Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Targets - From Week 5

Targets - From Week 5

Posted by d-Rx on 10/10/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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targets week 5 - reggie wayne

 

TARGETS FROM WEEK 5

 

 

Who was fed the ball in week 5 the most and who was starved out of fantasy football opportunity last weekend… that is what this piece is all about. ya can't score fantasy points without having the ball in your hands.


We’ve added a twist to the PYRO Targets Report.  You see in the RB and QB charts, I’ve included a new column – LOOKS.  For RB’s, LOOKS = Carries + Targets.  For QB’s, LOOKS = Pass Attempts + Carries.  The purpose of the report is to show overall involvement in the offense, and we agreed at PYRO HQ to add this wrinkle in, as it is a better indicator of the data we’re after.   


If you’re a first timer just checking in for this weekly report, here’s how we break it down…


The Gravy Train…

The Gravy Train showcase is to “target” the guys who will be regulars at the top of the list throughout the season.  Rain or shine, this crew will find a way to be here most weeks.  These are your work horses that you can ride to your league’s playoff door.


Eating with the Big Dogs…

This section showcases guys who had a great feeding by their offensive coordinators this week but who will see the top of the list infrequently.  Or, a fresh face on the rise that has shown he just may belong with the Big Dogs.


Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Here’s where we highlight this week’s batch of players that normally should be fed but we’re starved out over the weekend.

 


Quarterbacks (Pass Attempts + Carries):

quarterbacks looks in week 5 - chart

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Andrew Luck was unleashed after the bye week to the tune of 61 looks. People underrate Luck’s athletic ability but at the combine he put up Cam Newtonesque numbers, he ran the ball 6 times for 24 yards and a TD, an nice bonus to any quarterbacks day especially one that also threw it 55 times. Luck and Wayne have shown chemistry, and luck is leaning on the older statesman and it is doing wonders for both of their games.

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

Kevin Kolb attempted 50 passes on Thursday. He was under pressure a lot by the Rams defense being sacked 9 times but still picked up his share of yards, 289 to be exact. With an anemic rushing attack that has now also lost Ryan Williams this guy might have to spend all season chucking into the double coverage towards Larry Fitzgerald. Let’s just hope these two can start finding the endzone together.

 

Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Joe Flacco had been a fantasy revelation through the first 4 weeks of the season, he has weapons and a big arm and many of us have been waiting a season or two to see Flacco throw like he did the first four weeks. Then he threw out a stinker. He completed less than half of his passes, didn’t find the endzone, threw an interception, and didn’t lead his to a touchdown all game, all this against a defense that had been getting torched through the first 4 weeks of the year. 


 

 

Running Backs (Rushing Carries + Receiving Targets): 

 

targets week 5 - chart

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Jamaal Charles has been seeing carries like never before in his career. He has usually been an 18-21 touch guy but has seen that rise to about 25 a game. He has put together a couple of 30+ touch games much to the delight of those of who waited a few rounds to get him. He may return to the 18-21 touches again but we have all seen what this guy can do and we all know that it only takes one touch for this guy to put together a big game.

 

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

Ahmad Bradshaw seemed to take whatever running back by committee debate there may have been in NY and smash it to pieces, with a little help from an injury to Andre Brown. He carried the ball 30 times for 200 yards and a score. He was also targeted 6 times catching 4 for 29 yards. Needless to say that if this guy can hold onto the ball so he stays out of Coughlin’s doghouse and stay healthy he could have a monster year.

 

Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

This Carolina run game has seemingly disappeared. What looked like the best backfield in the league has been stifled so far this season and definitely was this weekend. DeAngelo Williams scored negative points thanks to his fumble and Jonathan Stewart managed 16 yards rushing. Cam Newton is even struggling mightily; I think this is one case that needs major reconstructive surgery.

 

 

 

Wide Receivers (Receiving Targets): 

 

week 5 targets chart - wide receivers

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Reggie Wayne is the league leader in targets so far this season, even though he has played in one less game than many of these other guys. He saw 20 targets this past weekend in the ‘Tribute to Pagano’ game and caught 13 for 212 yards and a TD. Those of who thought Reggie Wayne might have a resurgent season with an actual quarterback much like Steve Smith last year have been reaping the benefits.

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

Andrew Hawkins had 14 looks and 13 targets on Sunday. He is cemented as the number two on a team that has a great number one. He might not have turned this into a huge game but 5 catches for 47 yards can be a stepping stone to much bigger things especially for a seeing 7 targets a game. If you have him in a PPR league you probably already love this guy.

 

Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Andre Johnson has looked pretty awful this season. A guy that was taken in the second round of many drafts saw 6 targets Sunday and guess what his season average is for targets, you guessed it 6. Owen Daniels has seen more targets than Andre this season. This offense is clicking on all cylinders but it looks like Johnson has been left out in the cold, if you get a trade offer for this guy because of his name recognition I’d hit accept. 

 

 

 

Tight Ends (Receiving Targets):  

 

week 5 targets - tight ends

 

 

The Gravy Train…

Tony G, we might need to start calling this guy ironman in the same way we have Cal Ripken. This guy just keeps going and going. The part I love most about this guy is that when he is targeted he seems to catch it. On the season he has been targeted 47 times and caught 39 of them good for 83%. On Sunday he was even better catching 13 of his 14 targets for 123 yards and a touchdown. We might just start calling this the Tong G train….

 

Eating with the Big Dogs…

Jacob Tamme ended up being second in the league in targets this week. He caught 6 of them for 50 yards. Tamme has shown a connection with Manning and is one of the top tight ends in targets so far. Dreessen has seemed to be the man in the redzone so far though scoring 3 times to Tamme’s once, so they might be hurting each other for fantasy purposes.

 

Dude, Where’s my Pizza…

Jimmy Graham left the game with a sprained ankle, but before that he really didn’t look all that involved in the offense this week being targeted only 2 and catching one pass for 4 yards. Jimmy is the best tight end out there so we all hope he gets healthy quick because this guy is fun to watch. If you spent an early pick on tight end your team is probably struggling because the big 3 of Gates, Graham, and Gronk have not been putting up numbers anywhere close to their career years. 

 

 

 

by Stagg Party