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February 25, 2018
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Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate


On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.


02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.sharpfootballanalysis.com


James White

New England Patriots

Pass Catching Backs Set To Dominate


On first downs this year, the Eagles allow a 65% success rate on RB-passes. That ranks 29th in the league. Dion Lewis averaged 6.5 YPA and a 59% success rate, and James White averaged 7.7 YPA and a 58% success rate on first down passes this season.


02/04/18, 10:36 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.sharpfootballanalysis.com

Philadelphia Eagles

Attack With 11


The Patriots defense is particularly susceptible to runs out of 11 personnel (1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WRs), allowing a 61% success rate and 6.0 YPC to offenses when rushing from this formation. The Eagles are one of the most run heavy teams from 11 personnel, recording nearly 60% of their total rushes from 11 formation. The Patriots haven’t faced teams like this often, the teams the Pats faced in the playoffs, Tennessee and Jacksonville were last and 5th lowest respectively rushing from 11 formation. This is a massive advantage for the Eagles if they recognize it and use it.


02/04/18, 10:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.sharpfootballanalysis.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

To The Left, To The Left


New England started the season off with one of the worst rush defenses in the entire league, but things have really shifted over the second half of the year. Prior to their Week 9 bye, the Patriots had allowed a 44.70% Success Rate to opposing running backs, the third-worst in the league. That's dropped to about 38% since, and they've had the fifth-best rush defense by Success Rate since Week 12. New England's especially been good at stopping runs to the left side of the field, which just so happens to be where Jay Ajayi has really made a mark since joining the Eagles in Week 9.
I don’t look for Ajayi to make his mark in this game. I know it’s a lazy narrative, but a Blount revenge game seems to really be in the cards here.


02/04/18, 10:30 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.numberfire.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Pats Could Hit'em Where It Ertz


Zach Ertz leads the Eagles in targets (39) with Foles under center, drawing at least eight in three of their four full games together. Keyed by FS Devin McCourty and SS Patrick Chung, the Pats allowed the NFL’s tenth-fewest receiving yards to tight ends (720) this season, only four opposing tight ends have reached 50 yards through 18 Patriots games.
If Foles continues to pepper Ertz with targets we could see a big game for Chung or McCourty.


02/04/18, 10:25 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Nelson Agholor

Philadelphia Eagles

Plenty Of Fluids


The Eagles’ biggest pass-catcher personnel mismatch is Nelson Agholor against Patriots slot corner Eric Rowe. Rowe can struggle with quick change of direction, Agholor’s foremost strength. Agholor runs 87% of his routes in the slot, and New England allowed solid games to Eric Decker (6/85/0) in the Divisional Round, and Allen Hurns (6/80/0) in the AFC title game. Agholor still ranks second behind Ertz in Foles targets (29), but has had a surprisingly quiet playoffs with just 7 targets.
This will have to change if the Eagles plan on moving the ball, but Agholor has been sick with the flu for the past few days. He received intravenous fluids Saturday and will play, but it doesn’t sound like he’ll be 100%.


02/04/18, 10:22 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Danny Amendola

New England Patriots

Danny Playoffs


The Eagles finished second worst this season in percentage of passing yards allowed coming after the catch. Philadelphia struggled on short and intermediate throws this season, specifically to the middle of the field, where they allowed the third-most yards per passing play in the league. Brady was a top-five player in passer rating on these types of tosses. Amendola's been a monster in this year's playoffs for New England, grabbing hold of 22 targets in just two contests, accounting for over 24% of New England's targets. He should continue to play a role on Super Bowl Sunday.


02/04/18, 10:20 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.numberfire.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

Rex Back


Despite being listed as questionable for Sunday’s AFC Championship game vs. Jaguars, it appears as though Patriots’ RB Rex Burkhead will play.
This will cut into the 13 targets Amendola saw last week.


01/20/18, 10:49 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Adam Thielen

Minnesota Vikings

Making The Wright Move?


