Week 15
December 13, 2017
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Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Smoke and Mirrors


Over the last two games, Derrick Henry has faced 8+ in the box 76.92% and 72.73% of the time. He has averaged 7.83 YPC.

Fantasy Goo: His last two games were against Indy and Houston, while Indy is a bottom 5 defense in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, Houston is top 5. Henry had a 75yd run, with a minute left in the game while they were just trying to run-out the clock, against Houston which completely pads his stats. This week’s opponent, Arizona, is another tough opponent against the rush, I’m not betting on a big play from Henry again.


12/07/17, 06:13 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andre Ellington

Arizona Cardinals

Keep It In The Family


According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Houston Texans have placed wide receiver Bruce Ellington on injured reserve, ending his 2017 season. Ellington's been filling in for Will Fuller (ribs), and his absence will be felt, especially until Fuller's return.

Fantasy Goo: Fuller didn’t practice at all last week. Andre Ellington (Bruce’s cousin) attempted to play WR this year in Arizona, but couldn’t make the roster at that position. Don’t be surprised if the late season pick-up gives it another shot, Ellington had 5 receptions on 6 targets in week 13, for 59 yards.


12/05/17, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stephen Anderson

Houston Texans

Injuries Bread Opportunity


Houston Texans tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season. This is his third concussion in a year. The 26-year-old's season is over and possibly his career as well. Stephen Anderson will take over starting tight end duties for the Texans in his place.

Fantasy Goo: The 49ers are next for Houston and SF has been giving up points to every position besides TE’s. Anderson is more of a hybrid WR/TE, the main reason he lacks playing time is because he’s not a good inline blocker. Anderson had 12 targets in week 13, I’d imagine we will see double digit targets again this week.


12/05/17, 07:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Not on Empty Yet


To say Gore isn't a flashy player is an understatement, but continues to see solid volume, reaching at least 18 touches in four of the last five games. The Bills are near the bottom of the barrel against the run, and Gore should see his usual workload as long as the Colts can keep the game close.

Fantasy Goo: I haven’t touched him all year, but I have a feeling he has just enough left in him for one more big game. It could just as easily be a big game for Mack instead, but starting either will be a risky proposition in this inept offense, especially in your fantasy playoffs.


12/05/17, 07:26 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

One Year Wonder


Matt Ryan has not finished as a top-8 fantasy QB once in 2017. Last year, Ryan finished as a top-8 fantasy QB in 9-of-16 (56.3%) contests.

Fantasy Goo: He certainly misses the Shanahan offense. In weeks 14 and 16 Ryan faces the Saints who have been slightly better than average against QB’s this year, and a tremendous improvement over last year. Week 15 he has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay, but it is on the road.


12/05/17, 07:24 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Antonio Brown

Pittsburgh Steelers

Game Time Decision


Antonio Brown (toe) didn't practice Saturday and is questionable for Week 13 against the Bengals. Antonio Brown injury not considered major but toe issues can be tricky - didn’t practice for second straight day, teammate confirmed.

Fantasy Goo: Have a back-up plan for Monday night, but if he plays I would certainly start him. Brown is a complete DFS fade this week though, even on the short slates. Brown does not fare well against the Bengals for some reason, probably more game-script than anything. He has never scored a TD in Cincinnati.


12/03/17, 09:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles - 2014 Preseason #FF Preview

Philadelphia Eagles - 2014 Preseason #FF Preview

Posted by d-Rx on 05/10/14

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Last year nine teams had three or more fantasy starters in the top 60 and it is likely that it’ll continue to be that way in 2014. This series: Dressed for Success, will look at NFL teams going into 2014 that have assembled the right players to be a treasure trove of fantasy studs.

 

2013 was Chip Kelly’s first season as an NFL head coach, replacing long time head coach Andy Reid. From the very first game, the Eagles displayed a remarkably efficient offense that every fantasy owner should still be excited about owning players on the Eagles going into next season. While the Eagles didn’t run the most offensive plays in the NFL, the team tied with the Broncos for first in average yards per play with 6.3 yards per play. In fact, the number of offensive plays run is not a sure indicator of fantasy production; the Bills ran the third most plays in the NFL, but ranked 25th in total fantasy output.

 

Going into next season, I am really excited for Nick Foles, mildly excited about LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles, and cautiously optimistic about Riley Cooper, and Jeremy Maclin.

