Week 12
November 20, 2018
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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@heathcummingssr His pace actually shot up after last night too, here it was before last night. https://t.co/qFJHL1KK8u


03:27 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@DBro_FFB The movement of the score was too much not to tweet out haha.


03:10 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @PyroStag: Here is how league-wide offensive pace looks this season compared to every season since 2006, and for fun, before a… https://t.co/kwZDjNHCaX


03:08 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@FantasyRath Wish you well Rath


03:06 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@GoatTalkSports As in top 12 ros? Sure he can be in that conversation, although I'm sure we can find 12wr's I'd rather have in my lineup


03:06 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@Fitz_FF @danharris80 Yahoo is giving you a moment to pretend it didn't happen. https://t.co/62I1rRStqV


03:06 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@Chris133H I've read this four times and have no idea what you are asking


03:04 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


RT @PeoplezPen: Will be trying to get to this as quickly as possible today. Going thru Region by Region, and unveiling the Brackets for the #DWG4 Playoffs


03:03 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @Stat_Ron: I repeat myself - but FOLLOW MOO!!great use of #nflscrapR expected points as always! https://t.co/9cmx9C2PW7


02:54 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


And here is how each team is scoring fantasy points compared to league average at each position (QB, RB, WR, TE, K,… https://t.co/u6YURKWpEY


02:46 PM, Nov 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


The best Radiohead moment I've had in ages. https://t.co/kCjzUfg5PG


05:45 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@Fitz_FF @danharris80 https://t.co/0k9lgdhlhh


05:26 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Good week. In this league, the high scorer for the week wins $200 - the second one of those this season I've pulled… https://t.co/2iJmtqMa7s


05:16 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Vegas made this the 3rd time a game has had an Over/Under of 60 points this millennium - looks like they should re-… https://t.co/YqThVHWeRC


04:44 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Such a sick game... sweet grab by Conely.


02:53 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Such sad news... thinking of you and yours @michael13gallup. https://t.co/XJF9zYDzpy


02:40 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@spidr2ybanana That was an accurate score guess!


12:12 AM, Nov 20, 2018

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Wheeler

@FF_Wheeler


@draftaddict @FFPC I'm in similar situation w Hunt, but only up 1. Letting it ride, I always play my guys.


06:07 PM, Nov 19, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@spidr2ybanana I'm impressed that you managed to start 9 players on bye in #NPLB this week.


02:58 AM, Nov 19, 2018

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Waz

@WazNFL


@MikeMarFF @MaclandJ @FF_TravisM @JohnBoschFF In that case, I am using Venom on Michael Thomas. :)


08:02 PM, Nov 18, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


@FinsBroadcaster The Outsiders C. Thomas Howell.Ralph Macchio. Patrick Swayze.RobLowe.Emilio Estevez.Tom Cruise.Di… https://t.co/NFDHuG2xRE


01:38 PM, Nov 18, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyromaniacmo: Week 11 - Spreading the Lines of Fantasy- using implied point totals and spreads from Vegas to fine tune your… https://t.co/ncSeZPutJ2


08:57 PM, Nov 17, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @pyroman1ac: Spreading the Lines of Fantasy - Week 11 (2018) by @pyromaniacmo https://t.co/9sRMlbEsrL https://t.co/0lVKMLvSny


05:30 PM, Nov 17, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Bring da noise, bring da funk, bring da fantasy goo with Pyromaniac - an FF company with soul https://t.co/Smck1PeJ4t


12:46 AM, Nov 16, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @skullkingfb: Make sure to listen to the latest SkullKing Fantasy Podcast where Ryan goes over the injury outlook for Week 11 as… https://t.co/0BBqb3Xm7v


12:44 AM, Nov 16, 2018

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Mo

@pyromaniacmo


RT @skullkingfb: Check out the latest episode were Ryan covers who you need to grab for your fantasy teams this week!… https://t.co/r4I96ZlLEN


