Week 15
December 18, 2017
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Ted Ginn Jr

New Orleans Saints

Must Be Smokin' Snead


Per source with knowledge of the situation, Saints WR Ted Ginn Jr won't play today and will be ruled inactive. Expect WRs TommyLee Lewis and Willie Snead to play a bigger role.

Fantasy Goo: Snead has seen a huge uptick in first team practice snaps this week, he’s been a huge disappointment this season after a break-out year last season. I would not stream Snead for your playoff match-up, the offense is powerful, but unpredictable. Lewis and Brandon Coleman could vulture targets and TD’s at any moment.


12/17/17, 08:59 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Targets - From Week 11 (2012)

Targets - From Week 11 (2012)

Posted by d-Rx on 11/24/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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targets from week 11 graphic - andre johnson

 

 

TARGETS FROM WEEK 11

 

 

Every week Pyro® takes a look at who was fed the ball the most in the previous week and who was starved from fantasy football opportunity. In week 11 there are some new faces to keep an eye on, and some regulars to the list! 



We’ve added a twist to the PYRO Targets Report.  You see in the RB and QB charts, I’ve included a new column – LOOKS.  For RB’s, LOOKS = Carries + Targets.  For QB’s, LOOKS = Pass Attempts + Carries.  The purpose of the report is to show overall involvement in the offense, and we agreed at PYRO HQ to add this wrinkle in, as it is a better indicator of the data we’re after.   



If you’re a first timer just checking in for this weekly report, here’s how we break it down…



The Gravy Train…

The Gravy Train showcase is to “target” the guys who will be regulars at the top of the list throughout the season.  Rain or shine, this crew will find a way to be here most weeks.  These are your work horses that you can ride to your league’s playoff door.



Eating with the Big Dogs…

This section showcases guys who had a great feeding by their offensive coordinators this week but who will see the top of the list infrequently.  Or, a fresh face on the rise that has shown he just may belong with the Big Dogs.



Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Here’s where we highlight this week’s batch of players that normally should be fed but we’re starved out over the weekend.

 

 

 

Quarterbacks (Pass Attempts + Carries)

 

targets from week 11 chart - QBs

 

 

The Gravy Train…

 

Even though Tom Brady had only the 14th most looks this week, he absolutely made the most of his opportunities. As usual he completed two thirds of his passes and looked crisp all game long. He made sure to get Gronk involved early and often and made sure he had a monster performance. He showed Andrew Luck a thing or two as well putting up a stellar 10.1 yards per attempt. Tom Brady made the game look easy and that is what legends do.

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

 

Ummmm are you kidding me? Matt Schaub now is second in the record books for passing yards in a single game? A feat that Manning, Brady, Rodgers, and Brees have not accomplished. He put up 527 yards in an overtime shootout with the Jags and who had their backup quarterback and third string running back playing feature roles in? It’s not like he was inefficient either putting up a 9.6 YPA and throwing 5 TDs. Schaub led the Texans to victory and helped everyone on the offense have big days except for the usual top dog Arian Foster who was only able to muster 92 yards on his 31 touches.

 

Dude Where’s my Pizza…

 

John Skelton must be asking much more than that after this weekend. He started off terribly and was quickly pulled for an overmatched rookie. The Cardinals already had a 13 point lead and matt Ryan was on his way to throwing 5 INT’s but Skelton found himself squarely on the bench. The Cardinals are now officially reeling and know even less about their quarterback situation than they did at the beginning of the season. 

 


 

Running Backs (Rushing Carries + Receiving Targets)

 

targets from week 11 chart - RBs

 

  

The Gravy Train…

 

Trent Richardson continues to get look after look with almost no back to take a few carries from him. This weekend he saw an incredible 35 looks. The best part of owning Richardson right now might be the added value he is receiving in the passing game where he was targeted 8 times a Darren Sproles type number. He caught 6 of these targets for 49 yards on top of his 95 rushing yards. With a workload like his, there is nothing for an owner not to like.

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

 

Jalen Parmele had 27 touches this weekend. The thing is he was probably in zero of your lineups and probably not even a twinkle in your eye. He wasn’t overly effective with his carries gaining only 83 total yards but it was better than the game Rashad Jennings decided to bring resulting in negative yards. Parmele probably will never see a workload like this again but he at least got a few more than 15 minutes for fame.

 

Dude Where’s my Pizza…

 

In what looked like a prime matchup for Stevan Ridley to exploit and have a big game he only got 13 looks. He also didn’t do very much with his looks managing only 28 yards on his 13 carries. Luckily for his owners he was able to find the endzone or else this would have been devastating to owners. The part that worries fantasy owners the most is that he is nonexistent in the passing game, and when the Pats get into a shootout he will most likely be tied to the bench because of it.

 

 


Wide Receivers (Receiving Targets) 

 

targets from week 11 charts - WRs

 

 

The Gravy Train…

 

A.J, Green scored again for the ninth straight game and is approaching a Jerry Rice record of 13 straight games. In only his second season even being mentioned with the GOAT is a huge honor. He continues to be targeted often, surpassing 100 looks on the year. He saw 12 targets on the day, catching 6 for 91 yards. No one can complain about the production of Green this season and at his age his ceiling looks amazing.

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

 

Justin Blackmon had a huge game and showed great chemistry with backup quarterback Chad Henne. He saw 13 targets and now has 72 on the season, the targets have been there but the production has been lacking. He finally had a breakout game averaging over 30 yards a catch on his 7 catches. He also showed game breaking ability catching an 81-yard touchdown.

 

Dude Where’s my Pizza…

 

A number of big name receivers were less targeted less than they ever should be. Colston was targeted 6 times, Eric Decker and Jordy Nelson were each targeted 5 times, and Brandon Marshall was targeted a lowly 4 times with Jason Campbell at the helm. Each of them have averaged way more targets over the course of the season and they each must be asking their signal callers to be fed a bit more.

 

 

 

Tight Ends (Receiving Targets)

 

targets from week 11 chart - tight ends

 

 

The Gravy Train…

 

Jason Witten continues to get the ball thrown his way constantly. He saw another 8 targets and is already the most targeted tight end in the league. He continues to catch a lot of passes but he will never be the touchdown producer that Gronk is or a Big yardage guy like graham but he will continue to be targeted, catch a lot of pass, and average about 10 yards a catch. With the up and down play of many tight ends in the league you could do much worse on a week to week basis.

  

Eating with The Big Dogs…

 

Dallas Clark looked like the Dallas Clark of the Colts and so did his stat line. He was targeted by Freeman 11 times on Sunday and is continuing to look better and better each week. He caught 7 of his 11 targets for 58 yards and a score. If Clark can continue to produce at a similar level the Buccaneers can really start to look like an offense that no one in the NFL would look forward to playing with an elite running back, two good receivers, a good quarterback, and a good tight end in Clark.

 

Dude Where’s my Pizza…

 

Antonio Gates had another game where he went home scratching his head wondering where his targets went. The Chargers played the Broncos who happen to give up the most points to opposing tight ends. Gates was licking his chops and so were his owners, but as usual this season with Gates was frustrated by Philip Rivers getting only 4 targets, catching only 2 for 17 yards.

 

 

 

by Stagg Party