Week 3
September 23, 2017
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Derrick Henry

Tennessee Titans

Henry Begins Take-Over


Derrick Henry is expected to get a "significant workload" regardless of whether or not DeMarco Murray (questionable, hamstring) plays against the Seahawks in Week 3. Murray did get in a limited practice session on Friday, but even if he is active Henry out-touched him 14-10 in last week's win over the Jags while racking up a career-high 92 rushing yards.

Fantasy Goo: It's not a great match-up for Henry against Seattle, but his workload should be enough to consider starting him in all formats. If Murray is out Henry becomes a solid lock-it-in starter, that’s why he was going in the single-digit rounds in most drafts. If you have lazy owners in your league offer a trade for Henry and try to sell Murray while you have a chance.


09/22/17, 07:27 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com

Green Bay Packers

Targets Up for Grabs


Randall Cobb (chest) is listed as doubtful for Week 3 against the Bengals.
This should move Jordy Nelson into the slot with Geronimo Allison and Davante Adams as the Packers' outside receivers versus Cincinnati. Despite the Questionable tag, Nelson is fully expected to play against the Bengals after missing almost all of Week 2 with what he deemed a "charley horse." We can consider Cobb as "week to week."

Fantasy Goo: With the Packers target leader Randall Cobb (shoulder) listed as doubtful, Nelson should be locked and loaded into fantasy lineups as a WR1. Many DFS analysts are also eyeing Adams for a break-out game and I’ve seen Allison being scooped up in several dynasty/deep roster leagues.


09/22/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

Pats Injury Report Always a Long List


Rex Burkhead (ribs) is out for Week 3 against the Texans. Chris Hogan (knee) and Amendola are questionable. Hogan was limited by a knee injury at practice this week but his status for Sunday has never been in doubt.

Fantasy Goo: Looks like Gillislee and Hogan should be solid plays this week. With Burkhead out both are in line to benefit greatly, Amendola could cut into Hogan just enough to knock him out of flex range though if he ends up playing.


09/22/17, 06:35 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Ezekiel Elliott

Dallas Cowboys

At Least Two More Weeks of Zeke


The Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals has set a date for a hearing in the Zeke Elliott case: Oct. 2.
It will be two weeks before the court of appeals even hears the arguments from both sides. This thing could certainly get strung out and the suspension could come next season.

Fantasy Goo: If you have him you’re going to have to ride this out all season. His schedule eases some after week 4 so if the court denies the plea from the NFL you are going to reap rewards that you expected when you drafted him. Something in my gut tells me that he will serve some sort of suspension this year though, either way you’ll never get fair value for him in a trade and my gut feeling could just be because I’m a Giants fan. I don’t get the sense that it’s worth handcuffing him at this point either, just because we can’t be sure who the handcuff is yet.


09/22/17, 06:26 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Sam Bradford

Minnesota Vikings

Sam Bradford (knee) Out for Sunday


Sam Bradford‘s knee could be a real problem. The Vikings quarterback is not expected to play on Sunday. Bradford will get a second opinion on his left knee from Dr. James Andrews, on Friday. Whenever I hear Dr. Andrews name red flags go up, because it always seems to mean more surgery, but Andrews has performed Bradford’s first two ACL surgeries, so he’s quite familiar with his medical history.

Fantasy Goo: Bradford being out is definitely a down-grade for Diggs, Thielen, and Rudolph with Keenum throwing the rock. Theilen gets the largest drop, averaging 9 more PPR points per game with Bradford in.


09/21/17, 08:09 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: twitter.com


Jimmy Graham

Seattle Seahawks

Jimmy Graham (ankle) DNP Thursday.


That makes it two missed practices in a row and he's shaping up to be very questionable for Week 3 against the Titans. The Seahawks have listed him on the injury report with an ankle injury, but the team did say he banged his knee in Week 2. If Graham can't play, Luke Wilson would likely fill in while the Seahawks run with more three-wide sets.

