Week 11
November 19, 2017
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Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Rookie Wall?


Fournette came off of essentially 20 days of resting and rehabbing the injured ankle suffered in the fourth quarter of Jacksonville’s October 15th loss to the Rams, when he suited up last week against the L.A. Chargers. Last week, he carried 17 times for 33 yards. According to Florida Football Insiders, Leonard Fournette's ankle is "still not right," and he could be limited if he plays this week against the Browns.

I’ve heard a few people recognize that Cleveland’s run defense has been underrated this year. They started out pretty strong, but they have been fading lately, especially when it comes to the pass-catching backs over the past five games. Yeldon or Ivory could be that sneaky flex you’re looking for.


11/18/17, 11:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.floridafootballinsiders.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ground and Pound


According to Forecast.io, it's expected to be 39° F and with a 18% chance of snow and 20 MPH wind in Cleveland at 1:00 PM ET.

This is something to watch Sunday morning, especially if you were high on the Jacksonville passing game facing Cleveland this weekend. The snow doesn’t matter, but the wind could eliminate any deep balls. If you’re looking for a Dede or K. Cole explosion, like I have been, I think we’re going to have to wait at least one more week. Marquis Lee should be fine, he’ll still get his targets. The running game should benefit, but Fournette is questionable with an ankle.


11/18/17, 11:02 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotowire.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

Ajayi Slated for More Work in Week 11


Coaches have come out and said there is a concentrated effort to increase Ajayi's workload.

Fantasy Goo: Certainly Corey Clement impressed in their last game, Week 9 against Denver. However, he won't sustain the pace of 3TDs on just 13 touches. I do like both players in GPP, I would certainly save Clement for the larger tournaments where you take on more risk in order to differentiate yourself from the field. Still, Ajayi has had a bye week and a game to get familiar with his new digs. Each game from now on, should highlight his comfort and growth in the system.


11/18/17, 03:02 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.philly.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Tevin Coleman

Atlanta Falcons

Coleman to Increase Workload Sans Freeman


Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol. That leaves Tevin 'Betchya Bottom Dollar" Coleman to pick up extra duties.

Fantasy Goo: Freeman was taken out very early on in last week's game. Because of this, Coleman seized the reins with command. He finished as Draft Kings 10th best RB of the week. Their Week 11 matchup with the Seahawks could easily turn into a high schoring affair as Seattle is without starters Richard Sherman, Kam Chancellor, and Jarran Reed. What Seattle puts on the field will not resemble what we are accustomed to. Coleman should seize thee opportunity.


11/18/17, 02:33 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com

Buffalo Bills

Bills Getting Gashed


In the last 3 weeks, the Buffalo Bills have given up 8 TDS. There is not a team in the league that has given up more than 8 rushing TDS ALL SEASON!

Fantasy Goo: There is trepidation about Gordon this week. Ekeler made a bit of a name for himself last week as Gordon owners experienced fits or rage and madness last week. I still like Gordon even in cash this week. Still whichever back you prefer, they should have a field day.


11/18/17, 12:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.fftoday.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Next Man Up


As expected, Ty Montgomery officially ruled OUT for Sunday against the Ravens. Jamaal Williams should start at running back.

Williams is not Montgomery or Jones, I would not recommend starting him if you can prevent it. It will probably take a positive game script for him to be heavily use, don’t be surprised if we see Cobb being used in the backfield, especially in third-and-long situations.


11/17/17, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alshon Jeffery

Philadelphia Eagles

Open Door for Agholor


Eagles coach Doug Pederson says that Alshon Jeffery's ankle injury has been lingering for a while, but he is "optimistic" he'll play against the Cowboys Sunday night. He will be listed as questionable.

I’m looking at Nelson Agholor having a nice opportunity to put up some points with Dallas being the 24th ranked defense against opposing WR’s. Ertz coming off of the injury report is an obvious play, he’s a must start whenever he’s on the field.

It seems as though Jeffery plays through injuries every year, but he’s not very effective when he does. His injuries tend to linger and former performance enhancer users tend to get hurt more often.


