QB Player Rankings – Week 12
1. Aaron Rodgers (@ Atl) – In the past five games, while the Atlanta defense hasn’t given up a ton of yards, they’ve still allowed no fewer than two passing TDs to opposing QBs. Two apiece to Sam Bradford and Josh Freeman, and three apiece to Joe Flacco, Carson Palmer and Kevin Kolb. The way I see it, Bradford and Freeman are a step below Flacco, Palmer and Kolb at this point in their careers, while Rodgers is at least a step above them. If the pattern stays true, Rodgers should end up with four TDs and right around 300 yards in this one.
2. Drew Brees (@ Dal) – Brees is on a serious hot streak right now throwing no less than two TDs over the last six games while averaging 306.3 yards in that time. With Dallas allowing an average of 303.4 yards and three TDs to opposing QBs during their last five games, this has the makings of a fantasy explosion for Drew.
3. Kyle Orton (vs StL) – Orton has been outstanding at home tossing up an average of two TDs per game at Mile High Stadium this year. St. Louis has a pretty good defense all the way around, but I expect Captain Neckbeard to come out rolling after what happened to the Broncos last Monday night.
4. Philip Rivers (@ Ind) – Rivers has now thrown for the third most yards through 10 games of a season in the history of the NFL (Drew Brees (2008) – 3,251; Rich Gannon (2002) – 3,195). He won’t have as easy of a time this weekend against the Colts as he did last Monday night against the Broncos, but he should still be able to rattle off some pretty impressive stats, especially with Vincent Jackson back in the mix.
5. Peyton Manning (vs SD) – The Chargers have one of the best defenses in the league, especially against the pass, but challenges like these always seem to bring the best out of Peyton. I wouldn’t expect a 350-yard three-TD game by any means, though stranger things have happened.
6. Michael Vick (@ Chi) – This might be the lowest I rank Vick for the remainder of the season as the Bears defense has been outstanding against the pass this year. They’ve also been real good against the run so with the quickness they possess on that side of the ball, Vick may find himself a bit limited in this game. However, this IS Michael Vick we’re talking about, so anything can and usually does happen.
7. Ben Roethlisberger (@ Buf) – The Bills don’t give up much in the passing game in terms of yards, but that’s mostly due to the fact that teams know they can run all over them all game long. That said, they do give up a ton of TDs (two per game), so Roethlisberger should come out just fine for your fantasy team this Sunday.
8. Shaun Hill (vs NE) – The kid is doing a fantastic job this in relief of the perennially injured Matthew Stafford. In the six games he’s started and finished this year, he’s averaged 290.3 yards and 1.8 TDs per game. He’s also averaged 17.7 fantasy points per game (basic scoring system) which would rank him eighth in the league, just ahead of Drew Brees and Tom Brady.
9. Tom Brady (@ Det) – I don’t expect more than 250 yards and two TDs in this one for Brady. Could it happen? Absolutely, but this has the look and feel of a game where the Patriots try to establish an equal sort of dominance between the run and the pass. The Lions defense can be had in both ways, so why not use both ways to beat them?
10. Matt Schaub (vs Ten) – For all of his weapons, Schaub has been quite a disappointment this year. However, last year he threw for an average of 331 yards and three TDs against these Titans, so he seems to like playing against them. I don’t expect those gaudy numbers to repeat themselves, but close to 300 and a couple of TDs might be in order.
11. Mark Sanchez (vs Cin) – Sanchez may not be an elite quarterback just yet, but he sure has been tossing the pill around like one lately. Dirty Sanchize has averaged 316.7 yards and two TDs a game over the last three weeks, so with the Bengals pass D being a bit sketchy, I could easily see a nice 275-yard, two-TD game out of him.
12. Matt Ryan (vs GB) – This is one of Ryan’s toughest matchups to date, but I expect him to rise to the challenge. In his five home games so far this year, Matty Ice produced three-TD games in three of them while also tossing up his three highest yardage totals this year. Plain and simple, Matty loves playing at home, as evidenced by his 18-1 career record at the Georgia Dome (lost 24-20 in his rookie season to Denver on a 4th quarter TD pass by Jay Cutler with 5:35 left in the game).
13. Joe Flacco (vs TB) – Flacco may end up with two TDs and 250 yards in this game, but the more likely scenario is that the Ravens run the ball through a porous Buccaneers D-line all game and basically give Flacco the week off. He still might get off a TD or two regardless though.
14. Eli Manning (vs Jax) – Eli has lost his WR1, WR2, WR4 and WR5 so far this year. That leaves Mario Manningham, Derek Hagan, and Duke Calhoun to pass to. I’m more than expecting the Giants to run the ball a ton this game, but that doesn’t mean Manning won’t be able to throw up a couple of scores against one of the worst three defenses in the league.
15. Matt Cassel (@ Sea) – Normally I’d be hard-pressed to tell you to start Matt Cassel, but against an awful pass D like the Seahawks have, he could be looking at around 250 yards or so with a couple of TDs.
16. Brett Favre (@ Was) – When Minnesota decided to close the door on Brad Childress, they also might have opened up a window for Brett Favre. The entire team will be a bit happier this weekend without their former dictator around, and we all know how loose Favre likes to play. With Sidney Rice back and the Vikings playing bottom tier pass defense, look for Favre to show a little bit of his old fire on Sunday.