Week 20
January 19, 2018
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Tom Brady

New England Patriots

Tom Still Terrific?


Tom Brady was first listed on the team's injury report with an Achilles injury heading in to Week 11.
Weeks 1-10: 21.2 fantasy points per game, 110.9 passer rating
Weeks 11-17: 14.2 fantasy points per game, 87.3 passer rating

Fantasy Goo: This should line up for a good week for Brady, Tennessee is 8th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, but just below average against QB’s. The Patriots are 13 point favorites on Saturday Night, if Brady doesn’t do it at home in prime-time then something is wrong.


01/09/18, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Primary Role Shifting


Saints have run 5 times at/inside opponent's 5-yard line over last 4 weeks (including playoffs):
Alvin Kamara 3 carries, Zach Line 1, Mark Ingram 1. Kamara was in on all 3 Saints run plays at/inside 5 vs. Panthers last week, including Line's 1-yard TD run.

Fantasy Goo: If you’re trying to decide between Kamara and Ingram for the playoff run, Kamara looks to be the much better play.


01/09/18, 07:20 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jay Ajayi

Philadelphia Eagles

It's A Trap


Jay Ajayi (knee) is practicing in full for the Divisional Round.

Fantasy Goo: Atlanta is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s this year and they are more susceptible to pass-catching backs. Todd Gurley rushed 14 times for 101 yards in the Rams' Wild Card loss to the Falcons, adding four receptions for 10 additional yards. Ajayi might have been drafted before Gurley this year, but that was clearly a mistake. Ajayi has talent, but he’s far from a good option this week.


01/09/18, 07:16 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Back in Action


Chris Hogan (shoulder) is expected to return for Saturday's Divisional Round game against the Titans.

Fantasy Goo: He’s going to take a couple of weeks to get in tune with the offense, I’m looking to save him until the Super Bowl if you’re in one of those one and done fantasy playoff tournaments.


01/09/18, 07:14 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Drew Brees

New Orleans Saints

Strength vs Strength


Saints RBs led NFL during regular season in receptions (9.0) and receiving yards (77.8) per game.
Vikings held opposing RBs to fewest yards per target (4.2) and 3rd-fewest yards per game (30.6).

Fantasy Goo: The Vikings have been absolutely sick in all aspects on defense this year. If the Saints are going to pull this one out it sounds like it’s going to have to be a Brees week, I’m not so sure he’s going to be the guy you want to start on the road this week.


01/09/18, 07:12 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


LeSean McCoy

Buffalo Bills

Not The Real McCoy


LeSean McCoy said if he plays Sunday, "I want to be able to cut well enough to where I don't have a lot of pain cutting. I just want to be close, or the best as far as 100 percent as I can get. The type of game like this, you got to lay it all on the line.”

Fantasy Goo: McCoy is a poor play against the Jags this week. The Jags strength on defense is against the pass (#1 in FP allowed), but they are still strong against the rush (11th). I’m not taking any Bills on fantasy playoff squads or in DFS this week.


01/04/18, 09:29 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Arrow Pointing Down


DeMarco Murray (knee) didn't practice again Thursday. Derrick Henry show ready to go.

Fantasy Goo: The way to attack KC is through the air, they rank 9th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. They will most likely be in negative game script. KC hasn’t allowed any team to score over 20 points in Arrowhead all year.


01/04/18, 09:27 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Julio Jones

Atlanta Falcons

No Fly Zone


Julio Jones finished 11th in NFL in red-zone targets but caught only 5 of 19. He finished 4th in targets inside 10 but only caught 4 of 11.

Fantasy Goo: The Rams have a strong pass defense, especially against outside receivers, but are second worst in fantasy points allowed to RB’s. Freeman and Coleman are the only Falcons I am considering this week.


01/04/18, 09:25 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Kenny Golladay

Detroit Lions

Under the Radar


In the first game with TJ Jones (shoulder) on IR last week, Kenny Golladay played 95% of snaps and led DET WRs with 8 targets.

Fantasy Goo: Marvin Jones has a history of shredding the Packers defense and is a solid play at $6500 on DK, but Golladay is half the price ($3300) and will probably see a similar number of targets. If Detroit had something to play for I’d be stacking the heck out of this game, but I still think it’s smart to have one of these guys in the line-up this week.


