Week 7
October 19, 2017
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Minnesota Vikings

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:38 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Davante Adams

Green Bay Packers

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:37 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Jimmy Graham

Seattle Seahawks

FanDuel Triple Play


Davonte Adams vsNO - $6,900 – Adams was peppered with 10 targets and caught a TD from Brett Hundley in week 6. The peppering will continue to be hot against the Saints defense which is giving up the 6th most points to WRs.

Jimmy Graham @NYG - $5,800 - The Giants are giving up the most points to TE’s this season. Sitting at the top of list in allowing 14.2 FF to the position that has the best basketball players. Graham is a slam dunk this week.

Minnesota Vikings vsBAL - $4,700 – The Vikings are at home hosting the Baltimore Ravens. Let me break this one down a bit further. The Baltimore Ravens are playing at the Minnesota Vikings this week and the Vikings DST only cost $4,700. PLAY THE VIKINGS DST!


10/17/17, 08:34 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Titans in the Backfield


Mike Mularkey said the run game split on MNF (near 50-50 for DeMarco Murray-Derrick Henry) was a good model. He also added that Henry is the go-to RB in the 4th quarter.

Fantasy Goo: I believe this is the target, but we will see this vary from week-to-week. If Murray is healthy or fired-up, like he may be after his coaches’ comments, he will be the guy to start. As the season whines down so will Murray, buy Henry for your playoff run, he’s more than just a handcuff.


10/17/17, 08:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Marlon Mack

Indianapolis Colts

Turbin Done for Season


Colts HC Chuck Pagano expects RB Robert Turbin to miss rest of season with arm injury he suffered Monday night. Turbin has averaged 6+ touches per game over the past four weeks.

Fantasy Goo: This might seem insignificant, but I expect Marlon Mack will pick-up all of those touches. An extra 6 touches from Mack could mean a major boost in production. Grab him if you can, he’ll be explosive when Luck comes back.


10/17/17, 07:49 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys

Two More Weeks of Zeke


Ezekiel Elliott has been granted another temporary restraining order by the Southern District of New York, and will be allowed to play Week 7. The restraining order, is for 14 days. So it appears Elliott will also be good for Week 8.

Fantasy Goo: Hold off on all the Morris/McFadden love for a couple more weeks. If you have them you’re probably holding if you’re a contender, but I’d sell high to the Zeke owner if you can. This is gearing up for Zeke to be out during the fantasy playoffs.


10/17/17, 07:47 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Golladay. Celebrate


If we picked up Golladay
Take some time to celebrate
Just one day out of life
It would be, it would be so nice
Everybody spread the word
We’re gonna have a celebration

Every season there is that player that propels a team to the fantasy promise land. Kenny Golladay possesses that high upside potential down the stretch that can be invaluable. Golladay last played in week 3 before suffering a hamstring injury, and Matthew Stafford has missed his 213lb 6’4 receiver. After throwing for 7TDs in the first 3 weeks; Stafford has only thrown for 2TDs before exploding in week 6 against the Saints with 3 tosses. This was a result of the game being out of hand and being forced to throw 52 times. Golden Tate was injured in this game and word is he will be out a few weeks. The Lions are on a bye in week 7, which gives Tate a free week to rest, but more importantly gives Golladay a free week to get ready to explode on the scene once again at home in week 8 against the Steelers. Tate and Marvin Jones Jr are what they are at this point. Golladay gives Stafford the kind of big threat target that he has lacked since the Decepticon leader himself MEGATRON retired. You can’t teach height and talent, and that is a gunslingers favorite type of weapon to use.


10/17/17, 07:24 PM CDT by Pete Z

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Target


Kittle had a very average game this week catching four passes for 46 yards, but there could be some good news that came out of this game for him. C.J. Beathard has been named the starter for the rest of the season, and that was Kittle’s college quarterback, so you know there is immediate chemistry there that could pay nice dividends in the coming weeks


10/16/17, 05:36 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


Collins got the majority of the carries for the Ravens this week with 15 of them for 74 yards. He looks like he will be in a time share with Javorious Allen, but this was the first time we saw him take the majority of the carries, making him more interesting going forward.


10/16/17, 05:35 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Austin Hooper

Atlanta Falcons

Waiver Wire Target


Without Sanu the Falcons leaned a lot more on Hooper, who finished with seven receptions for 48 yards. He is becoming a bigger part of the Falcons offense, and he has big play potential that makes him a worthy add.


10/16/17, 05:34 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Ted Ginn Jr

New Orleans Saints

Waiver Wire Target


Ginn is the deep threat receiver for Drew Brees and they connected on a 20-yard score this week. Ginn finished with four receptions for 66 yards including that score. The Saints offense is lacking the big play and Ginn can provide the pop in the passing game.


10/16/17, 05:26 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Samaje Perine

Washington Redskins

Waiver Wire Target


Perine finally found the endzone this week, but his final stat line was not that pretty with nine carries for just 23 yards and three receptions for 24 yards and a touchdown. Samaje has lacked the big play, which has limited him in fantasy.