12:44 AM, Nov 16, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @DomiNateFF: Who did you bench on your #FantasyFootball teams in #Week10 that you regret? I’ll start…I played Fitzpatrick over… https://t.co/GZoHOiB8U7


10:54 AM, Nov 12, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @AdvSportsLogic: Before setting those line ups, check out out updated ranks. #FantasyFootball: Week 10 Updated Rankings QB:… https://t.co/oArauvIKdX


10:24 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Pk ripper 🤜💥🤛

@amaze652


RT @FFD260: Ryan Fitzpatrick attempting to throw the lead block down. #Bucs #Redskins #NFL https://t.co/0Te1hbJEWJ


10:16 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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@amaze652


RT @pyromaniacmo: Fantasy Football Narrative street - revenge games - Moncrief vs Colts & D Lewis vs. Pats. Also, Josh Gordon will fa… https://t.co/wsAtfXFglF


04:43 PM, Nov 11, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @pyromaniacmo: Of course. Another @pyroman1ac man, @FF_Wheeler The most accurate #FantasyFootball ranker so far this season! Well… https://t.co/49y6HFnfoV


02:13 PM, Oct 06, 2018

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@pyroman1ac https://t.co/ZiHjlwIXio


03:36 PM, Oct 05, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @evansilva: #Bengals Pass Catchers Update: Tyler Eifert -- Out for year John Ross -- Groin, questionable at best A.J. Green --… https://t.co/LINlheNiFW


04:19 PM, Oct 04, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


@pyroman1ac https://t.co/XRG0konwbt


02:42 PM, Oct 03, 2018

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Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @RotoViz: Dumpster Dives: Deep Waiver Pickups for Week 5 - by @DumpsterDiveFF #FantasyFootball https://t.co/i5xGgc7z40 https://t.co/F6XQEhLn7l


12:42 AM, Oct 03, 2018

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Vegas landscape for week twelve - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 12

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 11/22/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Next, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. In other words, which teams will score points, and which positions have the best chance of leading those teams.


 

Week 12 Vegas Implied Point Total and Detail Chart

 

 

Some of my best memories are watching the Lions on Thanksgiving. The game however, is the conduit. Sure, my DFS picks this year will add to the day’s festivities. However, with the ever tick of time’s clock, I appreciate the good feelings with friends and family. So, relish the good stuff on this day of Thanks. Some may have to look past an opinionated relative, or deal with gridlock and the eternal trials of travel… But look beyond. As time goes on, the experiences of today become tomorrow’s joyous memories. So, happy Thanksgiving, cherish the good goo!

 

 

MIN @ DET(+3) - O/U 44.5

23.75   20.75

Detroit is one of two home underdogs on a Thanksgiving day slate of three. This is the lowest scoring game of the slate according to Vegas. I think Detroit is a very solid bet against the spread, they are getting 3 points and they are home. Last week, Detroit was one of only three teams that surpassed their implied team total seven times this season. Well, they did it again last week. Heck, there have only been two occasions when Detroit failed to score 24 points this entire season. That said, I think Stafford has the highest ceiling of the holiday slate of QBs. Now, one of those two times they did not put up 24 points, was against the Vikings back in Week 4. Stafford has more completions against the Vikings than any other team. Now, they have not allowed a 100 yard WR this season, the Lions score a lot of points by spreading the wealth. Rostering Stafford gives you access to all the potential TDs on the team. The Vikings have allowed the 11th most DraftKings points to opposing gun-slingers the last 3 weeks. Golden Tate is a great cash play. Ironically, Marvin Jones  has been targeted just as much in the last 3 weeks. If Xavier Rhodes is out, I like Jones in GPP. Although, Rhodes was listed as a full practice participant Monday and Tuesday. While I am not a huge fan of the ground game versus the Vikings, Ameer Abdulla did put up 94 yards in their Week #4 meeting. Thus far, that is the most yards suffered to an opposing back by the Vikings.

