Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Newsfeeds

View all + 7815

Pyro original fantasy football player news.


Odell Beckham Jr

New York Giants

OBJ Gonna Be OK


“An MRI of Beckham’s ankle confirmed that he has no more than a sprained ankle, although the severity of the injury has not been revealed… It appears this is a low left ankle sprain, given that Beckham said he ‘rolled’ the ankle and McAdoo said, ‘We’ll take it day by day.’”

Fantasy Goo: Beckham ranks in the top ten in practically every receiving category. He even has more room for upside too as he saw the 2nd highest Red Zone target share at 35.4% however he only converted 10 catches on such plays.


08/22/17, 08:36 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kareem Hunt

Kansas City Chiefs

Hunt Impressive


Kareem Hunt's preseason week 2 rendered him the nickname "cockroach" - he just doesn't go down. Excerpt from League Winners: “Pro Football Focus rated Hunt as the number one overall running back in this year’s draft class. Hunt generated 986 rushing yards after contact over his career and received the third highest FBS elusive rating in this class.”

Fantasy Goo: Hunt has an 8th round ADP and is a great candidate to break-out as a rookie. Ware may have bell-cow potential, but Hunt will almost certainly take over third-down/pass catching duties out of the backfield.


08/22/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Bills Reportedly Not Entertaining Trade Offers for McCoy


“Bills haven’t entertained traded offers for McCoy, the Bills currently aren’t entertaining offers for McCoy, and the Bills won’t be entertaining trade offers for McCoy. A trade would create only $1 million in net cap space for the Bills, and it would save $6.075 million in cash. But it also would leave the Bills without one of their best players, less than two weeks after trading receiver Sammy Watkins.”

Fantasy Goo: Since the Elliott news McCoy has been seen jumping up into the third spot in several drafts, but since the Watkins trade he’s slid to the mid-back of the first. This report makes it sound like the team wants to build around him, but I’m going to look for a steadier situation with my top of the first-round pick. Many things have changed quickly this off-season, don’t be surprised either way this goes, comments could be a smoke-screen.


08/22/17, 06:34 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


James Conner

Pittsburgh Steelers

Conner Solid in Debut


Steelers rookie RB James Conner rushed 20 times for 98 yards and caught 1-of-4 targets for three yards on his preseason debut Sunday night. This was his first preseason action after being out with a shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Conner is trying to earn himself the back-up role to LeVeon Bell, and he should have a role if Bell does go down at all, but duties will almost certainly be split between Conner and Fitzgerald Tousaint if that were to happen. Conner is a solid dynasty pick in the double digit rounds, especially if the Steelers don’t extend his deal prior to the start of the season.


08/20/17, 09:19 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Kamara Lives Up To Hype Today


“Saints rookie RB Alvin Kamara rushed 5 times for 61 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's preseason game against the Chargers. Kamara's first carry of the game was an explosive 50-yard touchdown run. He was also utilized in the passing game, catching a ball in the flat and scampering for a 20 yard gain.”

Fantasy Goo: This is all against the Chargers second and third string, so don’t get too excited, but it does appear that Kamara could contribute and make this backfield very difficult to predict from week-to-week. Kamara looks to be a very solid dynasty pick in the seventh round.


08/20/17, 09:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Anquan Boldin

Buffalo Bills

Boldin Retires... For Now...


Anquan Boldin left the Bills today and has informed them he is retiring
This almost definitely allows Matthews to work from the slot/flanker role, not that it really changes the Bills plans. From the glimpse of the Bills preseason game I saw, they had Boldin working outside in the X-receiver position, formerly held by Watkins. I have little doubt that Boldin knows he no longer has the physical ability to fulfil the requirements of that position, so he left.

Fantasy Goo: I still think he ends up somewhere, and will vulture enough TD’s to devalue others, but not have enough value on his own to be fantasy viable. Zay Jones is back in play for the late round flyer, and Clay is looking like a good match-up streamer at TE.


08/20/17, 07:53 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Zay Jones

Buffalo Bills

Boldin Retires... For Now...


Anquan Boldin left the Bills today and has informed them he is retiring
This almost definitely allows Matthews to work from the slot/flanker role, not that it really changes the Bills plans. From the glimpse of the Bills preseason game I saw, they had Boldin working outside in the X-receiver position, formerly held by Watkins. I have little doubt that Boldin knows he no longer has the physical ability to fulfil the requirements of that position, so he left.

Fantasy Goo: I still think he ends up somewhere, and will vulture enough TD’s to devalue others, but not have enough value on his own to be fantasy viable. Zay Jones is back in play for the late round flyer, and Clay is looking like a good match-up streamer at TE.


08/20/17, 07:53 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Charles Clay

Buffalo Bills

Boldin Retires... For Now...


Anquan Boldin left the Bills today and has informed them he is retiring
This almost definitely allows Matthews to work from the slot/flanker role, not that it really changes the Bills plans. From the glimpse of the Bills preseason game I saw, they had Boldin working outside in the X-receiver position, formerly held by Watkins. I have little doubt that Boldin knows he no longer has the physical ability to fulfil the requirements of that position, so he left.

