Week 15
December 16, 2018
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Wheeler

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RT @NextGenStats: This season, there have been 428 3rd/4th down plays in a one score game with less than 2 mins left. Defenses have o… https://t.co/1mz6JpErGw


07:36 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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RT @AllbrightNFL: I...uh...what...? https://t.co/uicYnuVR6O


06:10 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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People believe Sashi wouldn’t have drafted Baker? K. https://t.co/0thBjxolLw


06:09 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@Ikaveli1Ikaveli @Fitz_FF @FantasyPros @MBeller @MikeTagliereNFL @andybehrens Then I go Dak here, as long as rushin… https://t.co/8UGsrbHnBX


06:04 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@munns6691 @evansilva 10:30 am central time inactives?


06:01 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Anthony staggs

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@Ringwood321 I think Ryan has been a lot better this season then he gets credit for. RB14 is high for cook? I thoug… https://t.co/f10dhp8c4T


05:58 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @FF_Wheeler: Week 15 Rankings: https://t.co/OTCUMma5LK Nuggets: https://t.co/TYavoDSqyr Questions: https://t.co/yg4E5aEyw8 https://t.co/PTqRIVADLs


04:47 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @MrGeorgeWallace: "That's a perjury trap." - Folks who are guilty as shit


04:47 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @DynastyHHPod: Not doing so hot in the week 14 playoffs or didn't make the playoffs? Well, @DaFantasyFather, @DHH_Tim, and… https://t.co/k4PM6Nh8Fn


03:18 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Mo

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RT @skullkingfb: Check out the latest SkullKing Podcast where Ryan covers more of the starts and sits for Fantasy Semifinals Week!!!… https://t.co/FM99rerTSv


03:17 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Mo

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RT @bob_lung: Our Big Guy, @mikeinsights is Consistently Kicking Ass and Taking Names this year! SIX leagues and still ALIVE in… https://t.co/uTqfSOHEu2


03:17 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Mo

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RT @DynastyTradesHQ: In celebration of our 1 year anniversary we've lowered the cost of becoming a Patron podcast listener! Get all the… https://t.co/FUFaY54wYI


03:16 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Mo

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RT @DFF_Dynasty: Waiver Wire Sniping: @kyleFFfellas gives you the players to snipe today for the Championship game in Week 16!… https://t.co/aGoohxpvmW


03:16 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @GOATdistrict: 🏆Playoff Madness🏆 The Final Four 🍀with @amazehayes_ 🧠 from @FFStatistics_ , @DFFMemphis & @DynastyDogg get u ready… https://t.co/zmxjGjv5t7


03:11 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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Eating steaks with Irish friends at Ditka’s! https://t.co/CD8WKJiCSY


02:48 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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@cjc_54 @jduffyrice Turks is the most over rated place down there... not a fun place.


02:05 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

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I do as well. Just puff and change your moniker to Bejeezus. https://t.co/1ihAs5m5HJ


02:01 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@friscojosh Where are we meeting for brunch?


12:01 AM, Dec 16, 2018

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Wheeler

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RT @FantasyPros: Updated consensus #FantasyFootball rankings for your playoff push. ▶️ PPR: https://t.co/dHiz4S7Poe ▶️ Half PPR:… https://t.co/amnwkyiaVx


10:56 PM, Dec 15, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @The_Oddsmaker: All @ActionNetworkHQ content is 100% FREE today! Be sure to check out my updated Week 15 Fantasy Football Rankings… https://t.co/Ydf4qpBYfc


10:55 PM, Dec 15, 2018

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Wheeler

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Week 15 Rankings: https://t.co/OTCUMma5LK Nuggets: https://t.co/TYavoDSqyr Questions: https://t.co/yg4E5aEyw8 https://t.co/PTqRIVADLs


09:04 PM, Dec 15, 2018

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Waz

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RT @FantasyPros: Most accurate #FantasyFootball experts this season: 1) @SmolaDS 2) @mrhill9169 3) @WazNFL 4) @Pat_Thorman 5)… https://t.co/uH9gx7XOxz


10:02 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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👀 https://t.co/zxMPdVnR4Q


04:57 PM, Dec 14, 2018

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Waz

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@b_d_cobb The icon is set up for the player by default. Some still show as their old team (ie. Fitzmagic) but the s… https://t.co/v7hLCFtvpb


10:53 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Waz

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@troywinger Jackson for sure, and probably Williams for the other.


09:08 PM, Dec 13, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

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09:49 PM, Nov 22, 2018

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@FinsBroadcaster The Outsiders C. Thomas Howell.Ralph Macchio. Patrick Swayze.RobLowe.Emilio Estevez.Tom Cruise.Di… https://t.co/NFDHuG2xRE


01:38 PM, Nov 18, 2018

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RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


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03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


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02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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PyromaniacMo's Spreading the Lines Of Fantasy for Week 6 - Vegas Implied Point Totals

Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 6 (2018)

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 10/11/18

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Obviously, the more touchdowns a team puts up, the more fantasy points those players will have. For this, we will look at implied team totals. Generally, any team with an opening implied team total over 24 is one to pay attention to: The higher the number, the greater their chance for scoring.

