March 21, 2018


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Cleveland Browns

Money Ball: The Sequel

Hate to start out the offseason with the Cleveland Browns, but they are makin’ moves!
Browns acquired: Tyrod Taylor, Jarvis Landry, Damarious Randall
Browns gave up: 2018 3rd-round pick (No. 65), 2018 4th-round pick, 2019 7th-round pick, DeShone Kizer

Building with experienced quality performers that have something to prove, by selling inconsequential draft picks is exactly what Sashi Brown was building up for. It’s a shame he won’t be around to reap the rewards, but these are quality moves for a win-now mentality.

03/09/18, 09:37 PM CST by Wheeler


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Hue Looks To TyGoat

Browns left tackle Joe Thomas, who's pondering his future, is a fan of Tyrod Taylor and has said so on the ThomaHawk Show podcast.

Tyrod is just one season removed (2016) from being the QB11 in average fantasy ppg, including seven 20+ point weeks and six 15+ point weeks. Given the current talent on the O-line and skill position weapons he could improve on those numbers. He has the potential to be this year’s Alex Smith, definitely heading my late-round (12+) QB picks now.

03/09/18, 09:32 PM CST by Wheeler


Deshone Kizer

Cleveland Browns

Packers Get In On The Fun

The Packers have traded for QB DeShone Kizer from the Browns to Green Bay.

This is the best possible scenario for Kizer, who was thrown into the fire last season. Getting the chance to develop and learn behind the best in the business is the best chance he has for longevity.

03/09/18, 09:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Torrey Smith

Philadelphia Eagles

On The Move Again

The Eagles trade WR Torrey Smith to the Panthers for CB Daryl Worley. Torrey Smith could fill the old Ted Ginn role which makes this fairly interesting. Stagg Party says it’s more of a boost for Cam than Torrey himself.

This is an absolute perfect fit, someone who isn’t going to demand the ball, but can take the top off a defense while McCaffrey, Olsen, and Cam work underneath. Torrey is looking like a great late-round flyer.

03/09/18, 09:28 PM CST by Wheeler


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Henry Hype Train Has Clear Track

DeMarco Murray was released by the Titans.
No surprise here, expect Derick Henry to be a lead back with 250+ touches, but they will bring in someone that will play the third-down, pass-catching role out of the backfield. I wouldn’t be surprised if they sign someone like Jerick McKinnon or Rex Burkhead, or even Darren Sproles or Charles Sims. There are also plenty of options in the NFL draft, Henry won’t be a true “Bell Cow.”

03/09/18, 09:17 PM CST by Wheeler


Marquise Goodwin

San Francisco 49ers

The Name Says It All

Marquise Goodwin and the 49ers have agreed to a 3yr extension worth $20.3M & 10M guaranteed.

Shanahan has found his big-play threat at a reasonable price. Goodwin caught 56 balls for 962 yards last season, but only had two TD’s. None of his six longest plays (33+ yards) were from Garoppollo so it leads me to believe they will still be looking for a top of the line WR, even with Garcon coming back from injury.

03/09/18, 09:15 PM CST by Wheeler


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

The Search Is On

Former Panthers RB Jonathan Stewart is visiting the Seahawks today, source says. Seattle is looking at all options to get that ground game going.

This would be an interesting landing spot for Stewart, but no RB available in free agency is going to do spit behind this Swiss-cheese O-line.

03/09/18, 09:13 PM CST by Wheeler


New York Giants

Building Blocks

NFL draft insider Tony Pauline says "belief" around the league is free agent OG Andrew Norwell signing with the Giants is "a done deal."
The top guard on the market, Norwell was one of ex-Panthers GM Dave Gettleman's most-prized discoveries as an undrafted free agent. Gettleman now runs the Giants, who have needs all over the line.

I like anything the Giants can do to repair this disheveled O-line. Building a line through free-agency is almost always a better option than through the draft, but I would still like to see them trade back in the draft and grab Quenton Nelson, OG, Notre Dame.

