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Jay Ajayi

Miami Dolphins

Run Anywhere Else

When Jay Ajayi runs to either side of Jermon Bushrod the Dolphins starting right guard (7 or 8 holes) he averaged 2.97 yards per rush. When Jay Ajayi ran on plays designed for any other holes he averaged 6.04 yards per.

Fantasy Goo: Bushrod was clearly the weak link in Miami's line finishing the year with a 43 PFF Player grade. Look for Miami to try to replace him with Kraig Urbik or Jesse Davis once training camps roll in.

07/16/17, 06:11 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

Texans Rookie Gets Caught with Stoned Friend

Big news of D’Onta Foreman’s arrest came on Sunday (7/16) and because everyone is in front of their computers, the news splashed Twitter into a frenzy. The gun he had was legal, his passenger is taking the fall for the weed.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s clean on the piss test, absolutely nothing happens, maybe a 1-2 game suspension at most. He does take a hit in dynasty if he fails the drug test, buy low.

07/16/17, 02:49 PM CDT by Wheeler


Jarvis Landry

Miami Dolphins

Deadline Set for Miami to Re-Sign Landry

Landry will not negotiate his contract after the season begins. I’m not so sure Landry is in Miami’s future plans. They surely won’t franchise him for $18 million next year and they just gave Kenny Stills a nice contract.

Fantasy Goo:I believe Miami has high hopes for DeVante Parker becoming the wide receiver one they drafted him to be. That may be a tall task with Tannehill running the show, but Parker appears to be far more committed to improving this year.

07/15/17, 08:55 AM CDT by Wheeler


Carlos Hyde

San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers Backfield Community

Reports out of SF say that Hyde has to earn the starting job. SF drafted two running backs and signed several free agents in the off-season including Tim Hightower and Kyle Juszczyk. If Hyde stays healthy there’s little doubt he earns the job, but he’s in the last year of his contract so if SF has their expected slow start I expect them to turn to their other options quickly.

Fantasy Goo: There are also reports that Hyde doesn’t fit into the Shanahan system well, he’s a tremendous athlete, but this is the time of year to pay attention to the negative information when we usually see nothing but fluff.

07/15/17, 08:48 AM CDT by Wheeler


Virgil Green

Denver Broncos

Denver Tight End Job Up for Grabs

The team did select tight end Jake Butt in the 2017 NFL draft, but a knee injury suffered in Michigan’s bowl game may keep the talented rookie out of action for this entire season.

Fantasy Goo: Virgil Green is a blocker and AJ Derby is a natural athlete that converted to TE from QB, they believe he can be used in many ways and McCoy’s offense can use a third pass-catcher. Derby isn’t worth drafting, but we may want to keep an eye on him.

07/15/17, 08:42 AM CDT by Wheeler


Demaryius Thomas

Denver Broncos

Denver Receivers Excited for New Offense

“We’ve got this new offense with Mike McCoy. We’re going to be throwing the ball around so my conditioning has to be up and I’ve been working on that.’’
Sanders is working on a healthier lifestyle and getting ready for a high paced offense. Thomas is just happy to get his favorite play back in the rotation (WR screen).

Fantasy Goo: Thomas’ ADP is rising to the second round, while Sanders’ is hanging around in the late fifth. If you miss on Thomas keep an eye on Sanders slipping to you. While we’re not sure who the QB will be, these two should be just fine where they are being drafted.

07/15/17, 08:37 AM CDT by Wheeler


Doug Martin

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

McNichols Working on Pass Catching Skills

Jeremy McNichols has been working with the Bucs wide receivers. He's going basically undrafted, McNichols may be worth a late round flyer if you’re in a FFPC (28 round) draft, but we have to see what happens in camp before we can judge this one.

Fantasy Goo: Doug Martin’s ADP has risen to the point where he’s getting way too expensive. If he’s hanging around in the ninth or tenth he might be worth a shot, but there are probably better options to choose from before that point.

07/15/17, 08:30 AM CDT by Wheeler


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Opportunities in Colts Backfield

“As long as I’m healthy and my guys up front get me the opportunities, I’m going to be successful,’’ Gore said.
Offensive coordinator Rob Chudzinski remains squarely in Gore’s corner, but there figures to be more of a backs-by-committee approach this season. “You can go a lot of different directions in that you can feature more things or different things with different people,’’ he said. “Some of that will be personnel-driven.’’

