Week 15
December 15, 2017
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Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Oakland defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Smoke and Mirrors


Over the last two games, Derrick Henry has faced 8+ in the box 76.92% and 72.73% of the time. He has averaged 7.83 YPC.

Fantasy Goo: His last two games were against Indy and Houston, while Indy is a bottom 5 defense in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, Houston is top 5. Henry had a 75yd run, with a minute left in the game while they were just trying to run-out the clock, against Houston which completely pads his stats. This week’s opponent, Arizona, is another tough opponent against the rush, I’m not betting on a big play from Henry again.


12/07/17, 06:13 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andre Ellington

Arizona Cardinals

Keep It In The Family


According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Houston Texans have placed wide receiver Bruce Ellington on injured reserve, ending his 2017 season. Ellington's been filling in for Will Fuller (ribs), and his absence will be felt, especially until Fuller's return.

Fantasy Goo: Fuller didn’t practice at all last week. Andre Ellington (Bruce’s cousin) attempted to play WR this year in Arizona, but couldn’t make the roster at that position. Don’t be surprised if the late season pick-up gives it another shot, Ellington had 5 receptions on 6 targets in week 13, for 59 yards.


12/05/17, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stephen Anderson

Houston Texans

Injuries Bread Opportunity


Houston Texans tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season. This is his third concussion in a year. The 26-year-old's season is over and possibly his career as well. Stephen Anderson will take over starting tight end duties for the Texans in his place.

Fantasy Goo: The 49ers are next for Houston and SF has been giving up points to every position besides TE’s. Anderson is more of a hybrid WR/TE, the main reason he lacks playing time is because he’s not a good inline blocker. Anderson had 12 targets in week 13, I’d imagine we will see double digit targets again this week.


12/05/17, 07:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Not on Empty Yet


To say Gore isn't a flashy player is an understatement, but continues to see solid volume, reaching at least 18 touches in four of the last five games. The Bills are near the bottom of the barrel against the run, and Gore should see his usual workload as long as the Colts can keep the game close.

Fantasy Goo: I haven’t touched him all year, but I have a feeling he has just enough left in him for one more big game. It could just as easily be a big game for Mack instead, but starting either will be a risky proposition in this inept offense, especially in your fantasy playoffs.


12/05/17, 07:26 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

One Year Wonder


Matt Ryan has not finished as a top-8 fantasy QB once in 2017. Last year, Ryan finished as a top-8 fantasy QB in 9-of-16 (56.3%) contests.

Fantasy Goo: He certainly misses the Shanahan offense. In weeks 14 and 16 Ryan faces the Saints who have been slightly better than average against QB’s this year, and a tremendous improvement over last year. Week 15 he has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay, but it is on the road.


12/05/17, 07:24 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Targets - From Week 12 (2012)

Targets - From Week 12 (2012)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/01/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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targets from week 12 graphic - brandon marshall

 

TARGETS FROM WEEK 12

 

 

Every week Pyro® takes a look at who was fed the ball the most in the previous week and who was starved from fantasy football opportunity. This is out week 12 edition, we tell you how many targets each player got this week and even break down the season total!



We’ve added a twist to the PYRO Targets Report.  You see in the RB and QB charts, I’ve included a new column – LOOKS.  For RB’s, LOOKS = Carries + Targets.  For QB’s, LOOKS = Pass Attempts + Carries.  The purpose of the report is to show overall involvement in the offense, and we agreed at PYRO HQ to add this wrinkle in, as it is a better indicator of the data we’re after.   



If you’re a first timer just checking in for this weekly report, here’s how we break it down…

 

 

The Gravy Train…

The Gravy Train showcase is to “target” the guys who will be regulars at the top of the list throughout the season.  Rain or shine, this crew will find a way to be here most weeks.  These are your work horses that you can ride to your league’s playoff door.

 


Eating with the Big Dogs…

This section showcases guys who had a great feeding by their offensive coordinators this week but who will see the top of the list infrequently.  Or, a fresh face on the rise that has shown he just may belong with the Big Dogs.

 

 

Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Here’s where we highlight this week’s batch of players that normally should be fed but we’re starved out over the weekend.

 

 

 

Quarterbacks (Pass Attempts + Carries)

 

week 12 targets for Qbs charts

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Matthew Stafford might not be the most consistent quarterback this season but he is consistently getting a ton of looks. He always seems to be towards the top of the chart and currently leads the league in this category. He has been up and down throughout the season with scores ranging from a low of 9 in week 11 against the Packers to a high of 31 in week 8 against Seattle (ESPN Standard Scoring). He does however have the best wide receiver in the game that has really started to turn it on the last couple of weeks, so things are starting to look up. He absolutely lit the Texans up on Thanksgiving to the tune of 441 yards and 2 scores.

 

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

Someone inexplicably decided that it was a good idea to give Ryan Lindley the ball again Sunday, and even worse that person decided it would be a great idea for the guy to attempt 52 passes. He was able to surpass the 300 yard mark but also threw 4 costly interceptions. His point per total per look was .08 (4/53), and a number that is more often used to describe someone’s blood alcohol level. Compare this number to the Joe “Average” Flacco’s of .33 and you have to wonder how drunk Ken Wisenhunt was for giving this guy the start.

