Week 15
December 16, 2017
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Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

QB Downgrade Equals RB Upgrade


Ajayi can do more than he has since the Eagles acquired him from the Dolphins on Halloween. And with quarterback Carson Wentz done for the season and Nick Foles tossed into the cauldron, the Eagles will likely need additional carries from the 24-year-old tailback if they are to stoke their chances of securing home field throughout the playoffs.

Fantasy Goo: Ajayi could shred the Giants if he gets the touches, but he hasn’t scored a TD since his 46-yarder against the Bronco’s in his first game with the Eagles. It’s not like the other Eagles backs have been producing TD’s either, Wentz had been that dominant. I have no doubt they will lean on the running game this week, I’m high on Ajayi.


12/16/17, 03:18 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.philly.com


Jermaine Gresham

Arizona Cardinals

Ricky Business


The AZ Cardinals have downgraded TE Jermaine Gresham (illness) to OUT for Sunday’s game against Washington.

Fantasy Goo: Seals-Jones is a desperate move if you’re in the semi-finals of your playoffs, he’s only a streaming option if you’ve been streaming all year. He’s had a couple of big games, but there’s no floor. He could end up with 10 targets or he could end up with none.


12/16/17, 03:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Flying Solo


Joe Mixon did not pass concussion protocol and will not play Sunday against the Vikings.

Fantasy Goo: Bernard will see a solid workload, but it’s going to take a big play for him to have any real fantasy value. Minnesota did give up that big play to Jonathan Stewart last week, but I don’t see that happening again.


12/16/17, 03:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devonta Freeman

Atlanta Falcons

Bell-Cow Workload


Falcons running back Tevin Coleman, who’s in the NFL concussion protocol, was declared out of the Tampa Bay game on Saturday by coach Dan Quinn.

Fantasy Goo: Tampa has been solid against the run at home, but a complete sieve on the road. They are at home this week, but they haven’t faced a RB like Freeman at home this year. Freeman has traditionally been a better performer at home, but I have no doubt he’ll put up RB1 numbers with action in the passing game.


12/16/17, 03:10 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.myajc.com


Dion Sims

Chicago Bears

Honorable Mention


Bears TE Adam Shaheen (chest), who is listed as questionable against the Lions, is not expected to play, source said. Chicago goes in a little short-handed.

Fantasy Goo: I like Sims as a streamer if you’re desperate, he always seems to put up numbers when he’s the only option. I rarely start a streamer in the early set of games, there will be safer options tomorrow.


12/16/17, 03:06 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stefon Diggs

Minnesota Vikings

Diggin' It and Thielen It


The Vikings have played five out of their last six games on the road. They return home this week to face a banged-up Bengals defense and Kyle Rudolph is out. Stefon Diggs has played in four home games this year. He has hit 27.7 and 40.3 on DK in two of them.

Fantasy Goo: Diggs has never played a game without Rudolph in the line-up, so we don’t really know how this will affect his targets. Cincinnati has been without both starting CB’s, but may get Dre Kirkpatrick back this week. I have Diggs as a WR2/Flex this week with Thielen being a solid WR1, must start.


12/15/17, 05:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Robert Woods

Los Angeles Rams

Back in Action


Seahawks Weeks 1-9 (With Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 2nd
Explosive pass rate allowed:19th
Weeks 11-14 (Without Kam Chancellor and Richard Sherman)
Passing success rate allowed: 22nd
Explosive pass rate allowed: 24th

Fantasy Goo: Robert Woods comes back this week, so I’m moving Watkins way down. Watkins production went up about 70% across the board with Woods out. Kupp’s production went up with Woods out as well, but even with Woods in the line-up he was second on the team in targets. Woods might need to knock some rust off after being out for three weeks so I have Woods and Kupp in the WR3/Flex range, and feel safe with starting either one.


12/15/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jag's Starting JAG's


Jaguars RB Leonard Fournette missed his third straight day of practice today due to his quad injury. No practice all week.

Fantasy Goo: I expect Yeldon and Ivory to split the touches if Fournette doesn’t play, neither seems to be worth starting, but Houston has given up five rushing TD’s in the past three games (one to a QB).


12/15/17, 05:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jordan Howard

Chicago Bears

Here Comes the BOOM!


Detroit is allowing 3.4 offensive touchdowns per game over the past five weeks, the most in the league, they have also allowed a rushing touchdown in eight straight games. Jordan Howard is tied for the most runs of 10 or more yards (30) on the season. Howard has had 12 100-yard rushing games in his first two seasons and he wasn’t even the starter the first four games last year.

