Week 15
December 15, 2017
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Nick Foles

Philadelphia Eagles

Not Skipping a Beat


Carson Wentz is out for the season, and maybe some of Next season with a torn ACL. Over their first 24 games Foles has more TD’s, fewer INT’s, and more yards that Wentz has in his first 24 games. Foles was a Pro Bowler who threw 27 TD & 2 INT with the Eagles in 2013. The last time Nick Foles faced the Raiders, he threw for 7 TDs.

Fantasy Goo: I’m not saying there won’t be an adjustment period and I’m not trying to say the Eagles are better-off without Wentz, but Foles is a very capable back-up and if he can stir-up that 2013 magic the Eagles should be fine. Normally I’d say wait a week before starting Foles or any of the skill position players on the Eagles, but with it being week 15 and the match-up being a weak Oakland defense, I’m starting them all as you usually would.


12/13/17, 03:59 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Lamar Miller

Houston Texans

Miller a Solid Cash Play on DFS


Miller will face the 49'ers, who according to Football Outsiders ranks 30th in Defensive DVOA.

Fantasy Goo: In the last 3 weeks, Miller is 6th in total carries. In cash games, you want opportunity. Considering the 49'ers run one of the fastest paced offenses in the league, his carries, already in the top 10 in recent weeks, should see an increase.


12/10/17, 11:14 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.footballoutsiders.com


Giovani Bernard

Cincinnati Bengals

Gio Free Square


Gio is gets the starting role today as there as Mixon is out.

Fantasy Goo: The man is only $3100 on Draft Kings. The Baengals are home and 6 point favorites. The game script could easily favor the ground game, which means Gio should get plenty of touches to surpass 3X value.


12/10/17, 10:57 AM CST by PyromaniacMo

Source: www.pyromaniac.com


Zach Ertz

Philadelphia Eagles

Still in Concussion Protocol


Eagles still want to look at TE Zach Ertz and his concussion on Sunday, but he is considered doubtful for game vs. Rams even though he is listed as questionable.

Fantasy Goo: Trey Burton has been a big name all week, going for 4 receptions for 42 yards after Ertz’s exit last week. Burton is a versatile athlete, but not a premier TE like Ertz. His good numbers came against Denver which is giving up the second most points to the TE position this year. Philly faces the Rams this week who are sixth best in fantasy points allowed. I'm not considering Burton a good stream this week.


12/10/17, 10:19 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ameer Abdullah

Detroit Lions

Pain in the Neck


Detroit Lions RB Ameer Abdullah (neck, questionable) is not expected to play today, source said, though it's more for play than injury reasons. Detroit is trying other players to improve the run game.

Fantasy Goo: This isn’t surprising given Abdullah’s disappointing performances over the past year and more.
Tion Green led the team with 51 rushing yards in his debut last week, and figures to be the Lions' ball-carrier Sunday in Tampa. Pass-catcher Theo Riddick will see reps as well and I expect that he has a safer floor especially in PPR.


12/10/17, 10:05 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Chris Hogan

New England Patriots

Primed for Monday Return


Hogan has been out the past four weeks and has basically caused me a playoff berth in one of my dynasty leagues. If you’re still in it I’d get him into the line-up. With Gronk out Hogan should see a solid number of targets.


12/10/17, 10:03 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Amari Cooper

Oakland Raiders

It's A Trap


Source says, if Cooper can cut at full speed and start and stop in pregame workout, they will use him on a limited basis or “pitch count.” Calls it a “very dramatic turnaround” from what team was expecting 48 hours ago.

Fantasy Goo: Total decoy move, I’m not starting him even if he is healthy enough to play. Cooper went for 11/210/2 when he faced the Chiefs in Week 7, so it is tempting to put him in, but you’ve got to figure that the Raiders want him in there just so the Chiefs have to play coverage his way and leave Crabtree in single coverage.


12/10/17, 10:01 AM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Todd Gurley

Los Angeles Rams

Lower Expectations This Week


Todd Gurley has just 1 TD over his last four games, but still has finished as RB6, RB16, RB8, and RB7 in those games. The TD came in the RB16 week. Insane usage AND efficiency from Gurley.

Fantasy Goo: He’s been the most consistent RB1 for the entire season, which is a nice turn-around from a disappointing 2016. He faces the Eagles this week who are second-best in fantasy points allowed to the RB position this year. I think we have to start him, but expectations must be lowered. He’s a fade in DFS this week.