Fantasy Goo: With no improvements to the O-line, Robert Turbin showing life in camp, and Marlon Mack being drafted, I don’t see how Gore improves on last year’s total. He keeps on ticking like the energizer bunny, but I think that cliff is close. I’ve been high on him every year until now.

07/15/17, 08:25 AM CDT by Wheeler


Eric Ebron

Detroit Lions

Ebron to see more red-zone targets?

Ebron’s ADP has risen 2-3 rounds, depending on your scoring, in the past two months. Everyone seems to think that Ebron will see more red-zone looks this year with Boldin’s 22 RZ targets leaving town. He has a very safe floor so there’s no real downside to drafting him in the eighth round or later.

Fantasy Goo: I’m going to keep an eye on Boldin as well, he hasn’t signed with another team yet, and he’s not finished playing. Detroit is still on the list of places he could end up.

07/15/17, 08:06 AM CDT by Wheeler


Gerald Everett

Los Angeles Rams

Higbee opens door for Everett

“Receiver Mike Thomas on Friday was suspended for the Rams’ first four games of the regular season because of a doping violation, and tight end Tyler Higbee entered into a plea agreement in connection with an incident that left a man hospitalized.”

Fantasy Goo: This could leave the door open for rookie Gerald Everett to get some major playing time right from the start. There will be plenty of hands in the pot for targets and we certainly aren’t looking for an explosive offense from the Rams, but this is something to keep an eye on as camps begin.

07/15/17, 07:52 AM CDT by Wheeler


George Kittle

San Francisco 49ers

Sleeper Alert: Kittle

Jon Lynch and the people in San Francisco have been raving about the performance of George Kittle in pre-season practices.

Fantasy Goo: As of now Kittle would still be behind Vance McDonald in the pecking order, but keep Kittle in the back of your mind as a potential sleeper at TE in 2017. But remember - he still is a rookie TE.

07/11/17, 01:27 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


Christian McCaffrey

Carolina Panthers

Rookie Slow Your Role

"McCaffrey, while not nearly as big and strong as Stewart, could be effective as a ball-carrier in a power scheme – something he showed throughout his career at Stanford. It’ll be interesting to see how the carries are divvied out week to week."

Fantasy Goo: I expect McCaffery to have numbers comparable to the above-average pass-catching backs, maybe a ceiling of 2013 & 2015 Danny Woodhead (or 2011 Jonathan Stewart), he’s being drafted way too early for redraft with a MFL10 ADP of 35 overall/ RB15.

07/07/17, 11:27 AM CDT by The Hartbeat


Jonathan Stewart

Carolina Panthers

Stewart Not Done Yet

"Everyone from head coach Ron Rivera to running backs coach Jim Skipper has insisted that Stewart’s role will not change. And Stewart himself has made it clear he’s not at all concerned. The punishing 240-pound runner will continue to see the bulk of the carries."

Fantasy Goo: Fantasy Goo: With a MFL10 ADP in the 12th round Stewart is a steal right now, although the news is getting out and his ADP has started to rise since this article was released.

07/07/17, 11:23 AM CDT by The Hartbeat


Derek Carr

Oakland Raiders

Get Money, Get Paid

The Raiders have locked up their QB for the future by giving him the richest contract in NFL history. Carr signed the extension for 5 years $125 million.

Fantasy Goo: We all expected Carr to be in Oakland for the foreseeable future, however there has been a history of players having down years right after inking big deals. Be on the look out for any news that implies Carr is getting complacent with his money. Otherwise, Carr is still a low end QB1 with some weekly upside.

06/22/17, 11:44 AM CDT by The Hartbeat


Marquess Wilson

Chicago Bears

Jets Add Another Former Bear WR

After letting Brandon Marshall walk to the other locker room in NJ and releasing Decker, the Jets are starting to fill the void at WR with Marquess Wilson.

Fantasy Goo: Wilson isn't draft worthy as of now, but he has shown flashes in the pan with some big games. Keep him on your radar through the season as he could provide some strong weeks as bye week fill ins.

06/20/17, 01:19 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


Christine Michael

Seattle Seahawks

The Asleepening: Michael to IR

Christine Michael will not be available for the Colts in 2017. He was placed on the IR.