Fantasy Goo: Howard is really boom-bust, he has yet to pair together fantasy RB1 weeks this year. He had a huge game last week and his match-up this week is just too sweet to think that he won’t be able to break this trend.


12/15/17, 05:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

In the Clear


Zach Ertz has cleared the concussion protocol and will play this week.

He’s pretty much ranked as the number three TE across the industry, but I think he lacks the boom upside we might think he has against the Giants. His production with Foles, back in 2013, was only slightly lower than his production this year. In the first nine games the Giants gave up a TD to a TE in every game. In the last four games the Giants have only given up one, to Jason Witten, who has historically torched the Giants, it was his only catch of the game. They even managed to keep Kelce out of the end-zone, I believe a couple of OPI’s were involved there and Kelce did get 109 yards receiving though. I believe Ertz is a prime candidate for 5/50/1, but I don’t expect him to win you your week or be worth paying up for in DFS.


12/15/17, 05:11 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Giants defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Thursday Night Fantasy Football - Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills

Thursday Night Fantasy Football - Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills

Posted by Dawgmaticå on 11/13/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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Thursday Night Football - Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills

 

 

 

Thursday Night Game – Week 11

 

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills – 7:20pm CT on NFL Network

 


Quarterbacks

 

 

Ryan Tannehill - Pyro Character

Ryan TannehillTannehill definitely looks like a guy who can be a starting quarterback in this league for years to come, but it will take awhile before any sort of consistency is there, especially being on a team in transition like the Dolphins are. In Week 9, Ryan had a pretty nice game throwing for 290 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions while almost upsetting the Indianapolis Colts in their own place. However, what took place this last weekend at home against a bottom-tier Tennessee Titans defense (217 yards, no TDs and three INTs) goes to show that you really can’t trust a rookie QB no matter what the circumstances are.

 

Fantasy Call – The Bills have allowed the second-most fantasy points per game to opposing QBs this season and given up three times as many TDs as they have interceptions (fourth-worst percentage in the league), so this may very well LOOK like a matchup Tannehill could excel in. However, the Bills are also the worst in defending the run, so I expect Miami to try and dominate this game on the ground and take the onus off their rookie QB’s shoulders. If you have nobody else on your fantasy squad worth playing, Tannehill could be plugged in there as a starter as he’s actually put up low-end starter-type numbers every other week of the season thus far (last week was his “off-week”).

 

 

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Ryan Fitzpatrick - Pyro Character

Ryan FitzpatrickLast week, I decided to put my credibility on the line and list Ryan Fitzpatrick in my top-10 quarterbacks for the week (eighth, to be precise). Thank goodness for small miracles because as it turned out, the Harvard grad not only ended up in the top-10, but was within 0.04 fantasy points of landing in the exact spot I had him ranked. Fitz has another nice fantasy matchup this week and should do pretty well against a weak Miami secondary, but with so many other better QBs having solid matchups themselves, I can’t see top-10 numbers for a second game in a row.

 

Fantasy Call – The Dolphins have allowed the fifth-most passing yards per game this year and are only mediocre with regards INTs, so there’s really no reason for Fitz to have a poor game here. If my normal starting QB was on a bye or dealing with a concussion, I would have no problem turning to Fitzpatrick as my starter for the week. However, there are plenty of QBs out there I would get in my lineup first (like 13 of them – see my rankings for the week) before taking the chance.

 

 

Running Backs


 

Reggie Bush - Pyro Character

Reggie Bush – After fumbling in the first quarter against Tennessee last weekend, the Miami coaches pulled Reggie Bush from the game and didn’t give him another carry until the second half. When asked about it after the game, Bush fully complied with the coaches’ decision saying it was the right call to make. From a PR standpoint, of course, Bush did well to stand behind the call. From a fantasy owner and general competitor’s standpoint, I’d have to say that his willy-nilly acceptance of the benching is at the very least discouraging about his fantasy outlook for the rest of the season. It’s unfortunate, too, because the Dolphins backfield has one of the better matchups of the week going up against a weak-ass Buffalo run defense.

 

Fantasy Call – We’ll see how things shake out during the Dolphins short week of practice, but I can’t see a whole hell of a lot changing as it will likely come down to another timeshare out of the backfield with Bush and Daniel Thomas splitting carries. Reggie’s explosiveness gives him the edge over Thomas if you’re looking for big fantasy numbers this Thursday, but with Thomas being the goal-line back, there’s no guarantee Bush sniffs top-10 numbers regardless of the choice fantasy matchup.