Adam Thielen (back) is questionable for Sunday's NFC Championship game against the Eagles.
He's fully expected to play after limited practices the last two days. He probably won’t be 100 percent so if you’re putting in a line-up you might want to pivot to Diggs or save some money and drop down to Jarius Wright who grabbed three-of-six targets for 56 yards Sunday and has established himself as the number three WR in this offense.


01/20/18, 10:31 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Leonard Fournette

Jacksonville Jaguars

Ankle In Question Again


Fournette aggravated his ankle in the Divisional Round and was limited early in the week. He was left off the injury report for Sunday's AFC Championship game. Fournette saw a heavy workload last week getting 27 touches in Jacksonville's upset of the Steelers. T.J. Yeldon rushed five times for 20 yards and a touchdown and caught 3-of-3 targets for 57 yards. If you’re looking for a cheaper option I expect we see Yeldon to be used to keep Fournette from aggravating the injury early.


01/20/18, 10:23 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Give Him A Hand


Reports are that Tom Brady threw the ball "incredibly well" during Friday's practice. He is listed as questionable for Sunday's AFC Championship game against Jacksonville, but I don’t think there was any real doubt that he’d play. Keep in mind what D-Rex spoke about on the Pyro Podcast 303 andScott Barrett tweeted about Brady last week:
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating
The hand injury on top of his achilles injury, as well as going against the Jags #1 rated pass defense could keep the Patriots attack grounded this week. Lewis is the obvious play, but if Burkhead (Q) comes back it could be he or White that steals the show.


01/20/18, 10:22 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Week 9 Fantasy Football Player Rankings - Running Backs

Week 9 Fantasy Football Player Rankings - Running Backs

Posted by Dawgmaticå on 10/31/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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2012 Week 9 Fantasy Football Rankings - Running Backs

 

 

 

Running Back Player Rankings – Week 9

 

 

Bye Week Teams


New England Patriots, New York Jets, San Francisco 49ers, St. Louis Rams

 

 

 

QB Rankings  WR Rankings  TE Rankings

 

 

Running Backs                 (Updated:  Friday, Nov. 2 - 5:17PM CT)

 

Arian Foster - Pyro Character

1.           Arian Foster (vs. Buf) – With fresh legs coming out of a bye, Arian Foster owners couldn’t have asked for a dreamier fantasy matchup than this one. Just prior to the break, Foster was slowing down a bit averaging just 19 touches a game over the last two weeks. Now that he’s ready for the stretch run, I expect his usage to be back up closer to the 28.4 touches he was averaging through the first five games. What Foster will be able to do with 30 touches against this Bills defense, only the fantasy gods know. Through the halfway point of the season, not only do the Bills allow the most fantasy points per game to running backs, but they’ve also allowed the most rushing touchdowns (13), most rushing yards per game (176.9) and most yards per carry (6.0). With Foster putting up at least one touchdown in every game this season and 10 total on the year, don’t be surprised to see that number rise to 13… maybe even 14 by the end of this game.


LeSean McCoy - Pyro Character

2.           LeSean McCoy (at NO, Monday night) – If Arian Foster is sitting pretty with the dream matchup of the week, then Shady McCoy is at least sleeping in the bunk-bed below him. We all know LeSean hasn’t been the fantasy stud he was drafted to be this year, but on Monday night against the New Orleans Saints; owners will finally see the running back they were hoping for. Every main ball-carrier New Orleans has faced this year scored at least one touchdown against them—except for the Packers’ Cedric Benson, that is, and the only reason he didn’t was because Rodgers decided to keep all four touchdowns to himself. McCoy should see at least 25 touches in this game for a couple of reasons. First, if Michael Vick wants to win this game and keep his job, he’ll have to stop turning the ball over and get it into his best player’s hands. Second—and I hope the Eagles coaching staff knows this—is because in each of the Eagles three wins, McCoy got 25-plus touches in the game and in each of their three losses, he didn’t. Plain and simple. Two TDs and 175 total yards could be in order here.