Fantasy Goo: I still think he ends up somewhere, and will vulture enough TD’s to devalue others, but not have enough value on his own to be fantasy viable. Zay Jones is back in play for the late round flyer, and Clay is looking like a good match-up streamer at TE.


08/20/17, 07:53 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Reed

Washington Redskins

Jordan Reed (toe) Activated from PUP List


Fantasy Goo: Reed has averaged the most fantasy points per game over the past two seasons and is targeted on a minimum of 15% of his routes. Like Gronk, with Reed you have to assume that he will not play all 16 games, but don’t shy away from Reed because when he was active in 2016 he was a top 10 TE 75% of the time.


08/20/17, 05:45 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell Lookin' To Get PAID!


“Steelers RB Le'Veon Bell will report back to team before regular season kicks off, though it remains unclear exactly when.” Bell values himself at about $15mm per year, your move Rooney.

Fantasy Goo: There is no doubt Bell is an elite RB1 when he is active, this hold-out makes me nervous. He might be staying in shape, but there is no way to really simulate game-speed without actually participating with the team. He missed 3 games last year and came in shredding defenses, but that is much different than missing camp completely.


08/18/17, 05:48 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Eddie Lacy

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle's Crowded Backfield


Seattle Seahawks RB Thomas Rawls ankle injury will hold him out of week 2 preseason action on Friday. It’s being called a minor injury and Eddie Lacy is now expected to be the starting tailback for the second preseason game.

Fantasy Goo: When it was first announced that Rawls would get the start I thought nothing of it, teams usually rest their banged-up players week 2 anyway. Week 3 is what we really care about, but if they’re resting Rawls this week that becomes somewhat questionable. We should probably consider this a full blown committee at this point, in which case you can read our “League Winners” article to see who I think is worthy of drafting in this backfield.


08/17/17, 09:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Thomas Rawls

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle's Crowded Backfield


Seattle Seahawks RB Thomas Rawls ankle injury will hold him out of week 2 preseason action on Friday. It’s being called a minor injury and Eddie Lacy is now expected to be the starting tailback for the second preseason game.

Fantasy Goo: When it was first announced that Rawls would get the start I thought nothing of it, teams usually rest their banged-up players week 2 anyway. Week 3 is what we really care about, but if they’re resting Rawls this week that becomes somewhat questionable. We should probably consider this a full blown committee at this point, in which case you can read our “League Winners” article to see who I think is worthy of drafting in this backfield.


08/17/17, 09:24 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andrew Luck

Indianapolis Colts

Indy Needs Some Luck


There has been quite a bit of concern about Andrew Luck’s availability to start the season on the active roster after offseason surgery. Hartbeat points out that, “Colts seem confident in Luck for week 1 as they haven't changed their playbook.” There is a concern about his offensive line though as starting C Ryan Kelly is likely to find himself on the designated IR for return after foot surgery.

Fantasy Goo: Luck put together a 2016 season with a career best 71.2 QBR and a 92.4 PFF grade. If he’s healthy he’s a must start, and his ADP has fallen nearly two rounds since August first. He is now being drafted as the eighth QB off the board. Check out the Draft Kit vol.3 to get the full goo.


08/17/17, 08:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Curtis Samuel

Carolina Panthers

Samuel Back in Pads


Curtis Samuel was back in full pads for today's practice (Wednesday), he has missed almost all of training camp with a hamstring problem that began as a issue in the spring. He's been out for so long that it's hard to see him having a immediate early-season role.

Fantasy Goo: Samuel is the ultimate utility knife if he can get healthy, he can pick up the big plays vacated by Ginn and match anything fellow rookie McCaffrey does in the passing game.


08/16/17, 08:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ty Montgomery

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Rookie's on Display


“Ty Montgomery’s likely absence from Saturday night’s preseason game at Washington will put an even bigger spotlight on the depth-chart battle involving three of Green Bay’s third-day draft picks. Williams is the front-runner in part because he’s shown the best aptitude for pass protection in the backfield. Jones has displayed a different gear in the open field that he’d love to show off in a game if he gets a crease. Mays is the best example of compact power, at 5-10 and 230 pounds.”

Fantasy Goo:Ty performed very well last year with the 3rd best juke rate of 34% and the best yards per contact per touch of all RBs at 2.8. The issue with Montgomery is Jamaal Williams is in line to take away the short yardage work and it’s unclear what type of volume Ty can handle as he rushed double digits in only 1 game.


08/16/17, 07:58 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.packers.com


Jamaal Williams

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Rookie's on Display


“Ty Montgomery’s likely absence from Saturday night’s preseason game at Washington will put an even bigger spotlight on the depth-chart battle involving three of Green Bay’s third-day draft picks. Williams is the front-runner in part because he’s shown the best aptitude for pass protection in the backfield. Jones has displayed a different gear in the open field that he’d love to show off in a game if he gets a crease. Mays is the best example of compact power, at 5-10 and 230 pounds.”

Fantasy Goo:Ty performed very well last year with the 3rd best juke rate of 34% and the best yards per contact per touch of all RBs at 2.8. The issue with Montgomery is Jamaal Williams is in line to take away the short yardage work and it’s unclear what type of volume Ty can handle as he rushed double digits in only 1 game.


