Week 3
September 19, 2018
Articles
Newsfeeds
SHARE

Pyro® Twitterfeed

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@CTowersCBS Yeah, also the scheme has changed in order to keep him healthy, short quick throws. I wonder what perce… https://t.co/W5eM8jpRFt


04:50 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@CTowersCBS Fair enough, I will look more into it, but it is definitely affecting his fantasy viability. Thanks.


04:48 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@CTowersCBS Hmmm I guess I don't know the average and range of completion percentage on those throws.


04:45 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


@CTowersCBS This is sort of surprising to me after reviewing the air yards data which has him at a 71% completion p… https://t.co/DaX0vjfsND


04:39 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Qmwftfwy_normal

Anthony staggs

@PyroStag


RT @benbbaldwin: Here's @SeanFromSeabeck on the Seahawks and doubling down on ignoring what we can learn from the data (on… https://t.co/sWFFw1ehol


04:35 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Anthony Staggs other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PeoplezPen: Week 2 Totals #NFL Passing Yards: 8,915 Passing Attempts: 1,173 Completions: 814 Percentage: 69.4% YPA: 7.60 Rush… https://t.co/4oV1UVdFUu


04:09 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: Here is the 2018 breakout of receiving yards allowed by position for each defense so far. #PartyFFavors https://t.co/OI45XqabUX


04:07 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @PyroStag: Big props to @FF_Wheeler who has started off the season as the #2 overall ranker on the season, keep it up dude! https://t.co/pcJDKFBeIp


03:12 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


RT @FantasyPros: Week 2 expert accuracy results are up. 1) @ScoutFantasy 2) @mrhill9169 3) @scott_pianowski 4) @RotoSuperstar 5)… https://t.co/nosxyYaGNh


03:11 PM, Sep 19, 2018

0

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Sxfrtkuc_normal

Pyromaniac.com

@pyroman1ac


Dan Bailey is now on the Vikings... pick him up as your kicker. Great player that purposefully landed in the perfect situation.


04:05 AM, Sep 19, 2018

11

See Pyromaniac.com other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Golladay is 4th in air yards behind Julio, Hopkins, and Antonio Brown


01:19 AM, Sep 19, 2018

12

See Mo other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@JohnBoschFF Definitely more fun this way!


04:21 PM, Sep 18, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@JohnBoschFF Definitely more fun this way!


04:21 PM, Sep 18, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


I know Kelce owners are nervous. But I am buying. Yes Mahomie has not had a track record of using TEs, but thru 2 w… https://t.co/uGv07pczB7


01:25 AM, Sep 18, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Kenny Golladay getting 21% of his team's target share and 1 of onely 4 WRs who have over 300 air yards through 2 ga… https://t.co/xielDMw1tf


01:22 AM, Sep 18, 2018

0

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


Chris Thompson and James White, both in the top 4 for air yards for RBs. Plus, they are 2 of just 5 backs getting a… https://t.co/gNseZ3WFBp


01:19 AM, Sep 18, 2018

4

See Mo other Tweets

Lw5fkocm_normal

Mo

@pyromaniacmo


@PaulCrane7 Do yourself a favor and check this podcast out!


12:42 AM, Sep 18, 2018

1

See Mo other Tweets

Dnuhxpuuwae5xyn

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JABergman: As we all expected through two weeks... https://t.co/aBm1aBpyBk


08:00 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Dnuhxpuuwae5xyn

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JABergman: As we all expected through two weeks... https://t.co/aBm1aBpyBk


08:00 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JustinFreeman18: Case Keenum: good without Fisher Nick Foles: good without Fisher Jared Goff: good without Fisher Todd Gurley: good… https://t.co/5L9QQ0YAz0


07:52 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @JustinFreeman18: Case Keenum: good without Fisher Nick Foles: good without Fisher Jared Goff: good without Fisher Todd Gurley: good… https://t.co/5L9QQ0YAz0


07:52 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @PlayDraft: Eli Manning could learn something from Vontae Davis here at halftime.


12:16 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @PlayDraft: Eli Manning could learn something from Vontae Davis here at halftime.


