Week 20
January 19, 2018
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Newsfeeds

View all + 8497


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Andrew Luck and every relevant QB are covered in this quick hitter piece for fantasy football

Pyro Gold Diggers - FF Outlook Nuggets for Quarterbacks Vol. 1

Posted by d-Rx on 07/06/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

Aaron Rodgers

What can we say about Aaron Rodgers? He is the all time leader in TD:INT ratio and finished first among QBs in scoring in 2016 ahead of even the MVP season by Matt Ryan. This being said, he did so on only 27% deep ball accuracy. His previous career low was 38% and has 4 seasons above 50%. Expect A-Rod to IMPROVE on his already excellent 2016 season.

 

Tom Brady

How far away is the cliff for Mr. Brady? Well let’s remember that TB actually fell off a cliff in late March of 2015, no this wasn’t the horrid Chiefs game, but Brady fell off a cliff in the Costa Rican jungle. What did he do after that? He put up the second most points in 2015 to Cam’s superman-esque season, then followed it up with a near perfect 99.3 PFF grade for 2016. Do not fear the cliff in 2017 as Brandin Cooks came to town and Rob Gronkowski returns to action to safely catch Brad and tuck him away as a top 3 QB.

 

Andrew Luck

We all know Luck is coming off a serious shoulder surgery that has sidelined him sporadically the last two season. Despite this, Luck put together a 2016 season with a career best 71.2 QBR and a 92.4 PFF grade. If Luck is doing this with a injured throwing shoulder, imagine what he’ll do once healthy and with an upgraded offensive line.

 

Drew Brees

Mr. 5,000 will be without LT Terron Armstead for an extended period of time with a torn labrum. Fortunately for the QB widely known for his Home/Road splits averaged 18 points per game both with and without Armstead. Unfortunately for Brees, he will be without C Max Unger for an extended period and lost Brandin Cooks via trade.

 

Russell Wilson

Throwing only 34 pass attempts per game, there were 14 QBs who throw more than Russ. However, Wilson’s targets combined for only 10 drops for eligible WRs, and finished as a top 5 QB in five of his final 8 games after recovering from an ankle injury that had him close to immobile for first half of the season.

 

Matt Ryan

Take your pick between the Super Bowl loss hangover season, losing offensive guru Kyle Shanahan or having the highest QB Rating on clean pockets passes for why Ryan should experience regression in 2017.

 

Derek Carr

After signing the richest contract in NFL history what will the storyline for Carr’s 2017 be? We could be talking about how Carr reaped the benefits of Amari Cooper making the 3rd year WR jump. But will he be able to get the ball there with 4 of the top 10 rated CBs from last year on division rivals. Maybe we shouldn’t be taking last years 13th quarterback in points per game as the 6th QB off the board.

 

Kirk Cousins

Cousins is playing yet another season on the Franchise tag, this time he has to do it without Garcon and Jackson. Although many believe Terrelle Pryor to be an upgrade, Garcon actually finished with the 8th highest grade among all WRs. Pryor finished at number 31, with Jackson close behind at 36. In all reality Cousins may be in line for decreased production with his new look WR core.

 

Marcus Mariota

Although the idiom “break a leg” typically means good luck, Mariota’s fibula might be a little salty. We shouldn’t expect Mariota to break his shocking 0 career red zone interceptions with his upgraded toys in rookie Corey Davis and the former Jet and Bronco Eric Decker. Not to mention Mariota was the QB1 in fantasy spanning from Week 5 to 12 without the aforementioned pass catchers.

 

Dak Prescott

How much more leash will they give him as a run first team? Prescott had a historically low interception rate, this will regress this season, how does that affect psyche ad overall FF points?

 

Jameis Winston

Winston has 66 to 1 odds to win the 2017 MVP, but he averaged 9 less passes in Bucs wins. With only 8 QBs throwing deep balls at a worse percentage than Winston in 2016 DJax may be vastly underutilized. Take the field on this one.

 

Ben Roethlisberger

The splits game, Big Ben averages 4 more fantasy points per game with Martavis Bryant on the field. But his 70% completion rating and 20-5 TD to INT ratio drops to 59% and 9-8 on the road. Oh yeah, Ben starts the season with 3/4 games on the road.

 

Cam Newton

Well the dab is officially out which is good, but Cam had the lowest adjusted completion percentage in the NFL last year. Luckily for Cam, he goes up against 5 teams that give up the most fantasy points to QB’s and only 2 of the 10 most difficult matchups. Cam needs to learn how to protect himself better as he has been hit on 23% of his drop backs since entering the league in 2011 (That’s over 700 hits from NFL defensive players).