08/16/17, 07:58 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.packers.com


Jaron Brown

Arizona Cardinals

Jaron Number Two?


Larry Fitzgerald is the No. 1 wideout. Brown? “He’s No. 2 right now,” Coach Bruce Arians said Tuesday.
“I’ve been here for a while,” Jaron Brown said. “Every camp is different. We obviously have injuries, and that gives me an opportunity. I just try to take advantage.

Fantasy Goo: I could see Jaron shooting up draft boards, and I like him as a last round dart throw, but this just makes that receiving corps all the more crowded. A torn ACL prevented Jaron from possibly breaking-out last year. Yesterday we thought JJ Nelson would emerge, I’m sure we will be re-visiting this regularly.


08/16/17, 04:21 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Cole Beasley

Dallas Cowboys

Beasley Under the Radar


NFL Next Gen Stats have revealed many of their numbers to the public recently. Hartbeat picked this one out on Twitter: Cole Beasley adding another advanced stat that he thrives in, Top 10 in separation among all pass catchers.

Fantasy Goo: Beasley was one of the most efficient weapons in the NFL last year. His Defense-adjusted Yards above Replacement and Defense-adjusted Value over Average ranked as 5th best among WRs. For more on Beasley and others check out the Pyro Pulse podcast episode 6, WR Tiers.


08/15/17, 05:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


John Brown

Arizona Cardinals

John Brown’s Health Back in Question


WR John Brown looking like sickle cell IS NOT being managed by the Cardinals. Could be another injury plagued season for Brown. Arians said WR John Brown not practicing full time is a concern (He's been participating in certain drills during practice).

Fantasy Goo: JJ Nelson was the WR11 in PPR scoring weeks 13-17, it appears as though we should be drafting Nelson as one of our late round flyers immediately. If the Brown news continues to be negative we will begin to see Nelson’s stock rise. Jaron Brown and Chad Williams are names we should also keep an eye on, but Arians has complained about their lack of performance publicly.


08/15/17, 04:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Maxx Williams

Baltimore Ravens

Maxx Looks Slow, Open Door for Watson


“Tight end Maxx Williams deserves a ton of credit for persevering through a serious knee surgery and getting back onto the field this summer. But in watching him run, it’s still pretty clear that he has a ways to go. He has bulked up and gotten considerably stronger, so it will be interesting to see whether he becomes more of a blocking tight end, assuming he’s on the season-opening roster.”

fantasy Goo: Ben Watson appears to be worth a last round flier. Denis Pitta was the number eight TE overall last year and he only scored 2 TD’s. Watson was the number 6 TE in 2015 with Drew Brees throwing him 6 TD’s.


08/15/17, 03:54 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.baltimoresun.com


Ryan Mathews

Philadelphia Eagles

Ryan Matthews Released


After passing his physical earlier today, The Eagles have informed former starting RB Ryan Mathews that he's been released. This move was completely expected, the Eagles save a bunch of money by releasing him now.

Fantasy Goo: Hartbeat would like to see him land in: IND, SF, MIA or CHI (all backup roles). I think the Giants or Ravens should see what he has left in the tank, even if it’s just a few games Matthews is a talented back, he’s just been drenched with injuries. I don’t think the team that picks him up has to pay much for him.


08/15/17, 03:30 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Freeman in Concussion Protocol


Coach Quinn says Devonta Freeman is in concussion protocol, will be ruled out for Sunday's game. This really means nothing if he’s back by next week, but if this lingers like Jay Ajayi’s concussion, Coleman might actually be worth his draft value in the sixth round.

Fantasy Goo: Despite being only 206 lbs he had the 3rd most RZ carries with 53. Although Coleman is an extremely strong receiver Freeman was still top 5 in catches among RBs on only a 63% snap share.


08/14/17, 04:34 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Fournette Battling Same Issues


Jaguars rookie RB Leonard Fournette suffered a foot injury and HC Doug Marrone said team intends to be "careful with him." Fournette battled a recurring foot/ankle injury throughout his final season at LSU. It was a real problem most of the year.

Fantasy Goo: Fournette was clocked running 22.9 MPH at LSU last season, for reference Tyreek Hill was the NFLs fastest player at 23.2MPH. It appears as though Jacksonville is being cautious, but rookies need to get on the field and learn the nuances of the NFL, especially pass blocking.


08/14/17, 03:31 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Matthews

Buffalo Bills

Matthews Must Play With Pain


Bills' WR Jordan Mathews has what team is calling "a chip fracture in his sternum" and is week to week.
The good news is that it’s just a pain tolerance issue. The bad news is that it can be pretty painful.

Fantasy Goo: Matthews move to Buffalo had very little effect on his projections, but with lack of practice with his new team he will almost certainly get off to a slow start. Check the Pyro Pulse Podcast (Ep.5) to get the hot, sticky goo on how this affects the value of the other Bills and Eagles skill players.