 

For Minnesota, this game does have shootout potential. Case Keenum could benefit and is in GPP consideration. There will be a lot of people on Theilen after last week’s performance. He should draw a tough matchup in Quandre Diggs. For the Vikings, Stefon Diggs will likely get the Slay ride and is a fade candidate as well. Treadwell has the best matchup against Nevin Lawson but keep in mind Treadwell’s lack of production till now. I like Rudolph in cash. Detroit is notorious for giving it up to TEs and Football Outsiders ranks them 29th in that department this season. In the last 6 weeks, Rudolph is averaging over 7 targets a game.  Of course, the Vikings ground game offers some cash game appeal. I like McKinnon as a pivot off Murray who has been more productive of late. But, this could be a negative script for the Vikings. In which case, they will look to pass, and McKinnon’s role will be vital if they are down.

 

 

LAC @ DAL(+1) - O/U 48

24.5     23.5

The highest scoring game of the slate; this would be the one to game stack. The Chargers are also road favorites and Rivers will make a nice cash option for QBs. Keenan Allen will likely be the highest owned WR. You could look to get leverage against the field by fading him in GPP. He is a great cash game option. I like Hunter Henry as well. Dallas will still be without Lee, the heart of their defense. Mike Williams has the second most Charger targets for a WR in the last three weeks. He is a high draft pick the organization would like to see get going, especially around the red zone. Gordon is sure to be the highest owned RB and for good reason.  A solid cash play. He is 4th for red zone attempts. Ekeler really did not get any work until the 2nd half last week, so I am not as scared off. I do like Ekeler in GPP as well. I even stacked them last week. This is an option as this game has the best potential for a shootout.

 

While Prescott while likely see depressed ownership, a bounce-back performance could be possible and would give you leverage off a field likely on mainly one or two other QBs. The last three weeks, the Chargers have given up the 7th most rushing yards to QBs. Of course, in that span, they have allowed the 2nd most draft Kings points to opposing RBs. Alf is one of the few healthy Dallas back and could be in for a haul of carries. Rod Smith went from getting 6 targets two weeks ago, to 0 last week in a game that required a passing script from the Cowboys. His role is anything but solidified. Witten is a great option, I could see him shining in the national spotlight. Dez is so volatile, love his ceiling potential in GPP, but I will not be overweight on him by any means. As always with short slates, in tournaments, you will need a low-cost guy to put up some numbers. That could be Terrance Williams who actually has more yards than Dez in the last three games.

 

 

NYG @ WAS (-7.5) - O/U 45

18.75   26.25

Starting with the Giants, the only one I see exposure to would be Engram of course. He is 6th in DraftKings points in the last 3 games. He makes up the whole team, especially if Shepard is out, who very well could be. He has not practiced all week. Darkwa looked solid last week. However, will they be able to stay within a neutral game script? If not, his usage comes into question. Also, his health, the man has been limited in practice so far this week.

As for Washington, Cousins is sure to be the highest owned cash QB. Samaje Perine was 6th in DraftKings points last week. Vegas is certainly telling us he should get the usage again as the Redskins have the highest spread of the slate at 7.5, and the home field advantage. Pryor is out of the passing game now, as is Chris Thompson. This should open up some room for fantasy production, but from whom? My money is on Crowder. He leads the team in targets for the last 5 weeks. While I like Crowder’s floor, Doctson has the ceiling and could be a nice GPP play if Cousins goes off. In larger tournaments, when you are looking for a cheap WR to stack with cousins, Ryan Grant could be your guy. He had his best DraftKings day last week with 14.9 points.

 

 

Starting in Week 7, I started tossing out picks. My record thus far:

 

Straight bets Against the Spread: 6-3-2

 

For Week 12:

            DET (+3)

            BUF(+10)

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

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Tons of movement this week so pay extra attention to our Week 11 of Pyromaniac Mo's Vegas Piece and how Vegas spreads can help you with fantasy football and DFS selections for players on teams that are likely to score the most points. Check it out!