Fantasy Goo: Whenever Graham is out you have to look for Tyler Locket to get more targets. It’s only a five game sample, but Lockett averages six more PPR points per game with Graham out.Pete Carroll came out Friday and said Graham, listed as questionable, should be fine for Sunday.


09/21/17, 07:37 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Chris Johnson

Arizona Cardinals

Johnson Back for Arizona


Cardinals coach Bruce Arians expects Chris Johnson's carries to increase in Week 3. Chris Johnson rushed 11 times for 44 yards in the Cardinals' Week 2 win over the Colts, out-playing Kerwynn Williams. It appears as though he is ready to run with starting duties during David Johnson's absence.

Fantasy Goo: We shouldn't expect more than an RB3 production, but he is worth scooping up in leagues where he remains un-owned (admittedly, probably not many). I’m looking to make some trades to clear roster space and grab him, bye weeks will be coming soon and he could end up with 15-20 carries some weeks.


09/21/17, 06:15 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.nflmock.com


Chris Thompson

Washington Redskins

Thompson Flashes


Thompson only had three carries, but two of them went for scores, including a 61-yard scamper. He finished with six touches for 106 yards and two scores. Rob Kelley could miss time with the injury and Thompson is lightening in a bottle.

Fantasy Goo: Thompson is the back to own in PPR leagues, his floor is solid with the passing downs work and he will probably average five carries a game if Kelley (ribs) is out.


09/19/17, 07:08 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Chris Carson

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Backfield Jumble


Carson was the man at running back for the Seahawks, running the ball 20 times for 93 yards, and he caught one pass for 7 yards to give him 100 total yards on the day. Lacy is a non-factor, and Rawls does not look like he will be able to keep Carson from getting the Lion share of carries going forward.

Fantasy Goo: Carson will probably be the number one waiver add in your league, and if you have the number one pick you NEED to add Carson now.


09/19/17, 07:06 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


D'Onta Foreman

Houston Texans

The Foreman Is On The Job


The Texans want to get Foreman more involved in the offense, and this week he had 12 carries for 40 yards. He is going to be in a 60/40 split with Lamar Miller, but there is upside if Miller goes down. His workload should only increase as the season moves along.

Fantasy Goo: If he’s still available, if you have space on your roster, and if you can wait a few weeks for him to take even more of the role, then this is your guy to grab. Foreman could emerge as the Texans primary back by the end of the year.


09/19/17, 07:03 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: pyromaniac.com


Rashard Higgins

Cleveland Browns

They Call Him "Hollywood"


Browns placed WR Corey Coleman on injured reserve with a broken hand. Coleman underwent surgery on his broken right hand Monday. Higgins played 54-of-71 snaps against the Ravens, 12 more than Kenny Britt. He also turned 11 targets into seven catches for 95 yards. He was just promoted off the practice squad on Saturday, so he could be a one hit wonder.

Fantasy Goo: Normally I would say to just put him on your watch list, but he could emerge into what we thought Kenny Britt would be. Britt is playing like he doesn’t give a crap right now, which is giving Higgins opportunity and with Coleman out for at least eight weeks there might not be anyone else to throw to.


09/19/17, 07:00 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


Will Fuller

Houston Texans

Strong Out, Fuller In


Will Fuller (collarbone) returned to practice on Monday. It's a potential sign Fuller could return for Week 3. The Houston Chronicle reported in early August that Fuller would likely miss "2-3 months," but Fuller is an elite athlete in optimal condition, and he is capable of beating a lengthy timetable like that. The Texans also placed WR Jaelen Strong on waivers and the Jaguars have claimed him.