08/14/17, 03:29 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Todd Gurley RB for the LA Rams is the cover graphic for our THE GREAT DEBATE series piece for running backs

The Great Debate - Running Backs (April 20th, 2017)

Posted by d-Rx on 04/20/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

Jay Ajayi

 

 

All Aboard The Jay Train


Jay Ajayi has the potential to be a fantasy football beast in 2017. 


Last season the Miami Dolphins running back took the NFL by surprise. After starting the year behind an injury prone Arian Foster and what looked to be a running back community he stood out, stepped up and showed grit while playing with an inconsistent,shuffled and oft injured offensive line. Even ended the last few games with starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill on injured reserve, still Ajayi had a terrific season which now has the fantasy world on full notice.


In 2016, Ajayi ran for 1,272 yards on 261 carries with 8 touchdowns with an average of 4.9 yards per attempt.  
The 2nd year back from Boise State showed he was a great threat in the run game and was able to keep those chains moving with his elusive style he was able to become a consistent contributer. The Dolphins featured him on their offense which led them to a 10 and 6 record and a playoff berth.


The "Jay Train" finished last season off in the pro bowl and is primed to build off his success by taking his game to even bigger heights as he already has the endorsement of Dolphins Head Coach Adam Gase who already announced publicly that he be featured exclusively in the offense.


Look for the Dolphins to improve this upcoming season with the return of Tannehill,Pouncey and the shift to left tackle for Rookie standout Laramie Tunsil. The loss of veteran Brandon Albert will be missed but expect the front office to address some offensive line depth via the upcoming draft.


In a time when committee is the wave of the NFL backfield it's good to get a Bellcow Back 
with an explosive skillset who can win you some weeks almost on his own(as he showed numerous times last season), on your fantasy roster then Jay Ajayi is just the three down back you're looking for.


-PK Ripper

  

I will stay shy from Jay Ajayi 

 

The good is simple here, this kid led the NFL in broken tackles in 2016, meaning he’s tough and can run between the tackles. Another solid is that the Dolphins had the third worst offensive line in the league last season according to Pro Football Focus, and Jay Ajayi was still able to go over 1,200 yards and finish 11th in scoring for running backs. His numbers are a little skewed due to the fact that the "Jay Train" had three 200-yard rushing games for the Miami Dolphins last season, becoming the 4th NFL player to have 3 or more 200-yard outings during one season, Earl Campbell had 4 in 1980 and O.J. Simpson and Tiki Barber also had 3 in a season during their careers. You could expect such a thing from the 3 aforementioned players, but no one would think Jay Ajayi could pull that off heading into the season. Jay had a great season coming out of nowhere as an unknown, he was one of the better pickups in 2016, no doubt about it.


He slipped to the 5th round of the 2015 NFL draft after a great career at Boise State where he's a top-3 running back in basically every statistical category for the Broncos of blue turf. Teams were worried about his knees and if he would hold up after a lot of wear & tear in college. He’d had ACL surgery in 2011 and there were whispers of bone on bone grinding happening due to no cartilage in between his knee sockets. He had great game film and the combine stats (he ran a 4.57, real solid for such a big boy) to warrant a higher draft slot, suffice to say the knee worries benefited the Dolphins by getting a workhorse caliber running back that late.

 

I fully think Jay is a franchise back, and believe he is going to do great things for Adam Gase and the Dolphins this season. He’ll put up just around 1,000 yards and have somewhere around 10 TDs – solid numbers, but my fear is that his ADP is too high and will likely continue to rise due to his explosive nature. In 12-team mock drafts this preseason he is going with the first pick or two of the second round, as the 9th running back taken off the board. Last year he was undrafted because everyone was on the Arian Foster swan song train. From pickup to end of the first, do you want to take J.A. that high? It’s risky, and that is why I am a little sour on the Marshawn-like youngster out of London U.K. (yep, he was born in Europe).

 

Here’s a little game I like to play with guys that have enormous games, take away Jay Ajayi’s three monster outings and take a look at his 2016 game log. It looks a lot more pedestrian now, you’ll see that he only had 1 other 100-yard performance. In his other 11 matches, he averaged 48.5 rushing yards per game. Basically, if he wasn’t playing the Bills, he was a middle of the road, nothing too special player. Maybe Pouncy being back under center and more time together will help improve that bottom tier offensive line this year, and maybe Jay got a taste of sweet success and is working his tail off to become an NFL mainstay, both things I hope to be true. Gase wants to play more uptempo (more plays) and include Jay more in the passing attack (only had 35 targets in '16), which spells well for additional opportunity for #23. But I saw a guy that wore down the end of last season and at the end of the first round or early in the second I’d rather take my chances on one of the second tier WRs like T.Y., Jordy or Dez.

 

 -d-Rx®

 

 

DeMarco Murray

 


Staggs likes to spray tan

 

What has changed for DeMarco Murray since last years draft when you were able to get him in the fifth round or later? Well a lot, Murray proved that his one-year stint in Philly was behind him and shredded the league yet again. That previously maligned exotic smash mouth? Yeah that sort of worked as the Titans scored 5 more points a game than the previous season. How about the Titans young offensive line? It turned out to be one of the best in the league last season. Which of these things have changed since the offseason? Marcus Mariota will be back from his injury, and because of it, the Titans could feed their backs even more early in the season and they already had the third highest run rate in the league.

