Week 24
February 19, 2019
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Pyro® Twitterfeed

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Awe man, a missed career opportunity for sure... #LifesRegrets https://t.co/GJfzJvPBry


08:13 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@gregsauce Another layer to the point scoring should actually provide even tighter projections and potentially an e… https://t.co/Tlg0WCl1kW


07:46 PM, Feb 19, 2019

1

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Dzytcrdwsae0sgp

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


Big fan of @FantasyPros changing their default expert accuracy rankings contest to half-point PPR. https://t.co/goBNklRZl1


07:35 PM, Feb 19, 2019

3

See Waz other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @Fitz_FF: My guest on this week's pod is the Maharajah of Matchups, Mr. @evansilva, who stopped by to discuss his unlikely fr… https://t.co/XDrjQES9an


07:20 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@TheRickRosen Bruh..... Mustard, onion, relish, tomatoes (sliced not diced), sport peppers, a pickle spear on a poppy seed bun.


07:18 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@TheRickRosen Rick, I am not sure you know what Carrots are if you think they are on Chicago Style hot dogs.


07:10 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @BuckyBrooks: Who are the 5 best players in the #NFL right now? Who makes your list? Here’s mine: 1. Aaron Donald 2. Patrick Ma… https://t.co/tLGl2hUtcr


07:09 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Is it Friday yet?! https://t.co/sfQV8qK02w


05:55 PM, Feb 19, 2019

1

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Get after it Stagg Party! https://t.co/SugDIS2BLw


05:54 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


I never understood why this team traded James Harden for unsalted peanuts right after making it to The Finals... I… https://t.co/K7GFCQmp1F


04:59 PM, Feb 19, 2019

1

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @FieldYates: Team I'd love to see make a play for Antonio Brown: the Packers. * Revitalizes the O instantly * Team is in a heal… https://t.co/2lyZtj1rnA


04:40 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GOATdistrict: Just got this deal done in @FFPC League #21: Sent: DFreeman, DHenry, Tevin, Landry & 6.01 Received: Fournette, A… https://t.co/zaGMIKhxeq


03:57 PM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @DP_NFL: 🚨Episode 81: Kap, Flac, & Franchise tags🚨 🏈Discuss how the broncos can help Flacco succeed 🏈What Free Agents will… https://t.co/q14S2Y8CzL


11:51 AM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GridironSchol91: It is #NFL Draft Season! Kick off the #NFLDraft2019 with my sixth annual Wide Receiver Profiles & Rankings on… https://t.co/6tuIUJG5fW


11:51 AM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @loadedbox: Last week @RyanMiner8 debuted his 1st-round #FantasyFootball mock draft of the 2019 #NFL offseason, and this week h… https://t.co/eCCp2nFTHQ


11:50 AM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ls8qcqzp_normal

Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @FF_Jackson603: Alright guys which side would you rather have? #DynastyTrades #DynastyValues #Theilen #Ingram #Godwin #Kerryon #LemmeKnow


11:50 AM, Feb 19, 2019

0

See Wheeler other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


I have a super neat idea for a 60-team competition this season. I just hope 59 of you will be on board to make it h… https://t.co/yepxZawzVn


03:24 AM, Feb 19, 2019

44

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@DTC_IzzyE @ScottFish24 First timers...smh.


12:10 AM, Feb 19, 2019

2

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


Three years ago, #AAF star Charles Johnson of the @aafAPOLLOS did a @reddit_AMA that spoke volumes to his passion &… https://t.co/qUbNG57Qu5


04:54 PM, Feb 18, 2019

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@ScottFish24 Awesome! No rush. :)


04:29 PM, Feb 18, 2019

0

See Waz other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


As a Nick Chubb owner. This sux! https://t.co/2x8eV6Tn0g


07:02 PM, Feb 11, 2019

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Ah yes. The Browns continuing a fine tradition of creating a positive culture and team dynamic. https://t.co/UfqdIHe3nr


07:00 PM, Feb 11, 2019

1

See Mo other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


#PinstripePride #NYYankees #RE2PECT #Last42 #Sandman #TheCloser #HOF2019 https://t.co/rM6BdXSFoi


11:30 AM, Jan 23, 2019

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @PyroStag: Incredible that this can be asked at such a young age, but if you set the line for career MVPs for Patrick Mahomes… https://t.co/aNfpbCbDgf


11:59 PM, Jan 15, 2019

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @ReggieBush: Just when you think you’ve seen it all, @ClemsonFB you guys deserve better you are world champs and this is the hon… https://t.co/oZSQfVAgBm


09:55 PM, Jan 15, 2019

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @jetswhispers: ESPN's Adam Schefter announced the Jets are finalizing deal with Gregg Williams to become their defensive coordinator.


09:49 PM, Jan 15, 2019

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

R_npje3r_normal

Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @pixelnfl: Adam Gase’s introductory presser 👀 #nflart #nyjets #jets #AdamGase #footballart #jetsnation #nflart #pixelart… https://t.co/foFARjww4g


09:46 PM, Jan 15, 2019

0

See PK Ripper 🤜💥🤛 other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @MaclandJ: So I’ve got rankings updated @DynastyHHPod I’m probably wrong according to some & giving away market inefficiencies… https://t.co/cFriuwuyYh


10:55 PM, Jan 13, 2019

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @PaulCrane7: NEW Scout's Honor podcast with Joe Flacco's most likely landing spot and the OC who may join him. Problems in PIT i… https://t.co/vsfgxPVl7V


10:46 PM, Jan 13, 2019

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @Uncle_Odds: James White #DFS If you’re taking a shot with the Patriots backfield for me it would be White #NEvsLAC #GoPats C… https://t.co/1SqVcHyhS7


06:07 PM, Jan 13, 2019

0

See Mo other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 14 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 14 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 12/06/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.


