball to.  No one will be taking Rivers early this year, especially the people he burned last year, but that means he is a great sleeper value as he could still be on the board as the 10th or 11th QB. 



Jay Cutler – Cutler has been a fantasy disappointment ever since he left Denver.  The Bears paid a lot to get Cutler and have done nothing to give him weapons to take advantage of his strengths, until now.  Cutler is getting reunited with his good friend Brandon “two faces” Marshall along with his QB coach from Denver, Jeremy Bates.  Then the Bears gave Cutler more help through the draft with 6’ 3” 216 pound Alshon Jeffery.   Cutler threw for over 4,500 yards in Denver and will have the chance to do that this year in Chicago.  Cutler is a more polished quarterback, since he spent so much time learning and running for his life in Chicago, and finally has receivers to complement his talent.  Forte is a great receiver out of the backfield and Devin Hester is finally going to be used more sparingly and effectively.  Cutler is being viewed as the 12-14th best QB and he legitimately has a chance to be a top 10 fantasy QB by the end of this season. 





The running back position is one that is very top heavy and then there are a lot of guys that all look the same on paper.  Here are a few guys that will not be drafted as starters for teams, but could be before the season is over.



Doug Martin – Martin was selected in the first round by the Buccaneers in the first round this year with the expectation that he would be able to step in and be a factor right away.  The competition in front of him, LeGarrette Blount, does not have the confidence of the front office or coaching staff, or they would not have drafted Martin in the first round.  Blount has a history of fumbling and that will lose you a job faster than anything else as a running back.  Martin has carried to main workload in the preseason and looks like he will be the one who gets the most opportunities on a run heavy team.



Daniel Thomas – Daniel Thomas was hampered by a hamstring injury for most of his rookie season.  He was supposed to be lead back in the offense, but when he went down Reggie Bush stepped up.  Bush is going to be the reason that Thomas drops in your drafts.  Let everyone else overpay for Bush and you can sneak in late and take Thomas who should finish with better stats at the end of the year.  Reggie Bush has proved one thing in his NFL career; he cannot carry the ball inside the tackles.  Thomas is a bigger back who looks for contact and delivers punishment to those that tackle him.  Bush is not going to see as many carries this year because Thomas is the load back in this offense as well as the goal line back.  When Thomas was at his most healthy in weeks 2 and 3 last year he posted 202 yards on 41 carries for 4.9 yards per attempt.  As long as he is healthy he will be a great sleeper this year. 



Stevan Ridley – Ridley is going to be given the chance to be the starter for the New England Patriots with the departure of “The Law Firm”.  The competition will come in the form of Shane Vereen, but Vereen is dealing with a foot injury and Ridley has taken advantage in the preseason and will be the starter for the Pats.  Ridley is going to be used as both a rusher and a receiver as was evidenced by his performance in the Patriots 3rd preseason game where he had 16 rushes for 87 yards with a TD and 3 receptions for 17 yards in three quarters.  With all the weapons around him, Ridley should be able to find some big holes in the defense.  Ridley has a chance to impact the fantasy world this season. 





With the NFL becoming a passing league there have become fewer and fewer sure fire number one receivers, but it also means there is a lot more depth at the position than ever before and there are some good sleepers .  A key to winning your league will be getting quality receivers at the WR3 and WR4 for flex weeks especially if they have the potential to score like a WR2. 



Robert Meachem – Robert Meachem is on the move this year from the Saints to the Chargers which I believe will prove to be a great move for him.  Meachem has all the talent in the world and can make great catches and has very good speed.  He was mired in a very crowded receiving corps in New Orleans and had a hard time getting targets, which will not be a problem in San Diego with the departure of Vincent Jackson.  There is also no competition for the starting spot with the injury to Vincent Brown in the preseason.  Meachem is going to have to learn to be more of an every down player and though he has the tendency to take off a few plays I think having Philip Rivers in his ear should help correct that problem.  Look for Meachem to take a huge step this year with more opportunities and a value if he slips into the 6th round or beyond.



Torrey Smith – Torrey Smith showed everyone last year that he is a home run threat with his straight up the field speed.  As a rookie he finished with 50 receptions for 841 yards and 16.8 yards per catch average.  Smith is the dynamic receiver on the Ravens and will continue to pressure defenses this year, but I expect him to have better chemistry with Flacco and having Ray Rice will always allow for big plays in the play action game.  If you are in a league that rewards for longer TD’s you will want to be targeting Smith.  Smith only had 2 games last year where he posted more than 100 yards receiving but in those 2 weeks he had 11 catches for 317 yards and 4 TD.  As he develops you can expect more 100 yard games and he should finish with 70 receptions for 1000+ yards this year.