Ray Rice - Pyro Character

3.           Ray Rice (at Cle) – The Ravens are a completely different team with their defense as banged up as it is, which might actually play into Ray Rice’s hands. If I were on the Ravens coaching staff right now, I would vehemently suggest more of a ball-control offense from here on out as opposed to the up-tempo style they were playing so they can keep their weakened defense off the field and from what I’ve read recently, it looks like they agree. Rice didn’t have the greatest game against the Browns earlier this season, but he normally loves playing them as he’s averaged nearly 100 rushing yards in nine career games against them, including his only 200-yard rushing performance just last year in Cleveland. If Baltimore can get him around 25 touches this week like they should, look for Rice to put up some of his best fantasy stats on the season.


Ryan Mathews - Pyro Character

4.           Ryan Mathews (vs. KC, Thursday night) – This fumbling problem of his simply won’t go away, but at least the Chargers aren’t messing around and taking him out of their lineup anymore as they’ve come out to admit that they need Ryan Mathews to be successful in order for their team to be successful. The guy is simply the most athletic player on the team and needs to have the ball in his hands to make things happen, which is why they’ve given him 26 touches in each of the last two games. The Cleveland Browns were able to contain him last week holding him to just 104 yards on those 26 touches, but the Chiefs won’t be able to do the same. Considering they allow the sixth-most yards per rush this season (4.6 YPC) along with the seventh-most fantasy points per game, Mathews should be in for a real nice fantasy day tonight.  FINAL STATISTICS:  13 carries - 67 yards - 0 TDs  //  2 recs - 5 yards - 0 TDs 


Marshawn Lynch - Pyro Character

5.           Marshawn Lynch (vs. Min) – Lynch has four 100-yard games on the season yet surprisingly, only one of them came at home. I mention this because last year he had six 100-yard games with only one of them coming on the road. Basically, Marshawn is due for another home 100-yarder; and its coming this week. The Vikings didn’t allow a single RB to put up double-digit fantasy points against them through the first five weeks of the season. However, Minnesota has allowed one in each of their last three games with all of them putting up at least one rushing touchdown and the last two going up over 100 yards as well. Lynch should be fed like crazy in this game which almost assuredly means RB1 fantasy numbers.


Willis McGahee - Pyro Character

6.           Willis McGahee (at Cin) – I think McGahee kind of likes this Peyton Manning-led offensive system. He’s currently ninth in the league in fantasy points per game, tenth in rushing yards and tied for eighth in rushing TDs, so what’s not to like. Some games have been better than others, but I fully expect this to be one of his better ones going up against a Cincinnati defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points per game and second-most rushing touchdowns in the league. Willis put up 101 yards and a TD against the Bengals last season, so with the Denver offense clicking the way it has been lately, there’s no reason not to expect the same this time around.


Alfred Morris - Pyro Character

7.           Alfred Morris (vs. Car) – Alfred Morris has put up double-digit fantasy points in six of the Redskins eight games this season and I have no doubt that he’ll make it a seventh this week. The kid also has five rushing TDs, which is tied for second in the league behind Arian Foster. Basically, The Butler is the real deal, folks, and there doesn’t seem to be a need to worry about him being in a Shanahan offense either.  This weekend he’ll be up against a Panthers rush D that was one of the worst in the league for a while there, but have somehow turned it around and done pretty well in their last few games. That being said, their focus will be mainly on Robert Griffin III this Sunday, so there should be plenty of open holes for Morris to barrel through and rack up the rushing yards.


Matt Forte - Pyro Character

8.           Matt Forte (at Ten) – Tennessee’s main problem with opposing running backs isn’t so much in defending the rush, but more so against multi-dimensional RBs that can do just as much damage through the air as they can on the ground. In fact, the Titans D has allowed the most receiving yards, most receiving touchdowns and second-most receptions to running backs this season. Basically, the things that the Titans are the worst at are the same things that Matt Forte happens to be best at. Because the Tennessee offense can actually be pretty lethal at times, the Bears will want to control the clock as well, so look for Forte to get a healthy amount of work this weekend en route to a low-end RB1 fantasy day. In PPR leagues, go ahead and change that “low-end” designation to “high-end”.