Fantasy Goo: It’s too bad the Texans still don’t have a QB. Fuller could add a valuable weapon for Watson, but I don’t see Watson being a productive QB that can maintain two WR’s with weekly fantasy value. Keep Fuller on the watch list just in case Watson proves he can produce or they shift to a free agent QB.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com


A.J. Green

Cincinnati Bengals

Green looking forward to Green Bay


A.J. Green has struggled to get going this season, with 10 receptions for 141 yards and no touchdowns. This week he faces a Packers defense that could be without Mike Daniels and Ahmad Brooks. Julio Jones had 108 yards against the Packers last week, and without the pass rush of Daniels Green should be able to make more plays downfield this week. The Bengals are looking for their first touchdown of the season, and Dalton wants it to be a passing touchdown to A.J.


09/19/17, 06:57 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com


Le'Veon Bell

Pittsburgh Steelers

Bell looking for a breakthrough against the Bears


Le'Veon has only totaled 138 yards with no scores through the first two weeks. Owners should be feeling good about his matchup this week against the Bears. Chicago is already without LB Jerrell Freeman, and last week lost his replacement Nick Kwiatkowski. The Bears are a mess and Bell should be able to exploit those weaknesses for big gains this week.


09/19/17, 06:52 PM CDT by Houdini

Source: www.pro-football-reference.com

Carolina Panthers

Carolina In My Mind


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Cam looked rusty last week, he was literally shaking his arm after passes like there was rust in his shoulder joint. Christian McCaffrey out-snapped Jonathan Stewart 70% to 43% in Week 1, but Stewart out-touched McCaffrey 20 to 18, and Stewart scored the backfield’s lone TD on a red-zone reception where McCaffrey served as a decoy. As Carolina is favored by a touchdown at home, this sets up as another positive-script game where Stewart can log a similar if not superior workload to his dynamic rookie counterpart, giving both Panthers backs RB2/flex appeal. I don’t like any of the receivers, Benjamin is only ranked within the startable range because of the implied opportunity and what should be a prime match-up.


09/17/17, 10:30 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo @ Carolina


Implied Team Totals: Panthers 25, Bills 18
Tyrod is a solid sit for me on the road against a strong Carolina defense that silenced the 49ers on the road last week. McCoy will get 25 or so carries so I’m starting him in season-long, but his upside is capped so he’s a fade in DFS this week. Charles Clay led Buffalo in targets and caught his eighth TD in 29 games as a Bill. Last year’s Panthers allowed the league’s second-most fantasy points to tight ends, a position to which their Cover-3 zone can be vulnerable.


09/17/17, 10:28 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New England Patriots

New England @ New Orleans


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
Last year the Saints allowed the second-most points (454) and the most passing yards (4380), the Superdome is now known as football’s version of Coors Field for its elevation of offensive output. My top DFS plays are Brady, of course, Cooks in a revenge game, Gronk if you are ok with paying up at TE, and the way to get Gronk in a DK line-up is to play James White at RB2 or flex. White is cheap, and played the most snaps of the RB’s last week, he could have around 5 receptions for around 35-50yds and cross your fingers for a TD.


09/17/17, 10:12 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Hosting New England


Implied Team Totals: Patriots 31, Saints 25
The Saints, and Brees are a different animal at home than the road. Alex Smith shredded the Pats last week and even on short rest (6 days, compared to NE’s 10 days) Brees should see similar numbers. I feel good about starting Michael Thomas or Fleener, they should see the bulk of red-zone targets. The RB situation is in flux so the only RB I’m considering is Alvin Kamara, he’s obviously not a cash game play, but at $3500 he could pay-off in a big way.


09/17/17, 10:09 AM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars have alot to do to bounce back to fantasy relevance in week 2


With Blake Bortles playing the role as "game manager" it certainly puts a cap on the Jags offense as a whole,sure Leonard Fournette can be counted on to get the Lions share of work but at the cost of the passing game especially after losing AR15 who is left to count on ?
Blake threw for a meager 125 and a TD in week one's victory over Houston,but went 11 for 21 pass attempts. (21 attempts yoikes)
It seems the lack of faith in Bortles has everyone wondering if you can even start any pass catcher on this team.
The improvement of the defense should help but if history tells us anything it is that the Jags will be playing from behind and will be forced to throw. So again who's catching the ball in Jacksonville week 2?