11/17/17, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Charcandrick West

Kansas City Chiefs

KC Ready to Run


The KC/NYG game could experience heavy winds, and certainly, a blowout of the Giants is a likely outcome as well. If either, or both of these potential situations play out, it could be good things for the KC ground game.

Fantasy Goo: The Giants have surrendered 3 rushing TD in their last 2 games. On the season, they have given up the 5th most yards to opposing backs. Hunt is a great cash game play, and in GPPs, I will toss out a few line-ups with West, maybe 5%. If indeed it is a blowout, the Chiefs, led by Reid who is 16-2 off a bye, could look to lighten the load for their workhorse RB and let Charcandrick bat cleanup.


11/17/17, 07:04 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.cbssports.com


Sterling Shepard

New York Giants

Sterling Shepard's Time to Shine


The Giants are going to need to put the ball in the air against KC. Keep an eye on the winds in this one. If it is north of 15mph, I will lessen my DFS shares.

Fantasy Goo: If the winds are not bad, Shep could get some looks as he should dominate KC's Steven Nelson. There are 84 starting cornerbacks in the NFL for Week #11. Nelson comes in at #80 according to PFF


11/17/17, 06:55 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.nflweather.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Rob Gronkowski

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Brady a Top Bet for DFS Cash Games


The Patriots stayed in mile-high country last week in order to get acclimated to higher altitudes. The Raiders remained at sea level. This week they square off in Mexico City, which is much higher than one mile up. The difference could be seen in the 2nd half where the Raiders could run out of gas.

Fantasy Goo: Regardless of the elevation narrative, this game opened as the only 50 pointer this coming week. Football Outsiders ranks Oakland dead last for defensive DVOA, weighted defense, and overall pass ranking. Plus, Tom Brady is a great stack with Gronk against Oakland who is notoriously bad versus tight ends. Finally, New England will likely be missing Hogan, the recipient of 11 red zone targets this season. Gronk could easily be the beneficiary, as he has 13 himself.


11/17/17, 06:38 PM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Mike Evans

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:43 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Travis Kelce

Kansas City Chiefs

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/16/17, 12:42 AM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Melvin Gordon

Los Angeles Chargers

FanDuel Triple Play - Pass Go Collect 2TDS


This Sunday is "National Play Monopoly day." What does that mean for FD? Absolutely nothing, but I'm taking a "chance" and grabbing these 3 players that have a bit higher price tag because that's how I won at Monopoly.

Mike Evans @MIA - $7,800 - Much like AJ Green last week, I am banking on Evans to deliver his game of redemption and bounce back in a BIG way. Ryan Fitzpatrick will only have eyes for the 6'5 Evans as he once did for Brandon Marshall in NY. Evans will coast down A1A for 2TDS!

Travis Kelce @NYG - $7,500 - Kelce has 3TDs in the last 3 games. The Giants are giving up a TD every game to opposing TEs this season. That's crazy! Momma ain't raise no fool. 1+1= 2TDs!

Melvin Gordon vsBUF - $7,800 - The Bills gave up 50FPTS at home to the Saints dynamic duo of Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara just last week, and now have to fly to LA. Gordon will stampede all over the Buffalo Bills. 2TDs in da house!


11/15/17, 11:23 PM CST by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Latavius Murray

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


LATAVIUS MURRAY – RB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 34% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is still getting a lot of touches, and this week had 17 carries for 68 yards with a touchdown. Getting the redzone carries makes him a worthy add in deeper leagues.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Garrett Celek

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


GARRETT CELEK – TE – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAGUES

With George Kittle out of the game, Celek had four catches for 67 yards with a 47-yard touchdown. He is viable as long as Kittle is out.


11/14/17, 07:43 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jamison Crowder

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


JAMISON CROWDER – WR – REDSKINS – AVAILABLE IN 61% OF CBS LEAGUES

Crowder came back to action and had four receptions for 76 yards and one run for five yards. He is finally starting to make an impact when healthy.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Matt Breida

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MATT BREIDA – RB – 49ERS – AVAILABLE IN 95% OF CBS LEAUGES

Breida had himself a nice game this week, carrying the ball nine times for 55 yards with a touchdown and had one catch for three yards. The 49ers are looking to the future, and Breida will get more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:41 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Case Keenum

Minnesota Vikings

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


CASE KEENUM – QB – VIKINGS – AVAILABLE IN 73% OF CBS LEAGUES

Looking for a quarterback? Well, how about Keenum? He has the job and the weapons and is doing well. This week he completed 21 of 29 passes for 304 yards with four touchdowns and two interceptions. This is a first place team and they need him the rest of the way.