So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big underdogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 

 


Vegas Implied Point Total Week 14

 


Vegas is telling us Green Bay should expect positive game script against the Falcons and are expected to win by 6. They are expected to score just over 27 points and that number is trending upwards. Aaron Jones is the guy that should see the benefit of this situation. The Falcons rank 31st in DVOA (Defensive Value Over Average) according to Football Outsiders. Plus, the Falcons have allowed the most RB receptions since 2016. Also, you have to like D. Adams, he leads all WR with 25 red zone targets. The Packers, with a new coaching philosophy, could look to highlight Aaron Rodgers in their first game under an interim coach, Joe Philbin. Green Bay and Atlanta both rank in the top 10 for rate of play when the game is within 6 points. That suggests even more opportunities on both sides to put up fantasy numbers. Atlanta has allowed 13 different RBs to put up double-digit PPR days against them this season. Considering Matt Ryan will likely need to pass to stay in this one, his WRs are decent bets. In the last 5 weeks, only 4 other defenses have surrendered more PPR points on a per game basis to opposing WRs. Green Bay is allowing the 7th most passes per game to the opposing teams WR1. 

 

The highest scoring game on the entire slate (57 O/U) is Tampa, as they welcome the Saints. Both teams are in the top 4 for most fantasy points allowed to opposing QBs. The 8 point spread suggests plenty of opportunity for the New Orleans running back duo of Kamara and Ingram. As far as the Saints WRs, Michael Thomas is currently listed as Questionable and did not practice Wednesday. Just keep an eye out. The Saints have the highest implied team total (32.5) of all teams in Week 14. The Bucs have struggled in their secondary and currently have 3 players on IR and 3 secondary players listed as Questionable. Winston could be a great start. Chris Godwin will face Apple, who has been getting picked on. Perhaps the best matchup comes from Humphries. He has proven himself to be one of Winston’s favorite targets. Not only that, he will face PJ Williams. According to Pro Football Focus, Williams carries the 3rd lowest grade of any starting slot corner in Week 14.

 

The second highest scoring game (53 O/U) is Baltimore at KC. I am not wasting any breath on the Chiefs, if you own ‘em, you are playing ‘em. Lamar Jackson is not on the injury report and will start again. We have yet to see his ceiling and KC has surrendered the 3rd most fantasy points to opposing gunslingers in the last 5 weeks. In fact, KC has allowed 4 QB rushing TDs on the season. No other NFL team has allowed more. Plus, they are 2nd on the season for most fantasy points allowed to RBs. Gus Edwards is not listed on the injury report for Week 14. The only deterrent would be if KC gets up early. We have yet to see Lamar Jackson rely on his arm. If the Ravens can play D and stay in this one, Lamar could have a day. If it gets out of hand quickly, then it will be a risky play. That said, it is the playoffs, and he has huge upside. We are in this thing to win it all, not to finish 2nd. There is a high correlation between playing a running QB with the team’s RB1.

 

If you know one thing about Vegas, they love, or rather, the public loves to bet on the Patriots. The Pats travel to face Miami and are 8 point road favorites. Do not get sucked in with that spread. Personally, I am taking the points and laying money on the Dolphins. The Pats are just 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 meetings in Miami. That said, with a high implied team total, and heavy road favorites, the game script should lend itself to the Patriots running backs. Yes I love Sony Michel. Typically, White is in play when they need to pass. However, Burkhead is back in the mix and of course there is always C Patterson; by the way, Patterson is the minimum price on Yahoo DFS. He is by no means a cash play, but in tournaments, he could be a way to reach some of the more expensive players. 

 

The Chargers are carrying the 3rd highest implied team total (31) as they are home to the Bengals. Not only that, but they carry a 14 point spread, highest of week 14. Clearly, this screams the ground attack for LA. This is one to watch. Gordon is still Questionable as of Wednesday and did not practice. Last week, Ekeler saw the most RB snaps, but it was Justin Jackson who had the better day. Ekeler has always been more of the pass catcher. Look, it is a one-game sample size, but between the two, I roll Jackson. The Bengals have absolutely been the worst, as they have surrendered the most fantasy points this season to the RB position.

 

The Steelers are traveling west to face Oakland. This game carries the 2nd highest spread (11) and Pitt has the 2nd highest implied team total (31.25). Conner is going to be out. While Jaylen Samuels is getting the start, he is going to split time with Ridley. Both should be huge pickups this week. It is possible both guys put up a decent day. The Raiders are allowing the 6th most RB adjusted line yards. Without adjustment, they are surrendering the 3rd most by the numbers letting opposing backs average 5.08 per carry. Ridley is 29 years old and past his prime. Samuels is the rookie and by far, the one to own in dynasty.  Considering they are giving him first crack, this is his opportunity and he is the one I would roll with between the two.

 

Finally, the Rams and Chicago are expected to put up the 3rd most points (52.5) in Week 14. Trubisky is looking like he will be back under center. The Rams have the talent to overcome the Bears D. Obviously, you are starting your Rams. Cohen is always a good start for the Bears, as well as Trubisky, as long as he is healthy. This one could rack up the points. 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R