Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Pickups After Week 5 - Waiver Wire

Pickups After Week 5 - Waiver Wire

Posted by d-Rx on 10/07/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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pickups and drops after week 5

 

 

Pickups After Week 5 - Waiver Wire

 

 

Alex Green - RB – Packers – Green saw his first major action of the season after Cedric Benson left with a foot injury.  Green looked pretty capable, carrying the ball 9 times for 55 yards and had a reception for another 8.  It is not known how bad the injury is to Cedric Benson, but it would appear that Green is ready step in as the starter if Benson can’t go.  Green has dynamic ability for a large back at 225 pounds.  He showed that ability with a 41 yard run in the 4th quarter of a tight game.  If Green gets the chance to start, he could be a decent flex option as he has value in the passing game.  Either way, with his performance he is going to see more attempts, especially if Benson is not 100%.

 


Rashard Mendenhall – RB – Steelers
– Mendenhall sure proved that he is back and ready to play football with his 101 total yard performance including a TD.  He looked quick and had a burst going through the line that we did not see out of him last season when he was healthy.  He also had 2 receptions, which shows he is ready to become a 3 down back for the Steelers.  Redman and Dwyer both showed that they are not ready for the lead role in this offense and Mendenhall just took it back with authority this week.

 


Kirk Cousins - QB – Redskins
– Cousins came in for RGIII after he was knocked out of the game on a hard hit along the sideline by Sean Weatherspoon.  RGIII was diagnosed with a concussion and also received stitches from the hit.  Cousins came in and hit Santana Moss on a huge 77 yard TD pass, but was not very effective after that play as he threw 2 INT.  The injury to RGIII is being called a mild concussion and the Redskins hope to have him back next week, but he will have to pass the baseline concussion tests before he will be allowed to play.  If RGIII is unable to go Cousins is an option if you are in a deep league, but he would have a tough match-up next week against the Vikings.

 


William Powell - RB – Cardinals
– Powell is the primary backup to Ryan Williams while Beanie Wells remains out until week 12.  Ryan Williams has not looked very good since he became the starter and showed again this past week with 33 yards on 14 carries.  Williams currently has a 2.8 yards per carry average and is going to start losing carries to Powell.  If Powell is able to step in and be effective with his opportunity, then he could steal the job away, especially if the Cardinals keep playing so well.

 

*** UPDATE ***    Ryan Williams needs surgery on his injured left shoulder and will be out for the remainder of the season!  Basically, Powell won't need to steal the job at all. It's already his. Grab him immediately.

 


Rueben Randle - WR – Giants
– Randle had a very nice game on Sunday in the shadow of Victor Cruz and his 3 TD grabs.  Randle ended up leading the Giants in receptions and yards with 6-82 and was targeted 9 times in the game.  The fact is that the Giants receiving corps is continually banged up and Randle has steadily made his way up the depth chart as the others continue to miss practice and game time.  After his performance this week he is going to gain the trust of the coaching staff and more importantly he has gained the trust of Eli. 

 


Robert Meachem - WR – Chargers –
Meachem finally arrived for the Chargers this week and all it took was a return to his former digs in the Superdome.  Meachem had 2 first half TD grabs including a 44 yard grab.  It appears that Meachem and Rivers are finally starting to gel, which is great news for both of these players’ fantasy prospects.  Meachem is still going to be an inconsistent fantasy player, but as he showed on Sunday Night he can go off for a big game.

 


Josh Gordon - WR – Browns
– Gordon made his presence known in Week 5 with TD receptions of 62 and 20 yards.  Those were the only 2 catches on the day for the rookie, but he took advantage of his first real opportunity this season.  Gordon has a ton of ability, but he is going to be a feast or famine type of a player.  He should continue to see more opportunities going forward and the Browns are going to be down in most of their games this season and will be in need of big plays on offense. 

 


Dwayne Allen - TE – Colts
– Allen is becoming the TE that Andrew Luck is targeting in the redzone, not Coby Fleener.  Allen had a TD on Sunday which is the 2nd in the past 3 weeks for the rookie.  Allen is not going to get you a lot of yards, but if you are in a TD league then Allen has a lot more value. 

 


Chris Givens & Brian Quick - WRs – Rams
– Danny Amendola is going to be out for 6-7 weeks with a separated clavicle so both Givens and Quick have an opportunity to step in and see a lot more targets.  Givens seems to be ahead of Quick on the depth chart and had a huge 51-yard TD grab last week.

 

 

Steve Smith - WR – Rams – Givens and Quick should certainly see an uptick in targets, as will Austin Pettis, but Steve Smith is the one likely to replace Amendola in the slot and could quickly become Bradford's new favorite target. In PPR leagues, Smith could be the one to grab here.

 

 

Jahvid Best - RB – Lions  & Vincent Brown - WR – Chargers – Both Best and Brown are going to be available very soon as Best can be activated after Week 6 and Brown after Week 8. Even better is that both are tentatively expected to be ready to go immediately.  These guys have a lot of skill and could be big factors once they return.  This is a foreshadowing to you to remember these players are out there and if you can stash the spot on your bench, then you may want to grab one of these guys before they come back and are in demand.

 

 

Jamie Harper - RB – Titans – Harper is long shot flyer if you are in a real deep league.  Javon Ringer went down with what looked to be a serious injury as he was carted off the field and as we have seen all season, Chris Johnson has been very ineffective.  Harper may get to see some chances and as I said, he is really only worth looking at in the deepest of leagues, but with Ringer now expected to be out for 4-6 weeks with a torn MCL, you never know.

 

 

 

Read our Pickups after week 4: 

http://www.pyromaniac.com/op_eds/pickups-after-week-4-waiver-wire

 

Read our Pickups after week 3:

http://www.pyromaniac.com/op_eds/pickups-drops-after-week-3-waiver-wire

  

Read our Pickups after week 2:

http://www.pyromaniac.com/op_eds/pickups-drops-week-2-waiver-wire 

 

Read our Pickups after week 1:

http://www.pyromaniac.com/op_eds/2012-fantasy-football-pickups-drops-after-week-1 

 

 

 

BY HOUDINI (email me)