11/14/17, 07:39 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Corey Davis

Tennessee Titans

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


COREY DAVIS – WR – TITANS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

Davis had four receptions for 48 yards, so not what we are expecting, but there is light for the future. He is starting to see more targets, and is the future of what the Titans want to be. He will see more looks going forward.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Marqise Lee

Jacksonville Jaguars

Waiver Wire Pickup Target for Week 11


MARQISE LEE – WR – JAGUARS – AVAILABLE IN 42% OF CBS LEAGUES

He is on this list every week, and he came through again with six catches for 55 yards and a score. He is the best option in the Jaguars passing game.


11/14/17, 07:38 PM CST by Houdini

Source: www.pyromaniac.com

Quick hitting fantasy football intel to help you win your league - this is volume 1 of the running backs

Pyro Gold Diggers - FF Outlook Nuggets for Running Backs Vol. 1

Posted by d-Rx on 07/15/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Since 2012 the Running Back position has been the most volatile position in fantasy football. If we look at the top 12 rushers each season since 2012, only 8 running backs have followed up their season with more yards than the prior year, that’s only 16.7% of the time (not to mention one of those was Adrian Peterson after having to sit out the majority of the 2014 season on the commissioners exempt list). With this volatility and high market price for Running Backs on draft day, we did a deep dive on the position to help you realize market inefficiencies and dominate another fantasy season! Let’s get started:

 

Le'Veon Bell – Based on Avg. Yds. From Scrimmage, had Bell played 16 games he would have had 2,512 well ahead of 2nd. He is as good as advertised.

 

Ezekiel Elliott – Elliott led the league with rushes of 20 yards or more with 14. Always a homerun threat. The cloud of uncertainty still hangs over him. The league has yet to rule out disciplinary action for the 2017, something to keep an eye on.

 

David Johnson - Johnson led all RBs in receptions with 80. This put him in the top 20 including WRs. With reports coming from Cardinals, they plan to use him even more. He could approach 100. Johnson was PFF’s 2016 Receiver of the Year, yeah…WR!

 

LeSean McCoy – McCoy finished the year 4th in total TD’s with 14. This while having 10 vultured by his backups. Mike Gillislee and his 9 has moved on to the Patriots leaving 2017 open for positive regression.

 

Melvin Gordon – Gordon is a member of a shrinking minority in the league, a true bell cow back. He finished the 2016 season with 1,416 combined yards and 12 TD’s. The Chargers let Woodhead go to Baltimore and did not bring in a replacement. Expect these numbers to increase in 2017. The Chargers head coach is Anthony Lynn, please see the Bills 24 RB rushing TDs above.

 

Devonta Freeman – Freeman ended 2016 6th in scrimmage yards with 1,541. 2017 is a contract year and it looks as though the Falcons plan to see how the year unfolds before offering an extension.

 

Jordan Howard – Howard busted onto the scene in 2016 and ended as the second leading rusher with 1,313 yards, he also lost 15 pounds in the offseason. As a bigger back, this has lead other players to continued success, cough cough Le’Veon.

 

Jay Ajayi – Jay-Train last call! Ajayi led the NFL in forced missed tackles with 58 and put up 3.46 yards after contact. Thus Ajayi was had the best elusive rating from PFF. Adam Gase sees it too and said Ajayi could see 350 carries this year. But tread lightly, Ajayi has bone-on-bone in his knee, lets enjoy him while we can.

 

DeMarco Murray – Wait, it’s not an Exotic Smash mouth? Murray was a workhorse in 2016 ranking third in rush attempts and sixth in receptions. They say they’ll get Henry more work, but can they get DeMarco off the field?

