Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Pickups & Drops - Week 1 / '13

Pickups & Drops - Week 1 / '13

Posted by d-Rx on 09/09/13

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Pickups & Drops - Week 1 / '13 

 

 

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Julian Edleman – WR – Patriots

 The Patriots are looking for someone to step up in the receiving game and it was Julian Edleman who was the most impressive in week 1.  Edleman was targeted 9 times and finished with 7 catches for 79 yards and 2 touchdowns.  There is a lot of competition for targets in New England, but it seems that Edleman is a player that will be an integral part of this offense going forward.

 
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E.J. Manual – QB – Bills

 E.J Manuel did not light up the scoreboard in his first NFL game, but he showed some nice flashes of what is to come in his career.  Manuel threw two 18-yard touchdowns to Robert Woods and Stevie Johnson.  Manuel completed 66% of his passes, did not throw an interception and showed his ability to run with 23 yards on 3 carries.  This is an encouraging start for the rookie, and while he only threw for 150 yards, you can see the potential.

 
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Chad Henne – QB – Jaguars

 Chad Henne lost the starting job to Blaine Gabbert in the preseason, but he may have handed the job back to Henne with his week one performance.  Gabbert was awful; completing 16 of 35 passes for a putrid 121 yards and 2 interceptions.  Then to add injury to insult, Gabbert got injured and required 15 stiches on his right hand.  There is a good chance Henne will start next week and if he plays well be the starter the rest of the season.

 
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Robert Woods – WR – Bills

 Rookie Robert Woods only had one catch in his debut, but it was an 18-yard touchdown.  Woods is a player that has a lot potential, and is getting the chance to play as a rookie.  His chemistry with E.J. Manuel will continue to improve over the season and he will become a more viable threat in the coming weeks.

 

Kenbrell Thompkins – WR – Patriots

 Thompkins did not have the most productive game with only 4 catches for 42 yards in his first NFL game.  The big takeaway for Kenbrell is the fact that he was targeted 14 times in the game.  Obviously he is going to need to improve on his catch to target ratio, but a few more weeks working on chemistry with Tom Brady should lead to a breakout game real soon.

 
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Brian Hartline – WR – Dolphins

 Brian Hartline was targeted 15 times and had 9 catches for 114 yards and a touchdown.  There seems to be some chemistry issue between Ryan Tannehill and Mike Wallace and Hartline is the major beneficiary of this.  Wallace is going to draw more attention every week, and Hartline will have a chance to be a more consistent player this year with Tannehill feeling comfortable looking his way.


jerome simpson pyro character
Jerome Simpson – WR – Vikings

 Greg Jennings may have signed a big contract to come to Minnesota, but it was Jerome Simpson who stole the show in the receiving game for the Vikings.  Simpson hauled in 7 catches for 140 yards, and was the only receiver that was able to stretch the field for Christian Ponder.  Simpson is better known for his ability to do flips over defenders to score a touchdown, but this may be the year he is fantasy relevant.

 
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Terrelle Pryor – QB – Raiders

 Pryor was one of our deep deep sleepers, who then became a deep sleeper, but now he is a hot waiver wire commodity.  We had been all over Pryor who has the ability to run, which is so important when you quarterback the Raiders offense.  Pryor showed amazing ability to make plays through the air and on the ground.  Terrelle ran 13 times for a 112 yards, a day that Darren McFadden would love to have, and threw for 217 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions.  Pryor is the next Tim Tebow, with better ability to throw the ball.



Kenny Stills – WR – Saints

 Kenny Stills is the new deep threat target for Drew Brees.  The Saints may have signed Robert Meachem back to the team, but rookie Kenny Stills is doing the job he used to have with the team.  Stills showed his big play ability with 2 catches for 86 yards, including a long catch for 67 yards.  Stills has a lot of upside and the Saints are always trying to pressure defenses and take shots downfield, and that means more opportunities await this rookie.

  

Kellen Winslow – TE – Jets

 Kellen Winslow has remerged in New York and looked good as the safety blanket for Geno Smith.  Winslow finished the game with 7 catches for 79 yards and a touchdown.  Geno Smith is being forced into the starting role for the Jets and is in over his head right now.  Smith is going to check down a lot, and Kellen Winslow is going to be the beneficiary of this.

 

Jermaine Kearse – WR – Seahawks

 Jermaine Kearse was making plays all preseason and earned himself a role in the Seahawks offense.  He is a playmaker who showed that ability on Sunday with 2 catches for 49 yards, including a 43-yard touchdown.  Kearse is playing himself into more playing time and he and Russell Wilson are displaying nice chemistry.  Kearse should see his role increase in the coming weeks.

 


Andre Roberts – WR – Cardinals

 What difference a quarterback can make, and Andre Roberts took advantage of having Carson Palmer hauling in 8 catches for 97 yards.  Roberts was able to work the underneath routes extremely well, while Larry Fitzgerald and Michael Floyd stretched the field.  Roberts should continue to be effective in the passing game, as Carson Palmer likes to spread the ball around.

 

Julius Thomas – TE – Broncos

 Julius Thomas burst onto the scene with his 5 catches for 110 yards and 2-touchdown performance against the Ravens. There is no doubt he will be the hottest commodity on the waiver wire, and will have a chance to have some more nice games, although probably not as good as this one.  The Broncos still have a ton of offensive weapons and Thomas just adds to that list now.