12/09/17, 12:58 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Josh Gordon

Cleveland Browns

Balls Flying Everywhere


Per @rotounderworld, 70% of DeShone Kizer's pass attempts have been catchable balls, the third-lowest rate among quarterbacks with at least 100 attempts this season. Winds expected near 20 mph in Cleveland this week.

Fantasy Goo: I would not consider starting Kizer at any point this year, but the key question here is will he be able to get the ball anywhere near Josh Gordon. He was only able to catch 4 of the 11 balls thrown in his direction last week, but he was going against one of the top corners in the league. He was still able to rack up 85 yards, and had over 200 air-yards, so we can be confident the opportunity will be there. If I had him anywhere I would most likely start him and will probably have him ranked as a mid-range WR2.


12/09/17, 12:53 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andy Dalton

Cincinnati Bengals

Red Rocket Time


Andy Dalton’s finishes last 3 weeks: QB9, QB12, QB6. Over the last 3 wks he is QB 7.
This week he faces Chicago whose pass defense over the past 3 games is allowing a QBR of 103, a 68% completion percentage, and 6th highest passing percentage for 1st downs.

Fantasy Goo: Dalton is a viable streamer this week, but I hesitate to rank him in the top 12. If you’re in the playoffs you’re probably just riding with what got you there, but if you’re stuck with a questionable match-up Dalton is a solid option. Also consider that while Chicago’s defense has looked good most of the year, their best games have been at home, this game is in Cincinnati.


12/09/17, 12:50 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Tyrod Taylor

Buffalo Bills

Sore Knee Opens Door for Peterman


Nathan Peterman has taken all the first-team reps and it would be utterly shocking if he’s not the starter in a game the Bills must win if they hope to entertain any further thoughts about staying alive in the AFC wild-card playoff chase.

Fantasy Goo: This is a dream match-up, but I wouldn’t consider starting Peterman after his last performance (5 Int’s). If Taylor is able to start we should probably pump the breaks on him as well. The match-up is great, but his knee is the issue holding him back, if he loses his rushing numbers he loses his fantasy upside.


12/09/17, 12:45 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: www.democratandchronicle.com


Kenyan Drake

Miami Dolphins

Love the Drake


Per PFF, Percentage of Touches With At Least One Missed Tackle Forced:
Kenyan Drake: 25.7% (4th-best), Jay Ajayi: 15.7% (25th-of-50)

Fantasy Goo: Damien Williams is out so Drake should see 20+ touches, even in negative game-script he’ll get catches out of the backfield. When we are looking for a starting RB the first thing to look at is opportunity, and it’s definitely there this week.


12/07/17, 08:00 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Rex Burkhead

New England Patriots

The Belichick Shuffle


Rex Burkhead has scored a touchdown once every 13.2 touches. Alvin Kamara has scored a touchdown once every 13.3 touches.

Fantasy Goo: Burkhead has seen as many touches as Lewis over the past two weeks and is getting goal-line carries, against Miami this week I’ll consider them both RB2’s.


12/07/17, 07:55 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Devin Funchess

Carolina Panthers

Momentum vs Match-Up


Since Kelvin Benjamin was traded, Devin Funchess has averaged 18.4 PPR PPG. That would be good enough for the WR5 on the full season.

Fantasy Goo: Funchess will be facing Xavier Rhodes this week, Rhodes has been slowed by injuries over the past few weeks, but seems to be coming back to health. I’m certainly not considering him as a WR1 this week and if you’re in the playoffs you probably have other options, but if you don’t go with what got you there.


12/07/17, 07:52 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Mark Ingram

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Alvin Kamara

New Orleans Saints

Pair of Aces


The Panthers allowed more RB1 games in Week 13 (2) than they had the rest of the season combined (1).

Fantasy Goo: The Saints running game is for real, Kamara and Ingram are both must-starts. They could shred a middle-of-the-road run defense like Atlanta.


12/07/17, 07:21 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Smoke and Mirrors


Over the last two games, Derrick Henry has faced 8+ in the box 76.92% and 72.73% of the time. He has averaged 7.83 YPC.

Fantasy Goo: His last two games were against Indy and Houston, while Indy is a bottom 5 defense in fantasy points allowed to RB’s, Houston is top 5. Henry had a 75yd run, with a minute left in the game while they were just trying to run-out the clock, against Houston which completely pads his stats. This week’s opponent, Arizona, is another tough opponent against the rush, I’m not betting on a big play from Henry again.


12/07/17, 06:13 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Andre Ellington

Arizona Cardinals

Keep It In The Family


According to NFL Network's Ian Rapoport, the Houston Texans have placed wide receiver Bruce Ellington on injured reserve, ending his 2017 season. Ellington's been filling in for Will Fuller (ribs), and his absence will be felt, especially until Fuller's return.