 

Lamar Miller – Our Lamar Miller experiment didn’t play out how many saw, he did in fact set career highs with 714 snaps and 268 rushes. So that’s why the Dolphins never gave Miller the big workload, but expect Miller to see a huge increase of work in the passing game as he was literally the only RB to not drop a target in the NFL last year.

 

Leonard Fournette – Fournette’s 2015 season at LSU was rated as the best RB season in the last decade. Why is he so great? At his 235 pound playing weight, Fournette recorded a 22.9 MPH during a game. For comparison purposes, Tyreek Hill’s top speed was recorded at 23.2 MPH, he’s really big and he’s really freaking fast.

 

Todd Gurley – New HC, Sean McVay has never coached a team that ranked lower than 11th in rushing. It’s safe to say that Gurley is going to be a much more fun tool to play with than ‘Fat Rob’, Matt Jones and the ghost of Alf Morris.

 

Jonathan Stewart – The Panthers added Christian McCaffrey and Curtis Samuel in the draft so many think J-Stew is on the way out. Think again, since 2015 no player has more broken tackles on runs between the tackles than Stewart. In fact, he is sitting at 96 and the next closest player is down at 78. J-Stew ain't going nowhere.

 

Mark Ingram – The AP signing had us all questioning Ingram’s status in New Orleans. Pump the break, Ingram in 2016 outplayed Peterson in 2015 by trumping his elusive rating by 21 points (6th overall to AP’s 25th) and he averaged 0.8 yards after contact more than Peterson those respective years.

 

Duke Johnson – Isaiah Crowell is getting all of the Brown’s RB hype this off-season, but don’t forget about Duke. He was incredible in 2016 with 21 broken tackles after the catch. This was second to only the other D. Johnson, 2016’s fantasy sweetheart.

 

Mike Gillislee – Gillislee ranks favorable to Blount, if he only carries the ball 75% of what Blount did he should finish the year with 1,281 yards and 17 TDs extrapolated from his incredibly impressive yards per carry in Buffalo.

 

LeGarrette Blount – LGB shocked the fantasy world in 2016 with 18 TDs, in the three years prior Blount totaled 18 TDs. Not to mention the Blount has shown an affinity for getting caught smoking weed in Pennsylvania.

 

Ty Montgomery –With the exception of the game at Chicago, he failed to surpass 100 yards and did not get double digit carries in any of the regular season games. In the playoffs he had 25 attempts and 91 rushing yards over their 3 games.

 

Jalen Richard – Jalen Richard just might be the next big thing for the NFL. We saw David Johnson burst onto the scene in 2015 as he took his first two NFL touches to the house. Jalen Richard’s first touch was a 75-yard Touchdown run. Also, Jalen had the second highest yards after contact (3.6) and rushes per missed tackle (4.1) averages. We’re not saying Richard is going to be the next David Johnson, but he just might be.

 

Isaiah Crowell – Cleveland added some big bodies to their offensive line which earned them PFF’s 2nd rated O-Line heading into 2017. Crowell is not a sure thing to reap the benefits of the line, he had the second lowest Success Rate among RB’s with over 100 carries last season as he finished with just 39% successful plays.

 

Doug Martin – Doug Martin has finished as RB3 twice in his career, in his other three seasons he finished no higher than 45th. What can be extrapolated from this? When he does not play all 16 games, Martin has never surpassed 500 yards rushing. With Martin’s suspension, we know he will not play all 16. Exo-facto draft Martin with caution this year.

 

Christian McCaffrey – McCaffrey broke Barry Sanders collegiate record with 2,659 yards from scrimmage. How did this stat translate to the pros? Barry ran for 1,470 yard and 14 touchdowns and added 282 in the air. If we project this out to 175 rushes vs Sanders 280, CMC is looking at 900 yards and 8 TDs, plus we can all agree that he’s looking at about 40 catches to Barry’s 24.

 

Joe Mixon – The number we are looking at is 4.5. Nope, this wasn’t Mixon’s 40 time, it was Jay Ajayi’s rushes per missed tackle, in which he led the league. Mixon’s college production is favorable to this number, Mixon forced a missed tackle on every 3.9 touches. Don’t be surprised if we see Mixon going for 200 yards in games this year like we saw from Ajayi in 2016.