 

The team is committed to DeMarco as the leader in the backfield and he looks primed for another 320+ looks next season. Murray is currently being drafted at the 2/3 turn in twelve team drafts, and being drafted after guys like Todd Gurley and Lamar Miller who he ran circles around last season. Could they sprinkle in Derrick Henry more from time to time? Sure, but it is not like we haven’t seen two running backs on run first teams be successful in recent seasons. Take 60 points away from Murray and he still finishes as a top-12 running back last season. As the tenth running back off the board there is even still room for him to exceed his draft position, he was the number five back in standard scoring last year despite slowing down the stretch due to injuries. If you want a steady weekly producer with upside, Murray solves that, and as one of the best pass protecting and receiving backs in the league, it is hard to envision a scenario where he flat out doesn’t play anymore.

 

-Stagg Party 

 

 

Sort of sour on #29

 

With the Eagles in 2015, through the first 2 games, DeMarco Murray had 11 yards on his first 21 carries – resulting in a smidge over a half yard per carry. He was making Eli Manning's running game look more like Jim Brown for a minute there. Well, it never got much better for him, and as a result you were able to pick up DeMarco Murray as the 16th running back on average in most leagues in draft's last fall.

   

This fact, made him as I correctly called, a lock for a value pick for RBs! This year, not so much, people like the Titans and their offense for fantasy football purposes again, and it's going to steal that value pick thunder.

 

When I started writing this, I gotta admit, I don't hate Murray, he's gonna get a ton of opportunities and that offensive line is so damn powerful. But I'm locked in, so goddammit Stagg Party, your valid points aren't going to sway me here. I mean, I wish I could choose another Murray to debate with you on here, oh wait – I do take the negative side of Latavius as well later in this article. Well twist my titties, I’ll do my best to shine some light on the yang to your ying. 

 

If you can get him in the late second third round, by all means you gotta do it. That is value based on workload as you mention. While it’s really early in the number of mocks done on the https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp site so far this offseason, based on the mocks done so far by folks they have DeMarco as the 1st pick in the second round of a 12 team league. The 8th RB taken. Hmmm, still don't like too many guys ahead of him, especially not at RB - but at that spot, as an owner that needs to craft a dynamic team, I get a little worried. If he’s your RB1 for the season, you truly are hoping that the Titans don’t ramp up their passing attack too much because Derrick Henry is going to get more than the 110 rushing attempts and 15 receiving targets that he got his rookie season. 

 

It’s your "take away 60 points and he's still top-12" comment Staggs that strikes a cord with me, because truth be told, I think Spray Tan could have more TDs next season both on the ground (9 in 2016) and through the air (3). Watching the games, he should have had more TDs last year. He tapped out when they got inside more times 10 than I’ve ever seen last season. It drove me nuts. They are committed to him, but if they grab a WR in the first, say Corey Davis, there are going to be more mouths to feed than last season for the Titans. I might be happier with a WR or even Lamar Miller or Jay Ajayi as far as upside that early. Shit, I really hope I have a top pick in draft's next season, it's going to bring a huge advantage in 2017.

 

Ok, so we know I loved DeMarco last year at his ADP, and I am talking myself through the fact here that I still like him, I just don’t want to get caught chasing him. I'm hoping some of the rookies find great situations and the fantasy world cools on DeMarco a bit, because getting him early third round, I love him! 

 

-d-Rx® 


 

Latavius Murray

 

 

So much opportunity here!

 

Typically I don’t like to go with players who change teams in their first season in the new spot, as for most positions it usually doesn’t work out. Running backs can back that trend and perform up to their talent level pretty much wherever they go as it doesn’t take as long for them to get adjusted in the system. Murray is also heading from one of the best places to play for a running back last year to one of the absolute worst in Minnesota. But as they say, and if they don’t they should say it more, volume rules in fantasy football and Latavius is in line for a ton of it, like 275 plus looks. Murray has shown to be an effective receiver and touchdown scorer in his past two seasons, and it just so happens the guy who had done those two things in Minnesota is now a free agent, and I’m not talking Adrian Peterson. Matt Asiata had 15 touchdowns in 2014 and 2016 when AP was out of the lineup and caught a combined 76 passes. If Murray can just do those things, and rush a little more effectively than the fullback who ended up playing halfback out of Ohio, Latavius will have a well-established floor.

 

The run game should also see an uptick in the number of attempts, as a team led by Sam Bradford needs to have the threat of the run to be most successful. In 2015, the Vikings ran it 474 times, in 2016 that number was just 380 times. Murray will get first crack at those rushes, and even if he is just an average runner as he has shown over the last two years of his career that will be a big improvement on the McKinnon/Asiata combo that has shown up so far. The Viking’s Murray is being drafted as the 25 running back off the board in MFL10s, all while possessing a goal-line and passing roll in addition to redzone work. Not many running backs in the sixth round boast the all-around game of Murray, and because of it, he can finish as a solid RB2 for your team and provide a plus ROI. Murray also provides some upside to go with a Matt Asiata like floor, see last years 13th place finish among running backs in 14 games and 2015’s 10th place finish. While Latavius might not be the sexiest name you press draft on, his combination of floor and ceiling makes him a worthy gamble as your second or third running back.