 

Daniel Thomas - Pyro Character

Daniel Thomas – Thomas has been coming off the bench all year long and will likely continue to do so, but he’s definitely upped the ante of late—especially after his fine performance in relief of the benched Reggie Bush last weekend against the Titans. It wasn’t a life-changing performance by any means, but he did have 10 touches (to Bush’s five) which included an unexpected five receptions out of the backfield. Timeshare or not, his work as the goal-line back for the Dolphins could be the deciding factor that makes Thomas the better fantasy play this week than Bush.

 

Fantasy Call – The Bills run defense just might be the worst in the NFL as they find themselves at the bottom of the league in a number of different categories; yards per carry (5.5), rushing touchdowns allowed (16 total; 14 to RBs), rushing yards allowed and the most important of them all, most fantasy points allowed to RBs. If Thomas can get himself 15 touches over the course of this game, which I believe he will, then he could easily come out with low-end RB2 stats this week. He’s still a risk, however, as Bush could just as easily return to the lineup with a chip on his shoulder and take over the game against this porous Bills D.

 

Lamar Miller - Pyro Character

Lamar Miller – Miller will be a dynamic part of this offense for years to come, but he won’t get much play this season as long as the Dolphins continue to stay afloat in the AFC playoff hunt.

 

Fantasy Call – The Dolphins fourth-round steal is hardly even worth starting as a flex in 16-man leagues right now. 

 


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C.J. Spiller - Pyro Character

C.J. SpillerEven though he’s been given double-digit carries in only four of his nine games while never securing more than 18 touches in any one game, C.J. Spiller has still found a way to put up the seventh-most fantasy points per game for running backs this season. His 7.3 yards per carry is the highest YPC in the league and despite only running the ball 87 times this year, his seven runs of 20 or more yards has him tied for second in that category as well (AP has 13 in 195 carries; McCoy has 7 in 162 carries). Basically, Spiller is not only the most under-utilized threat in the entire league, but possibly the most misused player since the turn of the century!

 

Fantasy Call – C.J. Spiller fantasy owners can finally dismantle the lynch mob and stop looking for Chan Gailey’s address as the Buffalo Bills coaching lunacy will all come to an end this Thursday night. With Fred Jackson already ruled out for the game, fantasy owners can safely pencil their savior-in-waiting into their RB1 spot for the week. Yes, the Miami Dolphins rush D has been one of the better ones so far this season, but if Chris Johnson can tear them up for 126 yards and a touchdown like he did last week IN Miami, then you have to believe that Spiller can do the same at home.

 

Fred Jackson - Pyro Character

Fred Jackson – Fred Jackson left last week’s game in the fourth quarter after being hit in the head while being tackled and has since been diagnosed with a concussion. Coach Chan Gailey has already ruled Jackson out for their Thursday matchup against the Miami Dolphins.

 

Fantasy Call – Jackson was putting up his best numbers of the year prior to the injury, but it was only the third time in seven games that he was able to manage double-digit fantasy points this season. Obviously you need to keep him rostered, but don’t expect much from F-Jax for the remainder of the year if C.J. Spiller shows his dominance this Thursday as he’s expected to.

 

Tashard Choice - Pyro Character

Tashard ChoiceChoice will be elevated to backup status this week due to the concussion suffered by Fred Jackson, so he might actually be worth picking up and stashing in case of a Spiller injury

 

Fantasy Call – He’ll probably get somewhere between five and ten touches this week just to give Spiller a breather from time to time, but is really only a desperation play in the deepest of leagues as he doesn’t have the explosiveness necessary to do any sort of damage against this Miami front seven.

 

 

Wide Receivers


 

Brian Hartline - Pyro Character

Brian HartlineWhen playing within a specific advantageous situation, Brian Hartline has certainly done well enough to be considered a starter on many fantasy teams this season. However, he really does need it to be a favorable matchup as he’s put up three games with double-digit fantasy points this season, but all three pass defenses are ranked in the lower half of the league. Luckily for Hartline fantasy owners this week that the Bills are one of the worst in the league in pretty much every defensive category.

 

Fantasy Call – Brian has proven to be a target-monster so far this season, so you know he’ll be getting his chances in this one. You could start him as a very low-end WR2 in this one, but his upside is capped by an apparent allergy to the type of grass opposing teams use in the endzone. Still, you just never know because as it stands today, of his six career touchdowns (in 53 games!!!), two happened to come against this same Buffalo Bills squad. Never mind that they were both during his rookie 2009 season.

 

Davone Bess - Pyro Character

Davone BessDavone Bess is a really good example of a slot receiver that is much more useful to his real team than he is for your fantasy team. Even in PPR leagues he’s been a little weak this season barely cracking the top-50 in fantasy points per game. He has three 100-yard games and 11 touchdowns in 73 career games with only one of those touchdowns coming against the Bills.

