Week 3
September 19, 2018
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Anthony staggs

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@CTowersCBS Hmmm I guess I don't know the average and range of completion percentage on those throws.


04:45 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@CTowersCBS This is sort of surprising to me after reviewing the air yards data which has him at a 71% completion p… https://t.co/DaX0vjfsND


04:39 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @benbbaldwin: Here's @SeanFromSeabeck on the Seahawks and doubling down on ignoring what we can learn from the data (on… https://t.co/sWFFw1ehol


04:35 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @GridironSchol91: Kick off Week 4 of #CollegeFootball season with #CFF: On Campus on @FantraxPodcasts & iTunes. @BogmanSports,… https://t.co/Mfn7WKvkoX


04:30 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@Justin_Redwards Anytime man, anytime, More to come as well.


04:14 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PeoplezPen: Week 2 Totals #NFL Passing Yards: 8,915 Passing Attempts: 1,173 Completions: 814 Percentage: 69.4% YPA: 7.60 Rush… https://t.co/4oV1UVdFUu


04:09 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: Here is the 2018 breakout of receiving yards allowed by position for each defense so far. #PartyFFavors https://t.co/OI45XqabUX


04:07 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: Big props to @FF_Wheeler who has started off the season as the #2 overall ranker on the season, keep it up dude! https://t.co/pcJDKFBeIp


03:12 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @FantasyPros: Week 2 expert accuracy results are up. 1) @ScoutFantasy 2) @mrhill9169 3) @scott_pianowski 4) @RotoSuperstar 5)… https://t.co/nosxyYaGNh


03:11 PM, Sep 19, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Dan Bailey is now on the Vikings... pick him up as your kicker. Great player that purposefully landed in the perfect situation.


04:05 AM, Sep 19, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Golladay is 4th in air yards behind Julio, Hopkins, and Antonio Brown


01:19 AM, Sep 19, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@JohnBoschFF Definitely more fun this way!


04:21 PM, Sep 18, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@JohnBoschFF Definitely more fun this way!


04:21 PM, Sep 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


I know Kelce owners are nervous. But I am buying. Yes Mahomie has not had a track record of using TEs, but thru 2 w… https://t.co/uGv07pczB7


01:25 AM, Sep 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Kenny Golladay getting 21% of his team's target share and 1 of onely 4 WRs who have over 300 air yards through 2 ga… https://t.co/xielDMw1tf


01:22 AM, Sep 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Thompson and James White, both in the top 4 for air yards for RBs. Plus, they are 2 of just 5 backs getting a… https://t.co/gNseZ3WFBp


01:19 AM, Sep 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@PaulCrane7 Do yourself a favor and check this podcast out!


12:42 AM, Sep 18, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JABergman: As we all expected through two weeks... https://t.co/aBm1aBpyBk


08:00 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

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RT @JABergman: As we all expected through two weeks... https://t.co/aBm1aBpyBk


08:00 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JustinFreeman18: Case Keenum: good without Fisher Nick Foles: good without Fisher Jared Goff: good without Fisher Todd Gurley: good… https://t.co/5L9QQ0YAz0


07:52 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JustinFreeman18: Case Keenum: good without Fisher Nick Foles: good without Fisher Jared Goff: good without Fisher Todd Gurley: good… https://t.co/5L9QQ0YAz0


07:52 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @PlayDraft: Eli Manning could learn something from Vontae Davis here at halftime.


12:16 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @PlayDraft: Eli Manning could learn something from Vontae Davis here at halftime.


12:16 PM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @MikeClayNFL: Imagine knowing a month and a half ago that a 49ers back would be leading the NFL in rushing, a Bronco and Steeler… https://t.co/Y8RVTbRBDV


02:50 AM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @MikeClayNFL: Imagine knowing a month and a half ago that a 49ers back would be leading the NFL in rushing, a Bronco and Steeler… https://t.co/Y8RVTbRBDV


02:50 AM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @Pat_Thorman: On 11 carries, Matt Brieda averaged 7.5 rushing yards before initial contact. On 31 carries, Derrick Henry and Dio… https://t.co/KyGsUNu9G6


01:15 AM, Sep 17, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @Pat_Thorman: On 11 carries, Matt Brieda averaged 7.5 rushing yards before initial contact. On 31 carries, Derrick Henry and Dio… https://t.co/KyGsUNu9G6


01:15 AM, Sep 17, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka desculpa. eu nao falo ptg mto bom. hahaha. But yeah, as I said, starting RBs this deep, it really comes… https://t.co/FRY2vNyAka


04:23 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka desculpa. eu nao falo ptg mto bom. hahaha. But yeah, as I said, starting RBs this deep, it really comes… https://t.co/FRY2vNyAka


04:23 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@FFDynastyDan Only grabbed him in three. Kind of digging his matchup this week. Thanks for caring though! <3


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@FFDynastyDan Only grabbed him in three. Kind of digging his matchup this week. Thanks for caring though! <3


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka Oi Rafael! Td bem? If it's between the two, I'd give Hines the start. Although, I do like Mack this week… https://t.co/2TSib92IeZ


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka Oi Rafael! Td bem? If it's between the two, I'd give Hines the start. Although, I do like Mack this week… https://t.co/2TSib92IeZ


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@EdRod03 She always called me a wizard.


12:00 AM, Sep 15, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@EdRod03 She always called me a wizard.


12:00 AM, Sep 15, 2018

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 Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 2 (2018)

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 2 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 09/12/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big under-dogs.

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 

 

 

spreading the lines chart - week 2

 


The Chargers should be playing with a lead and have a high implied total. Thus, we should expect the ground game to take control. Combining the positive game script, the high implied team total, and the fact that Rivers could not bribe a receiver to catch a ball, the Charger’s RBs are a safe bet.

 

Can the Redskin’s RBs keep it going in Week #2? Well, according to Vegas, this should be a solid bet as they are favored at home by more than a field goal PLUS they have a high implied total.

 

The Saints are home to the Browns in Week #2. Both teams were surprising in Week #1. This game opened the week as the 2ndhighest implied total, plus it is tied for the second highest in total game points. After Week #1, PFF has 2 Cleveland CBs graded in the bottom 10% which could be money for Drew Brees, as long as they don’t take the air out of the ball. If Cleveland can keep it close, and look at what Fitz-Magic was able to do against the Saint’s secondary, this game could be potentially potent.

 

The KC/PIT game keeps climbing with expectations. While typing this, the over/under has risen to 52.5. We could easily see this slip to a shootout. Big Ben is a different animal at home and we saw the talent KC is bringing to the table in 2018. Mahomes was just 1 of 2 QBs that tossed 4 TDs in Week #1. Get your popcorn ready!

 

The Rams opened the week with the highest implied team total and that number just keeps rising. Arizona gave up the most PPR points to the RB position last week. Gurley could get loose!

 

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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