Fantasy Goo: Fuller didn’t practice at all last week. Andre Ellington (Bruce’s cousin) attempted to play WR this year in Arizona, but couldn’t make the roster at that position. Don’t be surprised if the late season pick-up gives it another shot, Ellington had 5 receptions on 6 targets in week 13, for 59 yards.


12/05/17, 07:30 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Stephen Anderson

Houston Texans

Injuries Bread Opportunity


Houston Texans tight end C.J. Fiedorowicz (concussion) has been placed on injured reserve, ending his season. This is his third concussion in a year. The 26-year-old's season is over and possibly his career as well. Stephen Anderson will take over starting tight end duties for the Texans in his place.

Fantasy Goo: The 49ers are next for Houston and SF has been giving up points to every position besides TE’s. Anderson is more of a hybrid WR/TE, the main reason he lacks playing time is because he’s not a good inline blocker. Anderson had 12 targets in week 13, I’d imagine we will see double digit targets again this week.


12/05/17, 07:28 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Frank Gore

Indianapolis Colts

Not on Empty Yet


To say Gore isn't a flashy player is an understatement, but continues to see solid volume, reaching at least 18 touches in four of the last five games. The Bills are near the bottom of the barrel against the run, and Gore should see his usual workload as long as the Colts can keep the game close.

Fantasy Goo: I haven’t touched him all year, but I have a feeling he has just enough left in him for one more big game. It could just as easily be a big game for Mack instead, but starting either will be a risky proposition in this inept offense, especially in your fantasy playoffs.


12/05/17, 07:26 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Matt Ryan

Atlanta Falcons

One Year Wonder


Matt Ryan has not finished as a top-8 fantasy QB once in 2017. Last year, Ryan finished as a top-8 fantasy QB in 9-of-16 (56.3%) contests.

Fantasy Goo: He certainly misses the Shanahan offense. In weeks 14 and 16 Ryan faces the Saints who have been slightly better than average against QB’s this year, and a tremendous improvement over last year. Week 15 he has a nice match-up against Tampa Bay, but it is on the road.


12/05/17, 07:24 PM CST by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Tom Brady goes for his 5th ring and Matt Ryan for his first

Weekly Matchups - Super Bowl LI

Posted by d-Rx on 02/03/17

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


More Articals

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New England (-3) vs. Atlanta Falcons; Over/Under: 58.5 

 

Let’s just start by stating that 58.5 is the highest over/under in Super Bowl history, so the brainiacs in Vegas think there is going to be a lot of scoring happening in this game. The 33.8 points per game by the Falcons (540 total points) led the NFL this season, while the Patriots came in 3rd with 27.6 (441 total points) points per game. In the 2 playoff games each team has played so far this season, the Falcons are averaging 40 points per game and the Patriots are averaging 35 points per game. Holy crap, let the scoreboard ring! On defense in those 2 games, the Falcons allowed Seattle and Green Bay to score 41 points against them, and the Patriots have only allowed 33 points by the Texans and Steelers this postseason.

 

The Patriots are playing in their NFL-record 9th Super Bowl appearance, the 7th during the Tom Brady and Bill Belicheck era. They’ve won 4 of their 6 appearances thus far. Will Tom Brady have a hand full of hardware Sunday Night and go 5 of 7 in his Super Bowl appearances? Or will Atlanta win their first championship in their second ever Super Bowl chance. The Falcons currently sit with the Cardinals, Bills, Jaguars, Vikings, Panthers, Bengals, Lions, Chargers, Browns, Texans, Eagles and Titans as the only 13 NFL teams that have never won a Lombardi Trophy. So it's essentially the Falcons getting off the schneid or the Patriots solidify their legacy as the greatest dynasty the NFL has seen to date.

 


Super Bowl LI: Matt Ryan vs Tom Brady

 


This is the third time the Super Bowl has taken place in Houston. This is also Dan Quinn’s third Super Bowl in the last 4 years, which is super impressive. Quinn lost to Tom Brady and the Patriots a couple of years ago as the defensive coordinator of the Seahawks. In just his second year as head coach of the Falcons, he has brought them to the biggest game in all of professional sports, he's an under-rated coach.

 

The fact is, neither team wants to get caught in a shootout here, but the Falcons will be in unchartered waters if the Patriots were to get off to a quick start and jump out to an early lead. That would put a lot of pressure on Julio Jones, and take the running attack away. But the Falcons are great at getting on the board early given the fact that Atlanta has scored touchdowns on their last 8 opening drives, which is insane. The result may be Bill taking the ball first if the Patriots were to win the coin toss before the game, something he usually differs. The first quarter of this game will be make or break for the Falcons in my eyes, it will be tough for them to come back if down early.

