QB Player Rankings – Week 16
1. Michael Vick (vs Min) – The guy is simply beyond description and comprehension. He has the same amount of 100-yard rushing games this year as Ray Rice, Matt Forte and the entire NY Jets backfield while also leading the Eagles in rushing touchdowns. Vick has all that plus one of the best arms in the game?! My lord! It doesn’t matter who he plays anymore. He’s simply the surest fantasy bet there is.
2. Drew Brees (@ Atl) – Brees is on a freaky tear right now and has multiple TD passes in nine of his last ten games. Make no mistake about it, Cool Brees is running rampant right now and there’s no telling how many TDs he’ll throw up against the division-rival Falcons this Monday night. In their first game against each other, Drew went off for 365 yards and three TDs. The numbers can easily be had again with Atlanta’s pass D being mediocre at best.
3. Tom Brady (@ Buf) – Brady’s streak of multi-TD, zero-INT games continued last weekend against the Packers, though it was his weakest fantasy performance since the streak first started back in Week 9 against the Browns. Green Bay has a real tough pass D so there’s no reason to jump ship, especially against a middling Bills secondary that allowed him to throw for 252 yards and three TDs back in Week 3.
4. Matt Schaub (@ Den) – Just start him for goodness sakes. He’s averaging over 50 pass attempts the last three games along with over 350 yards and 2.3 TDs. Against the Broncos, I’ve got to have my head examined for not making him the number one QB this week.
5. Peyton Manning (@ Oak) – Despite his troubles with turning the ball over this season, Manning still leads the league in passing yards and sits in the top-4 in fantasy points. Maybe this is a bit of a down year for him in real life, but fantasy-wise, he’s doing just fine. The Colts need to win out to be secured of a playoff berth, and you know exactly who it will be who will get them there…
6. Philip Rivers (@ Cin) – You gotta love yourself some Philip Rivers… at least when it comes to fantasy. He’s easily one of the more despised players in the league, but you have to give him his props as a competitor, as a fantasy player, and as a genuine NFL quarterback. With Cinci basically throwing in the towel, expect a nice little showing out of Big Mouth this weekend.
7. Aaron Rodgers (vs NYG) – He’s not Michael Jordan, so I’m not going to say “He’s Baaaack”, but WOW do the Packers need him right now. The Giants have a tough enough defense as is, so without Rodgers, they wouldn’t have stood a chance. However, Aaron could have himself a nice game here in an inspirational effort to keep Green Bay in the hunt for a playoff berth.
8. Jon Kitna (@ Ari) – Kitna has been amazing in relief of Tony Romo leading the Cowboys to a 4-2 record over the past six weeks while averaging 250.2 yards passing and putting up 11 TDs during that span. Against the lowly Cardinals on Christmas Day, expect at least another 250-yard, two-TD effort.
9. David Garrard (vs Was) – With the Jaguars fighting for their playoff lives, you can bet they’ll be doing everything in they can to get the win in this one. MJD will shoulder a nice workload, but Garrard will have to do his part as well. Expect two TDs at least, whether they be through the air, on the ground, or a combination of both.
10. Matt Ryan (vs NO) – Ryan has quietly turned in a top-ten fantasy season while leading the Falcons to the best record in the NFL (tied with the Patriots). His 25 TDs rank sixth in the league while his four separate three-TD games have his fantasy owners ecstatic. What’s even better is that three of those four came in the comfort of the Falcons home dome (where he plays much better statistically). In what could be a old-fashioned shootout, play this kid with confidence.
11. Josh Freeman (vs Sea) – The only game Freeman didn’t throw for a touchdown pass in this year was against the Pittsburgh Steelers back in Week 3. That said, he also hasn’t thrown for three TDs on the year, either. If you start him, you’re taking a bit of a gamble, but playing down south in Tampa against the Seahawks awful pass D, you might do well in taking a chance on him.
12. Joe Flacco (@ Cle) – Flacco went off for 262 yards and three TDs when these two teams hooked up back in Week 3. Cleveland’s pass D can be beat, but I’m guessing the weather will keep Flacco from reaching those same numbers. He’ll come close though.