03/09/18, 09:11 PM CST by Wheeler


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate

On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.

02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler


Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11

The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.

02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left

New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.

02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz

Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.

02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids

The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.

02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs

The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.

02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back

Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.

01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?

Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.

01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again

Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.

01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand

Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.

01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?

Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.

01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting

Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.

01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler


Marcus Mariota and DeMarco Murray are the cover of the 2016 NFL Snap Counts Year End Report graphic

Snap Counts 2016 Year End Report

Posted by d-Rx on 03/01/17

by   The Archer


More Articals




Aloha and welcome to my segment. Today I'm taking you to Snap City where we will break down some quick notes and observations regarding players Snap Counts. Because, let's face it fellas you can't score unless your cleats are on the playing field. By no means is this a "bible" for your draft day, however taking a sharper look at this statistic might give us some hints and thus knowledge and let's face it knowledge is power.  More and more matchups are ending on Monday nights and sometimes by a fraction of a point; you can never have too many data points. Pyromaniac hits it harder and stronger than the others...Not to mention your League buddies are Fishing, Hunting, Golfing, scouting NCAA Bracket teams and preparing for MLB Fantasy Drafts. Now is the time to continue to hit hard as the other Owners are asleep at the wheel. Pyromaniac continues to provide you with that slight advantage that only true due diligence can provide. Light fuse get away, and fire it up, because Time is Money!




It's interesting to see that the Top 20 QB's all played over 90% of their team's snaps, with Brees, Cousins, and Stafford handling 100% of their team's snaps. This to me supports the "wait to draft a QB." approach as the top 20 Quarterbacks had a variance of roughly 140 snaps, not a ton.  What adds a little pizzazz, is cross referencing with production. With variables such as Offensive style, Accuracy, Blocking, etc all at play we bring a more 3D approach to a 1D statistic.  For instance, Drew Brees had 1151 total plays on the field or 40 more than Blake Bortles' total of 1,111, yet threw for 37 TD's vs Bortles'  pinner 23 TD's. At a TD to Snap rate of a TD every 31 passes, Brees substantially outperformed Bortles' TD every 48 passes.

Another angle we can draw from total snaps is that trends support the philosophy of drafting a QB with a bad defense with the theory being your QB will have more snaps on the field, not only that but valuable snaps as they air it out playing catch up.  Brees, Cousins, Wentz, Winston, Flacco, and Dalton fit this mold leading the way in Snap Counts with a poor Defense. 

Per injuries, etc. these guys are on the rise or fall on Snap Counts:



Garoppolo - new situation

Lynch - wins keys to the car

Cutler - Waaah

Goff- trial by fire

Brady- full season, yikes

Tannenhill - potential



Stafford - team shifting to defense

Bortles - sack #20 ends his season early

Wentz- career attempts in 2016

Manning- just don't see it for old Eli



snap counts year end 2016 - QB




We hear it mentioned lately that Fantasy Football is moving away from the dominant RB towards the flashier WR position. I believe there is some truth to that opinion, but (disclaimer I'm a " lock in your RB1 first round" kind of Owner) by taking a look at last seasons Snaps on the above graph you'll see that David Johnson, DeMarco Murray, L. Bell, Elliott and Gurley had over 66% of their teams plays and also produced with massive seasons.  For the sake of argument, let's call 55% our Mendoza line (minimal output for RB) as we want our runners on the field more than half the time, only 11 RB's land above the Mendoza line. This tells me that perhaps more than ever, that stud RB1 can carry you to a championship. Imagine in a 12 team draft locking down two RB's of the top 11 that play more than 55% of their teams plays! The difference in RB2's can be substantial. Obviously a number of factors can determine a RB's Snap count such as outstanding blocking will get you playing time but are these productive plays? We'll save that for another day. For now we'll value the Snap count for what it is as it clearly has an effect on player performance.  With more and more teams falling back to a platoon or committee backfield, finding a true RB1 can be essential.  Some teams are now running an actual Snap count limit on running backs, much like a MLB players pitch count.  Paying attention to your prospective RB's projected numbers are more important now more than ever. Again, below are projected risers and fallers:



Prosise- wins key to the car

Henry- time to shine

Booker- wins job, stays healthy

McKinnon- ditto, takes RB1 job

Ivory- been held down to long

Martin- healthy

Ware- Reid likes his RB1

McCoy- healthy and chip on shoulder



D. Murray - Henry is poised

Asiata- back up time

Gore- father time catching up

Yeldon- jags stink

Blount- now a crowded backfield

C. Michael- born to be a backup



snap counts year end 2016 - RB




Upon diving into WR numbers, Owners naturally tend to drift towards Total Targets, a reasonable approach.  But again, to pop this stat out a bit into 3D, we can determine the number of Targets per Snaps and this my friends is value.  It's also very interesting to note only 5 WR's reached double digits in TD's and only 25 players broke 1,000 yards. There doesn't appear to be a sharp difference in WR's production across the board as teams are really spreading the ball out now more than ever.  This again raises the question is a RB1 more valuable than a WR1? And I say yes Brotha!


Let's take a glance at the top WR in Snaps last year, DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins of the Texans led all WR's with almost 1100 Snaps. Literally, he was at wideout for 97% of the Texan's plays, seems like a stellar choice. Not so fast, Hopkins struggled with 954 yards and a measly 4 TD's.  Being selected in the 1st round of most drafts, Hopkins was clearly a monster bust. This tells me as I evaluate players for next season that Hopkins was used often as a decoy, a blocker, a pass dropper and faced some accuracy issues at QB (cough, Osweiler).  Not a good combination in any way for Hopkins again next season. Being able to dig down, study the numbers of each prospect, and come away with the reasons "why" is the due diligence I'm talking about to gain that championship edge. Once again, some players to target and a few to look over:



M. Thomas - has established WR1 with Brees

Woods- bounce back candidate

Cobb- has to do better than 4 TD's

Hogan- great late season run 17.9 yards/catch!

Cooper- Carr's boy

Diggs- sky is the limit



Hopkins- Osweiler not going anywhere

Shepard- expect Giants to shift to run game

Robinson- what a bummer

La Fell- AJ Green back

T. Williams- a now crowded huddle at WR

Wallace- too many other targets

M. Jones- hot start, cold finish


How about this for a fact RB David Johnson of the Cardinals had 4 less receiving yards (883-879) than Allen Robinson WR1 of the Jaguars and 2 less receiving TD's (6 to 4). Wow.


snap counts year end 2016 - WR




The days of the 1,000 yard or double digit TD's among TE's are on their way out. The two consistencies, however, are that many TE's are similar in production and also see a high % of their team's plays. In fact, 22 TE's had a 60% or higher amount of their teams Snap count. Whether blocking, receiving or being used as a decoy, the big boys are seeing their share of plays. Production however, remains consistent with 12-14 players within arms reach of each other in terms of TD's and yards. In my opinion, TE's can often be interchangeable with waiver wire pick ups depending on your league's size. Playing matchups at TE can be an unsuspected advantage. For instance, Jason Witten was at the top of TE's with 1102 Snaps and on the field an astounding 96% of the Cowboys plays but only had 3 TD's and 673 yards. Hmmm.



Brate- breakout year

Ebron- should see more targets

Eifert- only played 8 games last year

Cook- full season ahead

Hooper- star in the making



Witten- natural regression

James- Heath Miller complicating things

Kendricks- Goff doesn't help much

Sims- A lot of Dolphins to feed


snap counts year end 2016 - TE


I promised to take you to Sack City: D'Brickshaw Ferguson 10,707 total snaps and Joe Thomas of the Browns 9,791 and still counting consecutive Snaps!


"E Malama I ke Kai" (Take care of the Ocean)

Charts by Stagg Party & words by Maui Wolfe Whisperer







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