12/31/17, 09:46 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs

Rookie Debut


Patrick Mahomes was 2nd in PFF’s QB Rating when kept clean in preseason. He rushed for 744 yards, 22 TDs in his last two years at Texas Tech. Denver has allowed multiple passing TDs to six-straight QBs not named Petty or Brissett.

Fantasy Goo: The rookie was supposed to take over for Alex Smith much earlier this season, but Smith and the Chief’s came out firing on all cylinders and kept the rookie on the bench. Mahomes will get his chance this week as Smith gets a week off before the playoffs. Denver may be packing it in, but they still have one of the best defenses and I expect they will play more inspired this week against a division rival.


12/31/17, 09:32 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Wayne Gallman

New York Giants

Last Man Standing


Giants will be without Shepard (neck), Engram (ribs), and King (concussion) vs. WAS. Wayne Gallman has 9, 7, 8 target counts in last three weeks.

Fantasy Goo: Washington ranks 24th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s and Gallman is $4200 on DK. Feels like a great way to save and pay up at other positions.


12/31/17, 09:21 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alex Collins

Baltimore Ravens

Burfict Situation


Bengals LB Vontaze Burfict ruled out for game Sunday at Baltimore because of shoulder injury.

Fantasy Goo: Collins becomes a solid RB1 this week. Cincinnati’s run defense is a sieve with Burfict out.


12/31/17, 09:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Akeem Hunt

Houston Texans

Akeem No Dream


Charcandrick West is out Sunday vs Denver with an illness. Akeem Hunt and Kareem Hunt only RBs on active roster for KC. It would be a surprise to see Kareem play much. That means a ton of Akeem Hunt and likely some De'Anthony Thomas on passing downs.

Fantasy Goo: Akeem is min price ($3000) on DK so the definition of a free-square, but there’s a reason he’s bounced around the NFL and never earned a starting role. Denver is 5th in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, I’m not rostering Akeem when there are so many other options this week.


12/31/17, 09:17 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeAndre Hopkins

Houston Texans

Milestone Not Worth The Risk


Bill O'Brien on DeAndre Hopkins' status: 'Probably won't know up until game time'. Typically, we might classify this as coach-speak, but Hopkins has never missed a game, and is four catches away from 100 for the season. He's probably pushing hard to play.

Fantasy Goo: This is an awesome match-up for the Houston WR’s going against a very weak Indy pass defense, but there is really no reason for Hopkins to play, especially with the calf injury. At $8400 on DK he’s just way too pricey given this news. A sneaky start might be Will Fuller at $4300, he has 5 targets in each of the past three games and is coming off some difficult match-ups. Earlier in the season he was a superstar with Watson throwing the ball, but he has always had the big play in his arsenal no matter who the QB is.


12/29/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Dion Lewis

New England Patriots

Vultures Are Always Flying


James White (ankle) remained limited at Thursday's practice. White was absent for last week's win over Buffalo but should be out there against the Jets in Week 17. He ranks eighth among running backs with 56 catches this year.

Fantasy Goo: Lewis dominated last week with White and Burkhead out, even though Gillislee vultured a TD. I would imagine that White playing will take away the five receptions Lewis had last week and the Jets actually have a better rush defense than the Pats week 16 opponent (Buf). The Pats will be looking to lock-up home field advantage and won’t be resting their starters, but they will probably be looking to get everyone some work as they prep for the playoffs. Gillislee appears to be nursing a hammy and is not expected to play, but let’s not forget how White performed last year in the Super Bowl.


12/29/17, 09:47 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Pittsburgh Steelers

Stars Sitting


The Steelers Marcus Gilbert tells reporter Tim Benz that the Steelers won't play Ben Roethlisberger or Le'Veon Bell in finale vs. Cleveland. Landry Jones will be under center for Pittsburgh and Fitzgerald Toussaint and Stevan Ridley will form a thoroughly underwhelming RB committee against the Browns.