Allen Hurns caught 3 out of 4 targets for 42 yards in the Jaguars' season opener and should be the one to take on the WR1 duties. He did show some fantasy value two years ago and is most likely to be the receiver with the most upside and is currently WR 49 on pyro rankings.

Marqise Lee was off the marq week 1 and had 4 balls thrown his way and failed to haul in a single catch, but he is in line to be the WR2. Maybe the increased workload and motivation of being more involved in the game plan will be the trick for Lee who's is WR 50 on pyro rankings.

Marcedes Lewis the tight-end failed to make a single reception of his two targets vs.the Texans. He could be called on to make up some of the loss of ARob but I'm not holding my breath. He only had 169 yards and a single touchdown all of last season Lewis is currently holding down TE 47 on the current pyro rankings.

Fantasy Goo: So if your like me the approach in Jacksonville is wait and see what happens Sunday vs Tennessee and hopefully we get the answers we are looking for by end of week three.


09/17/17, 05:13 AM CDT by PK Ripper

Source: pyromaniac.com

Green Bay Packers

Packers @ Falcons


Ty Montgomery played 75 of82 snaps, he’s playing a team that struggles to cover RBs and there’s a high over under. After allowing a league-high 14.5 receiving points per game to opposing backfields in 2016, Atlanta allowed a Week 1 high 23.1 points to the Chicago backfield receiving. Aaron Rodgers has thrown 10 touchdowns with at least three in each game and averaged 29.3 points per game. Randall Cobb accounted for 32 percent of the Green Bay targets Week 1.

Fantasy Goo: Start everyone mentioned above and Jordy. I guess Adams and Bennett are solid plays too, but I usually stay away from them in general, very TD dependent. This should be a shoot-out in Atlanta’s new stadium, and I expect Ty Montgomery to have the best value at $5800 on DK.


09/16/17, 06:28 PM CDT by Wheeler

Source: www.rotoworld.com

Young Guns II

Young Guns II

Posted by d-Rx on 12/15/12

by   The Archer


@TheArcher


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young guns II main graphic, rookie QBs in the NFL 2012

 

 

YOUNG GUNS II

 

 

Just before the start of this season I wrote an article, Young Guns, in which I examined the 5 rookie quarterbacks (Andrew Luck, RG III, Brandon Weeden, Russell Wilson and Ryan Tannehill) and made my predictions on how their rookie seasons would end up.    I can honestly say that I was very impressed at this group as a whole, but the talent at the top really made an impact on Fantasy and the NFL this season. 

 


All 5 of the rookie quarterbacks have started all 13 games for their respective teams this season, with differing results.  In this article I am going share my preseason prediction and then my revelations from 13 games from each of these guys.  Let’s get right into these Young Guns.

 

 

andrew luck pyro character

Prediction - Andrew Luck – Luck has been called the best quarterback prospect since Peyton Manning, and interestingly enough he will be replacing Manning in Indianapolis this season.  The normal pressure that would come replacing Manning has been diminished a bit since they suffered through horrible quarterback play last season.  Luck knew he was going to be the starter as soon as he signed his contract.  Luck is going to be plagued by inconsistent play in his first season.  He does not have a lot of help at the running back position with Donald Brown and will need to throw the ball a lot this season as the Colts figure to be behind in most of their games, especially against NFC North who they match up with this season.  Luck will have veteran help in the form of Reggie Wayne, but other than that he has 2 rookie tight ends and a concussed Austin Collie.  Luck is going to have some bright moments this season, but it will be a learning process.  Expect Luck to be more of the traditional rookie quarterback who will throw about the same amount of interceptions as touchdowns.  In keeper formats he is a must have at the quarterback position.    