 

 

Dude Where’s my Pizza…

Josh Freeman must be scratching his head a little after this weekend. He drove the Buccaneers up and down the field to the tune of 256 yards passing on his 30 attempts but the offense faltered in the redzone in a very winnable game against the Falcons. Doug Martin did not carry the team down the field but he got all the glory scoring twice, while Freeman was left with a goose egg in the TD column. The muscle hamster wasn’t his usual efficient self, being held to under 3 yards a touch and yet he got into the endzone. Freeman would not be complaining if they got the win but in the loss he must think he could have made a throw or two instead of settling for another field goal attempt.

 


Running Backs (Rushing Carries + Receiving Targets) 

 

targets from week 12 - running backs chart

 


The Gravy Train…

Ray Rice saw 31 looks this weekend and was the most involved in the passing game he has been all season where he saw 9 targets. He was also very efficient with all his touches putting up 164 total yards. He was amazing on that 4th and 29 and looked explosive again after looking a little hampered the last few weeks. When the Ravens are dedicated to feeding the ball to Rice they are hard to beat, and it also makes your fantasy team a touch beat.


Eating with the Big Dogs…

Two running backs stepping in for their injured starters were very productive, Bryce Brown and Knowshon Moreno. For Moreno well it came as somewhat of a surprise as the guy had been inactive for much of the season but he stepped in seamlessly into the starting role of Willis McGahee. He had 24 touches on Sunday and while it didn’t set the world on fire like Brown he did have 111 total yards against a rugged San Diego defense. Moreno has talent, he was a former first round pick, he just needs to be consistent and prove he is a starter in this league. Brown did set the world on fire Monday night to the tune of 189 total yards and 2 scores. He is a big back at 225 pounds but showed everyone that he has some wheels to go along with that size, he averaged 9.3 yards per carry in relief of LeSean McCoy. Brown was amazing more than matching his season rushing total on Monday night.


Dude Where’s my Pizza…

Ahmad Bradshaw seemed to play second fiddle to Andre Brown on Sunday night, so he must have used some Voodoo to get the man on IR so he can get his looks. It had been almost a 50/50 split but now Bradshaw looks like he will return to the front of the line with David Wilson playing a more complimentary role in future weeks. On Sunday night Bradshaw was able to do a lot with a little on his 13 looks he was able to put up 131 yards and a score. Bradshaw owners just need to help for his health as he always seems to get dinged up when asked to carry the full load.

 


Wide Receivers (Receiving Targets)  

 

targets from week 12 for wide receivers chart

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Brandon Marshall rejoiced as Jay Cutler returned to the starting line up and so did Marshall’s fantasy owners. Last week he saw 5 targets from Jason Campbell and this week that was the number of targets he didn’t catch. He was targeted 17 times and caught 12 of them. The Bears offense looked like it had a new focus on short routes and quick decisions and the chemistry between Jay and Brandon made this look like a great idea as they connected 12 times. Marshall’s day could have been even bigger though if he didn’t let a 40 yard touchdown pass go right threw his hands.


Eating with the Big Dogs…

Andre Roberts was just about the only person happy to see Lindley in the starting lineup. He was targeted 13 times, one more than Larry Fitzgerald and was actually able to make use of his high targets catching 9 of them for 92 yards he also added a carry for 13 yards. Roberts has been having a nice season opposite of Fitz, now if only they had a quarterback to speak of this receiving corps might actually do some damage around the league.


Dude Where’s my Pizza…

After being one of the top targeted receivers threw 8 weeks, Victor Cruz has started to look a lot less superhuman. He was only targeted 6 times by Eli Manning this weekend but another score was his saving grace. He caught 3 of his targets for 36 yards. Defenses seem keyed in on Cruz’s ability for the big play and are starting to do all they can to take it away and it has most certainly worked over the past few weeks. Victor has incredible big play ability and the Giants are at their best when he is able to showcase it.

 


Tight Ends (Receiving Targets) 

 

week 12 targets for tight ends chart

 


The Gravy Train…

Jason Witten saw another plethora of targets on Thanksgiving, notching another 15 to further grow his tight end leading 111. Dez Bryant has finally stepped up the last few weeks becoming a true number 1 receiver and it is making life easier for Witten. Witten is always at the top of Romo’s list and when Dez takes the top of the defense it leads to easy pitch and catch between the tight end and his quarterback.


Eating with the Big Dogs…

Pettigrew tied Witten for the most targets by a tight end this week at 15. This is a very unusual spot for him as he is usually just a more complimentary piece in the Lions offense than a game changer. He always seems to make a lot of catches but never turns them into anything more than a few yards here and a few yards there. He was able to catch 8 of his targets for 74 yards. Pettigrew needs to make more big plays if he ever plans to be more than just another guy in Detroit.


Dude Where’s my Pizza…

Vernon Davis had another one of those games where Harbaugh forgot to let him off the bus. Against Chicago it looked like Kaepernick and Davis had real chemistry and that he was going to look for him a lot. Well that all changed Sunday when Davis got 1 target, and Delanie Walker stoke all his targets and made the most of them to the tune of 81 yards. Whoever the quarterback is in San Francisco has to make a more concerted effort to get Davis involved as he is a true game changer at the tight end position.


 

 

 

by Stagg Party