Kansas City Chiefs - 2014 Preseason #FF Preview
“Put your makeup on and do your hair up pretty, meet me tonight in (Kansas) city.” Alright, so that is not quite what Bruce Springsteen was singing (or Levon Helm of The Band :( RIP Levon). He had Atlantic City on his mind, but if you were to draw up a list of similarities between the two cities, you might have one – job opportunities in the mafia, and that’s about it.
Differences between Atlantic City and Kansas City, however, are certainly distinct. One is bright and flashy, the other, well, is Kansas City. Just like the town, Alex Smith is a blue collar fella, nothing exciting. In fact, if you started him in a 12 team league last year, chances are every other quarter back did better. He ranked 13th amongst fantasy quarterbacks. He will continue to be a bye week fill-in at best. He is a tier VI or VII QB. Pyro ranks him as the #24 fantasy quarterback (as of 7/10/14) going into the 2014 season. Statistically, he is coming off his best year in the league. Last year, he passed for 3,313 yards, 23 touchdowns, and only threw 7 interceptions. All in all, he never had a 300 yard game. Perhaps he is most memorable for his fantasy playoff performance. In week 15, Smith single handedly knocked many a team out of the fantasy playoffs, as he threw five touchdowns. This was compounded if you also happened to be playing against Jamaal Charles, like this unfortunate author. Charles snagged 4 of his 7 receiving touchdowns and ran in for another on that fateful Sunday. Not that I hold any grudges, but if Alex Smith is reading this, a most vile pestilence upon you sir! Aside from that statistical anomaly, Smith just does not have the numbers to warrant a roster spot on your team. Last year, his average pass attempt was paltry 6.52 yards. He only made 508 pass attempts and that was his highest ever. The closest he has come to breaking 500 attempts before last year was in 2011 with 445. There just aren’t enough numbers to translate into fantasy relevance.
#11 is not a QB that you can really feel great about as a starter on a week-to-week basis
We rank Some Where Over the Dwayne Bowe (copyright Pyro®) as wide receiver #41 (as of 7/10/14). Some positives, he consistently gets over 100 targets, he rarely misses games. In six seasons, he has only missed nine games. He is the number one receiver on his offense. As far as the negatives, he only snags a little better than half of his targets (55%). Bowe is not a touchdown guy. The last three years, Bowe scored 5, 3, and 5 touchdowns respectively. Alex Smith, the Chief’s quarterback is not known for his aerial attack. Bowe is a bye week fill in at best, and to be honest, he will not make any of my rosters.
A graphic from Pyro® Year 1 - d-Rx® invented this name... show me a place it was before Pyro®!?
Donnie Avery was only targeted 72 times by Alex Smith last year. Avery was able to snag 40 of those for 596 yards and 2 touchdowns. He only put up 4.39 fantasy points per game last year. Not much to see here, let's move on.
As far as tight ends go, there are 46 you could draft before you get to Anthony Fasano. Enough said. Dawgmaticå seems to like Kelce though, so I will keep my eye on that oft-injured fella'.
Jamaal Charles had a career year last year (see Career Year Beware!). Easily considered a number one draft pick by many, Pyro has him at number 4 as of today. Rarely does a player eclipse a career year in his next season in #FF. Although Charles will most likely not put up the same numbers, he is very dependable. Charles averaged 4.97 yards a carry. Amazingly, that was the lowest average of his career. Although his reputation suggests he is injury prone, that is just not the case. Take out the 2011 season where he was out after the 2nd game, in the 5 other seasons he has played in the NFL, Charles has missed a total of 2 games. Looking at it that way, he is very reliable. He ran for 12 Touchdowns, and caught an additional 7 last year. He amassed 1,980 all purpose yards (1287 rushing and 693 receiving). One thing to consider, last year the Chiefs had one of the easier schedules against the run last year. In 2014 however, things change. Charles will be going up against some heavy hitters as Kansas City has the 16 easiest schedule, right smack in the middle. For the fantasy playoffs, it is a bit harder, as they are rated with the 19th easiest rush schedule. If you buy the Pyro Draft Kit you can gain the acees to the Strength Of Schedule chart, which is one of 18 tabs in the document. His average yards per rush has gone down every year since 2011, and he has a lot of tread on his tires. He has amassed 1,043 carries in basically 5 years. In the last 2 years alone, he has racked up 544 carries in regular season play. That said, I certainly do not expect the cliff to come in 2014. Charles should be in the top 10, and has a good chance to end up in the top 5.
Defenses are generally not a focal point in fantasy football. Mainly, they are too hard to predict. Not only that, you aren’t just rating one player, you are rating 11 at the same time. Generally, I opt for a defense by committee approach. However, the Chiefs are a sturdy lot that come in at the number 3 ranked defense this year for Pyro in v2 of our Draft Kit. The nice thing about drafting a top defense early, you never have to worry about the position again. A draw back to playing defense by committee is you generally have to waste 2 roster spots on mediocre teams and play the match-ups. Here is the sneaky part: many of the douche canoe sites, you people know who you are, rank KC farther down the line, around the 8th or 9th best fantasy defense. Generally, they are going around spot 146 (ADP), somewhere in the 12th round for a 12 team league. I think drafting them in the 11th round would be a steal. If so, you would not have to worry about your D, nor would you need to draft a back up, except for their bye week, and that comes early at week 6.
Scary good KC DEFENSE that you can get at a great value!
PLEASE CHECK OUT TEAM 9 of 32:
By Jeremy Battaglia aka 'Mo'