 

Revelation – Luck has done a marvelous job in leading his Colts to an impressive 9-4 record.  As I predicted, Luck has been inconsistent on the season with 18 TD to 18 INT, although he has added 5 rushing TD.  Luck has shown his ability to be a dominant quarterback with six 300-yard passing games on the season, including a rookie record 433-yard performance in week 9 against Miami.  Luck has had some issues on the road this season throwing 8 TD to 13 INT in 6 road games so far this season.  That compares to the 10 TD and 5 INT he has thrown at home, although Luck has averaged 306 yards passing per game on the road, compared to 279 yards passing per game at home. Luck has taken a young team and is going to lead them into the NFL playoffs in his first season, another first for a first overall quarterback draft pick.  Luck has taken a bunch of young wide receivers, and Reggie Wayne, and formed them into a formidable receiving corps.  Luck has a veteran’s ability to have poise in the pocket and has led his team back in the 4th quarter more than once this season.  The Fantasy production we saw out of Luck was impressive and inconsistent, but for where he was drafted he made an impact this season.  Going forward Luck is going to be a force to be reckoned with.  

 

 

 RGIII pyro character

Prediction - RG III – RG III is the sexy pick this season to be this year’s Cam Newton.  He has an amazing arm and has the ability to run as well, which has everyone in fantasy ready to crown him as the next big thing.  RG III has the benefit of going to a team that does have more weapons than Luck has in Indy.  Garcon was a great addition through free agency and RG III should lean on him as well as Fred Davis.  There is a running game for RG III, but no one, not even those on the Redskins, knows who it will be from week to week.  RG III can run which is going to be his best asset in fantasy this season.  If you are in a league that does not have bonuses for 300-yard games, then RG III and his ability to run for 50 yards and score a TD will increase his fantasy value.  I don’t expect him to dominate the league with his arm as a pocket passer, but of all the rookies he has the best chance to make an impact due to his ability to run and should get at least 5 rushing TD this season.  

 

Revelation – I can say that I was right that he had the best chance to make an impact this season, but I was way off on just how impactful he would be.  Like Andrew Luck, RG III has thrown for 18 TD on the season and rushed for 6 more, although unlike Luck, RG III has only thrown 4 INT on the season.  The ability for such a dynamic player to be able to secure the ball for his team is why his Redskins are still making a playoff push. RG III is the dual threat as he has only thrown for 2,902 yards and has only had three 300-yard passing games, but has rushed for 748 yards on the season. The 24 TD to 4 INT is a rate that would make any Fantasy owner happy and then you think about all the big scoring plays he has made on the season and if you didn’t draft him, you wish you did.  RG III has had the biggest impact of any of this year’s rookie quarterbacks.  He has led countless Fantasy teams to the playoffs, but is now dealing with Grade 1 MCL sprain.  That is always the risk from a running quarterback, but RG III can also throw and throw accurately.  Next season this guy will be gone by the 2nd round in every draft.

 

 

 brandon weeden pyro character

Prediction - Brandon Weeden – Weeden earned his job by being someone not named Colt McCoy.  Weeden was taken in the first round by the Browns and is being given the keys to the car, which appears to be a 1982 Buick LeSabre station wagon.  Weeden’s best weapon on the team is fellow rookie Trent Richardson, who is dealing with a knee issue after off-season surgery and a subsequent clean out.  The fact is that Weeden is in a tough division and does not have the weapons in the receiving game that give him a lot of hope for fantasy this season.  Greg Little is the number 1 one option at receiver and they will be relying on second year tight end Jordan Cameron who had all of 6 catches his rookie season.  Weeden is destined to have the typical rookie season and I expect more interceptions than touchdowns and in my mind is a rookie to avoid this season.

 

Revelation – Weeden, like Luck, was surrounded by a lot of rookies on the offense, which did not help him early on, but as the season moved on we learned that he had a real deep threat in rookie Josh Gordon.  Weeden did prove me right as he has 13 TD to 15 INT on the season thus far.  Weeden was not able to throw for more than 2 TD in any game, and threw for 2 TD five times on the season.  Weeden threw for three 300-yard games, but was held under 250 yards 8 times on the season.  Weeden had a good run in weeks 2-7 where he threw for an average of 277.5 yards per game and threw 9 TD to 6 INT.  After that, Weeden was not much of a factor, but he did show that he is a much more capable quarterback than Colt McCoy.  Going into next season Weeden should not be viewed as a top 12 quarterback, but if they give him some more weapons in the offseason, he could be a sleeper candidate for next year. 