Fantasy Goo: Robert Turbin has been getting hyped, as has their rookie Marlon Mack. With Michael out of the picture we will have a more clear idea on who will end up being the 34 year old running back's handcuff.

06/19/17, 01:46 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


Eric Decker

New York Jets

Decker To Pursue Country Music Career

Nashville by far was the most exciting landing spot for the Decker's. Eric gets to play with the up and coming QB sensation, Marcus Mariota. And his wife, Jessie James gets to pursue her country music career.

Fantasy Goo: The Titans have turner their WR core from one of the worst in 2016 to potentially the best. Decker will likely play the slot and make his biggest contribution in the Red Zone, with a QB who is yet to throw a Red Zone pick in his career. Get your popcorn ready Nashville.

06/19/17, 01:39 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


Eric Decker

New York Jets

Jets Release Decker

After trying to find a trade partner for Decker, the Jets have pulled the plug. Making Decker the most attractive free agent after the recent Maclin signing.

Fantasy Goo: The Jets passing attack could still be fantasy relevant as all signs point towards a season of tanking. Similar to the last few years in Jacksonville, expect the Jets to be passing heavily to Enunwa, Stewart and Anderson in negative game scripts.

06/13/17, 01:49 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


Jeremy Maclin

Kansas City Chiefs

Maclin, Crab Cakes and Football

Crab cakes and football! Thanks what Jeremy Maclin is about for the next two years as he signs with the Ravens to add some depth at WR. Maclin will likely work out of the slot with Wallace an Perriman working the outsides.

Fantasy Goo: There will be plenty of balls to go around as the Ravens have led the NFL in pass attempts for the past two years, and the departures of Pitta and Smith leave another 223 vacated targets. Maclin will certainly benefit from the pass happy offense coming from a conservative KC offense that threw the ball 130 less times last season.

06/13/17, 01:40 PM CDT by The Hartbeat


John Brown

Arizona Cardinals

Uh Oh - Brown Tweaks Hammy

John Brown tweaked his hamstring in Cardinals mandatory camp. Soft tissue injuries tend to linger.

Fantasy Goo: Refer to Alshon Jeffrey for how bad soft tissue injuries can linger. If John Brown is limited by this expect another disappointing season from the speedy WR who also suffers from sickle cell conditions.

06/08/17, 11:24 AM CDT by The Hartbeat


Matt Ryan of the Atlanta Falcons is poised to have a solid week on FanDuel and DraftKings - DFS

The Daily Dos & Don'ts - Week 20 DFS Advice (Conference Championship Playoffs 2016)

Posted by d-Rx on 01/20/17

by   The Archer


More Articals


Stagg Party's DFS Picks Conference Championship Playoffs


Pillar: Matt Ryan - DraftKings - $7,700 / FanDuel - $9,200   [GB@ATL]

Starts crying…. Matt Ryan…. That’s my quarterback man. That is MY quarterback… Stops crying to immediately resume press conference. Ryan is the quarterback I want to play on this slate, and will ride or die with him finishing as the top overall scorer on the weekend. Ryan’s team has a huge implied point total, will be in the friendly confines of a dome, and gets to take on one of the worst secondaries in the league on a team that can hold up against the run. Ryan had a great game the last time these two teams played and his cast of pass catchers is a bit healthier than that of Rodgers’.


Mid Priced Core Piece: - Jared Cook - DraftKings - $5,100 / FanDuel - $6,400 [GB@ATL]

Jared Cook suddenly looks like the far and away best tight end option on the slate with his recent involvement. Cook has seen a boatload of targets over the last six weeks and we have now seen more to his game. They have started to use Cook down the field as well as in the redzone and Aaron Rodgers is starting to forgive him when he makes his inevitable bone headed play. With nearly all of the Packers receivers banged up, Cook is the healthiest he has been all season long. Cook might be the chalkiest play of them all, but if you project him to out pace the other tight ends then it’s easy to fire him up.


Low Cost Dart Throw: LeGarrette Blount - DraftKings - $4,400 / FanDuel - $6,500 [PIT@NE]

LeGarrette Blount let a lot of people down last week, which could be good because of recency bias. Blount still saw a decent number of carries and was used near the goalline as the lead back. With Dion Lewis putting the ball on the ground twice last week, Blount could also be in line for a few extra carries throughout the game. The type of backs that Pittsburgh have struggled with this season are the big boys who can power through their undersized linebackers and secondary. Let me tell you the four running backs who have gone over 100 yards this season: Jay Ajayi, LeGarrette Blount, Isaiah Crowell, and Ezekiel Elliott. Each of these guys tips the scales at over 220 pounds and are known as power runners. 


