Week 20
January 18, 2018
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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Keenan Allen is the cover player for Week 17 DFS Article

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 17 DFS Advice (2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 12/31/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Stagg Party's Week 17 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Keenan Allen – FanDuel - $8,600 / DraftKings - $7,800

Keenan Allen is in a must win game against the Raiders if they hope to make the playoffs. Allen needs seven receptions this week to top 100 receptions on the season for the first time in his career. Allen has already set career highs in every statistical category except touchdown receptions, but is unlikely to do any more than tie that mark. One accomplishment that does need to be pointed out, is for the first time in his career, Keenan will play all sixteen games in a season. The Raiders are actually pretty tough against opposing wide receivers in terms of fantasy points allowed and held Keenan to just 5 catches on 9 targets for 45 yards earlier this season, but this is an against the grain call. Many may find themselves on his teammate Tyrell Williams, but you can find me with Keenan Allen this week.

 

Sleepers: WR, Mike Evans – FanDuel - $6,900 / DraftKings - $7,200 

Mike Evans is in the midst of a down season, still needing 54 yards to hit 1,000 on the season to mark his fourth straight year with over 1,000. Evans needs 105 yards to reach the mark of his rookie season or will set a new career low. Mike posted his first 100-yard game of the season last week against the Panthers, and will now try to make it two in a row. Evans is sure to see a lot of Marshon Lattimore and he did post just 1 catch for 13 yards on six targets the last time these two teams linked up, but that was a game in which Winston and Ryan Fitzpatrick ended up splitting snaps. In Week 17, crazy shit happens, so I am betting on talented players making plays this weekend.

 

Low Cost Dart Throw: RB, Malcolm Brown – FanDuel - $4,500 / DraftKings - $3,900

Malcolm Brown is an early player expected to get a ton of work in place of Todd Gurley this weekend. This backfield is thin behind Gurley leaving Brown a massive opportunity for 20+ touches this weekend for a low, low price of near minimum. Brown is a massive man at 225 pounds so near the endzone he could find his way to a score or two if Sean Mannion can lead the team down the field.

 

I’d Avoid – Rams Wide Receivers 

Rams wide receivers are expected to play but how much playing time they are expected to see varies greatly. With Kupp battling an injury and Robert Woods recently returning from one, it is easy to see these guys being pulled out early or even held out depending on what Sean McVay wants. This uncertainty and Sean Mannion at QB crosses each of these guys off my list.  

 

 

 

ØC'S Week 17 DFS

 

Pillar: WR, Keenan Allen - FanDuel $8,600 / DraftKings $7,800

After a four game stretch averaging 24.6 FF points, Allen has cooled off extensively the last two weekends on the road. Weeks 17 is a home game for the Chargers in a do or die situation. They must win for a chance at a wild card birth and Allen is the rock that leads LA’s success. Both he and Gordon (if healthy) should see the offensive touch majority against a bottom third overall defense. The absence of Hunter Henry has not affected LA too much, since ol’ reliable Antonio Gates is still a red zone threat, but getting there is Keenan Allen’s specialty.

 

Sleeper: QB, Jimmy Garoppolo - FanDuel $7,700 / DraftKings $6,700

I’m quite certain Garoppolo is the next coming of Brady in the NFL. He is single handedly lifting the ability of a one win team in San Francisco to be a contender for the NFC West crown in 2018. Plus, he looks exactly like him in mannerisms and throwing style. Jimmy’s fantasy point totals have increased in each of his last four games and should at least reach the 20 point mark again. Look for Garoppolo and the ‘Niners to go out with a bang against a Rams squad resting most of its players in a meaningless contest.

 

Dart Throw: WR, Josh Gordon - FanDuel $6,700 / DraftKings $5,800

Josh Gordon is a DeLorean, a promising look but terrible performance due to the parts that make it run. Pittsburgh should have this game in hand early, leading to garbage time stats and nice fantasy haul for those brave enough to start Gordon. The Patriots will have no problem with the Jets which means Pittsburgh may not need to have their starters in the second half, including their fifth ranked pass defense. The Browns will pull out all the stops to get their first win of the season, and Gordon is their best weapon for that final battle.

 

Fade

All players with nothing to play for

Do not start any player on a playoff team with nothing to gain. These teams include:

Rams / Vikings / Eagles / Jaguars / Chiefs

 

Stack

QB, Jimmy Garoppolo - FanDuel $7,700 / DraftKings $6,700

RB, Carlos Hyde - FanDuel $6.900 / DraftKings $4,900

 

 

 

 

 

Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 17 -

 

ØC (9-7 | 1980.38 pts) vs. d-Rx® (7-9 | 1778.46 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 17 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 16 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 16 weeks 

 

 

 

  

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Head-to-Head FanDuel Competition

 - Week 16 -

 

ØC (8-7 | 1859.44 pts) vs. d-Rx® (7-8 | 1675.56 pts)

 

ØC vs d-Rx head-to-head FanDuel Competition - week 16 

 

 

  

FanDuel Points Allowed - 2017

 

FanDuel Points Allowed chart thru 15 weeks 

 

 

 

 

DraftKings Points Allowed - 2017


DraftKings Points Allowed thru 15 weeks 

 

 

 

  

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

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