 

Adrian Peterson – The last time we saw a healthy Peterson he was All-World, after a meniscus tear and with age concerns AP is coming at a discount for the first time since his rookie year. In 2015 Peterson had a production premium of -1.3 which shows that he was less efficient with his work than the norm. Despite this, his normalize fantasy points per game were 3rd in the league when adjusted for his supporting cast. New Orleans is certainly a more efficient offense than Minnesota, we should see this reflected despite projecting a lesser workload.

 

Frank Gore – This may be the biggest question in fantasy football, when will Frank Gore be done? Gore leads the NFL in career touches with 609 more than the next closest player. Fun fact is that he has more than 2x touches than Jamaal Charles. Frank Gore is currently 8th all-time at 13,065 yards, trailing the great Eric Dickerson by 194. The number he is shooting for is 1,037 yards this year as it will put Gore above Curtis Martin and into 4th overall. Can he stay healthy and effective enough to hit that mark? Maybe not, we may have seen the cliff last year without noticing it. Gore dropped from 10th most elusive runner to last among 25 qualified RBs. If Gore can't make people miss the Colts will likely move on from the future HOFer.

 

James Conner – The PIT Panther has one of the most inspiring stories in all of sports as he beat cancer, and still was able to show up for practices during his treatment. He is stepping into De’Angelo William’s role as Le’Veon Bell’s backup. If Bell goes down the Steelers have shown that they will use the backup as a workhorse. James Conner prior to cancer in 2014 had the second most broken tackles over the past 3 years at 88. He automatically becomes a top-12 RB if Bell goes down.

 

Kenneth Dixon – Dixon will miss the first 4 games for violating the PED policy. When he comes back you still might not want to own him, Dixon only faced a stacked front 3.4% of his carries, but on those plays he failed to average positive yards. As for being used in the pass game, remember that the Ravens went out and got receiving specialist Danny Woodhead.

 

Carlos Hyde – Carlos Hyde will be the feature back in a Kyle Shanahan offense, this is a position we hold near and dear to our heart in fantasy football. Shanahan has produced a top 5 rushing offense three times in the past five seasons. This is not an outlier, his father, Mike worked for 26 years in the NFL, 22 of those seasons he had a top 12 rushing offense. Running is in the Shanahan blood, and this year Carlos Hyde will be the main beneficiary.

 

Ameer Abdullah – Ameer is the ultimate risk in fantasy football, Jim Bob Cooter has made Detroit a passing haven that involves RBs in the pass attack more than on the ground. Ameer is in the 98th percentile on his SPARQ-x score which is a measure for explosiveness. With all that explosiveness sometimes we get duds. In fact, Ameer is the most volatile fantasy player on a weekly basis. Due to this, it’s in your best interest to not rely on Abdullah on a week-in-week-out basis.

 

C.J. Anderson – The Broncos have brought new RBs on board in consecutive seasons with Booker and Charles joining Anderson in the back field. Anderson saw 74% of the RB snaps when active in 2016, that good for 7th among RBs. As long as he is healthy the Broncos will feed him the rock. Oh and his fantasy playoff matchup is composed of the Jets, Colts and Redskins, yummy.

 

Jamaal Charles – Jamaal Charles is well known for his NFL record 5.45 yards per carry. Being in Denver now, that number doesn’t matter as he needs to work his way up the depth chart. How is he going to do that? His last healthy season, Jamaal was the 6th most elusive RB with a 55.8 score, the start C.J. Anderson dropped to a career low of 34.2 last year. If Jamaal can make plays like a shell of himself, he will find himself getting work in the Mile High City.

 

Devontae Booker – When Anderson went down last season, the fantasy community was thirsty for some Booker. He fell flat on his face with a Red Zone success rate of 41% that put him at 84th in the NFL. The Broncos clearly showed their frustration with the addition of Jamaal Charles.

 

Samaje Perine – Samaje Perine worked in Joe Mixon’s shadow for much of this year’s draft season, although Mixon got more hype, Perine was actually the starter in Washington. Perine’s only completion in Washington this year is ‘Fat Rob’ Kelley. Somehow people have forgotten that Perine, not Mixon is the single game record holder for rush yards in a single game when we went for 427 against Kansas in 2014. Perine may have the best situation of any rookie RB this season.