Fantasy Goo: Underwhelming is an understatement for these two backs, a highly respected fantasy website hasn’t even updated the news on these two since the pre-season and doesn’t even recognize them as being on the team. The one player of note in this is Martavis Bryant, The Alien averages over 17 ppr points per game with Landry at the helm as opposed to 8.4 ppg with other QB’s. He also has 5 TD’s in 5 home games with Landry. Granted most of this production comes from 2015 when they worked together often in the preseason, but Bryant could be a very sneaky GPP play this week.


12/29/17, 09:23 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

Play To Win The Game


Despite already being locked into the AFC's No. 3 seed, Jaguars coach Doug Marrone has no plans to rest starters in Sunday's game against the Titans. "Make no mistake about it, just so there is not a lot of talk during the week: When the players come in (Wednesday), we are talking about how we are going to play to win and do everything we possibly can to win this game, period," Marrone said. "I am not even thinking about what happens beyond that, and that is the way we are going to go about our business this week."

Fantasy Goo: I think it’s crazy of him to do, but I’m sure he has Tom Coughlin in his ear feeding him that old-school philosophy. Looks like Bortles, Fournette, Westbrook and Cole will be safe plays against a Titan’s team hoping to hold on to the sixth seed in the AFC.


12/26/17, 10:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Los Angeles Rams

Resting Starters


McVay hints that there will be Rams starters “who won’t play at all” on Sunday. The Rams are already locked into either the No. 3 or 4 seed in the NFC and will host a Wild Card round playoff game.

Fantasy Goo: Gurley, Goff, Woods, all sitting this week? That’s going to destroy so many hopes and dreams for teams that rode Gurley all year.


12/26/17, 09:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


DeMarco Murray

Tennessee Titans

Grind It Out


Mike Mularkey said he's not ruling DeMarco Murray out just yet. He's day-to-day. The Titans are holding out hope to have him in limited role.

Fantasy Goo: They are really grinding him into the dirt if they play him this week. I didn’t see the injury, but it sounded pretty ugly from sources in the know. Keep away from him in whatever format you are playing this week, I’m giving Derick Henry a solid upgrade as the Titans are trying to hold on to the final playoff spot in the AFC.


12/26/17, 05:17 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Philadelphia Eagles

All Locked Up


Pederson on playing Foles vs. Cowboys: “I’ve got to get him as many reps as he can and then be smart about it. Obviously, we have a lot of football left. Our season is really just beginning, quite honestly. We’ll be smart.”

Fantasy Goo: This is why you don’t play a championship game in week 17. I’m staying away from the Eagles regular starters, pretty much across the board, as they have a first round bye all locked up. Guys like Blount, Clement, and Nelson Agholor might have some DFS appeal, but we have to get closer to Sunday to see what they plan on doing.


12/26/17, 05:15 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Weekly Matchups - Playoff Week 3 - Packers vs. Bears

Weekly Matchups - Playoff Week 3 - Packers vs. Bears

Posted by Dawgmaticå on 01/19/11

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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NEW YORK JETS @ PITTSBURGH

 

 

Rankings based on this weekend's top 4 QBs, 8 RBs, 16 WRs, and 6 TEs

 

 

Green Bay @ Chicago 

 

 

Green Bay Packers (12-6)

 

Opponent Final 2010 Defensive Ranks

Chicago Pass Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 20th (224 Yds/Gm) - TDs Allowed 2nd (14)

Chicago Rush Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 2nd (90.1 Yds/Gm) – TDs Allowed T-20th (14)

 

Green Bay Offensive Cast

 

Aaron Rodgers (QB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #1) Final 2010 Season Stats: 312/475 – for 3,922 Yards, 28 TDs & 11 INTs || 64 Carries for 356 Yards & 4 TDs

 

Okay, you’ve got to be kidding me with this stat-line:  31 completions in 36 attempts, 366 yards, 3 TDs, 0 INTs and a 136.8 QB Rating.  Now we all knew the Falcons pass D was their weak link, but to go into the Georgia Dome last weekend and completely demolish a team led by a QB that had lost only two games at home his entire career is downright scary.  What’s even more insane is that in two road playoff games this year, Rodgers now has six TDs, zero INTs, 546 passing yards and a 134.5 QB rating!  Even though he didn’t do nearly as well as that against the Bears this year, it’s hard to go against a guy on a roll like this.