 

Fantasy Call – The Bills may give up a lot in the passing game, but I’m not so sure you can use Bess as any more than a low-end flex player with very limited upside in this one.

 

Jabar Gaffney Even though he’s only a couple of weeks away from turning 32 years old and has only played three games for the Dolphins this season, he can still look like the most talented wide receiver on the field at times. That’s how weak the Miami WR corps is at this point.

 

Fantasy Call – Gaffney can still have his moments, but of his seven double-digit fantasy performances over the last two seasons, none of them came on the road. Not like you were looking for an excuse to sit him if he somehow found his way onto your fantasy squad.

 


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Stevie Johnson - Pyro Character

Stevie JohnsonStevie J has more fantasy points this year than a few other big-name receivers like Andre Johnson, Steve Smith and Brandon Lloyd; but that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s been having a good season now, does it. After nine games, the Bills top wideout is currently on pace for 73 catches, 892 yards and seven touchdowns—numbers I’m guessing most fantasy owners would barely be happy with out of their WR3. He still ranks in the top-15 in targets, however, so some sort of a breakout game could be on the horizon here.

 

Fantasy Call – The Dolphins pass D currently allows the third-most receptions, fifth-most receiving yards and seventh-most fantasy points per game to opposing wide receivers, so there’s certainly a chance fantasy owners will see that big game happen this Thursday night. That being said, just so there are no illusions here, let it be known that Stevie J hasn’t had a multi-TD game since Week 11 of 2010 and only has one 100-yard game in his last 31 contests. He’s definitely a starting fantasy player this week, but don’t expect any sort of miracle-game out of him.

 

Donald Jones - Pyro Character

Donald JonesIn his last three games, Donald Jones has 16 catches on 24 targets for 186 yards and two touchdowns. They may not be the greatest stats in the world, but his involvement in the offense is certainly on the rise seeing how Stevie Johnson has just 23 targets, 14 catches, the same 186 yards and only one TD during the same span.

 

Fantasy Call – There are a couple of reasons why this could be a nice game to get Jones in there as a flex this week. First, with C.J. Spiller getting the start, the Dolphins’ linebackers will undoubtedly be busy running from sideline to sideline trying to contain the speedy RB. Because of this, Donald will have a little more room to maneuver when going over the middle, a route he has no problem running in this offense. Second, Miami’s safeties will also be relatively occupied both with pinching in to contain Spiller and bracket-covering Stevie Johnson. Basically, with as bad as the Miami pass D already is, it looks like there could be some fantasy points to be had out there for players other than Spiller and Johnson.

 

T.J. Graham - Pyro Character

T.J. GrahamT.J. Graham is a speedy little sucker that may someday be able to make a mark in this league, but he hasn’t had much of an opportunity to do so just yet. The Bills, however, moved up in the third-round to grab him in this past year’s draft, so if they’re feeling like their playoff hopes are all but shot at this point, that chance may come for Graham sooner than people think.

 

Fantasy Call – Like I said with Donald Jones, there are definitely going to be some fantasy points out there to be had by someone other than C.J. Spiller and Stevie Johnson, so if Graham gets a decent amount of snaps, he may be able to capitalize. That being said, I wouldn’t go taking that chance unless I was in a deep 16-man league with a couple of players on a bye.

 

 

Tight Ends

 


Anthony Fasano - Pyro Character

Anthony FasanoThe Buffalo Bills have given up two 100-yard games to tight ends this season and three touchdowns in the last two weeks combined. They haven’t been horrific all season long, but they do allow the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing TEs, so there is definitely an opening for Fasano to do a little damage.

 

Fantasy Call – Though he only had four receptions in two games against the Bills last season, Fasano actually scored a touchdown in each game so it seems he just might have their number. He’s a long-shot, but if you’re desperate, you could do worse.

 


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Scott Chandler - Pyro Character

Scott ChandlerChandler averages just three catches for 38.9 yards a game, numbers that would rank him down near the bottom of the league for tight ends. However, when you start the Bills 6’7” tight end on your fantasy team, it’s not for the yardage; you’re doing so with the hopes that for just one week, his major fantasy strength somehow comes through for you in your time of need—his red-zone ability.

 

Fantasy Call – Unfortunately for Chandler, if the Dolphins have a single strength in their fantasy pass defense this year, it’s keeping tight ends out of the endzone. Last week, Jared Cook used his only catch of the game to score the first tight end touchdown against the Dolphins this season. You should probably look elsewhere for a fill-in TE this week.

 

 

 

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