 

So, now that we have identified the hottest teams of the week, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. Does Vegas tell us a high scoring team will likely be playing with a lead? In other words, are they heavy favorites? If this is the case, then such a positive game-script indicates more rushing attempts. Thus, we want RBs on those teams. If Vegas expects a high scoring team to be on the losing end of a shoot-out, in other words, a team is predicted to play from behind, this tells us to expect more of a passing attack. So, we should see a ground attack for big favorites and a passing game for the big underdogs.

 

That’s it. In essence, we are looking for high implied team totals and an indication as to which positions will likely get the most opportunity to score those points. 

 

Final note, I used to use opening lines. However, these would come out before the completion of the previous week’s games. Therefore, the line movement in the first days after opening would often change due to a team’s performance, injuries, etc. While a great deal of line movement later in the week primarily comes from betting trends. So, the lines reflected in the chart, come from Tuesday. This way, the spreads have been determined AFTER all of the previous week’s games and BEFORE the betting public influences line movement. There is no perfect answer here, but this way, I feel it captures the most accurate reflection of what Vegas has to offer without the clouding caused by the betting public and bookmakers adjusting the line in order to offset public money. In essence, the lines here ideally reflect what Vegas thinks without interference from betting trends. 

 

 

Vegas Implied Point Total Fantasy Football week 6

 

The Vikings are home and carry the highest spread of week 6. They are favored by 10.5 over the visiting Cardinals. Cook has been banged up this year and could certainly miss Week 6. If so, Latavius Murray should get plenty of action, as the Vikings should clearly face a positive game script. The Cardinals have 2 starting defensive linemen listed as Questionable: Markus Golden and Robert Nkemdiche, as both failed to suit up last week. Arizona has surrendered the most PPR points to opposing RBs this season with backs totaling 9 TDs against them over the ground and through the air. 

 

Tampa is visiting Atlanta and the game is carrying the second highest expected total of Week 6. Tampa ranks in the top 5 for most PPR points allowed to all positions (QB, RB, WR, and TE). Atlanta is exactly the same, except for pts allowed to TE. So, yeah, get your goo ready and load up this one! Atlanta has the 2nd highest implied total of Week 6. Tampa already has 4 defensive back on IR and currently they have two starting SBs listed as Questionable. As for Atlanta, they have two starting defensive linemen listed as questionable. I am definitely looking at this game as one to stack. Tampa’s corners are horrific. According to PFF, there is only one starting corner in Week 6 with a lower grade than Brent Grimes; statistically, he will see the most of Calvin Ridley. Still, Sanu and Julio also have great matchups. Heck, Sanu will mainly see MJ Stewart who has allowed an 88% catch rate to opposing WRs. On the other side, Mike Evans will draw Desmond Trufant, the best of the Falcons corners, although he is not what he used to be. Winston is a sneaky play here. Also remember, the Falcons have given up the most RB receptions every year since 2015, year in, year out.

 

Pitt at Cincinnati carries the 3rd highest expected game total of Week 6. Keep in mind, Big Ben is on the road. Dalton typically does not fare well versus this divisional rivalry. In 14 games, he only has 3 wins with 17 TDs and a whopping 13 INTs. Last year, in the 2 games against the Steelers, he only averaged 187 passing yards a game. That said, Uzomah could be an interesting play as the Steelers rank dead last in schedule-adjusted fantasy pts allowed to PPR TEs. On the other side, Conner had a big week in Week 5. JuJu is 2nd in red zone attempts, and Brown, after complaining about not getting enough looks, dominated with a jaw-dropping 45% target share in Week 5. 

 

The Rams are traveling to Mile High Stadium. Vegas has LA pegged as the 3rd highest scoring team of the week.  Plus, they are favored, on the road, to win by a full TD. Enough said, you’re playing Gurley. For their WRs, keep an eye on the concussion protocol for Cooks and Kupp. A major waiver wire pick up is Josh Reynolds this week, as it is likely one, or both, of the aforementioned WRs will not be able to suit up. This could even boost Gerald Everett as well.  The Broncos will face a negative game script and need to pass. While Lindsay is lighting it up, E. Sanders has been getting it done on volume, D. Thomas is a boom/bust. Really, Denver might be looking to play Chad Kelly at QB before too long. That said, if you look at the season, Sanders leads in targets and target share, D. Thomas is 2nd, but Sutton is on the rise. The Rams will run, and Denver will be forced to throw and do so often. The question is, how much do you trust their QB situation?

 

New England is home to KC and no surprise, this is expected to be the highest scoring game of the Week. The total pts scored, according to the prognosticators in Vegas, peg this one at nearly 60 frigging pts. James White and Sony Michel are absolute studs. In fact, White leads the team in target share, both on the season and in Week 5. KC’s pass defense ranks 28th against opposing RBs. As for Sony, even though he was injured to start the season, he is currently 3rd in NFL red zone attempts. Now, that is an area of the field the Patriots should get familiar with against the Chiefs. You want pieces of this team. They are heating up, so I am looking to buy. Same goes for KC as Mahomey continues to rewrite the record books. Both teams are top 10 in softest defenses against opposing TEs. While New England is fairly stout against the run, they can give it up to opposing WRs. In fact, so far this season, there have been 7 different WRs to accumulate at least 8 targets in a game. This one will be the chalk as almost everyone expects an ole’ fashion shootout.

 

 

 

 


 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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