10/16/17, 05:25 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

Waiver Wire Target


Foreman got his customary 12 carries and this week gained 59 yards, but was once again held without a touchdown. He is getting a consistent workload, but he is not busting the big play to make him a worthy fantasy start.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Mike Wallace

Baltimore Ravens

Waiver Wire Target


After a stellar week Wallace came back down to earth, catching three passes for 30 yards. Wallace is a boom or bust.


10/16/17, 05:23 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Kendall Wright

Chicago Bears

Waiver Wire Target


Wright was basically invisible this game with two catches for 36 yards, and did not make a catch until the third quarter. There is too much inconsistency in the Bears passing offense.


10/16/17, 05:22 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Adam Humphries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Waiver Wire Target


Humphries continued to be a decent part of the passing game, catching six passes for 51 yards this week. He was able to do this with Ryan Fitzpatrick having to come in for Winston, so it shows that Humphries is a regular part of their offense.


10/16/17, 05:21 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


C.J. Beathard

San Francisco 49ers

Waiver Wire Target


Beathard came in relief of Brian Hoyer, who was horrible, and finished with 245 passing yards with one touchdown and one interception. Kyle Shanahan has named Beathard the starting quarterback the rest of the season. He is only worth adding in deeper leagues, but he should also give you some yards on the ground.


10/16/17, 05:20 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Waiver Wire Target


Agholor was scooped up in a lot of leagues last week, and he stayed hot this week catching four passes for 55 yards with another touchdown. Nelson has become a favorite target of Carson Wentz, and he is getting favorable matchups with Jeffery and Ertz drawing most of the defensive attention.


10/16/17, 05:19 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Darren McFadden

Dallas Cowboys

Waiver Wire Target


Morris may already be taken in your league, but he will be sharing time with McFadden while Zeke sits on the sidelines. If you are in a deep league and need a flier, here he is.


10/16/17, 05:18 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com


Orleans Darkwa

New York Giants

Waiver Wire Target


Darkwa is the Giant running back that has emerged as the lead back for the team. He torched the Broncos defense for 117 yards on 21 carries and caught one pass for 13 yards. He showed some nice burst and that will likely get him another big workload in their next game.


10/16/17, 05:14 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: pyromaniac.com

Marcus Mariota and DeMarco Murray are the cover of the 2016 NFL Snap Counts Year End Report graphic

Snap Counts 2016 Year End Report

Posted by d-Rx on 03/01/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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TIME IS MONEY

 

Aloha and welcome to my segment. Today I'm taking you to Snap City where we will break down some quick notes and observations regarding players Snap Counts. Because, let's face it fellas you can't score unless your cleats are on the playing field. By no means is this a "bible" for your draft day, however taking a sharper look at this statistic might give us some hints and thus knowledge and let's face it knowledge is power.  More and more matchups are ending on Monday nights and sometimes by a fraction of a point; you can never have too many data points. Pyromaniac hits it harder and stronger than the others...Not to mention your League buddies are Fishing, Hunting, Golfing, scouting NCAA Bracket teams and preparing for MLB Fantasy Drafts. Now is the time to continue to hit hard as the other Owners are asleep at the wheel. Pyromaniac continues to provide you with that slight advantage that only true due diligence can provide. Light fuse get away, and fire it up, because Time is Money!

 


QUARTERBACKS

 

It's interesting to see that the Top 20 QB's all played over 90% of their team's snaps, with Brees, Cousins, and Stafford handling 100% of their team's snaps. This to me supports the "wait to draft a QB." approach as the top 20 Quarterbacks had a variance of roughly 140 snaps, not a ton.  What adds a little pizzazz, is cross referencing with production. With variables such as Offensive style, Accuracy, Blocking, etc all at play we bring a more 3D approach to a 1D statistic.  For instance, Drew Brees had 1151 total plays on the field or 40 more than Blake Bortles' total of 1,111, yet threw for 37 TD's vs Bortles'  pinner 23 TD's. At a TD to Snap rate of a TD every 31 passes, Brees substantially outperformed Bortles' TD every 48 passes.

Another angle we can draw from total snaps is that trends support the philosophy of drafting a QB with a bad defense with the theory being your QB will have more snaps on the field, not only that but valuable snaps as they air it out playing catch up.  Brees, Cousins, Wentz, Winston, Flacco, and Dalton fit this mold leading the way in Snap Counts with a poor Defense. 