 

-Stagg Party 

 

 


I must not like guys with the name Murray

 

For me, Latavius Murray just never passes the eye test. I know we live in an era of data and analytics, but sometimes you have to go with what your eyes tell you, and organically gauge whether a player is your kind of guy and has earned the right to get you to pick them. Latavius has fallen flat for me in every way, even when I play against him he throws up a dud, so I like him against my squad not on it. He doesn't bode well in that analytics world either, he's a ton of raw talent that just never reaches its full potential.

 

Not sure why I should like this guy going to a team with a worse offense, worse offensive line and replacing a Hall of Famer in Adrian Peterson to boot. Let's look at Latavius' last season with the Raiders, he averaged 4 yards per carry on 195 totes, pretty average (he had 4.0 per carry in 2015 as well) and had 12 of Oakland's 17 rushing TDs, which is nice - but when you look at DeAndre Washington averaging 5.4 yards on 86 carries (he's 5'8, 190 compared to Murray at 6'3", 230) and Jalen Richard averaging 5.9 yards per carry on 84 attempts; you wonder why a big guy like Latavius can't get more yards per carry. His 12 TDs makes him TD-dependent, his first 2 seasons he had 2 TDs and 6 TDs. Plus looking at Stagg Party's chart on yards per carry in the Red Zone, Latavius averages only 2.63 ypc when he gets close to paydirt (even though that is higher than Asiata and McKinnon from last year on the Vikings, so he'll get a shot to be the goal line back I suppose).

 

Lastly, Murray seems to get banged up. He played 14 games last year, 16 in 2015 and 10 in his rookie season. But his tall upright running style isn't doing him any favors, so I can't count on him to play 16 games when he is going late in the 3rd round on early mocks. Add the fact that in PPR formats he brings very little to the table hauling in 91 catches on 119 targets over his first 3 years in the league and has never caught a TD pass in his NFL career (red flag city for me). I'm going to be grabbing a solid WR in the third round and let another owner be let down by L. Murray in Minnesota. And when I play against Murray, I'm betting that my luck against him remains in tact as he throws up a dud of a performance (knock on wood) against me. Maybe this is the year, maybe he just needed a new setting, but why would the Vikings be a better spot than the Raiders... it's not.

 

-d-Rx® 

 

 

Mark Ingram

 

 

Mark me in!

 

Mark Ingram went from one of the most consistent running backs in 2015, with all but one of his 12 games over 9 points in standard leagues, to one of the biggest boom/bust prospects in 2016 after signing his new deal. In 2016, Ingram had huge blow up games of 28.7 and 29.1 fantasy points but also had lows, like Week 8 against Seattle when he fumbled and was benched. Despite this, Ingram finished 2016 as the 10th running back in standard scoring and 15th running back in 2015, despite playing just 12 games. Ingram had his first 1,000 yard season last year, can score touchdowns when given redzone carries, and has shown to be a reliable receiver, catching 96 passes over the last two years, when called upon after it was a limiting factor in his game early on.

 

The Saints possess a solid offensive line to pave the way for Ingram, they were top-10 in average yards before contact last season, and unless the team brings back Tim Hightower or signs another experienced backup off the street, Ingram is likely to be surrounded by young players at the position, giving him more of a leg up. With little competition, a solid offensive line, an explosive passing game that other teams have to defend, and a now proven ability to be a do it all back, Ingram is a backend RB1 or high-end RB2. Typically Ingram is a guy who will pick up 4 yards consistently, but he also added some long touchdown runs last season to give him an even better athletic profile. As for touchdowns, Tim Hightower and John Kuhn combined for eight last season, should Ingram prove he can effectively hold on to the ball, Sean Payton is sure to give him more cracks at the endzone like he had earlier in his career. Ingram is the type of do it all back with a wide open opportunity that make him worth the selection as the 14th running back off the board in MFL10s.

 

-Stagg Party

 


Mark'ed For Disaster


When I look at Mark Ingram two things come to mind inconsistent and Injury prone. He has fourteen games with over eighty yards rushing in seventy-eight career games yikes! Last season the Bama back slumped out of the gate to start the season through week eight he had zero hundred yard rushing games and one lonely touchdown on the ground for half a season you want to gouge your eyes out and if you were like me you were looking for the fastest way to cut ties with him. Now I must've been a glutton for punishment drafting him after the year before he left me high and dry come fantasy playoff time after getting injured as he so often does granted he got through last season without a hiccup played the full year and got his first thousand yard rushing season but that is more the anomaly, I mean look at this resume:


2016: took a heavy hit and suffered a concussion during Week 10 action.

2015: suffered a severe shoulder injury in week 13 that required surgery and that shut him down for the rest of the season

2014: fractured his hand in week 2. He underwent surgery and missed 3 weeks

2013: suffered from turf toe for the early part of the season missing 5 games

2011: Injured his right heel late and missed one game due to his foot injury.