Adrian Peterson - Pyro Character

9.           Adrian Peterson (at Sea) – Who in their right mind would have said that Adrian Peterson would be leading the league in rushing yards after eight weeks of the season? Nobody, that’s who; but that doesn’t mean there weren’t plenty of fantasy owners out there willing to take the chance on him early in their drafts and to them I would just like to say; congratulations, you’ve earned the rewards that have been delivered to you.  Last week against Tampa Bay was the first time all season that AP wasn’t given 20-plus touches in a game and quite frankly, it showed in the Vikings boxscore (36-17 loss at home). This Sunday, the Vikes travel to Seattle to take on a tough-as-nails Seahawks rush D, but Peterson has been well-rested enough this past week to take on a full load and will undoubtedly be out to prove he’s still the baddest man in the NFL. In a classic brawn-vs.-brawn matchup, it will be interesting to see which monster comes out on top; Purple Jesus or Fugly Skittles. 


Trent Richardson - Pyro Character

10.       Trent Richardson (vs. Bal) – It turns out the scare fantasy owners had when Richardson exited the Indy game two weeks ago after re-injuring his ribs was really nothing at all. Obviously he was just fine after watching him run for 122 yards and a touchdown against a Chargers defense last week that hadn’t allowed a 100-yard rusher since Week 12 of last season. This Sunday, he takes on a decimated Baltimore D for the second time this season. Back in Week 4, Trent put up 104 total yards and a touchdown against them but that was WITH all of their defensive studs still healthy, so I’m expecting a much better turn-out this time around. There are a lot of classic matchups this weekend and I have no doubt that this one between Trent and Ray Rice will become one of the best over the next few years. 



Running Backs 11-50


11.       Reggie Bush (at Ind)


12.       Jamaal Charles (at SD, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  12 carries - 39 yards - 0 TDs  //  3 recs - 27 yards - 0 TDs 


13.       Darren McFadden (vs. TB)


14.       Doug Martin (at Oak)


15.       Pierre Thomas (vs. Phi, Monday night)


16.       Rashad Jennings (vs. Det)


17.       Mikel Leshoure (at Jax)


18.       Fred Jackson (at Hou)


19.       Ahmad Bradshaw (vs. Pit)


20.       C.J. Spiller (at Hou)


21.       Isaac Redman (at NYG)


22.       Jonathan Stewart (at Was)


23.       Michael Turner (vs. Dal, Sunday night)


24.       BenJarvus Green-Ellis (vs. Den)


25.       Chris Johnson (vs. Chi)


26.       Felix Jones (at Atl, Sunday night)


27.       LaRod Stephens-Howling (at GB)


28.       Ronnie Hillman (at Cin)


29.       Daniel Thomas (at Ind)


30.       Donald Brown (vs. Mia)


31.       Alex Green (vs. Ari)


32.       Joique Bell (at Jax)


33.       Michael Bush (at Ten)


34.       Vick Ballard (vs. Mia)


35.       Andre Brown (vs. Pit)


36.       Jacquizz Rodgers (vs. Dal, Sunday night)


37.       Phillip Tanner (at Atl, Sunday night)


38.       DeAngelo Williams (at Was)


39.       Ronnie Brown (vs. KC, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  6 carries - 38 yards - 0 TDs  //  5 recs - 35 yards - 0 TDs 


40.       Justin Forsett (vs. Buf)


41.       Chris Rainey (at NYG)


42.       Mark Ingram (vs. Phi, Monday night)


43.       Bryce Brown (at NO, Monday night)


44.       Bernard Pierce (at Cle)


45.       Brian Leonard (vs. Den)


46.       James Starks (vs. Ari)


47.       Baron Batch (at NYG)


48.       Peyton Hillis (at SD, Thursday night) – FINAL STATISTICS:  7 carries - 14 yards - 0 TDs  //  1 rec - 7 yards - 0 TDs


49.       Montario Hardesty (vs. Bal)


50.       Mike Goodson (vs. TB)

 

 

 

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