Fade: NO ONE - DraftKings - $3,000 / FanDuel - $5,000   [NFL@NFL]

Seriously, trying to take down a GPP this week requires some off the board plays no one can be argued as a strong fade.


Stack of the Week: Matt Ryan and Taylor Gabriel  [GB@ATL]


Houdini's DFS Picks Conference Championship Playoffs 



Pillar: Aaron Rodgers – Draft Kings $8,100 / Fan Duel $9,600 [GB@ATL]

The Packers are going to need Aaron Rodgers to put up a lot of offense against the Falcons if the Packers are going to win this game. Green Bay is lacking a steady ground attack and that means Rodgers should throw more than 40 attempts again this week. In the regular season the Falcons were 30th against quarterbacks, allowing 18.7 fantasy points per game, and Aaron should easily eclipse that mark this week. Don’t get cute at quarterback and go with Rodgers.


Mid Priced Core Piece: LaGarrette Blount – Draft Kings $4,400 / Fan Duel $6,500 [NE vs. PIT]

Blount is at a great price in Draft Kings and is still a value in Fan Duel. LaGarrette did basically nothing last week with just 31 rushing yards, but he is in line for a lot more looks this week. Dion Lewis stole the show last week, but he did fumble twice, which should give Blount more opportunities this week. The Steelers have also been victimized by bigger running backs, and the Patriots should look to ride Blount hard and heavy and in the second half of this game.


Low Cost Dart Throw: Tevin Coleman – Draft Kings $4,800 / Fan Duel $6,300 [ATL vs. GB]

I love Tevin Coleman this week against the Packers. Tevin is a big play waiting to happen, and this game is going to feature a ton of offense with Coleman helping to pick up the slack as a receiver this week. This is a game where both Freeman and Coleman should go off, and I even like playing both of them together in this matchup. With the offense flying in this game, I want as much of it as I can get.


Fade: Ben Roethlisberger – Draft Kings $5,800 / Fan Duel $8,000 [PIT@NE]

Draft Kings is pricing him to make you play him, but don’t. Simple as this: Why would you play the road quarterback in New England with a Super Bowl birth on the line!!!


Stack of the Week:  Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman [GB@DET] 


Mo’s DFS Picks Conference Championship Playoffs



Pillar: Matt Ryan- DraftKings - $7,700 / FanDuel - $9,200 [GB@ATL]

Ryan is my favorite QB on the short slate. All three of his wide receivers have a favorable matchup according to PFF. The Green Bay secondary is atrocious. Obviously, this is the game to stack as it opened with nearly a 60 point over/under. So far on the season, Atlanta has hit the over 14 times and Green Bay has done it 12 times. Ryan has tossed at least 300 yards, which does get you the bonus on Draft Kings, seven different times this season. You have to go back to Week 14 of the 2015 season to find a game he did not put up a TD.


Mid Priced Core Piece: Randall Cobb- DraftKings - $5,600 / FanDuel - $6,900 [GB@ATL]

Cobb is $1,000 less than Adams on Draft Kings. Remember, Adams has the high ankle sprain that hobbled him in the past. In fact, out of the starting Green Bay WRs, Cobb is the only one not listed on the injury report. So, Jordy and Janis could only get in a partial practice so far. Neither Adams nor Allison have been able to go at all so far. That is huge. Rodgers really uses his practice time to develop chemistry and timing during the week as they perfect the game plan. That really is working in Cobb’s favor. Because Adams has been so involved, I think many fans will over look his injury. Cobb will be the one to benefit, as will you if you slid him into your DFS lineup. Cobb will face Brian Poole. According to PFF, on the season, Atlanta has allowed the 2nd most FF Points to opposing slot receivers.