2011: Had surgery on his (left)turf toe injury that came up in a game with Detroit Lions and was placed on injured reserve which caused him to miss three season-ending games.


Dudes been knocked around like a United Airlines passenger being accommodated.


I know Tim Hightower is gone and the running back position is thin as of now (expect a running back to be drafted or picked up post draft) and you might be thinking feature back / bell cow and he was the tenth ranked fantasy running back last season and he's in a Drew Brees high powered offense. But I have seen him disappear in the second half of games too often and with that history of injuries coupled with that expected workload I foresee the wheels coming off and I'm personally not touching him anywhere before late third round period.

 

-PK Ripper

 

 

CJ Anderson

 

 

If he plays games he scores hella #FF points (fingers crossed on health)

 

At least I'm not dead set in my ways and overly stubborn when it comes to fantasy football from year to year. At least not when it comes to CJ Anderson and his situational upside. Last year I was off the CJ train because he was going super high in mock drafts and I just knew he was going to get hurt. He did, in week 7 and was gone for the season with a knee injury.


So, I am going to pretend that CJ is going to play all 16 games in 2017, as highly unlikely as that may be, something tells me it can happen this year, I hear voices. I like where he is going now as well, unless he tears it up in the preseason, I'm thinking the RB1 (for the still explosive-less QB manned) Denver Broncos will be an early third round pick in fantasy draft's this season. I can handle that placement for his upside if he can stay healthy. Plus, there are 2 or 3 rookies that will bump him back after we see where  Fournette, McCaffrey (and potentially a few others) land. 

CJ Anderson was a top red zone contributor before he went down last year. The Berkley Bear exploded in week 1 of the 2016 season and probably won you the week with 25+ points right out of the gate. He had two other 15+ games as well, so he was playing well before he went down. I love how many touches he got, 110 carries and 24 targets in the receiving game are impressive for less than half the season. He was on pace to handle the ball in a bell-cow manner. Devonte Booker sucked when he came in, and I had high hopes for him in his rookie season. This is not some tandem backfield in my opinion, but even if Booker gets a lot of action, who says that's a bad thing. Get CJ 20 carries and a few targets per game and that's top end touches.

Think about this: C.J. finished 43rd at the RB position with all that missed time last season. That is super impressive, and shows had he played in all 16 games he probably would have been a top-5 back for owners last season. The only guy that missed a ton of games that was up there like that was Theo Riddick, and CJ Anderson averaged almost 2 points more per game than Theo did over his 11 games. He averaged more points-per-game than other top-tier running backs like Mark Ingram, Lamar Miller, Matt Forte, Spencer Ware and Todd Gurley. We just need this cat to play, if that happens - he'll be worth the pick and bring you nice ROI. Last year my call was DeMarco Murray, this year CJ "Mile High Club" Anderson is going to bring you an orgasm.

 

Eye-opening quote:
"Anderson has been tremendous when on the field. Over the past three seasons, among 28 running backs with at least 400 attempts, Anderson ranks top-six in yards-per-carry, touchdowns-per-carry, yards after contact per attempt, and forced missed tackles per attempt. For perspective, Le’Veon Bell ranks top-six in three such categories and is the only other running back to rank top-six in more than two."

@ScottBarrettDFB

(Follow this dude on Twitter, he is a total beast on coming up with charts that paint a telling fantasy football picture for even the layman fantasy folks)

 

-d-Rx®

 


Enter The Matrix

"Mr.Anderson it seems you have been living two lives"......Agent Smith.

In one life you are CJ Anderson Super Bowl Champion,Pro Bowl running back for the Broncos. A player with explosive potential as demonstrated in a late 2014 push in the last six games of the season seemed all world with 140 carries,648 yards 4.63 avgerage, 9 total touchdowns in that span and helped alot of fantasy football championships that season and if you were like my counterpart you took the preverbial red pill and followed him down the rabbit hole into the next season...

In the other life You are Cortrelle Javon Anderson an underachieving often injured running back who has spent more time in rehabilitation than in the huddle in the 22 games played since his burst onto the scene he's had 1,157 yards and 10 total touchdowns . If we dig deeper into code you can see CJ is in fact not "The One" prior to his six-game outburst he has not been impressive at all in fact playing behind Ronnie Hillman mostly in 13 total games he's had 210 rushing yards and 1 total touchdown. If that is not enough to deter you from believing just go to his injury history just last season in 

2016: Mr.Anderson tore his meniscus in Week 7 play. He was placed on injured reserve. (Enter Devontae Booker )

2015: Mr.Anderson sprained his ankle in week 13 against the Chargers and missed the following week.
(Fantasy Playoffs) 

2014: Mr.Anderson left the first preseason game with a concussion. 

2013:Mr. Anderson sidelined with a "severely" sprained right MCL during preseason camp, he missed 5 games in the season.
After all this I'm sure that you have one question on your mind....

Why oh why didn't I take the blue pill?

 

 -PK Ripper

 

 

Todd Gurley

 


Are You A Gurley Man?

The changing of the guard in Las Angeles could in fact have a significant impact on Todd Gurley and should we expect a resurgence of sorts in 2017?