 

Darren McFadden – The Dallas offense runs through Zeke Elliott, but Jerry Jones will always have an affinity for DMC as he is a Razorback. That being said, the Cowboys run the most plays on the ground, hitting an extraordinary 499 in 2016. With a top tier offensive line and DMC clocking in the 98th percentile on his Speed Score, he has the ability to step in and produce RB1 numbers if Zeke is suspended or injured. Remember there was concern with Zeke and his hamstring injury prior to 2016, soft tissue injuries seem to never go away.

 

Joe Williams – Kyle Shanahan banging his hands on the table to draft Joe Williams is the story that resonates in everyone’s mind. Williams had some good, tape but the numbers that really stand out are 7 and 5. Williams fumbled the ball 7 times last year, and added 5 drops on catchable balls. Rookies don’t get many opportunities in the NFL, and if Williams doesn’t avoid these mistakes in the NFL the 49ers fans will be banging the tables for Matt Breida.

 

Jamaal Williams – Jamaal Williams reminds me of a player in a similar situation, a high potent offense with a glaring hole at RB. The 2010 Patriots were a high octane offense with a 33-year-old QB (cough cough Aaron) and an uninspiring running game. The Lawfirm, BenJarvis Green Ellis toted 509 carries without recording a fumble. Jamaal Williams is of the same fabric, Williams was PFF’s top pass blocking RB in the draft class and his big frame and large hands led to only two fumbles over 786 carries. He won’t blow you away, but if he gets the job you can plug him in as a safe RB2.

 

Theo Riddick – Theo Riddick if playing in average situations was RB8 last year on a points per game basis, however from Week 8 on Riddick consistently saw his touches drop from 19 to an average of 10 in weeks 11-13. Riddick will also be fighting for playing time with Ameer Abdullah back healthy. To keep the trend of 8’s going, the Lions had 8 Fourth Quarter comeback. Riddick saw a lot of opportunities in those games whereas he is not as valuable if you flip the game script.

 

Eddie Lacy – We have gotten to a point with Lacy where we assume if he is not overweight that he is going to be able to provide fantasy value. However, Lacy had a production premium grade of -26.1 which compares Lacy to the other RBs and measures efficiency and smooths out garbage time and other non-standard situations. This makes Lacy the #76 RB in smoothed efficiency. Lacy was healthy in 2015 but he failed to break into the positives that year as well finishing as the #54 RB. C.J. Prosise on the other hand was #4 in the NFL with a score of +37.1. Prosise may just beat out Lacy as the rushing downs back and passing.

 

Dalvin Cook – Dalvin Cook fell to Minnesota in the second round of this year’s rookie draft due to off-the field concerns as many advanced metrics supported Cook being the best back in the draft class. Cook finished second in the nation with 4.6 yards after contact and first in the nation with 88 forced missed tackles. Unfortunately, he is going to the third worst rushing team in the NFL as the Vikings were only able to create 0.93 yards before contact. Even if Cook gets the lion share of work, it’ll be tough to get in space and make guys miss when he’s constantly being met in the backfield.

 

Matt Forte – This will more than likely be Forte’s final season in the NFL as he has gone on record multiple times stating that his goal has always been to play 10 years in the NFL. When we think of players who get more effective when their workload lessens, we likely think of the smaller backs like Lamar Miller who are more impacted by the grind of being an NFL running back. Interestingly Matt Forte sees a significant inverted increase in effectiveness when his carries drop. Actually looking at it, each season Forte’s snaps decrease his PFF grade increases. Without a doubt we expect the 31-year-old back to see less work, but he still will provide value in his limited work.

 

Derrick Henry – The word on the street is that DeMarco Murray will remain as the workhorse back in Tennessee and Henry will have to sit back and wait his turn. We talk about Murray’s receiving skills as a main reason why he won’t come off the field, however Derrick Henry excelled in the pass game. Henry had the third highest pass blocking efficiency allowing only one total pressure last season. Henry will see more action in his sophomore season, and his value will sky rocket if Murray suffers an injury.