Low Cost Dart Throw: LeGarrette Blount - DraftKings - $4,400 / FanDuel - $6,500 [PIT@NE]

Blount should be under-owned this week. There is likely going to be recency bias as the man did not score last week. Keep in mind, that was only the second time this season he failed to score at home. Also remember, he was sick last week and missed two days of practice. While he will be under-owned, his teammate, Lewis, will be over-owned as folks will chase that box score. But it is doubtful that Lewis will get another special teams TD, and his red zone score will likely go back to Blount. Remember Blount lead all RBs with red zone attempts as well as rushing TDs. So, playing Blount over Lewis could really vault you over a larger percentage of the field. The team is expected to score north of 28 points. You know they will be in the red zone on more than one occasion and Blount should be the New England back to take advantage.


Fade: Dion Lewis  - DraftKings - $5,300 / FanDuel - $7,000 [PIT@NE]

The Patriots are expected to rack up the second most points in the Conference Championships. That, combined with his output last week, Lewis could very well be one of the most owned players. However, I am not chasing last week’s box score. It is certainly doubtful he gets another special teams score. Now that Blount is healthy and back at practice, he will likely grab the red zone work, as he has all season long. Blount has by far, the most red zone carries in the NFL. He leads all backs with rushing TDs. Those facts are for a reason, the Patriots are not about to change what got them there. I will still have 10% ownership in Lewis, but I certainly want to be very under-weight with him, as the field will go overboard. Use that to your advantage.


Stack of the Week:   Matt Ryan / Julio Jones / Devonta Freeman / Taylor Gabriel


ØC's DFS Picks Conference Championship Playoffs


Pillar: QB, Matt Ryan – ATLvsGB – Draft Kings $7,700 / Fan Duel $9,200

Matt Ryan, the front runner for the MVP award will show everyone why he should be so at home against the 27th total ranked defense and the 31st ranked pass defense against fantasy quarterbacks, . Also, Ryan has averaged 30 FF points per game in the last two home contests with no interceptions since Week 13. He’s not playing out of his mind like Rodgers has been forced to. He’s followed Shanahan’s direction and has successfully used the entire offense instead of focusing on one weapon, like Julio Jones. Ryan has throw touchdowns to 12 different players over the season, a record. Matty Ice also put up 24.4 FF points against Green Bay back in Week 8. There is nothing here telling you Ryan isn’t a great option for a slightly cheaper price.


Mid Price Core: RB, Devonta Freeman – ATLvsGB – Draft Kings $7,200 / Fan Duel $8,000

While the Packers are better against the rushing attack, Freeman still has double digit fantasy points in the last four games. Since the Falcon’s bye in Week 11, Freeman has nine rushing touchdowns (which doenst include the rushing and receiving TD against the Packers earlier this season). Tevin Coleman will undoubtedly take some work away, but that hasn’t stopped Freeman from amassing over 1000 rushing yards and 14 total touchdowns this season. This offense is too powerful for one or two players. Atlanta can absolutely produce 5-6 top three fantasy players in each position.


Sleeper: WR, Chris Hogan – NEvsPIT – Draft Kings $3,900 / Fan Duel $5,500

When it comes to the Patriots, nothing is ever a guarantee. They can switch their game plan on a whim depending on how much the other team has farted that day. One game it can be a pounding ground game with LeGarrette Blount, and the next day Brady is catching TD passes from Edelman. As the Steelers do have a good defense (top 10 in most categories), ill look outside the box for a sleeper play. Hogan will receive lesser defensive coverage and already put up 95 receiving yards on the superior secondary of Houston. $3,900 is one of the cheapest options you can go with this week with a high ceiling. He has a thigh injury already said to not be bad enough to keep him out of the game, but as usual, check on his status early on Sunday.


Fade: RB, LeVeon Bell – PIT@NE – Draft Kings $10,300 / Fan Duel $9,500

Belichik and the Patriots defense are great at one thing, taking away the best part of your team. Ben Roethlisberger has 8.1 and 14.9 FF points respectively over the last two playoff games with two touchdowns and three interceptions. He is not a threat. Antonio Brown has been dealing with social media distractions all week plus not he’ll get Malcolm Butler on his ass the entire game. He’s the best receiver in the league and could see plenty of double coverage without another outside threat or TE on the Steelers to deal with. This leaves LeVeon Bell. I see stacked box after stacked box forcing Pittsburgh to use him in the pass game exclusively. Add in home field advantage, and I just don’t like it, especially for such a massive price.  






FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season

FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season

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FanDuel Points Allowed During the 2016 Regular Season

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