 

 

 ryan tannehill pyro character

Prediction - Ryan Tannehill – Tannehill seems destined to the same fate as Weeden.  He does not have any help at the wide receiver position as all of his receivers are going undrafted in 10 team and in most 12 team drafts.  That is very bad sign.  His running game is not proven with Daniel Thomas and Reggie Bush.  Thomas dealt with injuries last season and has not looked good this preseason.  Bush is still a risk for injury himself, but seems like he will be the biggest benefactor to Tannehill starting, with his ability to make catches out of the backfield.  This is a real tough situation for Tannehill to step into and he was not supposed to be in this position as he was supposed to back up David Garrard until he suffered an injury in the preseason.  Tannehill needs some help at the skill positions and will not be viable until he gets some. 

 

Revelation – Tannehill had the most disappointing season of all the rookies, but he was not even supposed to be the starter.  Tannehill has only managed to throw 8 TD on the season compared to 12 INT.  Tannehill did and does not have much help around him on offense and it showed with Tannehill only throwing for one 300-yard game on the year.  It is hard to get excited about his season with his lack of weapons at the wide receiver, when you consider all of his wide receivers went undrafted in most Fantasy leagues this season.  Tannehill needs to get some help for him to have a positive outlook for next season, but he seems to be the quarterback in the worst situation.  Tannehill threw for under 250 yards 10 times on the season to this point.  With no playmakers theFantasy present and future does not look good for Tannehill.  

 

 

russell wilson pyro character 

Prediction - Russell Wilson – Wilson is the least likely rookie quarterback to be starting this season.  Wilson was a third round draft pick and seemed to be well behind Matt Flynn who was brought in as a free agent.  Then training camp and the preseason started and Seattle realized that Flynn was smoke and mirrors, while Wilson was proving himself.  Wilson was a winner in college and looks to bring that confidence to the NFL.  He is another quarterback who runs the ball if necessary and likely will get many opportunities this season.  Wilson has a chance to be the third best option of the rookie quarterbacks this season and could push Andrew Luck for second if he runs the ball as much as I think he will.  Wilson does not have very good receivers, but he is an accurate passer and will stick with the shorter passing game this season.  In my opinion, Wilson will not have a 300 yard passing game this season, but the running potential makes him a nice deep flyer this year.  

 

Revelation – The start of the season was a shaky one for Wilson as he was averaging 163 yards passing over his first 5 games and had 5 TD to 6 INT.  Then as I predicted his winner mentality and leadership took over as he gained confidence being the starter.  Over his last 8 games Wilson has averaged 209 yards passing a game, but has thrown 15 TD to only 3 INT.  Like RG III, Wilson has shown an amazing ability to not turn the ball over.  Although unlike RG III, Wilson has not rushed for a TD on the season and did not run as much as I expected him to at the outset of the season.  All of these stats indicate a quarterback with potential to be something as he develops.  As far as Fantasy this season Wilson started to become more consistent down the stretch, but the lack of yardage is a killer in a league that has become pass happy.  Wilson still needs more weapons in the passing game, but looking to next season with an offseason to develop more he could move up those charts next season. 

 

 

 

Overall this has been an amazing season for these Young Guns, and their successes should make other NFL teams feel more comfortable handing over the keys to a rookie going forward.  The thing that sticks out to me more than anything is the real success these players had in the NFL this year.  There is a possibility that Luck, RG III and Russell Wilson are all playing in the playoffs this season, which would be unheard of.  The experience that would give those players would benefit them greatly next season. I think it is also safe to say that we are going to have to wait a long time  to see another group of Young Guns like this posse. 

 

 

 

BY HOUDINI (email me)