 

Danny Woodhead – A lot of people are buying into Woodhead in Baltimore. I’m not. Woodhead is on the wrong side of 30 as he will turn 33 in January. Woodhead has a career high of 106 rush attempts, and outside that 2013 season he has never topped 100. There have been 66 other instances of 32-year-old RBs with under 100 rush attempts, only 2 of them produced over 10 fantasy points per game in PPR scoring and only 5 have produced over 100 PPR points over the course of the season. In a crowded backfield, it is a good practice to fade 30+ year old running backs with limited upside.

 

Terrance West – T-West has been named Baltimore’s starting RB, partially due to Kenneth Dixon’s suspension. West is being vastly overlooked due to the perception that Dixon will win that job when he returns, however West was a surprisingly strong player. Last season he was the 13th rated RB due to his 12 runs of over 15 yards which was good for eighth in the league. Dixon is perceived as a better pass catcher, however West’s 1.54 yards per route run was good for 0.25 better than the aforementioned Dixon.

 

Paul Perkins – The New York Giants are “all-in” on Perkins this year. But if we look at Ben McAdoo who comes from the Mike McCarthy phylum as he was with the Packers from 2006-2013. Since 2009 with McAdoo a Ryan Grant was the only RB to receive over 50% of the shares of carries. The next highest market share was 47%, pump the breaks on Perkins as there has been a strong influence of RBBC in McAdoo’s offenses.

 

Charles Sims – Sims produced a rushing NEP of -9.9 on his 51 carries in 2016. NEP is a measure of how many expected points a player added or lost on an individual play. This led Sims to just a 27.5% success rate on his runs. He was vastly outperformed by Jacquizz Rodgers with a success rate of 46.5%. Don’t expect to see Sims get a substantial workload especially considering the Doug Martin hype coming out of Tampa Bay this off-season.

 

Kareem Hunt – PFF rated Hunt as the number one overall running back in the draft class, after generating 986 rushing yards after contact over his career and getting the third highest FBS elusive rating of 112.1. Hunt may have trouble supplanting Spencer Ware, but this will depend on Ware’s health. If we see the post-concussion Hunt of last season, the job is Hunt’s to lose.

 

Marlon Mack – Frank Gore and Robert Turbin combined to break off 15 yard runs on only 11% of their carries. Mack on the other hand produced 15+ yard runs on 52% of his carries, fifth highest among this draft class. Mack got the workload to support a consistent fantasy output, but he is the most likely RB to mirror Jalen Richard and DeAndre Washington who both averaged over 5 yards per carry backing up Latavius Murray.

 

Thomas Rawls – The Seahawks who we remember being a power running team fueled by Marshawn Lynch couldn’t be further from how they played in 2016. The percentage of power scheme rushing plays that the Seahawks ran in 2016 was dead last at 1.5%. Rawls is a power runner and was since supplanted by Eddie Lacy, Rawls has more obstacles of any starting RB from last year to regain his starting role.

 

Tevin Coleman – Coleman saw the ninth largest increase in play based on PFF’s overall grades among second year players across all positions, he improved in almost every metric as he cut down his fumbles, increased his yards after contact and tripled his rush attempt totals. Coleman really thrived in the passing game as he dropped only 2 passes of his 45 targets and averages 11.2 yards after contact. Coleman led all RBs in yards per route at 2.44 and has claimed his role as Atlanta’s pass catching back. Coleman also could be primed for elite status next year as Devonta Freeman seeks to be paid as an elite RB next year, which Atlanta may not be willing to pay up.

 

Bilal Powell – From Week 10 on last year, Bilal Powell can say one thing that no other man can say. Powell was the only running back to force more missed tackles than Le’Veon Bell with 9 on his 29 catches. In the same time period Powell average 3.24 yards after contact, and despite his limited workload he forced 4 more missed tackles than the Cowboys workhorse Zeke Elliott. He also beat out teammate Matt Forte with the eighth best overall ranking and sixth best running grade compared to Forte’s 22nd and 18th respectively. 

 

 

 

 

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