 

 

SBLI: Freeman vs Blount at RB

 

 

The New England offense can attack the Falcons a lot of ways. They have a bevy of talent for Terrific Tom to quickly get the ball out of his hands and into the playing field. The Falcons are going to have to use Vic Beasley all over the place, but especially up the middle and get in Brady’s face quickly and rough him up, or else #12 will eat them alive. When James White is the game they are passing, 92% of the time, so if you see him out there, expect a passing play. Staggs and Houdini both think this is a Blount game.

 

The Patriots can smash the Falcons on the ground using Blount, just look at the Philadelphia Eagles win over the Falcons in week 10, where the Eagles won using their 3 running backs (Ryan Mathews, Wendell Smallwood and Darren Sproles) on 34 carries for 198 yards and 2 TDs. I'd look for the Patriots to potentially follow that game plan model and set the tone by running a lot in order to keep the Falcons high-flying offense on the sidelines. If they can move the chains on the ground, Brady may have a pretty chill day at the office.

 

 

SBLI: Tevin Coleman vs Dion Lewis

 


Patriots are going to target the hell out of Julian Edelman, but will he be getting the red zone looks? With a Gronk out, will The Black Unicorn be the one that gets one in the red zone? Tough call. Staggs doesn't see Hogan lighting it up. Tom Brady is tough to blitz, on the season he has gone 61 of 99 throws for 838 passing yards and 11 touchdowns, and no interceptions. Heres the crazy part, he was only sacked twice on those 99 blitzes. Not an easy guy to throw the kitchen sink at, but what choice do the Falcons have - if you give him time Brady will slice you up. It's going to be a long day for the Falcons defense, that is for sure.

 

 

SBLI: Wide Receivers 1 

 


Both offensive coordinators in McDaniel and Shanahan are very creative play callers, so Staggs believes there will be an array of creative plays called from each side on offense. On the latest Pyro Podcast (show 261) both Staggs and Houdini agreed the final score will be 28-24 with the Patriots winning it again. The winner of the game earns $97,000 and the loser gets paid $49,000 so who wants the money more? While all of said we'd love to see Julio, Matt and the rest of the team get a ring for the ATL, it's going to be tough to achive. Should be an awesome game though.

 

While most of the chatter has been on how BB can scheme and come up with a defensive gameplan to slow down the Falcons offense, the Falcons defense is riding high at the moment themselves, after the Falcons bye week in Week 12 they have been a top-10 defense league-wide. Not chop liver by any means, and they were able to make Aaron Rodgers and the Packers offense look marginal a couple of weeks ago in the NFC Conference Championship game.

 

 

SBLI: WR2

 

SBLI: WR3

 

 

Atlanta has converted 64 percent of their 3rd downs this season, over 20 points higher than their regular season rate (42.1), which against the Patriots you have to think will come back down to earth. The Falcons have 2 explosive running backs in Tevin Coleman and Devonte Freeman, but the Patriots gameplan take you out of your element, make you stop running, they don’t allow touchdowns to RBs, but they are susceptible to running backs catching passes on them. Don’t expect a long touchdown run by one of these Falcons running backs, seeing that the Patriots only let up 1 carry of over 30 yards on the season. They are really tough to run on.

 

Julio Jones is going to be beat up and hit a lot, every play - hard and often. It’s what Belichick does, he’ll knock the star player in the jaw till the guy breaks and doesn’t want to get hit anymore. Staggs thinks Julio will still get his stats, but the Patriots are great tacklers, so don't exect a long play on a missed tackle like he did on the Packers. It shouldn’t be a 1 on 1 by Malcolm Butler, while they bracket Julio in order to take him out. When Julio is hurt he can be used as more of a decoy, so let's hope he is really healthy for this big game or the Falcons are toast. Mohamed Sanu has been playing well and will have to make some plays in this game if the Falcons are going pull this game out. Rooting for Mohamed to have a good game and represent all the Muslim people out there that he represents in this game.

 

 

 

SBLI: Tight Ends from Falcons vs Tight Ends from Patriots

 

 

So sit back and throw down a few Vaaalverdes on Sunday, and let's all hope for a great game. I hope you all win your squares and your team wins, it's a sad day in sports come Monday with the NFL season being complete, so enjoy this last game to the fullest! Much love and respect! //d-Rx®

 

 

 

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