 

Phillip Rivers

After getting uprooted from his San Diego beach home, Rivers moves two hours north and will face the 5th most difficult QB schedule. After not missing a game in 11 season, Rivers might prefer to stay stuck in LA traffic rather than play behind the second worst line in football.

 

Andy Dalton

Dalton produced 4 top 60 players in his offense despite having AJ Green and Tyler Eifert for only 2 games. This season Dalton will have the added weapons of the speedster John Ross and preseason beast Joe Mixon. Dalton should be in line to get back to a top 5 QB and you can really wait on him in drafts.

 

Tyrod Taylor

The shackles are off TyGod as he is released from Rex Ryan and Greg Roman’s most run heavy offense in the NFL. Getting Sammy Watkins back healthy and the addition of Zay Jones shouldn’t hurt either.

 

Matthew Stafford

Stafford set the NFL record for most 4th Quarter Comebacks with 8. Although this statistic doesn’t have sticky correlations for the next season, Stafford has 6 straight 4,000 yard season and is the fastest QB in NFL history to reach the 30,000 yard mark. You can basically view him as a Drew Brees-lite that’s going multiple rounds later.

 

Eli Manning

Manning showed signs that he may be closer to the end than many think, failing to match his statistical outputs across the board since McAdoo took over the offense. The addition of Marshall and Engram should inflate his numbers, but don’t be surprised if we see a decline similar to Peyton’s 2015 season especially since Eli has not missed a game in his last 192, compounding this impact.

 

Blake Bortles

While everyone is talking about how Bortles continues to be a fantasy asset despite his real football struggles. Each year of Bortles career he has trailed less than the prior season. His rookie campaign he threw 77% of his attempts when trailing, 73% as a sophomore and 67% this last season. Jaguars improved their defense so we should expect them to be trailing less in 2017. While NOT trailing Bortles has failed to complete over 58% of his passes for only 2,800 yards with 11 TDs and 12 INTs. He did this on 510 attempts, that’s almost a full seasons worth. Bortles is a disease that you don’t want to catch in 2017!

 

Carson Wentz

Wentz was one of only 6 QBs to attempt over 600 attempts, however he finished with the least fantasy points among said QB’s. Lane Johnson coming back should help tremendously as he averaged 19 fantasy points with Johnson vs 15 without him. The addition of Alshon Jeffrey and Torrey Smith should only increase his effectiveness.

 

Carson Palmer

Is the cliff finally here for Palmer, who will be 38 by seasons end this year? It looked like it after Palmer followed up his 2015 season which was rated as the second best QB season of the past decade by PFF’s Scott Barrett with a gaudy 2016. With an ADP after QB20 Carson has real bounce back potential and is practically free. The stat to watch to indicate 2017 success will be decreasing his league high 137 hits from 2016.

 

Joe Flacco

Despite the highest number of drop backs and pass attempts in 2016, Flacco failed to break 15 fantasy points per game. Although the additions of Jeremy Maclin and Danny Woodhead should help Flacco, it may not even break even compared to 348 targets vacated by Steve Smith, Kamar Aiken and Dennis Pitta.

 

Alex Smith

Smith was one of the most game script sensitive QBs last year. His team led 47% of the time, but scored only 34% of his FP when leading. Known as strictly a game manager, Smith is a streaming QB option at best with Mahomes looming.

 

Ryan Tannehill

Tannehill was one of the most impacted QBs when facing pressure. With a clean pocket he averaged 9 yards per attempt while completing 74% of passes for a 112.4 QB rating. When facing pressure his yards per attempt dropped to 6.3 and competed less than 50% of his passes for a terrible 38.8 QB rating. Keep in mind that LT Branden Albert has moved on to Jacksonville and Pro Bowl Center Mike Pouncey is likely to start to season on the PUP list.

 

Sam Bradford

Bradford set career bests in completion percentage, yards, touchdowns per game and interceptions per game. He did this completing 71.6% of his passes, despite having never topped 65% and having the 3rd highest percentage of yards after that catch in the NFL. Expect some regression, especially with Teddy Bridgewater getting closer to being cleared from his brutal knee injury.

 

 

 

 

By The Hartbeat (@pyro_hartbeat)

 

 

 

Become a Pyro Pro+

 

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R