Per injuries, etc. these guys are on the rise or fall on Snap Counts:

 

Rise:

Garoppolo - new situation

Lynch - wins keys to the car

Cutler - Waaah

Goff- trial by fire

Brady- full season, yikes

Tannenhill - potential

 

Fall:

Stafford - team shifting to defense

Bortles - sack #20 ends his season early

Wentz- career attempts in 2016

Manning- just don't see it for old Eli

 

 

snap counts year end 2016 - QB


 

RUNNING BACKS

 

We hear it mentioned lately that Fantasy Football is moving away from the dominant RB towards the flashier WR position. I believe there is some truth to that opinion, but (disclaimer I'm a " lock in your RB1 first round" kind of Owner) by taking a look at last seasons Snaps on the above graph you'll see that David Johnson, DeMarco Murray, L. Bell, Elliott and Gurley had over 66% of their teams plays and also produced with massive seasons.  For the sake of argument, let's call 55% our Mendoza line (minimal output for RB) as we want our runners on the field more than half the time, only 11 RB's land above the Mendoza line. This tells me that perhaps more than ever, that stud RB1 can carry you to a championship. Imagine in a 12 team draft locking down two RB's of the top 11 that play more than 55% of their teams plays! The difference in RB2's can be substantial. Obviously a number of factors can determine a RB's Snap count such as outstanding blocking will get you playing time but are these productive plays? We'll save that for another day. For now we'll value the Snap count for what it is as it clearly has an effect on player performance.  With more and more teams falling back to a platoon or committee backfield, finding a true RB1 can be essential.  Some teams are now running an actual Snap count limit on running backs, much like a MLB players pitch count.  Paying attention to your prospective RB's projected numbers are more important now more than ever. Again, below are projected risers and fallers:

 

Rise:

Prosise- wins key to the car

Henry- time to shine

Booker- wins job, stays healthy

McKinnon- ditto, takes RB1 job

Ivory- been held down to long

Martin- healthy

Ware- Reid likes his RB1

McCoy- healthy and chip on shoulder

 

Fall:

D. Murray - Henry is poised

Asiata- back up time

Gore- father time catching up

Yeldon- jags stink

Blount- now a crowded backfield

C. Michael- born to be a backup

 

 

snap counts year end 2016 - RB

 


WIDE RECEIVERS

 

Upon diving into WR numbers, Owners naturally tend to drift towards Total Targets, a reasonable approach.  But again, to pop this stat out a bit into 3D, we can determine the number of Targets per Snaps and this my friends is value.  It's also very interesting to note only 5 WR's reached double digits in TD's and only 25 players broke 1,000 yards. There doesn't appear to be a sharp difference in WR's production across the board as teams are really spreading the ball out now more than ever.  This again raises the question is a RB1 more valuable than a WR1? And I say yes Brotha!

 

Let's take a glance at the top WR in Snaps last year, DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins of the Texans led all WR's with almost 1100 Snaps. Literally, he was at wideout for 97% of the Texan's plays, seems like a stellar choice. Not so fast, Hopkins struggled with 954 yards and a measly 4 TD's.  Being selected in the 1st round of most drafts, Hopkins was clearly a monster bust. This tells me as I evaluate players for next season that Hopkins was used often as a decoy, a blocker, a pass dropper and faced some accuracy issues at QB (cough, Osweiler).  Not a good combination in any way for Hopkins again next season. Being able to dig down, study the numbers of each prospect, and come away with the reasons "why" is the due diligence I'm talking about to gain that championship edge. Once again, some players to target and a few to look over:

 

Rise:

M. Thomas - has established WR1 with Brees

Woods- bounce back candidate

Cobb- has to do better than 4 TD's

Hogan- great late season run 17.9 yards/catch!

Cooper- Carr's boy

Diggs- sky is the limit

 

Fall:

Hopkins- Osweiler not going anywhere

Shepard- expect Giants to shift to run game

Robinson- what a bummer

La Fell- AJ Green back

T. Williams- a now crowded huddle at WR

Wallace- too many other targets

M. Jones- hot start, cold finish

 

How about this for a fact RB David Johnson of the Cardinals had 4 less receiving yards (883-879) than Allen Robinson WR1 of the Jaguars and 2 less receiving TD's (6 to 4). Wow.

 

snap counts year end 2016 - WR


 

TIGHT ENDS

 

The days of the 1,000 yard or double digit TD's among TE's are on their way out. The two consistencies, however, are that many TE's are similar in production and also see a high % of their team's plays. In fact, 22 TE's had a 60% or higher amount of their teams Snap count. Whether blocking, receiving or being used as a decoy, the big boys are seeing their share of plays. Production however, remains consistent with 12-14 players within arms reach of each other in terms of TD's and yards. In my opinion, TE's can often be interchangeable with waiver wire pick ups depending on your league's size. Playing matchups at TE can be an unsuspected advantage. For instance, Jason Witten was at the top of TE's with 1102 Snaps and on the field an astounding 96% of the Cowboys plays but only had 3 TD's and 673 yards. Hmmm.

 

Rise:

Brate- breakout year

Ebron- should see more targets

Eifert- only played 8 games last year

Cook- full season ahead

Hooper- star in the making

 

Fall:

Witten- natural regression

James- Heath Miller complicating things

Kendricks- Goff doesn't help much

Sims- A lot of Dolphins to feed

 

snap counts year end 2016 - TE

 


I promised to take you to Sack City: D'Brickshaw Ferguson 10,707 total snaps and Joe Thomas of the Browns 9,791 and still counting consecutive Snaps!

 

"E Malama I ke Kai" (Take care of the Ocean)

Charts by Stagg Party & words by Maui Wolfe Whisperer

 

 

 

 

 

 

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