 

James Starks (RB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #3) Final 2010 Season Stats: 29 Carries for 101 Yards & 0 TDs || 2 Recs for 15 Yards & 0 TDs

 

His second career playoff game wasn’t nearly as good as his first, but he still leads the league in playoff rushing yards (189), attempts (48) and first downs (8) this year.  It’s not going to get any easier for the rookie this weekend as the Bears are one of the best in the league at defending the run and held Seattle to just 34 yards on 12 carries last Sunday.  The Packers will use him quite a bit to set up the pass, but don’t expect too much.

 

John Kuhn (RB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #6) Final 2010 Season Stats: 84 Carries for 281 Yards & 4 TDs || 15 Recs for 97 Yards & 2 TDs

 

Kuhn’s worth comes mainly along the goal-line as the Packers use either his 6’0”, 250-pound frame to bust in the one-yard TDs or his receiving ability to catch play-action passes in the flat.  Other than that, he’s simply a blocker.

 

Brandon Jackson (RB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #8) Final 2010 Season Stats: 190 Carries for 703 Yards & 3 TDs || 43 Recs for 342 Yards & 1 TD

 

After receiving just three carries against the Eagles in the Packers first playoff win, Jackson found himself with just one carry on the final stat-sheet against the Falcons.  It’s clear Brandon has been passed on the depth chart by the bigger, more talented Starks, and this time I think it’s for good.  Jackson still might see a few carries and dump-offs on third down, but his chances of putting up fantasy-worthy stats are pretty slim.

 

Greg Jennings (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #1) Final 2010 Season Stats: 76 Recs for 1,265 Yards & 12 TDs

 

Jennings looked like the number one WR that he is last weekend against the Falcons, but he’ll have a tough time repeating his 101-yard, eight-catch performance against the Bears D.  In fact, Chicago has had a pretty good bead on Greg throughout his career allowing him an average of just 3.8 catches for 55.6 yards a game.  With Rodgers on the roll he is, I’d have a tough time betting against Jennings having a nice game, but don’t expect a repeat of the Atlanta game.

 

Donald Driver (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #5) Final 2010 Season Stats: 51 Recs for 565 Yards & 4 TDs

 

Driver may not have a touchdown in the playoffs yet this year, but he’s leading the team in both catches and yards with 5.5 receptions and 66 yards per game.  His veteran presence seems to be rubbing off on everyone around him right now as the Packer offense is clicking better than it has all year.  He may not put up a bunch of yards, but five or more catches on Sunday is almost a given.

 

James Jones (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #6) Final 2010 Season Stats: 50 Recs for 679 Yards & 5 TDs

 

Jones’ size and athleticism always give him a chance to put up some nice numbers, but his lack of concentration is about as frustrating as it gets.  He seems to have no trouble making tough, crazy catches, but throw him the ball with nobody around him and you’re in for a disappointment.   His up-and-down play is hard to predict, so even though he has a TD in each of the first two playoff games, don’t look for a third in a row, especially against this Bears pass D.

 

Jordy Nelson (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #9) Final 2010 Season Stats: 45 Recs for 582 Yards & 2 TDs

 

The Packers might actually have the best fourth wide receiver in the league in Jordy Nelson.  Last week, Nelson caught all eight passes thrown his way for 79 yards and a TD, numbers most number one WRs would love to see in their stat-line.  His 6’3”, 217-pound frame makes him a mismatch all over the field and since it looks like Rodgers has a ton of confidence in him, don’t be surprised to see Jordy have another nice game this weekend.

 

Andrew Quarless (TE Playoff Week 3 Ranking #4) Final 2010 Season Stats: 21 Recs for 238 Yards & 1 TD

 

Quarless has been a non-factor in each of Green Bay’s first two playoff games, and since the Bears are pretty darn good at defending tight ends, I don’t expect that trend to change.

 

Donald Lee (TE Playoff Week 3 Ranking #5) Final 2010 Season Stats: 11 Recs for 73 Yards & 3 TDs

 

Lee is a grizzled veteran who will certainly see his fair share of action this Sunday, but his skills are more as a pass-blocker than a receiver.