12:16 PM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @MikeClayNFL: Imagine knowing a month and a half ago that a 49ers back would be leading the NFL in rushing, a Bronco and Steeler… https://t.co/Y8RVTbRBDV


02:50 AM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @MikeClayNFL: Imagine knowing a month and a half ago that a 49ers back would be leading the NFL in rushing, a Bronco and Steeler… https://t.co/Y8RVTbRBDV


02:50 AM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @Pat_Thorman: On 11 carries, Matt Brieda averaged 7.5 rushing yards before initial contact. On 31 carries, Derrick Henry and Dio… https://t.co/KyGsUNu9G6


01:15 AM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Splxltwd_normal

Brad holmes

@bradholmes17


RT @Pat_Thorman: On 11 carries, Matt Brieda averaged 7.5 rushing yards before initial contact. On 31 carries, Derrick Henry and Dio… https://t.co/KyGsUNu9G6


01:15 AM, Sep 17, 2018

0

See Brad Holmes other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka desculpa. eu nao falo ptg mto bom. hahaha. But yeah, as I said, starting RBs this deep, it really comes… https://t.co/FRY2vNyAka


04:23 PM, Sep 16, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka desculpa. eu nao falo ptg mto bom. hahaha. But yeah, as I said, starting RBs this deep, it really comes… https://t.co/FRY2vNyAka


04:23 PM, Sep 16, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@FFDynastyDan Only grabbed him in three. Kind of digging his matchup this week. Thanks for caring though! <3


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@FFDynastyDan Only grabbed him in three. Kind of digging his matchup this week. Thanks for caring though! <3


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka Oi Rafael! Td bem? If it's between the two, I'd give Hines the start. Although, I do like Mack this week… https://t.co/2TSib92IeZ


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@rafanaka Oi Rafael! Td bem? If it's between the two, I'd give Hines the start. Although, I do like Mack this week… https://t.co/2TSib92IeZ


04:17 PM, Sep 16, 2018

1

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@EdRod03 She always called me a wizard.


12:00 AM, Sep 15, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Ukwcolve_normal

Waz

@WazNFL


@EdRod03 She always called me a wizard.


12:00 AM, Sep 15, 2018

0

See Waz other Tweets

Vegas landscape for week twelve - vegas implied point total

Vegas Vantage Point for Week 12

Posted by PyromaniacMo on 11/22/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

SHARE ON

This weekly piece is intended to shed light on two primary factors that can weigh heavily upon your fantasy football decision making. Basically, we want to use Vegas in a helpful, predictive way. The first advantage to be gained exposes teams that are likely to be amongst the highest scoring of the week. Next, we want to prognosticate even further and decide which positions, on those teams, will get the most opportunity to score. In other words, which teams will score points, and which positions have the best chance of leading those teams.


 

Week 12 Vegas Implied Point Total and Detail Chart

 

 

Some of my best memories are watching the Lions on Thanksgiving. The game however, is the conduit. Sure, my DFS picks this year will add to the day’s festivities. However, with the ever tick of time’s clock, I appreciate the good feelings with friends and family. So, relish the good stuff on this day of Thanks. Some may have to look past an opinionated relative, or deal with gridlock and the eternal trials of travel… But look beyond. As time goes on, the experiences of today become tomorrow’s joyous memories. So, happy Thanksgiving, cherish the good goo!

 

 

MIN @ DET(+3) - O/U 44.5

23.75   20.75

Detroit is one of two home underdogs on a Thanksgiving day slate of three. This is the lowest scoring game of the slate according to Vegas. I think Detroit is a very solid bet against the spread, they are getting 3 points and they are home. Last week, Detroit was one of only three teams that surpassed their implied team total seven times this season. Well, they did it again last week. Heck, there have only been two occasions when Detroit failed to score 24 points this entire season. That said, I think Stafford has the highest ceiling of the holiday slate of QBs. Now, one of those two times they did not put up 24 points, was against the Vikings back in Week 4. Stafford has more completions against the Vikings than any other team. Now, they have not allowed a 100 yard WR this season, the Lions score a lot of points by spreading the wealth. Rostering Stafford gives you access to all the potential TDs on the team. The Vikings have allowed the 11th most DraftKings points to opposing gun-slingers the last 3 weeks. Golden Tate is a great cash play. Ironically, Marvin Jones  has been targeted just as much in the last 3 weeks. If Xavier Rhodes is out, I like Jones in GPP. Although, Rhodes was listed as a full practice participant Monday and Tuesday. While I am not a huge fan of the ground game versus the Vikings, Ameer Abdulla did put up 94 yards in their Week #4 meeting. Thus far, that is the most yards suffered to an opposing back by the Vikings.