I say yes but what sort of increase can we realistically expect? 


Let's dive in head first TG30 had a terrific rookie season in which he came off a knee injury in college and played in 13 of the Rams games bursted onto the scene with four straight games of 128 plus yards and finished on a short season with just over 1,100 yards & 10 touchdowns and showed the talent was there and why he was drafted so high. Then followed it with a sophomore season with what's a nice way to put it, less than stellar performances. I ask you this, was he actually Stachecuffed by the fact of Jeff Fisher being his coach? Mr. .500 an 8 and 8 career guy(really a .400 yr guy w/rams) who was satisfied with mediocre football that put him in playing situations most any running back could not find thier way out of. His surrounding cast was less than stellar and the only upside on that whole team other than him was the Defensive side of the ball. Sure Todd was given the volume of touches with over 500 carries his first two seasons but what we're the quality of those carries undoubtedly they were against 8 or even 9 man fronts because let's be real here folks the passing attack wasn't anything to write home about Case Keenam and Jared Goff didn't exactly drive fear into opposing defenses right. I mean mostly the game plan was to stop Gurley and get to the rookie quarterback by seasons end the only thing you could call a blessing was that the second year back made it through healthy,Goff had some experience under his belt and Crutch Fisher was shown the exit.


Now comes 2017 Enter first year head coach Sean McVay who spent the Last three years as Offensive Coordinator for Washington and hasn't been that bad with utilizing the ground game.


2014, 401 att 1,691yds & 15 td's on the ground. 2015 429 att 1,566 yds & 9 td's on the ground. 2016 379 att 1,696 yds & 17 td's on the ground.


I know that's total team rushing numbers and the aquisition of Lance Dunbar will eat into the Gurley man's touches but let's look at the 2016 Redskins offense which would be the most recent way to evaluate a Sean McVay running attack,
Christian Thompson (who we can assume his role in the offense would be Dunbar's) had 68 car 356 yrds & 3 td's on ground plus 49 rec 349 yrds & 2 td's in the air.


That leaves Matt Jones, Rob Kelley and Mack Brown a total of 275 car 1,246 yds & 10 td's If we shift those numbers to our boy it doesn't look half bad. I know the Rams offensive line isn't Washington's, but those Running backs aren't close to the talent level of Gurley so it could even itself out.

 

So I took those numbers and it would calculate to approximately 185 standard points. (ESPN standard scoring )

 

Which would've put him in between Jordan Howard and Mark Ingram he would've finished the 10th best running back in 2016. Now the fact that he left so many people burned last season he could be available in your league at the late second early third round or even later you could draft him as an RB2 with RB1 upside. I'm betting he will be a feelgood story by this time next season and his cost will be premium so if you're in dynasty buy now this will be lowest price for sometime and if you are in redraft leagues put him on your high ROI list.

 

-PK Ripper 


 

No fan of the Gurley man

 

Todd Gurley is a great talent at the running back position but has unfortunately been in one of the worst offensive situations in the league over the last two seasons. While some things have changed for Gurley, a lot of them have remained issues for the young ball carrier. The offensive line added Andrew Whitworth presumably to play left tackle (he better) and while that is a great move, the rest of the line is still a major issue. Jared Goff looks to be in place at quarterback, as the team spent the first overall pick on him last year, and with the questions surrounding him, lets just say that is not scaring defenses into creating space for Gurley.  While I love Todd Gurley as a talent, what has changed for me to go out and draft this guy in the middle of the second round, with the 18th pick in MFL10s? Nothing. Between the quarterback situation and the trouble on the offensive line he is currently too rich for my blood as the 8th running back off the board. 

 

Sean McVay, the teams new head coach is expected to install a new system to get the most out of Gurley and the rest of the offense, but that is not guaranteed in the first year. Jeff Fisher and his atrocious offense may be gone, but that could also take away the guarantee of 20 touches for Gurley on a weekly basis as we have seen since becoming the starter. The Rams have run one of the slowest paced offenses in the league the last few years, while McVay’s may be faster; it is still below the league average. Lets compare the number of rush attempts since Gurley has been in the league: the Rams had 375 attempts in 2016 and 429 in 2015. The Redskins had 379 in 2015 and 429 in 2016. With McVay running the offense it seems unlikely the volume of the run game changes, but there is a chance he could mix in another back, like they have said they want to do with the newly signed Lance Dunbar. 

 

Gurley does have some good factors, like he is likely to even out his performance from an efficient rookie to an inefficient second season just through regression to the mean. If he can return to just a model amount of efficiency, like 4.0 yards per carry and maintains his 278 carries, he would again surpass his rookie season rushing total. He’d need to maintain his reception rate from last season and regain his first season touchdown form to be an ROI value. With Gurley you are paying full market price for his upside with not much of a discount after his second season meltdown. I’d just rather take other players when it comes time to take Gurley, and while there is a path from him to return to being a top-five fantasy back, there is also the downside which we just saw play out last season.

 

-Stagg Party

 

 

 

 

Become a Pyro Pro+

 

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R

 

Become a Pyro Pro+

 

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R