Brandon LaFell – Brandon LaFell is entering his third season this year and has the opportunity to make the classic jump as a third year receiver.  LaFell is going to be under the radar as most people will be focusing on Steve Smith after his resurgence last season.  Lafell increased his numbers significantly from his rookie season and finished with 36 catches for 613 yards and 3 TD’s.  LaFell had an impressive 17 yards per catch average on the season but only posted one 100 yard receiving game.  LaFell should slip in most drafts because those numbers don’t jump out at you, but let’s consider the situation he is in this year.  Cam Newton will be entering his second season and should be a better passer this season.  Steve Smith is the one who is going to draw the double coverage leaving LaFell and his speed one on one in most cases.  I expect him to be available past round 10 in most drafts and that would be a steal if he finishes as I project with a 1,000 yards and around 60 receptions. 



Pierre Garcon – Garcon has slipped in some drafts and if he does he will be a steal for you.  Garcon has never had a 1,000 yard receiving season, even with a healthy Peyton Manning , which is why there are many non believers in Garcon with rookie RG III throwing him the pill.  The fact is Garcon has loads of talent and has proved in his career he can make the most ridiculous catches look easy, but has also dropped the easy ones.  The latter point could be why he did not see as many targets from Peyton.  Garcon is clearly the best receiver in Washington and RG III will look to him early and often (think of Steve Smith and Cam Newton last season).  Garcon will make an impact in both standard and PPR leagues and he should have no problem surpassing the 1,000 yard mark and setting career highs across the board. 





At the tight end position this season I feel it is very similar to the quarterback situation as there is more depth at this position than ever before.  Gronkowski and Graham are well ahead at the top, but if you miss on one of them don’t worry and feel like you need to jump and grab the next tight end as there will be some good talent available late, and if you don’t get one of the top ones, I would wait until later and grab two tight ends back to back in rounds 9 and 10.  Here are some of the tight ends that make me feel confident in that strategy. 



Brandon Pettigrew – Brandon Pettigrew finished outside the top 10 of scoring for tight ends even though he had 83 receptions on the season.  Being part of the Lions offense that spreads defenses gives him many opportunities to make plays.  The disappointment last season was that he only mustered 777 yards on those 83 receptions with his longest play going for 27 yards.  He is a big bodied tight end, but he does not have the game breaking ability of Graham or Gronkowski, but he should become a bigger weapon as the Lions continue to spread defenses out and having Stafford at quarterback is a plus.  Megatron presents an issue as he does steal red zone opportunities as he rightly should, but Pettigrew should be able to improve on his numbers from last season.  Pettigrew should continue to see a lot of short targets to take pressure off the running backs who are constantly injured and who will most likely be without Jahvid Best for the entire season.



Jared Cook – Jared Cook may be the tight end that I am most excited about this season.  Cook made a huge jump last year when you look at his season totals compared to 2010, although it was not felt in fantasy as he did most of his damage in the last 3 weeks of the season.  Those 3 weeks are what has me so interested in grabbing him this year.  In those 3 games he had 21 receptions for 335 yards and a TD.  Cook was able to raise his yards per catch average for the third year in a row and finished the season with 15.5 yards per catch average.  Cook will be helped by the return of Kenny Britt who should draw the double coverage and leave Cook alone against linebackers.  Cook has the potential to become a 1,000 yard receiver and top 65 receptions next year.         



Jermaine Gresham – Jermaine Gresham is entering his third season and has had at least 52 receptions in each season.  Gresham was a very consistent tight end last season as he had 4 or more catches in 9 of the 14 games he played in last year.  He never had a huge game as he has yet to have a 100 yard receiving game.  That said he is part of a young and up and coming offense and with Andy Dalton and AJ Green entering their second seasons there is hope in Cincinnati.  Gresham needs to improve on his yards per catch average which was 10.6 last season but he should get more opportunities this season.  Gresham should become a bigger part of the offense as they need to help draws attention away from AJ Green and Gresham should be the major benefactor. 



Fred Davis – Davis was another under the radar last season and scored like and a demon, but he still may slip in fantasy drafts this season.  Davis had career highs with 59 receptions for 796 yards and 3 TD in only 12 games played.  RG III will give him better quarterback play than he had last season with Rex Grossman and John Beck.  Davis is falling behind names like Tony Gonzalez and Jason Witten and he has a chance to be closer to Antonio Gates in stats by the end of the season.  If you wait on a tight end Davis is a great option.   You would like to see more TD production, but the Redskins are a completely different offense this season and Davis should see more opportunities in the redzone. 



By Houdini



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