    

Knowshon Moreno – RB – Broncos

 While Peyton Manning was having a career day, the Broncos running game looked lost.  Montee Ball and Ronnie Hillman both were unimpressive, while Knowshon Moreno made the most of his opportunities.  Moreno ended up with 9 carries, the most on the team, for 28 yards, but added another 37 yards on 3 catches.  Knowshown has a good chance to move up the depth chart, just like he did at the end of last season.  His ability to be effective in the passing game, and his willingness to be a blocker will earn him more playing time. 


Joique Bell – RB – Lions

 Joique Bell had the second most carries for this Lions in week 1 with 6 for 25 yards, but also ran 2 touchdowns.  Bell also added 5 catches for 67 yards and has secured himself the backup role to Reggie Bush.  The Lions seemed primed to move away from Mikel Leshoure, who did not have even 1 carry in the game.  Bell showed his ability to be effective in the passing game last season with 52 catches and is picking up where he left off.  Bell is going to continue to get opportunities in the Lions offense and should be the goal line back to keep Reggie Bush healthy all season. 



Pierre Thomas – RB – Saints

 Pierre is in a crowed backfield in New Orleans, but he was the most impressive one running the football in week 1.  Thomas had 9 carries for 43 yards, while Mark Ingram also had 9 carries that went for only 11 yards.  Pierre also added 4 catches, as he continues to be a part of the passing offense.  The Saints are still searching for who the running back will be to carry the ball inside the tackles and this the last chance Ingram had to hold onto the job and Pierre may be taking that away from him. 

 


Andre Ellington – RB – Cardinals

 Andre Ellington did not have a very big stat line in week 1 with only 1 catch for 13 yards, but his opportunity is going to come.  Rashard Mendenhall is still the starter and it was Alfonso Smith who drew backup duty on Sunday and was not impressive.  Smith had 10 carries for 26 yards and also fumbled the ball.  When Ellington had his catch he showed his speed and elusiveness and it will only be a matter of time before he starts getting carries. 

 


Le'Veon Bell – RB – Steelers

 Le’Veon Bell should be grabbed off the waiver wire if you need help at running back and can wait a few weeks.  The Steelers have nobody at running back, as La’Rod Stephens Howling led the team in rushing in week 1 with 19 yards on 6 carries, but he also tore his ACL and is out for the season.  The Steelers have brought back Jonathan Dwyer, so it is clear that as soon as Bell is healthy he will be the man.  

 


Marlon Brown – WR – Ravens

 The Ravens may have found the receiver to play opposite of Torrey Smith in Marlon Brown.  Brown had 4 catches for 65 yards and a touchdown in week 1, and the rookie from Georgia will look to continue this in week 2.  Brown has all the measurable to be a force to be reckoned with standing at 6’5” and 205 pounds.  Brown is also going to get more chances while Jacoby Jones is out for 4-6 weeks. 

 


Ace Sanders – WR – Jaguars

 Ace Sanders and the rest of the Jaguar receivers had a rough game in week 1, but this rookie slot receiver is going to be a bigger part of this offense as the season moves on. Blaine Gabbert, who looked good in preseason, looked horrible in week 1 and then injured his right hand and needed 15 stiches.  If Chad Henne gets the start next week, which looks to be the case, this will give a boost to the Jaguar receivers and Sanders may be able to show a lot more.  He is still worth a flier in deep leagues.  

 


Rod Streater – WR – Raiders

 Rod Streater was the leading receiver for the Raiders in week 1, hauling in 5 catches for 70 yards.  Terelle Pryor was effective in week 1 and Streater was his most consistent threat on the day.  With Pryor at quarterback you are not going to expect many, if any, 300-yard passing games which limits the impact that Streater will have over the season, as he may not many if any 100-yard receiving games, but he is going to be a favorite target of Pryor.

   

Nate Burleson – WR – Lions

Ryan Broyles was the name that being thrown around as the guy who will be the true second fiddle to Calvin Johnson, but it was the 11 year veteran receiver in Nate Burleson who still has something to say about that, and he had his chance as Broyles was inactive.  Burleson was the most effective receiver in week 1 with 6 catches for 78 yards.  The Lions are still a pass happy offense and Burleson is going to get opportunities each week.  Calvin is still the man, but Burleson should be a consistent threat for points, just not the monster games.

  
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Percy Harvin – WR – Seahawks

This is just another friendly reminder that if Percy Harvin is on our waiver wire you should grab him.  He is expected back around week 12 or 13, but he feels that he will be back even sooner.  There is not going to be another receiver on the waiver wire that will have the potential impact on your team that Harvin will when he comes back this season.  If he does come back around week 8, which Harvin is predicating, he will be the waiver wire pick up that wins championships for owners who were smart enough to grab him. 

 

Da’Rel Scott – RB – Giants

 David Wilson must really hate opening days and the Dallas Cowboys as it was a double repeat of last season where he fumbled on his second carry.  This time Wilson fumbled twice in 7 carries and was benched yet again.  This opened the door for Da’Rel Scott, who came in and was effective with 5 carries for 23 yards and 5 catches for 51 yards.  There is one thing that Tom Coughlin hates more than anything and that is fumbling.  If Andre Brown was still healthy he would have the job, but Scott is going to see a lot of those carries until he returns.  If Wilson does not fix the fumblitis then Scott will still see carries when Brown returns.   

 

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LeGarrette Blount

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By Houdini (email me)