 

For Minnesota, this game does have shootout potential. Case Keenum could benefit and is in GPP consideration. There will be a lot of people on Theilen after last week’s performance. He should draw a tough matchup in Quandre Diggs. For the Vikings, Stefon Diggs will likely get the Slay ride and is a fade candidate as well. Treadwell has the best matchup against Nevin Lawson but keep in mind Treadwell’s lack of production till now. I like Rudolph in cash. Detroit is notorious for giving it up to TEs and Football Outsiders ranks them 29th in that department this season. In the last 6 weeks, Rudolph is averaging over 7 targets a game.  Of course, the Vikings ground game offers some cash game appeal. I like McKinnon as a pivot off Murray who has been more productive of late. But, this could be a negative script for the Vikings. In which case, they will look to pass, and McKinnon’s role will be vital if they are down.

 

 

LAC @ DAL(+1) - O/U 48

24.5     23.5

The highest scoring game of the slate; this would be the one to game stack. The Chargers are also road favorites and Rivers will make a nice cash option for QBs. Keenan Allen will likely be the highest owned WR. You could look to get leverage against the field by fading him in GPP. He is a great cash game option. I like Hunter Henry as well. Dallas will still be without Lee, the heart of their defense. Mike Williams has the second most Charger targets for a WR in the last three weeks. He is a high draft pick the organization would like to see get going, especially around the red zone. Gordon is sure to be the highest owned RB and for good reason.  A solid cash play. He is 4th for red zone attempts. Ekeler really did not get any work until the 2nd half last week, so I am not as scared off. I do like Ekeler in GPP as well. I even stacked them last week. This is an option as this game has the best potential for a shootout.

 

While Prescott while likely see depressed ownership, a bounce-back performance could be possible and would give you leverage off a field likely on mainly one or two other QBs. The last three weeks, the Chargers have given up the 7th most rushing yards to QBs. Of course, in that span, they have allowed the 2nd most draft Kings points to opposing RBs. Alf is one of the few healthy Dallas back and could be in for a haul of carries. Rod Smith went from getting 6 targets two weeks ago, to 0 last week in a game that required a passing script from the Cowboys. His role is anything but solidified. Witten is a great option, I could see him shining in the national spotlight. Dez is so volatile, love his ceiling potential in GPP, but I will not be overweight on him by any means. As always with short slates, in tournaments, you will need a low-cost guy to put up some numbers. That could be Terrance Williams who actually has more yards than Dez in the last three games.

 

 

NYG @ WAS (-7.5) - O/U 45

18.75   26.25

Starting with the Giants, the only one I see exposure to would be Engram of course. He is 6th in DraftKings points in the last 3 games. He makes up the whole team, especially if Shepard is out, who very well could be. He has not practiced all week. Darkwa looked solid last week. However, will they be able to stay within a neutral game script? If not, his usage comes into question. Also, his health, the man has been limited in practice so far this week.

As for Washington, Cousins is sure to be the highest owned cash QB. Samaje Perine was 6th in DraftKings points last week. Vegas is certainly telling us he should get the usage again as the Redskins have the highest spread of the slate at 7.5, and the home field advantage. Pryor is out of the passing game now, as is Chris Thompson. This should open up some room for fantasy production, but from whom? My money is on Crowder. He leads the team in targets for the last 5 weeks. While I like Crowder’s floor, Doctson has the ceiling and could be a nice GPP play if Cousins goes off. In larger tournaments, when you are looking for a cheap WR to stack with cousins, Ryan Grant could be your guy. He had his best DraftKings day last week with 14.9 points.

 

 

Starting in Week 7, I started tossing out picks. My record thus far:

 

Straight bets Against the Spread: 6-3-2

 

For Week 12:

            DET (+3)

            BUF(+10)

 

 

 

 

 

PyromaniacMo with a Founder's

 

By: PyromaniacMo

 

Subscribe to the Pyro Podcast: http://iTunes.com/Podcasts/PyroPodcast

Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/pyromaniac 

Follow us on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/pyroman1ac

Become a Pyro Pro: http://bit.ly/1K5Af4R

Tons of movement this week so pay extra attention to our Week 11 of Pyromaniac Mo's Vegas Piece and how Vegas spreads can help you with fantasy football and DFS selections for players on teams that are likely to score the most points. Check it out!