13. Rex Grossman (@ Jax) – The guy threw for how many TDs last weekend?!?! Four?! Now we all know that Rex "Screw it, I'm Going Deep" Grossman may be one of the most up-and-down quarterbacks to play in the NFL, but if you catch him on one of those "up" days, he can be a complete fantasy gem. He’ll be working at home in Week 16 against a Jacksonville defense that has allowed 26 passing TDs on the year (27th in the NFL) and 256 passing yards a game (also 27th), so if you’re in a fix, Rex could do you well.
14. Ryan Fitzpatrick (vs NE) – Ryan’s first game of the year was against these Patriots in Week 3, and after he put up 247 yards and two TDs against them, he hasn’t slowed down since. I expect those same numbers to be right around what he puts up in this game as well.
15. Kerry Collins (@ KC) – Collins has put together a couple of nice games now averaging 240.5 yards and 2.5 TDs the past two weeks. The Chiefs pass D is decent, but they’re nothing much to worry about for a Titans team featuring four different wideouts who can get the job done.
16. Ben Roethlisberger (vs Car) – Carolina has a tough pass D, but with the Steelers in need of a win as they go down to the wire with the Ravens for a divisional title, you can bet Roethlisberger will at least put up some decent stats. The most comparable situation to this game was when Pitt played against the Raiders back in Week 11. Both Oakland and Carolina have good pass defenses and below-average rush Ds, yet Big Ben was able to put up 275 yards with three TDs in that game. I doubt he does that well, but a couple of TDs could be in the mix.
17. Eli Manning (@ GB) – Coming off of a four-TD performance, I’d love to rank him higher, but I can’t. The Packers held Brady to his worst week in half a season last Sunday night, so you really can’t expect Eli to do much better, can you? The ceiling is around 200 yards and two TDs, so if you’re willing to take a chance on that being your QB output, go right ahead.
18. Matt Cassel (vs Ten) – Cassel has been phenomenal this year in leading the Chiefs to a division-leading 9-5 record, and even though he missed a game this season, he’s still seventh in the league with 24 TD passes. His job on Sunday will most likely be as a field general as opposed to being counted on to win the game himself, so despite his ascension through the ranks, don’t expect a great fantasy performance.
19. Chad Henne (vs Det) – Henne won’t be too bad of a play this weekend against an average Lions pass defense if you’re looking for a QB2 to round out your squad. Chad has always put up much better stats in the comfort of his own home than on the road, and with Brandon Marshall healthy and playing better lately, he might be worth a look.
20. Jay Cutler (vs NYJ) – This game has the looks of coming down to the better harsh-condition field goal kicker, which doesn’t bode well for fantasy production. Rex Ryan knows how Cutler freaks out when pressured, so I expect a ton of various blitz packages being thrown at him all game long. The Jets’ cover-corners are good enough to keep a short passing game in check, so temper your expectations of Jay this weekend.
21. Sam Bradford (vs SF) – Bradford has obviously hit a bit of a rookie wall, but against a lower-end 49ers pass D, Sam the Ram could find himself breaking out of it in no time. He threw for 251 yards and a TD in their last matchup, which looks to be about right this time around as well.
22. Tim Tebow (vs Hou) – The truth is, Tebow really didn't look all that good in his debut, but he did have a rushing TD and a passing TD, which is all you can realistically expect from a rookie with his skill-set. He has a nice fantasy match-up this weekend as the Broncos take on a team with the worst pass D in the league, so take a chance in two-QB leagues and especially in leagues that count double for rushing TDs/yardage.
23. Mark Sanchez (@ Chi) – Not only does Sanchez not play well in the cold (as evidenced by his 1-5 TD-to-INT ratio over the last four games), but he’s facing a tough Bears secondary that doesn’t allow much in the passing game anyway. Santonio Holmes, Braylon Edwards and Jerricho Cotchery always give him a shot to do well, but don’t count on it.
24. Troy Smith (@ StL) – Troy has the ability to surprise every once in awhile due to his versatility. In fact, his best game this season came against these same Rams back in Week 10 when he put up 356 passing yards along with one TD, so if your league starts two QBs, consider Smith an option with his running ability while playing in a dome.
25. Shaun Hill (@ Mia) – Hill looks like he’s going to start this week. With a lineup of Megatron, Burleson and Pettigrew in front of him, he might be worth a gamble, but only in the deepest of leagues.