 

Nick Foles is the most intriguing sleeper pick for QB, because it’s hard to tell if he is really talented or just a product of Kelly’s system. The Eagles QBs combined for the third highest fantasy totals by QBs by team (Peyton Manning’s Broncos had 496.8; Drew Brees’ Saints had 437.5, and Vick and Foles’ Eagles had 415; the next best was Andy Dalton’s Bengals at 377.1). For fantasy purposes though, this abstract discussion of who created who probably doesn’t matter. If Foles is actually good, you might be getting the next Aaron Rodgers. In his 11 starts, he’s mustered 10 multi-TD games, with three TD runs. If he isn’t that good, you’ll be getting the benefit of him being part of an extremely efficient system, maybe channeling Matthew Stafford when his value was based on throwing the ball a ton. That is of course if Philadelphia doesn’t run him out of town first. (Read this story on how folks in Philly think Sanchez will fare).

 

The other knock that Foles has against him, following DeSean Jackson’s trade, is the lack of proven receivers on offense. Riley Cooper had a few amazing games in the middle of the season, but failed to break 75 yards after week 10. Jeremy Maclin is coming off an ACL surgery on a knee he previously had surgery on before has never had a 1000 yard season, but has had one double digit TD season. However, with QBs in fantasy football, the talent around you doesn’t have to be phenomenal; think of the NFL adage “some QBs make WRs better.” As long as Maclin and Cooper could stay healthy for most of the season, I expect Foles to resume playing at a high level. And worry not about Desean, we can be sure DeSean will be leaving some dirt at “the Linc” come next season. The skinny of it is probably this: not everyone throws for seven TDs in a game, even if it’s against the Raiders. You want a QB who can at least exploit a bad team.

 

 

 

 

With the unknown being so uncertain it’s hard to draft Foles early, but fortunately you probably won’t have to. The trend of waiting to draft a QB will probably continue into next season so you can safely pick him up in middle rounds after the PDA trinity of Peyton, Drew, and Aaron and running QBs have gone. Those in leagues that reward for big-plays should further consider bumping up Foles because the Eagles led the league in 20+ yard passes at 80, with the Broncos coming in second at 68.

 

The running game in Philadelphia is just as intriguing as the passing game. In 2013, LeSean and Bryce Brown combined for second most productive running game in terms of yardage. With Darren Sproles in the mix, its easily imaginable that this offense can produce two fantasy relevant RBs. In this up-tempo offense, it’ll be easy for Sproles to make separation with opposing linebackers, even if he’s lost a step or two with age. Lesean is still going in the first round and he’s a worthwhile RB to get in the first considering the Eagles tied for the second most running TDs in the league last year. Sproles however is going to slip in standard scoring, less so than PPR, but I wouldn’t let him go past 9th round in standard or 8th round in PPR.. He has more potential than whichever handcuff you are tempted to get at that point in the draft.

 

I do like Zach Ertz’s potential to be a good TE in 2014. Ertz outgained Celek in yardage and catches during the season, but scored fewer TDs than Celek.  But if 2013 is any indication, I don’t see Ertz breaking into the top 5 of TEs because the targets between him and Celek seem to go back and forth from game to game. There are better TEs to be had unless you’re waiting till the double digit rounds of your draft to be picking a TE.

 

You might have ethical dilemmas about drafting Riley Cooper, like when, I out of principle will not draft players who went to USC (in terms of degrees of socially detestable behavior, Riley Cooper’s Chesney induced comments and attending USC, pretty much the same). But really, Cooper does have some upside, not just as a PPR machine, but also in standard. Last season, Cooper flashed some long play-making abilities. In eight games, Cooper had at least one catch for over 20 yards, with four being over 40 yards. He can be a safe pick in either standard or PPR; I’d be comfortable taking a chance on him in the 7th round as a WR3. Believe in second chances; believe in Cooper; don’t let friends go to USC.

 

Maclin is a prototypical example of health risk versus reward players. If Danny Amendola taught us all anything last year, it’s that we should never be drafting injury prone receivers in the fourth round. Personally, Maclin hasn’t shown enough consistent production to go anywhere before the sixth; coupled with the injury history; I would only be willing to spend a 9th round pick at most to gamble on Maclin.

 

The last stat I’ll share is Philadelphia’s turnover difference: +12 turnovers, fourth best in the league. The short and skinny is that teams that get the ball or maintain the ball more, can produce more fantasy stats. The Eagles are looking like a well put together team and can help your fantasy team look pretty... fly. The city of Philadelphia is ready for winners, and what is this about their being a jail in the stadium?

 

 

 

 

PLEASE CHECK OUT TEAM 4 of 32:

Washington Redskins - 2014 Preseason #FF Preview

 

 

 

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