 

 

Chicago Bears (12-5)

 

Opponent Defensive Ranks

Green Bay Pass Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 5th (194 Yds/Gm) - TDs Allowed 4th (16)

Green Bay Rush Defense – 2010: Yards Allowed/Game 18th (114.9 Yds/Gm) – TDs Allowed 3rd (6)

 

Chicago Offensive Cast

 

Jay Cutler (QB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #3) Final 2010 Season Stats: 261/432 – for 3,274 Yards & 23 TDs & 16 INTs

 

Cutler proved he can take the pressure of a playoff game last Sunday as he threw for 274 yards, two TDs while rushing for two more in his first ever post-season appearance.  However, his foe this weekend won’t be the defensively-challenged Seahawks again… it’s the hated Packers.  Does he have a chance of putting up a nice game?  Sure, but don’t bet on it.  His career stats as a Bear against the Pack are pretty poor as not once has he thrown for more TDs in a game than INTs against them (four games).  OC Mike Martz will do everything he can to put Cutler in a position to succeed, but don’t expect him to do what he did to Seattle last week.

 

Matt Forte (RB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #2) Final 2010 Season Stats: 237 Carries for 1,069 Yards & 6 TDs || 51 Recs for 547 Yards & 3 TDs

 

Forte had himself another solid game against the Seahawks putting up 134 total yards with 80 coming on the ground and another 54 yards on three catches.  Mike Martz might be thought of as a passing offensive coordinator, but it’s clear at this point that the Bears offense runs through Matt Forte.  In the final game of the regular season, Matt had 91 yards rushing and eight catches for 60 yards receiving against Green Bay.  I’m not sure the Packers will allow that much this Sunday, but the Bears RB is looking as good as he has in his career right now, so I wouldn’t put it past him.

 

Chester Taylor (RB Playoff Week 3 Ranking #7) Final 2010 Season Stats: 112 Carries for 267 Yards & 3 TDs || 20 Recs for 139 Yards & 0 TDs

 

Even though Taylor was the one with a touchdown in the final statistics last weekend, Forte is still the man on this team.  Chester will get a few touches here and there in order to give Forte a rest, but it won’t be enough to make a difference.

 

Johnny Knox (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #7) Final 2010 Season Stats: 51 Recs for 960 Yards & 5 TDs

 

Knox had a decent game last week catching four balls for 48 yards in the Bears win over Seattle.  He might be able to produce a bit this Sunday as well as his speed can beat even the best secondary deep on occasion.  If the Packers decide to throw Charles Woodson on him, he won’t be much of a factor, but he’ll still be able to stretch the defense and carry Woodson out of the play, so his worth might end up being as a decoy.

 

Earl Bennett (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #10) Final 2010 Season Stats: 46 Recs for 561 Yards & 3 TDs

 

Bennett is a nice possession receiver who I’m sure Cutler will try to use this weekend.  He should be able to haul in around four or five passes, but his lack of size (6’0”) doesn’t make him much of a red-zone target, so his fantasy upside is minimal.

 

Devin Hester (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #13) Final 2010 Season Stats: 40 Recs for 475 Yards & 4 TDs

 

Hester is still one of the most electrifying, game-changing players in the league and you can bet that with the Packers being in the Bears division, they know this all too well.  If Green Bay decides to kick to him, his punt return duties combined with a few targets on offense will give him a chance to shine this weekend.  If they don’t, then you can’t expect more than maybe a couple of wide receiver screens for minimal yardage.

 

Devin Aromashodu (WR Playoff Week 3 Ranking #16) Final 2010 Season Stats: 10 Recs for 149 Yards & 0 TDs

 

Aromashodu was a huge disappointment this season and the only chance he has of doing anything in this game is if the Bears end up needing his size in the red-zone.

 

Greg Olsen (TE Playoff Week 3 Ranking #1) Final 2010 Season Stats: 41 Recs for 404 Yards & 5 TDs

 

Last weekend was an awesome time for Olsen to come alive for Mike Martz and Jay Cutler, wouldn’t you say?  Not only did he lead the team with nine targets and 113 yards, but he also kick-started the Bears offense by scoring a touchdown on the Bears first possession of the game.  If the Packers have a weak link on D, it’s guarding a team’s opposing tight end.  Olsen had five catches in each of their meetings during the year, so I’d expect at least that many once again with another possible touchdown coming his way.

 

 

NEW YORK JETS @ PITTSBURGH